SEPTEMBER CPI
India bonds give up gains as high oil prices weigh
Indian government bonds declined on Monday due to rising oil prices affecting market sentiment and the rupee. The rupee fell for the third consecutive day, adding pressure on bond yields and currency. India's central bank is expected to consider interest rate hikes to stabilize the currency amidst inflation concerns. The Reserve Bank of India has raised its inflation forecast, anticipating a peak of 6% in consumer prices.
Naseeruddin Shah, filmmaker Payal Kapadia stand in solidarity with agitating SRFTI students
Naseeruddin Shah and filmmaker Payal Kapadia expressed support for Satyajit Ray Film and Television Institute students. The students have been protesting against violence allegedly perpetrated by RSS-affiliated organizations on campus. Shah criticized the ruling BJP in West Bengal, claiming they are targeting dissenters. Kapadia emphasized the need for action against those responsible while urging for student safety. SRFTI students demand accountability from the administration regarding campus security and rights.
Strong macro fundamentals, policy interventions to anchor eco against global headwinds: RBI bulletin
Strong macroeconomic fundamentals continue to support the Indian economy against global inflation and trade tensions. Recent geopolitical frictions have resulted in increased prices and supply chain issues, leading to policy changes. Currency fluctuations were observed, but measures by the Reserve Bank helped stabilize the rupee recently. Foreign Direct Investment remains robust, driven by significant inflows from major sources like the US and Singapore.
RBI flags rising inflation risks from West Asia conflict, El Nino despite resilient Indian economy
India's external sector shows resilience due to a narrowing trade gap and comfortable foreign exchange reserves. Inflationary pressures have intensified due to geopolitical tensions and supply-side bottlenecks. The RBI reported an increase in both industry and services indicators, showcasing economic strength. The IMF has revised India's growth projection for 2026-27 to 7% based on resilient domestic demand. Global financial volatility has increased amid global challenges and rising inflation risks.
Global Market: Japan’s core inflation accelerates, putting BOJ rate hikes in focus
Japan’s core inflation rises to 2.1% in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the first time in nine months. Higher energy costs, yen weakness and AI-related demand could strengthen the case for further interest rate hikes.
Gold heads for sharpest weekly decline in four months on Fed rate outlook
Gold prices took a hit on Friday amid strong indicators of US economic growth and climbing oil prices. Spot gold prices sank to their lowest since August, and US gold futures mirrored the drop. Positive employment figures showed a decrease in unemployment claims, hinting at stronger job growth in October.
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Gold slips as investors await Fed rate signals
Gold prices fell slightly as investors monitored the Federal Reserve's major interest rate decision. The anticipated meeting will provide key insights into future economic policies. Economists expect the Fed to hold rates steady, emphasizing inflation concerns. The Bank of Japan is also projected to raise interest rates in December. Other precious metals, including silver and platinum, experienced minimal changes during this period.
Social Security’s $75 monthly boost has a catch: Why the 2027 COLA may fall short as trust fund depletion looms
Retirees will see a 3.6% boost in their Social Security checks starting January 1. The increase raises the average monthly payment for a retired worker by $75. The debate over the 2027 increase comes against a difficult financial outlook for Social Security. According to the 2026 trustees' report, the combined Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance trust fund reserves are projected to be depleted in 2034 under the report's central assumptions.
Jagan Mohan Reddy recalibrates stance, demands CEC's resignation, signals opening to INDIA Bloc
YSRCP leader YS Jagan Mohan Reddy has changed his stance by supporting youth protests against CEC Gyanesh Kumar. This shift suggests potential political shifts and realignments ahead of upcoming elections. Reddy's aggressive position against the Election Commission also indicates an evolving political strategy and outreach to various political factions. Speculation about a possible alliance with the Congress-led INDIA bloc has emerged following his recent meetings.
USD rate: Why is US Dollar down from 18-month peak?
USD rate: Government bonds rallied and the dollar pulled back, reflecting cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials that further cooled expectations for an October interest-rate hike.
Bitcoin holds near $81,200, Ethereum at $2,415 as institutional inflows cushion global market pressure
Bitcoin and Ethereum fell as hotter-than-expected US inflation data, rising Treasury yields, and weaker global equities weighed on crypto sentiment. Despite the sell-off, spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded fresh inflows, while nearly $944 million in crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours.
Dollar retreats from 18-month high despite hot CPI as Fed officials temper hike bets
The dollar has fallen back after peaking at an 18-month high, fueled by stronger than expected inflation data. Expectations of an October rate hike were moderated by prudent remarks from Federal Reserve officials. With Treasury yields decreasing, the dollar slipped against key currencies like the euro and sterling. Traders are now closely monitoring the upcoming US producer price and retail sales figures to gauge future market movements.
Gold steadies after hitting one-week low
Gold prices have stabilized after recently dipping to a one-week low, now sitting at $4,114.57 per ounce. This slight recovery follows an uptick in US consumer prices, primarily driven by rising gasoline costs, pushing discussions about potential interest rate hikes. Currently, there is a 32% chance of a rate increase this month. Investors are keenly awaiting significant economic reports expected later today.
Wholesale inflation hits series high of 11.4% in September as fuel, food prices surge
India's wholesale inflation reached 11.4% in September, significantly increasing from 9.9% in August. Rising prices of fuel, food, and manufactured goods contributed to this surge. Food inflation climbed to 8.7%, marking a 23-month high. Retail inflation also saw an increase, rising to 5.54% year-on-year in September. Economists expect inflation to remain elevated in the coming months due to ongoing global commodity pressures.
