INDIA MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
Sensex settles with marginal gains, Nifty closes above 24,350 as Iran-US war escalations keep sentiment fragile
Indian stock markets saw marginal gains on Monday. Fresh escalations in the Iran-US conflict kept sentiment fragile and oil prices higher. The Sensex and Nifty closed with small increases. Broader markets and sectoral indices experienced declines. Foreign investors remained net buyers for the third consecutive day. The rupee continued to gain against the US dollar.
ICICI Bank’s sharp drop in provisions signals strength; HDFC Bank treads carefully amid growth concerns: Dnyanada Vaidya
ICICI Bank surprised with a significant drop in provisioning, signaling improved asset quality and a strong recovery pipeline. In contrast, HDFC Bank adopted a cautious growth strategy, prioritizing profitability and asset quality amidst macroeconomic headwinds. HDFC Bank also aims to boost its deposit market share, expecting it to outpace credit growth.
MDBs to deepen collaboration to support nations amid heightened global uncertainty
Global development banks are joining forces to help countries navigate economic challenges. They are combining resources and knowledge to manage immediate pressures and build future resilience. The banks are ready to provide timely support to manage risks and protect vulnerable populations. Collaboration will focus on private sector growth, job creation, and sustainable development.
Financial resilience must include India’s credit-invisible workforce
India's strong digital finance infrastructure faces a challenge. Many informal workers lack financial resilience due to volatile incomes and limited savings. Global disruptions increase their budget stress.
Let oil prices hurt: IMF cautions against govt shielding consumers
The IMF is urging governments to let fuel prices rise, warning that broad subsidies and price caps worsen global energy shocks. Allowing price signals to function encourages demand reduction, which is crucial for market stabilization. Targeted cash transfers are recommended to cushion consumers without distorting global markets.
IMF’s Georgieva sees no risk of sharp downturn in India, flags financial sector as key watchpoint
India's economy shines brightly amidst global uncertainty. Growth is projected to be more than double the world's average. This strong performance is driven by stable economic conditions and consistent domestic demand. The International Monetary Fund's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted these robust fundamentals. There are no signs of a significant slowdown in India's growth path.
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Why stock market rose today? Sensex soars over 1,200 points, Nifty settles above 24,200. 5 key factors explained
Indian stock markets surged on Wednesday. The Sensex and Nifty saw substantial gains. Easing oil prices and renewed hopes for US-Iran peace talks boosted investor sentiment. Global markets also rallied. This positive momentum added significant value to the total market capitalization. Investors are advised to remain invested despite potential headwinds.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Nifty50 at 20x looks attractive, but markets are not out of the woods yet, says Ritesh Taksali
Despite recent corrections, the Nifty 50 appears reasonably valued at around 20x earnings, says Ritesh Taksali, though he warns markets are “not out of the woods yet.” Persistent risks from oil prices, inflation, and geopolitics are likely to keep volatility elevated in FY27.
India's strong fundamentals to cushion oil shock, growth may slow up to 80 bps: S&P Global Ratings
India's strong economic and financial foundations are expected to absorb a sustained oil price shock, though growth could dip by 80 basis points if crude hits $130/barrel in 2026. Corporate earnings and bank asset quality might weaken, but robust balance sheets and well-capitalized banks offer significant buffers against prolonged disruptions.
Pakistan's stock markets rally: KSE-100 jumps 4,000 points on hopes for new US-Iran peace talks. What lies ahead?
Pakistan’s stock markets surged on Tuesday, with the KSE-100 jumping nearly 4,000 points amid renewed optimism over possible fresh US-Iran peace talks. The rally comes after intense volatility, including a 6,000-point crash on Monday. Easing crude prices and hopes of diplomatic progress boosted overall sentiment across global markets.
Can Trump’s Iran blockade plunge India into an 'everything crisis'?
India has so far managed the oil shock from the Iran war through policy buffers, diversified crude sourcing and intervention by the Reserve Bank of India, keeping inflation and supply chains stable. However, the proposed US naval blockade of Iranian ports by Donald Trump risks escalating the situation and disrupting energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially driving oil prices higher and prolonging the shock.
Sebi chief flags India’s openness to global capital
India continues to attract global investors. Sebi chief Tuhin Kanta Pandey highlighted India's strong economic fundamentals and welcoming regulatory environment. Recent measures simplify foreign investor registration and enhance market stability. Digital platforms and growing domestic investment also contribute to market depth. India remains open to global capital.
After deleveraging Rs 215 crore in debt, JDMEHF bets big on healthcare’s future
Under Rhitik Jassar, JDMEHF's journey demonstrates disciplined resilience, a quality honed by crisis.
Bitcoin down 23% in FY26, Ethereum hit $5K peak in August. Here is what analyst expect
Bitcoin saw a 23% decline in FY26, ending at $66,694. Ethereum reached a peak of $5,000 in August 2025. Despite market volatility and geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin frequently reclaimed $70k levels. The cryptocurrency market capitalization crossed $4 trillion in 2025, showing integration with global financial cycles. Looking ahead, regulatory clarity and real-world applications are expected to drive future growth.
