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    INDIA ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECAST

    Uber's profit forecast disappoints as driver shortages, Middle East conflict hurt

    The company is responding by spending more to recruit and retain drivers, a cost that will be watched closely because it comes as the company also funds a major push into autonomous vehicles and a string of acquisitions.

    Coca-Cola HBC raises 2026 revenue growth forecast on strong demand

    Coca-Cola HBC has upgraded its annual organic revenue growth outlook, driven by successful pricing strategies and heightened consumer demand. In the third quarter, the company achieved a notable 9% organic revenue growth, surpassing the anticipated 8%. This surge was propelled by effective promotional initiatives tied to the FIFA World Cup and increased summer demand.

    AMD forecasts quarterly revenue above estimates as data-center growth accelerates

    The company, which nearly doubled its data-center revenue in the third quarter, is benefiting as a shift in AI workloads toward running models in real-world applications drives demand for its graphics processing units and central processors. This has enabled AMD to capture market share from rival Intel, which last week forecast quarterly revenue well below estimates and triggered a global selloff in chip stocks.

    Middle class spending boom in India comes with growing debt bill

    Consumer borrowing in India has surged significantly as access to credit has expanded across the population. Individuals like Navjot Singh illustrate the financial burdens incurred from loans that have become widespread among the populace. As interest rates increase, many consumers face a heightened risk of default on their debts. Reports show that borrowing against gold and informal loans has also intensified in recent years.

    Emcure Pharma shares hit 10% upper circuit after FY27 guidance hike; Jefferies raises target price by 8%

    Emcure Pharma shares hit a 10% upper circuit after strong Q2 FY27 results prompted the company to raise its full-year growth guidance. Brokerages turned more positive, citing robust international business, improving domestic growth and a strong product pipeline.

    Freshworks crosses $1 billion ARR as enterprise push lifts growth

    Revenue for the July-September quarter rose to $245.4 million from $215.1 million a year earlier. Net profit stood at $18.3 million, compared with a loss of $4.7 million in the year-ago period. Its non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 29.8% from 21% a year earlier, while adjusted free cash flow increased 29% to $73.9 million.

    • Modi says 500 million people lifted out of extreme poverty in 10-12 years, cites World Bank report

      Prime Minister Narendra Modi said India has lifted 500 million people out of extreme poverty over the past 10-12 years, citing a recent World Bank report. Speaking after virtually inaugurating Pune Metro Line 3, he linked economic growth and poverty reduction to infrastructure investment, direct benefit transfers and job creation.

      Rising crude prices could push India's inflation by upto 1 percentage point, diversified imports helping secure oil supplies: EY's Gaurav Moda

      Gaurav Moda, Partner and Energy Industry Leader at EY India said the increase in crude oil prices from an average of $60-65 per barrel to $90-95 has significantly raised India's energy import costs, even as the country continues to prioritise securing supplies amid geopolitical uncertainties.

      ‘Already achieved $480 bn’: Piyush Goyal explains India’s $1 trillion export target to KMC students
      Bayer raises 2026 profit outlook on strong pharmaceuticals performance

      Bayer raised its 2026 profit outlook after its pharmaceuticals division delivered stronger-than-expected third-quarter sales. The German group also lowered its debt forecast, signalling improving growth momentum and a stronger financial position.

      Only 3.2% of working Indians trade stocks. Why Morgan Stanley likes NSE

      Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage of NSE with an overweight rating and a price target of Rs 2,315, citing its dominant market share, strong liquidity and India’s underpenetrated capital markets. The brokerage expects revenue and normalised profit to grow at 15% annually between FY27 and FY29. It sees long-term growth opportunities but flags regulatory changes and market-share losses as key risks.

      Manufacturing activity eases in Oct as new order growth drops

      Manufacturing activity in India experienced a slowdown in October, decreasing from the previous month's growth. Despite this, the sector remained above its long-run average due to stronger international demand. A survey indicated that nearly 18% of manufacturers anticipated increased output over the next year, supported by fresh client inquiries.

      Canva may announce another round of layoffs in November, report claims; hiring freeze also possible

      Canva appears to be bracing for possible layoffs or a hiring freeze after recently downsizing their team by cutting 32 employees from the technical content department. Although user growth surged in 2025, the company has drastically revised its revenue forecasts for 2026. CEO Melanie Perkins noted that projections have not met earlier expectations but underscored their commitment to an AI-driven strategy.

      Capex key to India's growth strategy, fiscal prudence remains top priority: Sitharaman at HSBC event

      Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted the importance of capital expenditure in driving economic growth in India. She stated that government spending would be guided by fiscal discipline while encouraging private sector investment. Sitharaman noted that higher public investment has historically generated strong economic returns over time. She reassured that the Indian economy remains robust, with no sign of fragility.

      ITC Q2 Results Preview: Profit seen falling nearly 30% YoY as cigarette tax hikes bite

      ITC is expected to report a weak Q2, with brokerages forecasting an 8% decline in cigarette volumes and a drop of up to 29% in cigarette operating profit following tax hikes. Nuvama expects consolidated revenue to fall 3% YoY and EBITDA to decline 20%. Growth in FMCG and paper businesses could provide some support against the pressure.

