GLOBAL MACRO INVESTING STRATEGY
Chinese proverb of the day: “When standing under someone else’s eaves, you must....” How this powerful ancient Chinese saying explains modern China’s rise— where success comes from.....
Chinese proverb of the day explains modern China’s rise with striking clarity. China’s GDP jumped from $191 billion in 1980 to over $17 trillion today. That growth followed strategy, not speed. The Chinese proverb of the day shows why adaptation matters in global systems. China entered global trade and followed rules early. It joined the World Trade Organization in 2001 and expanded exports fast. The Chinese proverb of the day proves humility can drive long-term power. Today, China leads global manufacturing and supply chains. This ancient Chinese proverb now defines modern strategy, economic growth, and global dominance.
FIIs bought 120 Indian stocks in Q4 amid Rs 1.3 lakh crore exodus. What's special about them?
Despite a significant Rs 1.3 lakh cr exodus in Q4, Foreign Institutional Investors selectively increased stakes in 120 Indian stocks. These companies are linked to domestic growth, balance sheet strength or niche industry leadership, indicating continued capital deployment in specific attractive pockets.
Investors pile into US stocks as 'TINA' revival knocks 'TIARA' trades
A U.S.-Iran ceasefire has revived "TINA" trades, boosting U.S. equities to record highs as investors favor the world's largest economy. Despite previous outflows, global investors have poured billions into U.S. stocks, driven by peace hopes, strong earnings growth, and relative insulation from energy shocks. The S&P 500 now surpasses pre-war levels, signaling a robust U.S. economic outlook.
Iran conflict and global risks slow GCC expansion in India
Global geopolitical tensions are slowing new technology centre openings in India, with a dip in brownfield expansions due to macro uncertainty. Despite this, the overall value of India's GCC ecosystem is rising, driven by new capabilities in AI and product engineering, indicating a dual structure of insourcing and outsourcing.
Volatile geopolitics slows GCC in March
Global geopolitical tensions are impacting new technology center openings in India. While the number of new centers slowed, existing ones are expanding. Experts predict continued growth in greenfield centers if uncertainties ease. The GCC ecosystem is steadily rising, driven by new capabilities in AI and product engineering.
India resilient amid oil shock, may grow 6.8%-7.1% despite global headwinds: SBI Research
India faces global challenges from a strong position. Economic growth is projected between 6.8% and 7.1% for FY27. The nation's banking sector is robust. Opportunities arise for GIFT City and Indian airports. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain its current monetary policy stance. India's resilience is evident amidst regional conflict and global uncertainties.
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Akshaya Tritiya 2026: Gold vs silver vs gold stocks. Where should investors put their money this year?
Silver has significantly outperformed gold since last Akshaya Tritiya, delivering a remarkable 160% return compared to gold's nearly 58.7%. While gold remains a stable store of value, silver's demand from key industries fuels its rise, though with higher volatility. Gold jewellery stocks have also seen substantial gains, with domestic sales surging.
Akshaya Tritiya: Tapan Patel on why you shouldn't let the recent dip in gold scare you
Gold prices are experiencing a cyclical reset, not a structural shift. This presents a strategic opportunity for Indian investors to buy gold. Akshaya Tritiya is an auspicious time to invest in gold ETFs, Digi Gold, or multi-asset funds. Central banks may resume gold buying. A 15-20% allocation to gold and silver is recommended for long-term investment amid global uncertainties.
Suits & Sayings: Staying Out
ET’s roundup of the wackiest whispers in corporate corridors.
GIFT Nifty jumps over 300 points after oil price crash. What to expect on Monday?
Indian markets are set for a strong opening as GIFT Nifty surged over 300 points tracking falling crude prices and easing tensions with support from Dow Jones Industrial Average strength and improving global risk sentiment
Vikas Khemani bets big on IndiGo, BHEL, and PSU banks amid market volatility
Vikas Khemani of Carnelian Asset Management outlines his investment strategy amid market volatility. He favors mid and large-cap stocks, with selective contra plays like IndiGo. Khemani prefers conventional power enablers over renewables and emphasizes company selection in banking. He maintains his market cap mix and avoids fads and unproven businesses. His approach centers on conviction, quality, and patience.
Who was Mark Mobius and why was the $40 billion India bull famous as ‘Indiana Jones of emerging markets’
Mark Mobius, a renowned investor, passed away at 89. He was a global champion for emerging markets, especially India. Mobius saw opportunity where others saw risk. He traveled extensively, visiting factories and meeting business leaders. His conviction helped attract billions to markets previously considered too volatile. Mobius believed in understanding markets through their people.
ETMarkets AIF Talk| Performing credit emerges as core portfolio allocation for investors: Amit Dharod
India’s private credit market is emerging as a key part of alternative investments, supported by structural changes in lending and rising demand for stable returns. Once a niche, performing credit is becoming a core allocation, driven by a funding gap in mid-market firms and the flexibility of AIFs to provide customised financing.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | AI boom driving Indian family offices to global markets; US offers richer playbook: Amit Goel
Indian family offices are increasingly looking beyond domestic markets as the global AI boom reshapes investment strategies. Limited pure-play AI opportunities in India are pushing ultra-HNIs to allocate more capital to global markets, especially the US, where AI, cloud, and digital infrastructure offer broader opportunities, aided by easier overseas investing routes like GIFT City.
