CONGRESSIONAL POLLS
Lula da Silva: A metalworker who rose from poverty to reclaim Brazil's presidency
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has secured a fourth, non-consecutive term as Brazil’s president, defeating Flávio Bolsonaro in a fiercely contested election. The victory strengthens the left’s position in Latin America amid Donald Trump’s growing influence, marking another remarkable comeback for the former metalworker who overcame corruption convictions and imprisonment.
Two Indian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya face key US midterm races as early voting begins
Amish Shah, a 48-year-old physician and former state representative, is in the fray from the First District in Arizona against former National Football League kicker Jay Feely, the Republican candidate who has received an endorsement from President Donald Trump. Pia Dandiya, a 39-year-old former high school principal, is contesting from South Florida's 22nd district, which was carved out in redistricting, against Casey Askar of the Republican Party.
US midterm elections 2026: Who is funding Rudy Yakym’s campaign? PAC money and outside spending explained
Rudy Yakym's campaign in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District reported total receipts more than $6.5 million. Approximately $1.41 million was received in direct contributions from committees during this election cycle. Pro-Israel PACs contributed around $111,368 to Yakym's campaign, with AIPAC PAC as the main contributor. Outside groups, including American Mission, reported nearly $192,500 in independent spending supporting Yakym.
US Midterms 2026: Audi’s $4.2 billion bet gives Trump tariff ammo in battleground Georgia
Trump is defending his tariff policy ahead of the US midterms, touting Volkswagen’s $4.2 billion investment in Audi’s first US plant in Georgia as a manufacturing win. The project promises 4,500 jobs, but Republican candidates face mounting voter concerns over inflation, living costs and Trump’s falling approval ratings.
NYC early voting starts today: Key races that could shape house control
Early voting NYC: NYC early voting begins October 24 and runs through November 1, ahead of Election Day on November 3. Here are the key New York races to watch, including the contests for governor, attorney general and the U.S. House.
US consumer sentiment near record low ahead of midterm elections
In October, consumer sentiment in the U.S. plummeted to a concerning 48.0, driven by rising prices and economic worries amid the ongoing Middle East conflict. Survey results suggest that independents show the steepest drop in confidence, approaching historical lows. Additionally, inflation expectations have risen, marking a continuation of trends from earlier this year. Federal Reserve officials are attentively observing these shifts as they plan future interest rate adjustments.
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AI stocks: Midterm elections could threaten AI trade as data center backlash grows
Public opposition to US data centers and the November midterm elections could reshape AI infrastructure investment. Increased regulatory scrutiny, rising electricity costs and construction delays may pressure technology stocks, utilities and power infrastructure companies, despite continued strong AI spending.
Who is spending the most in 2026 US Senate races? Biggest donors, top candidates, and where's the money coming from
As elections approach, significant outside spending is heavily favoring the Republican Party in Senate races. Notably, Elon Musk has contributed over $365 million to pro-GOP efforts, boosting Republican campaigns. The Texas Senate race has drawn specific attention with increased financial support and advertising spending. Overall spending projections for the current election cycle have surpassed previous records.
Trump's midterm alarm bells are ringing: Five new polls hold clues
National polling ahead of the US midterm elections indicates a Democratic lead over Republicans in congressional races. Various surveys show that dissatisfaction with the current administration is affecting voter preferences. President Trump is experiencing low approval ratings, particularly regarding his economic management. Economic concerns, particularly rising gas prices, are influencing voter sentiment as the elections approach.
Investors see risk from US midterms to AI trade as data center backlash builds
As public criticism of data centers intensifies ahead of the US midterm elections, the implications for the AI sector and data center development grow increasingly significant. Should the Democrats win, tighter regulations may be pursued, prompting investors to keep a vigilant eye on local and state electoral outcomes. Predictions show that while AI infrastructure spending will persist, expected delays could hamper progress and raise costs, affecting corporate profit trajectories.
Trump's approval ratings fall to record lows – here's what it means for him and the Republican Party ahead of the midterm elections on Nov. 3
Donald Trump's approval ratings have fallen significantly in recent polls ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. According to the New York Times and CNN surveys, a large majority of voters disapprove of Trump's performance. The Democratic Party is projected to gain a substantial lead in congressional voting preferences. Besides, historical trends indicate that the ruling party typically faces losses during midterms.
Nate Silver midterms polls house predictions 2026: Can voter rolls correction prove to be the game changer for Donald Trump, Republican Party? Details here
US midterms polls 2026 prediction: The US Constitution says that states have the primary authority for the administration of elections. Voter rolls cannot be changed on a major scale less than 90 days before an election.
It's not just gas and groceries. Childcare costs weigh on some voters before the midterm elections
Childcare costs have escalated significantly, impacting many households and their financial stability. This financial burden is influencing voter decisions, particularly among parents with young children. Candidates are increasingly addressing childcare issues in their campaigns to appeal to affected voters. While some propose substantial reforms, others prefer tax incentives as solutions. Parents are seeking representatives who genuinely support affordable childcare and early education initiatives.
Planned deadlock: 'Iran is dragging talks to influence US midterms'
Tehran analyst Saeed Leylaz said that, by prolonging the talks, "Iran is influencing the US election without taking any unlawful action". Trump has repeatedly said he expects oil prices to drop after the elections, but has not offered a detailed plan to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global energy shipping route effectively closed by Iran since the war began.
Trump is facing record-low approval ahead of the 2026 US midterms as Democrats gain ground. Why history offers Republicans little comfort
Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped significantly, causing concern for the Republican Party ahead of midterm elections. Recent polling reveals a 12-point lead for Democrats over Republicans, increasing electoral pressure. Rising living costs and international conflicts contribute to voter dissatisfaction affecting election outcomes. Historically, low presidential approval ratings correlate with seat losses for the incumbent party during midterms.
