INDIA TRADE DEFICIT
India and US trade deal still has a few stubborn cards to play: Fitch unit
Negotiations between India and the US have encountered significant sticking points affecting market access and agriculture. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer noted the identification of all key issues during talks. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman mentioned that negotiations have reached a plateau with limited opportunities for further concessions. India is advocating for more preferential access for its exports. Meanwhile, Washington seeks increased access to the Indian market, especially in agricultural sectors.
RBI Policy: Complex oil math explains rise in FY27 inflation estimates
The Reserve Bank of India revised its crude oil price projections for the fiscal year 2026-27. This adjustment has led to increased inflation forecasts, now projected at 5.2% for FY27. The bank notes ongoing supply pressures and volatility in international oil prices contributing to these changes. India's merchandise trade deficit has also widened due to rising imports, especially in crude oil.
Four horsemen of economic trouble? RBI governor flags the risks spooking the world
The RBI raised the repo rate 25 bps to 5.50%, its first hike in nearly four years, and shifted its stance to calibrated tightening. Governor Sanjay Malhotra flagged four global risks: West Asia tensions and volatile oil prices, tariff uncertainty, elevated bond yields and stretched AI stock valuations. He said these risks are clouding global sentiment despite resilient growth.
Dabur expects double-digit Q2 revenue growth on strong India FMCG, overseas demand
Dabur India expects consolidated revenue to grow in double digits in the September quarter, supported by strong performance across its India FMCG portfolio and sustained international growth. Rural demand outpaced urban markets, while e-commerce and quick commerce remained strong. Higher input costs, however, weighed on operating margins during the quarter.
India-US trade deal talks may have reached a ‘plateau’, further concessions difficult: Nirmala Sitharaman
During a recent briefing, India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced that talks regarding a trade pact with the US are currently stalled. While she sees some room for advancement, she pointed out the complexities involved in making further concessions. The dialogue also encompasses the trade deficit issues with both the US and China.
Dabur India expects double-digit revenue growth in Q2 FY27
Dabur India anticipates strong double-digit growth in its consolidated revenues and India FMCG business for the upcoming quarter. Demand conditions have remained steady despite challenges such as inflation and geopolitical tensions affecting operations. The company expects robust performance particularly in its Home & Personal Care and Food and Beverages segments. Modern Trade and emerging distribution channels are also expected to drive growth significantly.
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Sugar stocks Balrampur Chini, Dhampur Sugar, others rally up to 8%. What’s behind the uptick?
Sugar stocks, including Balrampur Chini, Dhampur Sugar and EID Parry, rallied sharply on Tuesday as raw sugar futures remained near two-year highs. Rising supply concerns in Brazil, Europe and Thailand, along with stronger festive-season demand, have lifted expectations of tighter global sugar supplies and supported the recent rally.
India launches anti-dumping probes into five Chinese products after domestic industry complaints
The Directorate General for Trade Remedies in India is probing complaints from domestic producers about six imported products from China. Accusations of dumping have led to demands for anti-dumping duties. Additionally, the agency is also assessing Insoluble Sulphur imports. This comes as the trade deficit with China intensifies, along with continued investigations focused on multiple products' import practices.
India-US trade talks hit a plateau, with little room left to give or take, says Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
India and the US are currently negotiating a trade agreement aimed at expanding market access and addressing trade balance concerns. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman mentioned that both sides appear to have reached a plateau in negotiations. She indicated that further concessions may be challenging following rigorous discussions. Despite this, she believes there could be opportunities for additional negotiations. The US is particularly focused on reducing its trade deficit with India.
View: India-China thaw faces major economic tests
India and China are working to improve their diplomatic relations following past military tensions over border disputes. Recent measures include relaxed restrictions on foreign direct investment and increased export activity from India to China. However, India's reliance on Chinese imports for critical industries poses significant challenges. The unequal economic relationship remains a concern for India's long-term strategies.
'US deal could spur further liberalisation'
India's economic growth remains strong, with foreign direct investment continuing to show promising figures. Arvind Panagariya emphasizes the need for deeper trade liberalization, increased privatization, and judicial reforms. He highlights the importance of attracting long-term productive investments, especially from private equity. Trade agreements with the UK and European Union are expected to further bolster India's economy.
RBI MPC must raise rates as inflation and external risks rise
India's economy is currently thriving, boasting a growth rate exceeding 7%, bolstered by diverse sectors and enhancing productivity levels. Nonetheless, escalating oil prices and geopolitical instability present significant threats to economic stability and rising inflation. The Reserve Bank of India faces calls to increase interest rates to effectively address inflationary pressures. Furthermore, the current capital account surplus is insufficient to cover the current account deficit, reflecting persistent economic hurdles.
Capital limited but confidence in rules of trade, fiscal path of large economies: DEA secretary
Economic Affairs Secretary Anuradha Thakur said trade shaped by security and geopolitical considerations could deepen global imbalances, raise capital costs and create friction. She said private investment was showing signs of revival despite tight global financial conditions, while the AI investment cycle was adding to demand for capital and debt.
Global bond yields put emerging markets on edge, but India’s FDI pull stays strong: DEA Secretary Anuradha Thakur
Rising global bond yields and surging capital demand from the AI investment cycle could increase funding pressures for emerging markets, Economic Affairs Secretary Anuradha Thakur said. Despite the global squeeze, India remains an attractive investment destination, with record FDI inflows reflecting confidence in its macroeconomic stability, reforms and long-term growth prospects.
Private capex revival takes hold, capital formation at 3-year high: Economic Affairs Secretary Anuradha Thakur
Private investment in India is experiencing a revival, with growth in capital formation noted in early financial reports. Economic Affairs Secretary Anuradha Thakur highlighted an increase in corporate project commitments across various key sectors. First-quarter gross Foreign Direct Investment inflows reached approximately USD 30 billion, emphasizing strong foreign investment in India's economy.
