INDIA ECONOMY GROWTH
India growth resilient, markets near correction: HDFC Securities
India's economy is set for robust growth. Real GDP is projected at 6.5 percent for FY26-FY27. Nominal GDP will expand between 10 to 11 percent. Inflation is expected to ease to 4.5 percent. Fiscal deficit targets are set at 4.3 percent. Retail investor participation remains strong. Markets may be nearing the bottom of the current correction cycle.
India, Korea can give new direction to multilateralism amid mounting challenges: South Korean Prez Lee
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung envisions a strengthened special strategic partnership with India, focusing on trade, technology, critical minerals, defence, and shipbuilding. He highlighted shared values and the need for close cooperation amidst geopolitical uncertainty, aiming to deepen comprehensive ties for mutual growth and innovation.
Where to invest now: Chemicals, capital goods, and banking top the list, says Aditya Shah
Aditya Shah, Hercules Advisors Founder, suggests investing in India's domestic growth. His top picks are chemicals, capital goods, and banking. He advises caution on FMCG and defence sectors due to high valuations. Shah emphasizes selectivity and prioritizing companies with corrected prices. Investors should focus on domestic-facing businesses for potential gains.
Increase in renewable energy curbs emissions growth in 2025, IEA says
Global emissions growth slowed in 2025. Solar power expansion in developing nations helped balance emissions increases in advanced economies. India saw emissions fall for the first time in normal economic conditions. China also recorded lower emissions due to leading solar capacity additions. The United States experienced an emissions rise.
AI-driven credit, underwriting & collections to be banking disruptors
On overall credit expansion, the survey said lenders are positive and anticipate continued momentum in non-food credit. The survey, which covered 24 banks across segments, was released on Sunday.
More, the merrier: Women in policymaking drive better social outcomes, economic gains, NCAER study shows
The ongoing parliamentary session addressing the 33% Women's Reservation Act underscores its profound economic and social advantages. Studies indicate that when women participate in policymaking, the results are transformative—leading to enhanced investments in healthcare and education and a significant drop in child mortality rates. Yet, India still trails behind in female political representation compared to the global landscape.
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IMF, World Bank meetings show limits in mitigating shocks, reliance on US for solutions
Global finance leaders met amid Middle East war news. They acknowledged their limited ability to counter economic damage from frequent geopolitical shocks. Reliance on U.S. leadership for crisis resolution is no longer assured. The IMF and World Bank pledged aid to developing nations. Officials expressed frustration with ongoing economic calamities.
India resilient amid oil shock, may grow 6.8%-7.1% despite global headwinds: SBI Research
India faces global challenges from a strong position. Economic growth is projected between 6.8% and 7.1% for FY27. The nation's banking sector is robust. Opportunities arise for GIFT City and Indian airports. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain its current monetary policy stance. India's resilience is evident amidst regional conflict and global uncertainties.
India replaces China in US smartphone supply chain, captures 40% share: Report
India has emerged as a key supplier of smartphones to the United States, meeting about 40 per cent of the demand that was earlier fulfilled by China, according to a recent report by McKinsey & Company.
ET Graphics: India to become world's third-largest economy by 2031
India is projected to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2031, despite slipping to sixth place in 2025 due to a stronger dollar and GDP base year revision. The report highlights India’s continued position among the fastest-growing major economies and outlines its expected rise to fourth place by 2027.
India's economy slipping to 6th rank, IMF data shows, prospects bright
India has slipped to the sixth largest economy in 2025 in nominal terms, according to the International Monetary Fund, but it remains the fastest-growing major economy. The IMF projects India’s growth at 6.5% in 2026, far ahead of the United Kingdom.
Piyush Goyal engages with South Korean, Austrian leadership to deepen economic ties
Union Minister of Commerce and Industry, Piyush Goyal, advanced India's trade agenda through a series of diplomatic engagements on Thursday, holding a virtual meeting with South Korean Trade Minister Yeo Han-koo and an in-person session with Austrian Federal Chancellor Christian Stocker. The meetings, focused on bilateral investment and technological synergy, resulted in the signing of a new mechanism aimed at accelerating business resolutions between India and Austria.
ETMarkets AIF Talk| Performing credit emerges as core portfolio allocation for investors: Amit Dharod
India’s private credit market is emerging as a key part of alternative investments, supported by structural changes in lending and rising demand for stable returns. Once a niche, performing credit is becoming a core allocation, driven by a funding gap in mid-market firms and the flexibility of AIFs to provide customised financing.
Indian officials see Iran war oil shock as disruptive as Covid
India is drawing on its Covid-era playbook to cushion the economic blow from the Iran war, with officials warning the disruption to energy supplies could rival the pandemic, threatening growth, widening the fiscal deficit, and pushing the rupee to record lows.
