MERCHANDISE EXPORTS
Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 36%
Whether you are a trader or an investor, there is one thing to watch carefully in the coming days: Earnings. The reason why this is important is because the market is likely getting into sector-specific mode and there will be sectors which will outperform while others stay under pressure. Our selected stocks for today depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score which is based on five key pillars: Earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame.
The invisible hand pushing for peace?
Amidst rising hopes for peace in the Persian Gulf, financial markets exhibit a newfound optimism. Falling crude oil prices signal a shift, with speculations of renewed negotiations between the US and Iran gaining traction. Stock markets are bouncing back, reflecting these positive sentiments.
India's trade gap may widen in FY27 amid global and oil risks: Report
India's trade deficit narrowed in March, but this improvement may not last. Experts warn of a widening deficit in the coming months. Factors like external shocks, slowing global demand, and import pressures are expected to impact trade. Exports face challenges due to weak global demand. The current account deficit is projected to widen.
India's trade gap shrinks in March, swells in FY26
India's trade deficit saw a reduction in March as the West Asia conflict disrupted trade flows. Exports and imports both declined, narrowing the monthly deficit. However, the overall trade deficit for the fiscal year widened. Despite challenges, India achieved record exports of $860 billion in FY26, showcasing resilience. Several free trade agreements are expected to boost future trade prospects.
India stands by trade pact with US, trade negotiators to visit Washington next week
An Indian trade delegation will visit the US to discuss a bilateral trade agreement. Negotiations will focus on recalibrating the deal due to recent tariff changes. India aims to secure favorable terms and commitments. This engagement follows a call between Prime Minister Modi and President Trump. Discussions will also cover trade issues and investigations.
You'll be wrong to say bye to Dubai
Despite a recent 14% decline in Dubai's real estate transactions due to regional conflict, the city's status as a resilient global financial hub remains intact. Dubai's strategic advantages and past crisis management suggest a future stabilization, with potential buying opportunities arising from market corrections and renewed expat interest if peace prevails.
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India achieves record exports of USD 860 billion in 2025-26: Piyush Goyal
India has set a new export record, reaching $860 billion in shipments for the fiscal year 2025-26. This achievement surpasses the previous year's $825 billion. The nation's exports demonstrate resilience against global challenges. Nine new trade agreements are expected to boost this growth further, opening new markets and opportunities across various sectors.
India’s trade deficit narrows to $20.67 billion in March on West Asia risks
India's trade deficit saw a significant reduction in March. Exports increased while imports decreased. This improvement occurred despite rising tensions in West Asia. Geopolitical risks could impact future trade. Services exports continue to drive growth for India. Merchandise exports also saw a modest rise.
WTO likely to release India's trade policy review report in July
In this regard, a team of officials from the WTO Secretariat was in New Delhi last week. In preparing its report, the Secretariat seeks the cooperation of the member countries. India has been a WTO member since 1995.
$116 bn at risk: Why a fragile West Asia ceasefire may not ease pressure on India’s engineering exports
India's engineering exports face significant strain from the West Asia conflict, with a recent ceasefire offering limited relief. Disruptions to sea routes and rising input costs, particularly for petrochemical derivatives and LPG, are eroding export volumes and impacting manufacturing processes. Industry stakeholders urge caution as the situation remains volatile.
Amid West Asia war, FY26 goods exports may fall 2-3%: FIEO
India's goods exports may see a 7-8% drop in March due to the West Asia conflict. Full fiscal year 2026 exports could be 2-3% lower. However, overall goods and services exports are projected to rise 5-6% for FY26. Rising raw material prices and shipping costs are impacting shipments. Exporters seek government intervention on interest rates and policy simplification.
Exporters' body FIEO sees 2-3 pc fall in goods exports during 2025-26
Indian merchandise exports are projected to decline by 2-3% in 2025-26. Global economic uncertainties, amplified by the West Asia crisis, are the primary drivers. This situation has already impacted shipments, increasing freight and raw material costs. While goods exports face a downturn, services exports are anticipated to grow. Exporters hope for stabilization following a ceasefire announcement.
RBI sees BoP improving despite oil risks, remittances to stay strong
India's central bank anticipates an improved balance of payment situation. While high crude oil prices may initially impact the current account deficit, the Reserve Bank of India is confident in future improvements. Increased remittances from the Gulf region are expected to boost forex reserves.
Crude oil, remittances & exports: RBI spells out where the Iran war bites India
The Reserve Bank of India emphasises the ramifications of the West Asia conflict on the nation's economy. Fluctuating energy prices, uncertainties in trade, and market volatility present emerging risks. While the country's foundational economic strengths are robust, the potential impact of external disruptions is worrisome.