      Indian stocks may recover on steady growth and earnings, Axis AMC says

      Indian stocks are expected to recover in the financial year due to strong earnings and economic growth. The Nifty 50 index has decreased significantly after years of gains, partly due to global issues. The fund manager emphasizes that foreign fund outflows do not indicate a decline in India's growth prospects. Certain sectors like AI, energy, and domestic manufacturing are highlighted for potential investment.

      GST collections jump 22.9% to Rs 2.31 lakh crore in October as festive demand beats high inflation and interest rates

      India's GST collections in October reached ₹2.31 lakh crore, reflecting a 22.9% year-on-year increase. Strong consumption trends are indicated by rising passenger car sales and record digital payments. Power consumption also surged nearly 22% compared to last year, further emphasizing economic strength. Despite a high inflation rate of 5.5%, demand has remained robust, supporting growth forecasts. Analysts suggest this growth aligns with leading indicators of a consumption-driven economy.

      UK Budget 2026: Skilled Worker salary thresholds, Graduate visa and HPI route changes signal new immigration direction

      In its 2026 Budget, the UK Government has unveiled pivotal changes to immigration policies with a focus on driving economic growth and increasing productivity. Key updates include an adjustment to salary thresholds for the Skilled Worker visa and an expansion of the High Potential Individual visa pathway. Additionally, the two-year Graduate visa for international students will continue, emphasizing the importance of skilled migration in the country’s economic strategy.

      Tricky trickle-down

      A billionaire attempted to demonstrate trickle-down economics by pouring champagne from his mansion's roof. However, the champagne did not reach his employees, indicating that wealth did not trickle down as intended. Meanwhile, a government reported unexpected economic growth, while citizens faced rising prices and falling wages. Economists celebrated the stock market's rise, projecting a bright future for investors.

      Global Market: European blue-chips set for strongest earnings in four years

      European blue-chip companies are projected to report a substantial earnings growth this quarter due to energy sector profitability. Energy companies are expected to post a striking increase in profits linked to higher oil prices. Overall, companies within the STOXX 600 index will likely show a positive earnings performance across various sectors. However, some sectors like real estate and consumer cyclicals may face declining earnings.

      Finmin pegs Q2 expansion at 7.35%,flags capital pressure over US yield

      India’s economy is estimated to have grown 7.35% in the September quarter, supported by strong industrial output, GST collections, energy use, port traffic and auto sales, the finance ministry said. It expects domestic demand and investment to sustain momentum, while warning that high crude prices, food inflation, rupee pressure and elevated US bond yields could pose risks in the second half.

      IMF flags Super El Niño risks to India’s growth, says impact yet to materialise

      According to the IMF, India continues to act as a significant growth engine within the global economy. Despite looming threats posed by weather phenomena like Super El Nino, these risks have yet to materialize. Recent adjustments have raised growth forecasts to 7 percent for the fiscal years 2027 and 2028, reflecting robust domestic demand and a thriving service sector.

      US stocks today: Nasdaq slides over 1% as Alphabet's AI spending revives investor concerns

      The Nasdaq Composite dropped over 1% as Alphabet reported disappointing advertising results. The downturn was worsened by software stocks, which fell following Fortinet and ServiceNow's unfavorable quarterly performances. Rising AI spending concerns and inflation data also impacted investor sentiment. On a brighter note, Eli Lilly's shares surged due to strong revenue forecasts, while Caterpillar faced declines as it kept its annual sales forecast steady.

      Finance ministry estimates India’s Q2 FY27 GDP growth at 7.35%

      The finance ministry’s nowcasting model estimates India’s GDP will grow 7.35% in Q2 FY27, following 7.8% growth in the previous quarter, supported by stronger industrial output, energy consumption, port traffic, GST collections and automobile sales.

      India only major emerging economy set to reduce debt ratio by 2031: RBI Deputy Governor

      India is projected to be the only emerging market economy among nine economies with gross domestic product (GDP) exceeding USD 1 trillion to reduce its government debt-to-GDP ratio between 2025 and 2031, Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta said, highlighting the country's stronger fiscal position amid rising global debt and borrowing costs.

      US goods trade deficit unexpectedly widens in September

      The goods trade shortfall increased 2.1%, or $2.8 billion to $134.9 billion last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the goods deficit at $130.2 billion.

      India's growth momentum stays resilient despite global headwinds: RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta

      Reserve Bank Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta indicated that India's real GDP growth fell short due to external shocks. She highlighted that India has managed over 7 percent growth despite challenging circumstances in recent years. Additionally, Gupta expressed confidence that improved global conditions could enhance growth by another percentage point. She discussed the importance of diversifying economic activities to mitigate risks and emphasized that food security remains stable amid El Nino.

      US growth boosted by AI, but no sign of a turning point higher

      Economists estimate the growth potential of the US economy to be around 2%, whereas President Donald Trump aspires to double it. Business investments are escalating, primarily driven by the demands for data centers and enhanced AI capabilities, which can positively affect GDP growth. However, the influence of artificial intelligence on productivity is still unpredictable, and tariff strategies for cutting imports yield mixed results, affecting the market dynamics significantly.

      India’s economy stays resilient at 7.1%, but rising inflation raises a red flag, says RBI's Sanjay Malhotra

      The Indian economy is projected to maintain a growth rate of 7.1% for the year 2026-27. This projection is an increase from the previously estimated 6.7%. RBI governor Sanjay Malhotra noted that inflationary pressures are rising, which could impact the growth outlook. Despite turbulent global conditions, India's economic resilience has been remarkable according to the governor.

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