IMF’s Georgieva sees no risk of sharp downturn in India, flags financial sector as key watchpoint
India's economy shines brightly amidst global uncertainty. Growth is projected to be more than double the world's average. This strong performance is driven by stable economic conditions and consistent domestic demand. The International Monetary Fund's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva highlighted these robust fundamentals. There are no signs of a significant slowdown in India's growth path.
Economic growth will be slower this quarter amid war, US Treasury chief says
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sees a slower economy this quarter amid the Iran war. He believes the economy is fundamentally strong and will recover. Bessent noted oil prices are not currently affecting inflation expectations. The Treasury will monitor retail gasoline sales to ensure fair pricing for consumers.
IMF cuts global growth outlook for 2026, warns of potential recession if Iran war worsens
The International Monetary Fund has cut its global growth outlook, warning the economy could near recession if the Middle East conflict keeps oil above $100. It now sees 3.1% growth in 2026, but this could drop to 2.5% or even 2.0% in a severe scenario, alongside rising inflation, with emerging markets hit hardest while India remains a relative bright spot.
IMF cuts China 2026 economic growth forecast to 4.4%
The IMF on Tuesday lowered its forecast for Chinese economic growth this year to 4.4 percent, despite reduced US tariffs and stimulus measures aimed at mitigating the impact of the Middle East conflict. The Washington-based organisation said "lower US effective tariff rates on Chinese goods, and stimulus measures offset the negative impact of the shock induced by the Middle East conflict" on the world's second-largest economy.
India’s trade deficit narrows to $20.67 billion in March on West Asia risks
India's trade deficit saw a significant reduction in March. Exports increased while imports decreased. This improvement occurred despite rising tensions in West Asia. Geopolitical risks could impact future trade. Services exports continue to drive growth for India. Merchandise exports also saw a modest rise.
India's 30-year economic model is over; time to pivot from IT to manufacturing: Saurabh Mukherjea
Saurabh Mukherjea believes India's long-standing economic model is concluding. He anticipates rising inflation and a weakening rupee impacting consumer spending. Interest rate hikes are also expected, posing challenges for lenders. The focus is shifting towards manufacturing exports, benefiting from global trends. This transition presents new investment opportunities in specific export-oriented sectors.
Auraska Ventures launches Rs 500 crore AIF to tap India’s booming orange economy
Auraska Ventures has launched its first fund, the Rs 500 crore Auraska Opportunities Fund, to invest in India’s growing “orange economy.” The Category II AIF will back 10–15 early- to growth-stage companies across sectors like consumer, media, sports, gaming, fashion, and IP-led businesses.
IMF raises India FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% even as the world stumbles through conflict
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised India’s growth forecast for FY27 to 6.5%, up 0.1 percentage point from its January estimate, and expects growth to hold steady at the same level in FY28, even as it flags rising geopolitical risks from the war in the Middle East.
IMF raises India's growth forecast to 6.5% for FY27
The International Monetary Fund has raised India's GDP growth forecast to 6.5 per cent for the current fiscal year. India is set to be the world's fastest-growing economy. Other global institutions also show optimism for India's economic performance. Projections indicate continued strong growth in the coming years.
India-Austria to deepen economic ties; Bilateral trade crosses USD 2.35 billion: CII Regional Chairman
India and Austria move to deepen their economic partnership with a specific focus on green technologies and advanced manufacturing as bilateral trade between the two nations surpassed the USD 2.35 billion mark.Chairman of the CII Western Region and Chairman & Managing Director of Blue Star Ltd, identified these sectors alongside digital innovation as the primary drivers for the next phase of the bilateral relationship.
Rupee plunges 49 paise to 93.32 against US dollar in early trade
The Indian Rupee weakened significantly against the US Dollar today. Higher crude oil prices and global geopolitical tensions are impacting the currency. Investors are withdrawing funds from domestic stock markets. This situation follows a recent drop in the Rupee's value. The US has announced a blockade of Iranian ports, further affecting oil prices and global trade.
Orange economy rises: Creativity fuels India's growth story
Emerging as a vital part of India's economic framework, the 'orange economy' harnesses creativity to generate both intellectual property and employment opportunities. This dynamic sector fuels growth across tourism, hospitality, and retail markets, with cultural celebrations such as Durga Puja showcasing its robust economic influence.
India has ample buffers to weather headwinds from Middle East conflict: World Bank
The World Bank stated India is well-positioned to handle the global energy shock due to strong buffers like high foreign exchange reserves and fiscal space. Despite global headwinds and trade turbulence, India's economy entered the current Middle East crisis from a position of strength, supported by robust domestic demand and export resilience.
Shaktikanta Das reveals how India broke a ‘Chakravyuh’ and 7 steps for businesses to navigate war storm
During a keynote speech, RBI ex-Governor Shaktikanta Das emphasised India’s remarkable ability to weather global storms. He referred to the nation's strategic tactics as a 'chakravyuh' maneuver, underscoring the significance of focused fiscal and monetary policies. The strength of India's economy is reflected in its impressive GDP growth, supported by innovations in technology, solid infrastructure, and thriving internal demand.
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