How UPI can make India an architect of global financial connectivity
India's triumph with UPI in digital payments is on the brink of revolutionizing cross-border money transfers. The goal is to enhance the speed, affordability, and clarity of international transactions. This groundbreaking approach promises to elevate trade and remittances, reinforcing India's stature in the global economy.
India–New Zealand FTA likely to be signed on April 24, may bring $20 billion investment boost over 15 years
India and New Zealand prepare to launch an ambitious Free Trade Agreement on April 24 that promises to reshape their economic ties. This groundbreaking deal will allow Indian exporters to tap into the New Zealand market without tariffs, while aiming to generate a whopping USD 20 billion in investments over the next 15 years.
RBI pause now, tightening later: A delicate trade-off with rising tail risks
India's economy faces testing times from rising oil prices and global uncertainty. While growth is solid, it is uneven and vulnerable. Inflation is moderating but fragile. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates a cautious approach to interest rates. Deeper reforms and sharper policy focus are crucial for sustained growth amidst evolving global challenges.
Gulf war batters India's glass heartland, testing New Delhi's manufacturing drive
Firozabad, India's Glass City, faces a crisis. War in the Middle East disrupts gas supply, halting glass furnaces and leaving thousands jobless. This energy crunch impacts India's manufacturing, from textiles to high tech. Shipping costs also surge, stranding containers and halting exports. Many businesses struggle to survive as production plummets.
Exports during 2025-26 to record positive growth despite global challenges: Official
India's exports are showing strong resilience. Despite global challenges, positive growth is anticipated for the fiscal year 2025-26. Merchandise exports have maintained momentum. Data for March and the full fiscal year will be released soon. This indicates a positive outlook for India's trade performance in the coming period.
Why fixing India’s export machinery is key to hitting the $2 trillion goal
India aims for $2 trillion in exports by 2030. Current growth is slow, and global market share is small. The country faces challenges in export geography and product diversity. A new strategy is proposed. It includes a unified trade facilitation agency, increased investment in trade fairs, and large sector-specific exhibitions.
India may soon announce more relief for exporters hit by West Asia crisis
India's government is introducing measures to support exporters facing disruptions from the West Asia crisis. Freight subsidies are being considered as part of a relief package. The ongoing conflict has impacted global trade and shipping costs. India's food and energy security remain strong despite these challenges. Merchandise exports saw a slight dip in February, with trade deficit narrowing.
Real GDP growth may slow on costly crude: Credit rating agencies
Icra projected GDP growth at 6.5% in FY27, assuming average crude price remains in excess of $85 a barrel this year, while Care Ratings projected a similar growth on higher average fuel-price assumptions-at $100 per barrel. However, Crisil expects robust balance sheet structures to provide sufficient undergirding against credit risks for an overwhelming percentage of industries it covers.
Govt extends RoDTEP benefits for exporters till September 30
Indian exporters receive a six-month extension for RoDTEP scheme benefits until September 30. This move aims to counter trade disruptions from the West Asia crisis. The scheme offers refunds on duties and taxes for manufactured goods. This support helps exporters manage rising freight costs and trade risks.
Finance Ministry flags rising external risks as trade deficit and CAD expand
India's economy faces growing external pressures. Trade dynamics are weakening, with imports surging and exports declining. This widens the trade deficit significantly. Capital flows are negative due to global uncertainty. Rising crude oil prices add further strain. These factors are impacting the Indian Rupee.
Smartphone PLI surpasses targets, turns out to be right call for India
The fiscal stimulus under the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme for smartphones is likely to be around Rs 21,000 crore for the FY21-26 period, or less than 1% of the value of production.
Engineering exports top $10 billion in Feb 2026 despite global headwinds, shipments to China double
Indian engineering exports achieved double-digit growth in February 2026, surpassing ten billion US dollars. This positive trend occurred despite global geopolitical conflicts and economic slowdowns. Key markets like China, Saudi Arabia, and the UK showed strong performance.
AI demand is shielding China’s booming trade from war shocks
This AI-driven upcycle, particularly in semiconductors, signals resilience for the nation's external trade outlook.
India must channel $10 trillion in household gold into financial system: Former minister Choudhary
India's vast household gold reserves could boost economic growth. Experts suggest shifting consumers to financial instruments like Electronic Gold Receipts. This move aims to reduce reliance on gold imports and ease pressure on the current account deficit. The National Stock Exchange is ready with platforms and technology to facilitate this transition.
Input costs may deny exporters edge gained from rupee at record low. Textiles, leather, agro products, carpets may benefit
The Indian rupee has reached an unprecedented low against the US dollar. While this opens up favorable avenues for exporters, the simultaneous rise in raw material and energy costs is likely to negate these gains. Industries such as textiles and leather might experience slight improvements, yet others will grapple with inflated import bills.
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