RBI RATE HIKE REASON
RBI finally gets uppity, takes a hike
In a proactive move to tackle soaring inflation, the RBI has raised the interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.5%. Despite facing obstacles like fluctuating energy prices, India's economy is projected to show resilience. The central bank's strategy is now one of calibrated tightening, allowing adjustments based on fresh economic insights.
RBI’s rate hike matters. Its shift to calibrated tightening matters more
The RBI’s 25-basis-point repo rate hike to 5.5% marks a shift towards calibrated tightening as inflation risks broaden amid elevated oil prices, weather disruptions and resilient domestic demand. With inflation expected to average nearly 5.8% over the next three quarters, the policy move signals scope for further rate increases.
Sharper, bigger RBI moves coming in December? SBI economists put things in perspective
The recommendations come as the central bank manages inflation risks alongside pressure on the rupee and capital flows. A 50-basis-point increase in December would mark a sharper pace of tightening than Wednesday's hike, if inflation and global conditions take the expected path.
A new rate game begins. What’s inside the RBI’s new playbook?
RBI rate hike in October monetary policy marks a sharp shift to calibrated tightening, raising the repo rate to 5.5%. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra is prioritising inflation risks as crude oil, food prices and inflation expectations rise. Strong FY27 GDP growth at 7.1%, rapid credit growth and tighter liquidity give RBI room to act before supply shocks spread across markets.
FCNR inflows to keep cap on bank deposit rates
The liquidity from the foreign currency non-resident deposits is likely to stabilize bank deposit rates temporarily. This situation will allow banks to benefit from higher lending rates associated with floating rate loans. Despite the current surplus liquidity, analysts foresee a shift towards neutrality by the end of December. The Reserve Bank of India emphasizes the importance of proper usage of these deposits for economic stability.
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RBI may hike interest rate further in December policy: Experts
The Reserve Bank of India has shifted its policy stance to calibrated tightening amid rising inflation concerns. A rate hike of up to 50 basis points is anticipated in December, increasing the current benchmark rate. Various economists emphasize the likelihood of cumulative rate increases over the next months. Rising commodity prices and global market volatility are influencing these monetary policy decisions.

Markets can be irrational in the short run: What RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said as rupee nears lifetime low
The rupee neared its record low after the RBI raised the repo rate to 5.50%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the currency may be undervalued, while analysts viewed the hawkish stance and higher inflation outlook as supportive of the rupee.

More RBI rate hikes loading? Decoding what Malhotra's 'caliberated tightening' stance means
The Reserve Bank of India has increased the repo rate to 5.50% after maintaining it for several months. This shift to a calibrated tightening stance indicates a focus on controlling inflation risks. Retail inflation rose recently, prompting the central bank to adjust its policy outlook for the future. While growth remains firm, inflation now takes priority in decision-making.

RBI Repo Rate 2026: Malhotra & Co hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% for first time in nearly 4 years as inflation pressures build
Repo Rate Hike: The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, its first hike in nearly four years, as rising oil prices, a weak monsoon and a weaker rupee threaten to push inflation higher. The move was widely expected by economists.

RBI Inflation FY2026-27: Malhotra & Co raises inflation forecast to 5.2% for FY27
RBI Inflation 2026-27 Forecast: The Reserve Bank of India has updated its inflation forecast for FY27 to 5.2% from 5.0% previously. This revision comes as retail inflation exceeds the RBI's target for three consecutive months. The rise in crude oil prices and food costs is a significant contributing factor. Additionally, a weaker rupee adds to imported commodity expenses and inflationary pressures. El Niño is also expected to impact food supply, further influencing inflation.

RBI hikes rate, but analysts see shift to ‘calibrated tightening’ as bigger takeaway. How can this impact markets?
RBI’s 25-bps repo rate hike to 5.50% was largely expected, but its shift to ‘calibrated tightening’ surprised markets and signals that near-term rate cuts are unlikely. Analysts expect selective pressure on rate-sensitive sectors, while banks with stronger balance sheets may remain relatively better placed amid rising inflation and crude prices.

RBI hikes repo rate by 25 bps: How are rate sensitive stocks, sectors faring after first increase in nearly 4 years?
Banking, NBFCs, realty and auto stocks came under pressure after the RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% and shifted its stance to calibrated tightening. The rate hike, the first in four years, comes amid elevated crude prices, rising global bond yields, inflation concerns and sustained foreign outflows.