War or no war: 5 ways to profit in a volatile stock market driven by geopolitics
Markets have been driven more by geopolitical headlines than fundamentals in recent weeks, with sharp swings triggered by developments around the Iran conflict. Despite a partial recovery, indices remain below earlier levels and elevated oil prices continue to pose risks. In this volatile environment, experts stress that disciplined investing matters more than trying to predict market moves.
Quote of the day by David Tepper: "I am the animal at the head of the pack. I either get eaten, or I get the good grass."
David Tepper's 'animal at the head of the pack' philosophy highlights the survival-driven mindset needed in finance. It emphasises bold, opportunistic bets during market stress, focusing on contrarian thinking, risk acceptance, and decisive action to seize opportunities rather than succumbing to fear.
Gold rises 60% since last Akshaya Tritiya. Should you invest this year amid Iran war uncertainty?
Gold prices have surged nearly 60% since Akshaya Tritiya 2025, but the outlook for further gains by 2027 is complex due to geopolitical tensions and interest rate uncertainty. Despite near-term headwinds, structural factors like central bank buying and rising debt support a positive long-term view, suggesting gold as a hedge.
SIPs one of the most effective ways to ride out uncertainty: DSP’s Aditi Kothari Desai
Aditi Kothari Desai of DSP Asset Managers is the guiding light for investors grappling with market turbulence. Emphasizing the trio of discipline, consistency, and patience, she warns against knee-jerk reactions to headlines, particularly amid geopolitical unrest. For her, Systematic Investment Plans are essential lifelines in these unpredictable times.
Bitcoin hits $76,000 before easing to $74,500 as whales accumulate, profit booking caps rally
Bitcoin hovered near a one-month high after softer U.S. PPI data supported prices, though profit booking capped gains. Ethereum and major altcoins saw mild declines. Analysts highlighted strong whale accumulation and improving sentiment, with expectations of a sustained uptrend if key resistance levels are breached amid easing macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | FY27 volatility a phase of adjustment, not a trend reversal; India’s growth story intact: Rajesh Iyer
FY27 begins with market volatility due to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices, but experts see it as an adjustment phase. India's strong structural growth, supported by domestic consumption and public capex, offers constructive medium- to long-term prospects with stock-specific opportunities.
Global Markets | Asian stocks track US rally on Iran peace push
Asian markets opened higher, mirroring Wall Street's positive trend. Hopes for further United States-Iran talks have boosted investor confidence. This optimism is also contributing to a decrease in oil prices. The broader MSCI Asia Pacific Index saw a significant increase. This development suggests a potential easing of global economic pressures.
As gold and silver prices rise again, should you buy gold or silver now or wait? Gold silver ratio forecast 2026 at 75 — what does it signal for smart investors?
Gold jumps near $4,859. Silver surges over 5% to $79. The Gold silver ratio forecast 2026 at 75 is now in focus. This level sits above the long-term average of 50–65. That signals silver may be undervalued today. Investors are watching closely. Real yields and the US dollar still drive gold prices. Markets are waiting for fresh inflation data like PPI. Gold holds strong near key support. Silver shows faster momentum. So, should you buy gold or silver now or wait? The answer is not binary. Hold gold for stability. Add silver slowly for growth. This ratio level suggests opportunity, not instant breakout timing.
Ceasefire not good for stock market? BNP Paribas cuts Nifty target for 2026, but picks 9 stocks
BNP Paribas turned cautious on India’s markets after the crude spike, cutting its 2026 Nifty target to 25,500 and warning of fiscal and earnings pressure. Still, the brokerage sees opportunities in defensives and strong private-sector lenders, naming nine stocks—including M&M, Infosys, Titan and HDFC Bank—as likely outperformers.
Inside the investment strategy of the government’s new Fund of Funds
The government has launched Fund of Funds 2.0 with a Rs 10,000 crore corpus. This new scheme aims to boost startup investments by supporting SEBI-registered alternative investment funds. It focuses on deeptech, micro VCs, manufacturing, and sector-agnostic funds. The initiative will deploy capital over upcoming Finance Commission cycles. SIDBI will lead implementation.
Good time to start SIPs: ICICI Prudential AMC's Sankaran Naren explains why markets are more attractive now
Sankaran Naren explains why markets are more attractive but unlikely to deliver outsized returns and shares his macro-driven approach with Sanket Dhanorkar.
Planning to invest Rs 10 lakh overseas? Here are the markets to consider and how to do it right
For global diversification, experts recommend a diversified, disciplined approach across regions.
Value in Volatility: Why smart money hunts ‘gaps’ in uncertain markets
Global market volatility driven by geopolitics, inflation, and rates is reviving value investing principles. Veteran investor Arnold Van Den Berg highlights that uncertainty often creates mispriced assets, offering long-term opportunities for disciplined investors focused on intrinsic value over market noise and sentiment-driven swings.
From Panic to Patience: 7 investing lessons from James O’Shaughnessy for today’s turbulent markets
Amidst global market turmoil driven by inflation and geopolitical risks, veteran investor James O’Shaughnessy’s timeless principles offer a crucial guide. His framework stresses a long-term perspective, a robust process over chasing quick gains, ignoring forecasts, and unwavering discipline. Mastering behavior, not predicting the future, is key to weathering volatility and achieving lasting wealth.
Sensex @ 95,000 in 9 months? Morgan Stanley's Ridham Desai says bull market coming
Morgan Stanley forecasts the Sensex could reach 95,000 by December 2026, signaling a new bull market driven by India's strong growth prospects and favorable valuations. Despite near-term challenges, a confluence of macro, earnings, and flow indicators supports a significant recovery in Indian equities.
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