RBI INFLATION PROJECTIONS
Sharper, bigger RBI moves coming in December? SBI economists put things in perspective
The recommendations come as the central bank manages inflation risks alongside pressure on the rupee and capital flows. A 50-basis-point increase in December would mark a sharper pace of tightening than Wednesday's hike, if inflation and global conditions take the expected path.
RBI Policy: Complex oil math explains rise in FY27 inflation estimates
The Reserve Bank of India revised its crude oil price projections for the fiscal year 2026-27. This adjustment has led to increased inflation forecasts, now projected at 5.2% for FY27. The bank notes ongoing supply pressures and volatility in international oil prices contributing to these changes. India's merchandise trade deficit has also widened due to rising imports, especially in crude oil.
Markets can be irrational in the short run: What RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said as rupee nears lifetime low
The rupee neared its record low after the RBI raised the repo rate to 5.50%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the currency may be undervalued, while analysts viewed the hawkish stance and higher inflation outlook as supportive of the rupee.
More RBI rate hikes loading? Decoding what Malhotra's 'caliberated tightening' stance means
The Reserve Bank of India has increased the repo rate to 5.50% after maintaining it for several months. This shift to a calibrated tightening stance indicates a focus on controlling inflation risks. Retail inflation rose recently, prompting the central bank to adjust its policy outlook for the future. While growth remains firm, inflation now takes priority in decision-making.
RBI Repo Rate 2026: Why RBI MPC lifted repo rates for the first time in nearly four years in October policy
RBI Repo Rate: The Reserve Bank of India increased the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% after recent inflation concerns. Economic growth has exceeded expectations, prompting the central bank to adjust its monetary policy. Inflation risks are rising due to higher crude prices and weaker agricultural output affecting projections. Global interest rate changes and narrowing differentials also pressure capital flows and emerging markets.
RBI raises policy rates 25 bps to tame inflation as India hurdles growth barriers
The Reserve Bank of India has unanimously decided to increase the benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points. This decision was made amid rising inflation projections and increasing US bond yields. The bank also revised its economic growth forecast for FY27 to 7.1%, indicating strong economic activity. Inflation is expected to reach an average of 5.2% through FY27, affecting consumer prices.
RBI has space for more rate hikes despite growth cheer
Quickening inflation, stoked by oil prices and El Nino, could force policymakers to harden further
RBI GDP Growth 2026: Malhotra & Co raise FY27 GDP forecast to 7.1% from 6.7%
RBI GDP Growth 2026: The Reserve Bank of India has updated its growth forecast for fiscal year 2026-27 to 7.1%. This adjustment comes after stronger-than-expected economic performance, including 7.8% growth in the June quarter. The RBI has also raised the policy repo rate to 5.5% while changing its policy stance to calibrated tightening. While domestic consumption remains resilient, global challenges and inflation concerns persist.
RBI MPC Key Takeaways 2026: Repo rate hiked to 5.50%, FY27 GDP growth forecast raised to 7.1%
RBI Monetary Policy 2026 Takeaways: The Reserve Bank of India raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%, the first increase since February 2023. The GDP growth forecast for FY27 was raised from 6.7% to 7.1%, highlighting resilient economic activity. Meanwhile, CPI inflation projection was revised up to 5.2% due to rising food and fuel prices. The Monetary Policy Committee shifted its stance to calibrated tightening, emphasizing inflation containment.
RBI Inflation FY2026-27: Malhotra & Co raises inflation forecast to 5.2% for FY27
RBI Inflation 2026-27 Forecast: The Reserve Bank of India has updated its inflation forecast for FY27 to 5.2% from 5.0% previously. This revision comes as retail inflation exceeds the RBI's target for three consecutive months. The rise in crude oil prices and food costs is a significant contributing factor. Additionally, a weaker rupee adds to imported commodity expenses and inflationary pressures. El Niño is also expected to impact food supply, further influencing inflation.
Rupee falls 22 paise to 96.57 against US dollar post RBI rate increase
The Indian rupee experienced a drop following the Reserve Bank of India's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. This move is intended to manage the surging inflation linked to ongoing geopolitical issues in West Asia. Market analysts interpret the RBI's shift to a more aggressive stance towards inflation as indicative of its commitment to economic stability.
RBI MPC Meeting at a Glance: Your one step guide for all decisions
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting Highlights: The Monetary Policy Committee has raised the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra indicated that inflation pressures are increasing and rate cuts are not expected soon. The Indian economy continues to show resilience, with GDP growth projected at 7.1% for the year. Inflation is forecasted at 5.2%, with core inflation expected to be around 4.4%.
RBI MPC Date and Time: Guv Sanjay Malhotra to share key update on repo rate, inflation & more; check when and where to watch live speech
RBI MPC Meeting October 2026: RBI officials are holding a three-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting amid inflationary pressures and rising crude oil prices. The repo rate has remained unchanged at 5.25 per cent for consecutive meetings after a series of cuts. Experts anticipate a 25-basis-point hike, potentially reaching 5.75 to 6 per cent in upcoming meetings. The Governor is set to deliver live MPC speech at 10 am.
RBI seen starting rate-hike cycle, repo could rise to 6% by FY27-end: Reports
The Reserve Bank of India is likely to increase the repo rate to combat rising inflation and support stronger growth. Reports indicate that a rate-hike cycle of 75 basis points is anticipated, potentially reaching 6 percent by FY27. While inflation drives this tightening, geopolitical factors could impact the extent of rate increases. ICICI Bank has raised its CPI inflation forecast based on core inflation trends and global developments.
RBI MPC begins 3-day meeting today amid expectations of first rate hike since 2023
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting to discuss potential interest rate hikes. Inflationary pressures and external factors are leading to anticipation of a rate increase. Analysts expect a 25 basis points hike in the upcoming policy announcement. This decision aligns with current inflation trends and economic forecasts for the country. The market is closely monitoring these developments as they will impact future economic stability.
RBI likely to hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% in October policy: ET Poll
On Monday, the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will hold important meetings. Analysts are anticipating a 25 basis points increase in the key interest rate, raising it to 5.50%. The surge in inflation is attributed to elevated crude oil costs and subpar agricultural production. Many economists advocate for a rate hike as a crucial measure to tackle ongoing inflation issues, with outcomes to be revealed on October 7.
RBI may increase rates by 0.25 pc in Oct policy amid inflationary pressures, experts poll shows
The RBI is expected to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in its October policy review as inflation pressures build from higher crude prices, the West Asia conflict and global monetary tightening, according to a PTI poll of economists and bankers. Most also expect a hawkish tone, a higher FY27 inflation forecast and possibly further rate hikes later in the fiscal year.
SBI Research sees CPI inflation at 5.65% in Sept, above 6.5% in Oct-Nov
SBI Research forecasts a rise in CPI inflation to around 5.65 percent in September. They expect it to exceed 6.5 percent during October and November. Inflationary pressures have broadened significantly since the last monetary policy meeting. Additionally, the weakening rupee poses further risks to economic stability. The Reserve Bank of India may adjust its GDP growth and inflation projections during the upcoming policy review.
RBI’s wait and watch phase is over as inflation demands a rate hike
RBI has maintained its policy rate at 5.25% but is facing significant inflation pressures. Retail inflation has risen above the target of 4%, indicating the need for action. Food and fuel inflation are increasing, contributing to overall economic effects. Additionally, external factors, including global interest rates, add to the urgency for a rate hike. Thus, effective monetary policy adjustments are crucial in the current economic context.
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