THIRD QUARTER GDP
US Bond Treasury Yield Notes fall big: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year notes down? Check factors, what to expect
US Treasury yields were down ahead of the US midterm elections 2026 due to a number of factors.
US economy grows faster than expected at 3.4% in Q3 on consumer spending, AI boom
The US economy grew at a faster-than-expected 3.4% annualised rate in the third quarter, driven by resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment despite higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict. The robust growth contrasts with weak consumer sentiment and comes as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged.
US Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh just telegraphed more rate hikes without saying it
Warsh used his assessment of a strong economy and warnings over persistent inflation to signal the Fed’s job is not yet done. The message reinforced expectations that officials will raise borrowing costs in December — after holding them steady Wednesday — with the potential for another increase in early 2027.
US stocks today: US stocks end higher as Fed holds rates; focus turns to earnings
US stock markets ended on a high note after the Federal Reserve opted to maintain current interest rates while gauging the economic landscape. A notable resurgence in chipmakers, fueled by strong results from SK Hynix, played a key role in this upward momentum. Analysts are now speculating a significant chance of a rate hike in December.
US goods trade deficit unexpectedly widens in September
The goods trade shortfall increased 2.1%, or $2.8 billion to $134.9 billion last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the goods deficit at $130.2 billion.
RBI steps up liquidity support as tighter cash conditions push up borrowing rates: Report
Tightening liquidity in the banking system has pushed up short-term borrowing rates, prompting the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to inject funds into banks, according to an ICICI Bank report. Meanwhile, rising oil prices and concerns over inflation are putting pressure on government bond yields. The report expects the 10-year benchmark bond yield to trade between 7.40% and 7.60% in the near term.
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US stocks today: US stocks rise as Anthropic IPO puts AI spending under scrutiny
Wall Street's main indexes experienced gains as technology stocks led the rise amid AI investment discussions. Investors are preparing for a busy week of corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. Anthropic's IPO filing highlights both the demand for AI and associated development costs, creating investor caution. Chip stocks, benefiting from the AI boom, showed strong performance overall.
Gold price today: Gold rate, silver price predictions by experts are out. Check here
Gold rate: In international markets, Comex gold futures for the December delivery declined USD 173.2, or 4.14 per cent, over the past week, to close at USD 4,007.9 per ounce.
India's interest rate gap with G7 in focus as RBI weighs inflation risks: Report
India's monetary policy is now shaped by the interest rate gap with major developed economies and rising inflation. The Reserve Bank of India is concerned about inflation risks and input cost increases. Recent GDP growth figures indicate resilience supported by strong private consumption and exports. YES Bank predicts a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points by the RBI.
Global Market: Euro falls as French political unrest, high energy prices weigh on sentiment
The euro weakened amid elevated energy prices and renewed French political uncertainty, while investors reassessed the outlook for US growth, interest rates and the dollar. The yen, yuan and Indonesian rupiah also moved as markets weighed central bank signals and economic risks.
China stocks end higher as strong GDP outweighs AI jitters
China's economy expanded 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter, topping forecasts and reducing the urgency for Beijing to step up support to meet its annual growth target. Retail sales for September also accelerated.
China stocks inch higher as strong GDP offsets weak AI mood
China's blue-chip CSI300 Index edged up 0.1% by the lunch break, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.2%. The Hong Kong market is closed for a local holiday and will resume trading on Tuesday.
China's economic growth picks up & rebounds to 4.5% in third quarter, beating expectations
China’s economy grew 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter, beating market expectations of 4.4% and recovering from a more than three-year low of 4.3% in the previous quarter. Growth eased pressure on policymakers to announce further stimulus to meet the annual target of 4.5%-5%.
Dollar firmer, euro weakens as French protests turn violent
In Asia, the dollar saw a minor uptick as unrest in France put pressure on the euro, causing a small decline. Emerging market currencies, notably the Indonesian rupiah, are struggling with the looming threat of a stock market downgrade. Oil prices dipped following the lifting of sanctions on Russia, which may boost fuel exports. Upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank are fostering cautious market positioning.
India needs policy credibility and continuity to sustain FDI as strong growth alone is not enough, says KIEP expert
India needs to maintain policy credibility and continuity to sustain foreign investment inflows, as strong economic growth alone may not be enough to reassure global investors about the country's long-term business environment, highlighted Kyunghoon Kim, Head of the India and South Asia Team at the Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP).
Global Market: Yuan holds steady, set for third weekly gain on robust Chinese exports
China’s yuan remained stable against the dollar, heading for a third consecutive weekly gain on resilient exports. The currency reached its strongest level since January 2023, despite domestic economic concerns and rising global bond yields. Investors await China’s third-quarter GDP data and signals on US monetary policy direction.
After US, India is easiest place to list a company, says Blackstone president and COO Jonathan Gray, eyes $100 billion investment in the country
Blackstone's president and chief operating officer Jonathan Gray has stated plans to increase their investment in India to $100 billion. He highlighted positive sentiments surrounding India's economy, which is growing over 7%. Gray acknowledged recent concerns like rising energy costs but emphasized robust economic momentum. The firm is committed to investing in sectors such as infrastructure, financial services, and healthcare.