India within striking distance of 8% GDP growth, resilience not accidental: Shaktikanta Das
With an ambitious target of 8% GDP growth, India aims for Viksit Bharat by the year 2047 through innovative reforms. The government is dedicated to increasing domestic capabilities in crucial areas such as energy and manufacturing. Significant measures are being implemented to strengthen long-term finance and bolster involvement in global supply chains.
India's resilience built over past decade, structural autonomy key to future: Nirmala Sitharaman
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday said India's economic resilience has been built consciously over the past decade through fiscal prudence, infrastructure creation, banking reforms, last-mile delivery and sustained reforms, while stressing the need for greater strategic autonomy and preparedness to deal with emerging global challenges.
FCNR inflows cushion rupee, BoP; FII flows crucial for sustained external stability: Report
Foreign currency non-resident inflows have significantly bolstered rupee stability and India's balance of payments. However, the current support from these inflows may not suffice for long-term external stability. Foreign institutional investor flows are crucial for maintaining economic balance as the support from FCNR is absorbed. India's goods deficit has reached a decade-high despite continuous support from services exports and remittances.
BRICS isn’t killing the dollar. The world is learning to live without it
BRICS aims to decrease reliance on the US dollar by facilitating trade in national currencies among member countries. This trend is evident in energy transactions, particularly between Russia and China, with the rouble and renminbi being increasingly used. India's trade with Russia has further encouraged the use of rupees for oil purchases. The euro is becoming more common in international trade, but the dollar remains the dominant currency.
US 10-year yield at 24-year high rattles Nifty, rupee and bond markets. Why is India hit hard?
The US 10-year Treasury yield surged to a 24-year high, triggering a global bond sell-off and pressuring Indian equities, bonds and the rupee. Higher US borrowing costs are raising concerns over FII outflows, currency weakness, imported inflation and RBI policy. Rising crude prices are adding to the pressure on Indian markets.
$2 billion gone in two days! FIIs accelerate selling as Nifty, Sensex set to fall for 8th week running. Will they make a comeback?
Foreign institutional investors pulled out over Rs 20,000 crore from Indian equities in two trading sessions as the Nifty and Sensex head for an eighth straight weekly decline. Elevated crude prices, high US bond yields and rate concerns have weighed on sentiment, while analysts differ on the outlook for foreign inflows.
US Trade Representative Greer jokes Piyush Goyal is 'trade minister for life' as G20 trade talks open in Milwaukee
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer opened a two-day G20 trade ministers' meeting in Milwaukee addressing key issues. During the event, Greer emphasized the need to rethink global trade governance and identified four pressing priorities. Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal participated actively, promoting India's position on trade agreements alongside his counterparts. The discussions included initiatives concerning steel overcapacity, forced labour, and the Most-Favoured-Nation principle.
India business confidence rises 8% in September despite global headwinds: ASSOCHAM
India's business landscape showed remarkable resilience as confidence levels surged by 5.6% in the first half of FY27 according to the ASSOCHAM Business Confidence Index. Spanning from April to September 2026, the index illustrates notable growth even in the face of persistent challenges like inflation and rupee depreciation, especially in July, August, and September.
Under-the-counter cash gold sales boom in India as high prices and taxes bite
High gold prices, combined with higher taxes, are encouraging more buyers to engage in cash transactions. This trend allows buyers to save significantly compared to official market prices based on reported cases. As import levies have doubled, the informal gold market is thriving, especially in the lead-up to wedding season. Retail customers are discovering varying discounts, influencing their purchasing decisions significantly.
Global economy is shifting East, Global South must seize the moment: Shaktikanta Das
The Principal Secretary-2 Shaktikanta Das outlined the challenges and opportunities facing Global South economies during recent discussions. Energy shocks, trade barriers, and geopolitical uncertainties pose significant risks for these nations as they adapt. Strategies focused on food security, trade diversification, and job creation are essential for future resilience. Additionally, rising protectionism complicates access to global markets and technologies for low- and middle-income countries.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Fed tightening returns: Ritesh Nambiar on what it means for Indian bonds and the rupee
A renewed Fed tightening cycle could push US yields higher, strengthen the dollar and put pressure on emerging-market currencies. For India, that could translate into upward pressure on government bond yields, particularly at the longer end of the curve, while making the currency and global capital flows important variables to watch.
Triple shock rattles India’s FMCG basket as 68% of categories lose volume
India's FMCG market is experiencing significant challenges as higher costs and rural income pressures affect consumption patterns, NielsenIQ says. FMCG volumes declined by 2% year-on-year in the second quarter, indicating a widespread slowdown. Urban areas showed minimal growth, while rural volumes fell sharply by 5%. Additionally, modern trade and e-commerce are rising rapidly, thus altering shopping habits among consumers.
India’s bond market performed well, equities to become attractive again: RBI’s Poonam Gupta
India's bond market is exhibiting notable strength, outpacing its historical performance and standing firm against global trends. The Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India highlighted the promising fiscal commitments that are bolstering market dynamics. Meanwhile, Indian equity markets have faced challenges, partially due to rapid advancements in AI abroad.
Rupee may not just stabilise, but appreciate from current levels: RBI Dy Guv Poonam Gupta
RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta mentioned the rupee could stabilize or appreciate after its recent depreciation. She highlighted India's potential to reduce the current account deficit through services exports and remittances. Gupta noted that capital account conditions may improve, supporting foreign investments. She emphasized the RBI's capacity to manage external pressures and maintain orderly exchange rates. The overall outlook indicates a positive trend for the rupee and India's financial stability.
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