10-year treasury: Why is US Bond market benchmark yield rising on Wednesday? What does this mean for economy, Fed Interest Rate?
U.S. bond market benchmark 10-year Treasury, saw its yield jump to 5.26 per cent from less than 5.17 per just before the inflation report’s release on Wednesday.
Social Security COLA 2027: When will the 3.6% increase start showing up in payments, and what should retirees watch for?
The Social Security Administration (SSA) has officially announced a 3.6% Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) for 2027. This adjustment is designed to help nearly 72 million Americans keep pace with persistent inflation and maintain their purchasing power. While the new COLA rate takes effect with the December 2026 benefit period, the actual increased dollars will land in bank accounts and mailboxes between late December 2026 and late January 2027, depending on the program and birth date.
US CPI inflation rises as Iran war drives up fuel prices: How higher petrol and diesel costs could hit American households
American households are facing increased inflation and rising fuel prices just weeks before the midterm elections. Consumer prices rose unexpectedly in September, driven primarily by a significant rise in gasoline costs. The conflict involving the United States and Iran has contributed to these economic pressures, particularly affecting energy availability. As a result, businesses may need to increase prices on goods and services to offset higher operational costs.
Global Market: BoE's Huw Pill wary of market bets on four rate hikes over next year
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill has questioned market expectations for four quarter-point rate hikes over the next 12 months as policymakers assess the inflationary fallout of the Iran war. His comments highlight divisions within the Monetary Policy Committee over how to balance rising energy prices against risks to economic growth.
US yields jump as hot consumer inflation boosts rate hike bets
In September, the US Treasury yields climbed as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a surprising rise of 0.6% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year. This unexpected inflation report heightened the chances of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December, signaling a potential response to ongoing inflationary pressures. Market sentiments are now leaning toward the anticipation of policy changes from the Fed as they aim to manage inflation effectively.
Social Security COLA 2027 calculator: How to calculate your monthly benefit increase
Social Security COLA 2027 calculator: Learn how to use the Social Security COLA 2027 calculator to estimate your potential monthly benefit increase. Find out how to calculate your own Social Security COLA adjustment using your current payment, understand hypothetical increase examples.
'Small' pains: Inflation squeeze likely to choke FMCG volume growth again
India's fast-moving consumer goods sector is under pressure as inflation reshapes how consumers spend their money. Rather than splurging on high-end products, buyers are preferring smaller, budget-friendly options. Data suggests that inflation tends to shrink average FMCG pack sizes. Notably, urban areas are seeing a more significant shift in spending compared to rural regions. Price increases in multiple categories are likely on the horizon.
Gold prices flat as markets await US CPI data
In early Asian trading, gold prices held steady as investors awaited crucial US consumer price data, which could affect future Federal Reserve decisions. New York Fed President John Williams spoke about the need for potential interest rate increases to combat inflation. Additionally, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted that robust economic growth could influence US bond yields, with other precious metals experiencing slight downturns amid the evolving market conditions.
Dollar languishes as focus turns to CPI, Fed speakers
The dollar declined as traders awaited new information on the timing for interest rate increases. Investors reevaluated the recent rally fueled by artificial intelligence developments and easing oil prices. Meanwhile, the euro gained slightly amid regional budget concerns affecting bond yields. The US consumer price index data release is upcoming, alongside important speeches from Federal Reserve officials.
Social Security COLA explained: How 3 months of inflation data determine your annual raise, and what it means for your check
Social Security COLA 2027: Retirees are just one day away from finding out what their next check will look like. Tomorrow, October 14, the Social Security Administration will announce the official cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, for 2027. Until that announcement drops, everyone is watching one final piece of the economic puzzle, that is, September inflation.
Govt not only 'stealing' votes but also savings: Congress on rise in inflation
Congress leader Jairam Ramesh pointed out that inflation is rising, impacting essential goods and public savings. Food inflation surged to 7.74 percent, with significant increases in prices of onions, garlic, and ginger. The Reserve Bank of India has raised the repo rate in response to these inflationary pressures. The party accuses the Modi government of failing to address the economic struggles faced by the people.
Social Security 2027 COLA could be the biggest since 2023: How it compares with the 8.7% increase
Social Security recipients could see a 3.5% to 3.6% benefit increase in 2027, according to September forecasts. Here’s how the latest COLA projections compare with the 8.7% increase in 2023 and what could determine the final adjustment.
October 14 is the big day for Social Security’s 2027 COLA: What retirees need to know before the big announcement; will September inflation data shape your raise
The Social Security Administration will announce the 2027 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) on October 14 at 8:30 a.m. ET. The announcement will follow the release of September's Consumer Price Index (CPI) by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This is the final inflation report needed to calculate next year's adjustment. The Senior Citizens League forecasts a 3.5% COLA for 2027. If the 3.5% forecast holds, it will mark the largest increase in four years. For comparison, the adjustment was 2.8% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2025.
India's retail inflation quickens to 5.54% in September from 4.83% in August, hits near two-year high
India's retail inflation accelerated to 5.54% in September 2026, a notable rise from August's 4.83%. This jump is particularly linked to rising food prices, predominantly in vegetables. Rural inflation hit 6.08%, outpacing urban inflation at 4.88%. In response, the Reserve Bank of India increased the benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points on October 7, 2026, and revised its inflation outlook for the fiscal year 2027.
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