Inflation could hit 7%, forcing RBI to hike rates by 150 bps further: Report
India's inflation is projected to reach 6-7% due to increasing price pressures and consumer expectations. The Reserve Bank of India has acknowledged risks stemming from rising input costs and resilient domestic demand. Recent trends show that household inflation expectations are significantly higher than headline inflation rates. The RBI has raised its GDP growth projection while revising inflation forecasts upwards to 6% for the upcoming quarter.
RBI may raise repo rate by 75-100 bps in current cycle: Report
SBI Capital Markets expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to raise the repo rate by 75-100 basis points during the current tightening cycle, with a larger hike in December 2026 possible depending on inflation data. The report projects consumer inflation to peak in Q3 FY27 before easing, while warning that high crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions and rising borrowing costs could weigh on consumption. Higher rates may support bank margins in FY27, with bonds potentially regaining investor interest in FY28.
RBI Repo Rate 2026: Why RBI MPC lifted repo rates for the first time in nearly four years in October policy
RBI Repo Rate: The Reserve Bank of India increased the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% after recent inflation concerns. Economic growth has exceeded expectations, prompting the central bank to adjust its monetary policy. Inflation risks are rising due to higher crude prices and weaker agricultural output affecting projections. Global interest rate changes and narrowing differentials also pressure capital flows and emerging markets.
RBI raises policy rates 25 bps to tame inflation as India hurdles growth barriers
The Reserve Bank of India has unanimously decided to increase the benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points. This decision was made amid rising inflation projections and increasing US bond yields. The bank also revised its economic growth forecast for FY27 to 7.1%, indicating strong economic activity. Inflation is expected to reach an average of 5.2% through FY27, affecting consumer prices.
RBI Repo Rate 2026: Malhotra & Co hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% for first time in nearly 4 years as inflation pressures build
Repo Rate Hike: The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, its first hike in nearly four years, as rising oil prices, a weak monsoon and a weaker rupee threaten to push inflation higher. The move was widely expected by economists.
RBI has space for more rate hikes despite growth cheer
Quickening inflation, stoked by oil prices and El Nino, could force policymakers to harden further
RBI GDP Growth 2026: Malhotra & Co raise FY27 GDP forecast to 7.1% from 6.7%
RBI GDP Growth 2026: The Reserve Bank of India has updated its growth forecast for fiscal year 2026-27 to 7.1%. This adjustment comes after stronger-than-expected economic performance, including 7.8% growth in the June quarter. The RBI has also raised the policy repo rate to 5.5% while changing its policy stance to calibrated tightening. While domestic consumption remains resilient, global challenges and inflation concerns persist.
RBI MPC Key Takeaways 2026: Repo rate hiked to 5.50%, FY27 GDP growth forecast raised to 7.1%
RBI Monetary Policy 2026 Takeaways: The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, the first increase since February 2023. The GDP growth forecast for FY27 was raised from 6.7% to 7.1%, highlighting resilient economic activity. Meanwhile, CPI inflation projection was revised up to 5.2% due to rising food and fuel prices. The Monetary Policy Committee shifted its stance to calibrated tightening, emphasizing inflation containment.
India’s great market disconnect: The economy says steady, but stocks say trouble. Which signal should investors trust?
India's macroeconomic fundamentals indicate strong growth despite the Nifty index losing 13% this year. While industrial production and corporate earnings demonstrate resilience, foreign selling pressures weigh on equities. Upcoming earnings season is crucial as investors assess the impact of input costs on margins. Analysts suggest that the market needs broader economic signals to recover sustainably. Stability in global bond yields and crude oil prices could also influence market sentiment.
US trade deficit widens in August amid strong imports
The US trade deficit increased by 13.7% in August, reaching $105.6 billion. This rise reflects strong domestic demand and increased imports. Imports rose by 4.3% to $420.8 billion, with goods imports jumping 5.3%. Exports also saw a small increase of 1.4% to $315.2 billion in the same period. Economists predict that trade could significantly impact economic growth in the third quarter.
India may average 7.2% growth this fiscal despite H2 slowdown, potential seen at 8%, says economist
India's economic growth is expected to slow down below 7 percent in the upcoming quarters. Despite this moderation, the overall growth for the year may average around 7.2 percent. Economist Madan Sabnavis indicates potential for long-term growth reaching 8 percent in the coming years. Global uncertainties and local consumption impacts are significant factors influencing this outlook.
US economy second quarter growth: GDP grows 2.2 percent as consumer spending and business investment rise
The US economy grew 2.2 percent in the second quarter from April to June, the Commerce Department announced recently. Consumer spending and business investment helped propel the growth of the economy. The large increases in imports cut into GDP growth. Spending by consumers was up 3.8 percent, while investment by businesses, less housing, climbed 9 percent. The revised estimate was sharply higher than the 1.5 percent the government had estimated in July.
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