Shaktikanta Das reveals how India broke a ‘Chakravyuh’ and 7 steps for businesses to navigate war storm
During a keynote speech, RBI ex-Governor Shaktikanta Das emphasised India’s remarkable ability to weather global storms. He referred to the nation's strategic tactics as a 'chakravyuh' maneuver, underscoring the significance of focused fiscal and monetary policies. The strength of India's economy is reflected in its impressive GDP growth, supported by innovations in technology, solid infrastructure, and thriving internal demand.
Bankers welcome RBI’s calibrated stance, regulatory steps
Bankers have praised the Reserve Bank's decision to maintain current interest rates. This move, alongside specific industry adjustments, is seen as a wise and balanced step. These actions are expected to bolster banks' financial strength and encourage consistent credit expansion. The central bank's focus on macroeconomic stability amid global uncertainties is also noted.
Iran war ceasefire fails to bring FIIs to India, Rs 2,811 crore sold as caution lingers
Indian equities rallied sharply after easing geopolitical tensions and falling oil prices, boosting sentiment and rate-sensitive sectors. Despite this, foreign investors continued selling, reflecting caution. Stable policy and improving macro conditions support outlook, but sustainability depends on earnings, oil trends and global developments.
The Big Review: Markets near bottom, selective opportunities emerging for FY27
HDFC Securities report highlights India’s macro stability despite global risks, with steady growth, moderating inflation and controlled fiscal trends. Earnings may grow modestly, valuations are cooling, and markets near a bottom, offering selective opportunities supported by domestic liquidity and retail participation.
Markets may be entering opportunity phase; focus on selective bets: Dhiraj Relli
Dhiraj Relli warns elevated crude prices may impact inflation, rates and earnings amid global uncertainty. However, India’s macro remains stable with steady growth, improving valuations and favourable risk-reward, as markets shift toward stock-specific opportunities and broader earnings participation.
RBI's calibrated decision aimed at strengthening economic environment: Experts
The Reserve Bank of India has kept its key policy rate unchanged. This decision reflects a cautious approach amid global economic uncertainties. Experts believe this move aims to stabilize the economy. Policymakers are assessing the impact of the Iran conflict on energy and inflation. The central bank prioritizes growth while monitoring inflation risks.
Dharmesh Kant sees buying opportunities in largecaps despite volatility; defence, banks in focus
Amid market jitters, experts advise focusing on robust largecap stocks in infrastructure and banking for better risk-reward. Defence and metals also present tactical chances. While Q1 earnings might show disruptions, the market is looking ahead, with valuations already factoring in negativity. Investors should buy quality stocks gradually for long-term gains.
Crude oil, remittances & exports: RBI spells out where the Iran war bites India
The Reserve Bank of India emphasises the ramifications of the West Asia conflict on the nation's economy. Fluctuating energy prices, uncertainties in trade, and market volatility present emerging risks. While the country's foundational economic strengths are robust, the potential impact of external disruptions is worrisome.
RBI GDP outlook FY26: India retains FY26 GDP at 7.6%, sets FY27 growth at 6.9% as Iran war, oil risks mount
RBI GDP Growth 2026: India's economic growth forecast for FY27 is now projected to slow down. The Reserve Bank of India has maintained its FY26 growth estimate but anticipates a more subdued expansion in the following year. Rising oil prices and global geopolitical tensions are key concerns. These factors could impact inflation, currency stability, and overall economic momentum.
RBI to focus on managing INR volatility over liquidity: Tanvee Gupta Jain
The Reserve Bank of India faces a challenging policy review. Global uncertainties and volatile oil prices are key concerns. Experts highlight rising external risks and currency weakness. The central bank must balance growth and inflation. Policy decisions will shape India's economic future.
RBI pause now, tightening later: A delicate trade-off with rising tail risks
India's economy faces testing times from rising oil prices and global uncertainty. While growth is solid, it is uneven and vulnerable. Inflation is moderating but fragile. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates a cautious approach to interest rates. Deeper reforms and sharper policy focus are crucial for sustained growth amidst evolving global challenges.
Crude at $70 in 2026? That may remain a distant dream
Crude oil prices are unlikely to fall below USD 70 this year and may settle between USD 80-85 per barrel in 2026. This forecast suggests ongoing global uncertainties will keep prices elevated. For India, this could mean slower GDP growth and inflation above 4.5 percent. The Reserve Bank of India's policy response will be crucial.
RBI may keep rates unchanged, focus on rupee stability and bond yields
The Reserve Bank of India is widely expected to maintain interest rates and its policy stance unchanged due to global economic uncertainties, including the US-Israel conflict impacting energy prices and fiscal deficit concerns. Policymakers will closely monitor the rupee's performance and potential capital outflows, with the RBI possibly considering measures to support the currency without an aggressive immediate response.
Stocks braced for volatility as RBI policy, West Asia conflict take centre stage, say analysts
The domestic stock market is expected to remain volatile this week as investors track the Reserve Bank's monetary policy decision, key global macroeconomic data and the impact of the West Asia conflict, analysts said.
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