Explained: How RBI rate hike may impact Sensex, Nifty after 8-week losing streak
The Reserve Bank of India is expected to announce a 25-basis point rate hike in its upcoming meeting. Analysts assert that this rate hike has already been largely priced into the stock market. While sectors such as real estate and autos may experience some volatility, clean balance sheets could mitigate impacts. The market's movement will depend more on corporate earnings than on monetary policy adjustments.

RBI MPC Date and Time: Guv Sanjay Malhotra to share key update on repo rate, inflation & more; check when and where to watch live speech
RBI MPC Meeting October 2026: RBI officials are holding a three-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting amid inflationary pressures and rising crude oil prices. The repo rate has remained unchanged at 5.25 per cent for consecutive meetings after a series of cuts. Experts anticipate a 25-basis-point hike, potentially reaching 5.75 to 6 per cent in upcoming meetings. The Governor is set to deliver live MPC speech at 10 am.

RBI seen starting rate-hike cycle, repo could rise to 6% by FY27-end: Reports
The Reserve Bank of India is likely to increase the repo rate to combat rising inflation and support stronger growth. Reports indicate that a rate-hike cycle of 75 basis points is anticipated, potentially reaching 6 percent by FY27. While inflation drives this tightening, geopolitical factors could impact the extent of rate increases. ICICI Bank has raised its CPI inflation forecast based on core inflation trends and global developments.

RBI likely to hold repo rate in Oct policy, begin 50-75 bps hike cycle in Dec: BoB
The Reserve Bank of India is set to maintain the repo rate at 5.25% during the upcoming policy meeting. Despite rising inflation pressures and global economic uncertainty, the rate is expected to remain unchanged. Credit and deposit growth in India currently show strong performance, supporting steady rates. A rate hike cycle is anticipated to begin in December, amounting to 50-75 basis points.

$100/barrel crude on screen, $145/barrel in physical market: Kotak Securities sees two prices
Crude oil’s physical market price could reach nearly $145 a barrel even if benchmark prices show $100, as soaring VLCC shipping costs widen the gap, Kotak Securities’ Anindya Banerjee said. He expects India to remain protected by ample refining capacity and diversified supplies, while predicting RBI rate hikes in October and December as liquidity remains abundant.

RBI MPC begins 3-day meeting today amid expectations of first rate hike since 2023
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting to discuss potential interest rate hikes. Inflationary pressures and external factors are leading to anticipation of a rate increase. Analysts expect a 25 basis points hike in the upcoming policy announcement. This decision aligns with current inflation trends and economic forecasts for the country. The market is closely monitoring these developments as they will impact future economic stability.

Markets bet on RBI rate hike as inflation pressure builds
As inflation concerns rise, investors are putting their faith in the Reserve Bank of India to implement an interest rate hike. A survey reveals that nearly 60% of economists believe a 25-basis-point increase is likely at the coming policy meeting. With an eye on foreign investment, expectations are growing for a tightening cycle to kick off in October, setting the stage for how future capital flows will be managed.

RBI likely to hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% in October policy: ET Poll
On Monday, the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will hold important meetings. Analysts are anticipating a 25 basis points increase in the key interest rate, raising it to 5.50%. The surge in inflation is attributed to elevated crude oil costs and subpar agricultural production. Many economists advocate for a rate hike as a crucial measure to tackle ongoing inflation issues, with outcomes to be revealed on October 7.

RBI may increase rates by 0.25 pc in Oct policy amid inflationary pressures, experts poll shows
The RBI is expected to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in its October policy review as inflation pressures build from higher crude prices, the West Asia conflict and global monetary tightening, according to a PTI poll of economists and bankers. Most also expect a hawkish tone, a higher FY27 inflation forecast and possibly further rate hikes later in the fiscal year.

Will RBI rate hikes intensify selloff in bank stocks? Analysts explain why fears may be overdone
Bank shares have endured steep declines as investors brace for imminent interest rate hikes from the RBI. Some analysts suggest that the recent selloff may be excessive, presenting an opportunity to pick up quality stocks at lower prices. The forthcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting will clarify the scope of any rate changes. Although there are immediate margin concerns, the overall asset quality in the banking sector remains stable.

RBI may raise repo rate by 100 bps through H1 2027: BofA Securities
Bank of America Securities has revised its forecast for the Reserve Bank of India’s interest rate hikes. It now anticipates a total increase of 100 basis points by mid-2027. The first hike is expected during the monetary policy meeting in October. Economic growth remains strong, while inflation risks are increasing, prompting the RBI to adjust its monetary policy.
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