Trump approval falls to record low of 31% as midterms near, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 12 points in the generic congressional ballot. This significant advantage reflects low approval ratings for Donald Trump's handling of economic issues. Concerns over rising gasoline prices appear to have affected voter sentiment, particularly among women, who favor Democrats significantly. Additionally, Trump's approval rating has dropped to a record low of 31%.
The midterm election outcomes that could shape Trump's final two years
Americans will vote in the November 3 midterm elections to decide control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump's term. Democrats need to gain four seats each in the House and Senate to overturn Republican majorities. While Democrats are widely expected to win the House, the Senate race remains too close to call.
Trump's MAGA base shows cracks ahead of US midterm elections 2026? New poll finds Republican voters unhappy with living costs
US midterm election 2026: American voter sentiment is shifting, with many expressing frustration over President Trump's approach to significant domestic and international challenges. Polling data highlights a push for transformative leadership within the US as midterm elections draw near. The Democratic Party appears to be gaining enthusiasm, while Republicans grapple with unfavourable perceptions.
Alaska Senate race heats up as Sullivan, Peltola clash over Iran war, fuel costs
Anchorage witnessed a heated debate among major U.S. Senate candidates, focusing on the Iran war and energy policy. Republican Senator Dan Sullivan emphasized the need to end the war while advocating for increased Alaskan energy production. Democrat Mary Peltola criticized the war's effects on Alaskans and refuted Sullivan's claims about her effectiveness. Both candidates attempted to align themselves with critical local issues amid a challenging political climate.
Nine ways the Trump administration could interfere with the midterms
US President Donald Trump has made efforts to exert control over the upcoming midterm elections. Many election officials are preparing for potential disruptions and challenges that could arise. Trump's history of contesting election outcomes and urging supporters to act complicates the electoral landscape. Federal investigations and other interventions could influence voter confidence and result certifications.
Trump's diesel deal with Putin draws criticism from a frustrated Congress
Donald Trump recently announced a controversial agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel to the U.S. The deal has drawn bipartisan criticism due to its implications on the ongoing war in Ukraine. Lawmakers have urged Trump to reverse course, citing legal concerns over U.S. sanctions against Russia. Despite the backlash, Trump remains firm in his position, blaming Ukraine for rising diesel prices.
From gas prices to grocery bills: How Trump’s economic policies are giving Democrats a new midterm campaign weapon
Rising living costs are becoming a focal point for Democrats in the 2026 midterm elections. Many voters are linking these economic pressures to the policies of Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers. Democratic candidates are spending millions on advertisements highlighting tariffs and the Iran war's financial impact. In response, Republicans are focusing on other issues while trying to distance themselves from Trump.
Trump has learnt his India lesson the hard way. Will he own up?
Donald Trump, who imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports to pressure New Delhi to stop buying Russian oil, has agreed to bring Russian diesel into global markets as US fuel prices rise ahead of the November 3 midterm elections.
Six reasons Democrats may fall short of a midterm landslide in November
Democrats enter the November 3 midterms with favourable conditions, including Trump’s low approval ratings and voter concern over prices and the Iran war, but several structural factors could limit their gains. Fewer competitive House seats, a difficult Senate map, turnout risks, Republicans’ financial advantage, polling uncertainty and GOP attacks portraying Democrats as socialists could all keep the election from becoming a sweeping Democratic wave.
Why gerrymandering matters in the 2026 US midterm elections
Gerrymandering has become an important factor in the 2026 US House elections as Republican- and Democratic-led states redraw congressional boundaries outside the usual post-census cycle to improve their chances. The new maps may not guarantee victory, but by “packing” or “cracking” voters they can reduce the number of competitive districts, influence control of the House and intensify legal fights over partisan advantage and minority voting rights.
How to find out what’s on your ballot in the US midterm elections and see which House and Senate races you can vote in
The 2026 US midterm elections will offer voters an opportunity to choose representatives for Congress and decide state and local contests. Knowing what appears on an individual ballot can help voters to get ready before Election Day on November 3. Sample ballots are generally available via state, county and municipal election offices, allowing registered voters to review candidates, party labels and ballot measures relevant to their addresses.
US diesel prices surge 70% amid Iran war: Can Trump-Putin deal bring relief to truckers and stop grocery prices from rising?
Diesel prices impact on trucking: US diesel prices have surged 70% since the US-Israeli war with Iran began, putting growing pressure on truckers, farmers and businesses. Despite President Donald Trump's efforts to boost fuel supplies, rising costs threaten to increase trucking expenses and push up prices for groceries, deliveries and other everyday goods.
Republican voter enthusiasm gap: Trump’s biggest 2026 problem isn’t Democrats, but it's his own voters who seem to be losing interest-here's what the new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
With the midterm elections approaching, only 30% of Trump voters express strong enthusiasm about voting. In contrast, 48% of Harris voters are very enthusiastic, indicating a significant gap. This discrepancy may affect overall voter turnout in the upcoming elections. Meanwhile, Trump's approval rating has reached a record low, which is impacting his supporters' motivation. Addressing these challenges is crucial for both parties as they prepare for November 3.
Donald Trump Republican voter enthusiasm takes a big hit: US President’s worst nightmare ahead of midterms? Why new poll is worrisome
A new Reuters poll has raised questions about Donald Trump Republican voter enthusiasm ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with only 30% of Trump’s 2024 voters saying they are “very enthusiastic” about voting, compared with 48% of Kamala Harris voters. The findings could pose a challenge for Republicans as Trump urges his supporters to treat the midterms as a referendum on his presidency.
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