WORLD ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Global Market Today: Asian stocks open mostly higher, Nvidia probe looms
Benchmark stock indexes rose in Japan and Australia after a gauge of US semiconductor shares jumped 4.2% on Friday as speculation about possible tighter Democratic party regulation of the artificial intelligence industry eased. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of equities gained 0.5%.
Muhurat Trading 2026: Sensex, Nifty has 80% strike rate. Will this trend continue as Samvat 2083 kicks off?
The Indian stock market is preparing for a special muhurat trading session this Sunday, marking the start of the new Hindu financial year, Samvat 2083. In the past, both Sensex and Nifty have thrived in eight out of ten muhurat sessions. Analysts predict this year's session may unlock selective investment chances in robust companies, with the overall market trend appearing cautiously optimistic as investors anticipate promising double-digit returns ahead.
$5 billion in 5 days! Why FIIs are suddenly shopping Indian stocks non-stop this Diwali
Foreign institutional investors have poured nearly $5 billion into Indian equities in five trading sessions, marking a sharp reversal after months of heavy selling. Strong Q2 earnings, softer crude prices, stable currency and the global AI sell-off are improving India's appeal, with investors rotating towards relatively undervalued markets and large-cap stocks.
'Gold’s rally is not just about wars, it’s fundamentally linked to $40 tn US debt': WGC India CEO Sachin Jain
World Gold Council India CEO Sachin Jain said gold’s rally is driven by rising US debt, de-dollarisation and central bank purchases, rather than geopolitics alone. He expects strong Indian demand during Diwali and recommends allocating 10-15% of financial assets to gold. Over the next five years, technology, tokenisation and blockchain could make gold more accessible, transparent and easier to trade.
Rupee finds its footing as oil worries cool, traders watch flow momentum
The Indian rupee climbed to its highest value in two weeks, following a notable fall in oil prices. This uplifting trend was mirrored by a stark rise in Indian stock markets and a reduction in bond yields. Recently, foreign investments poured into Indian equities, showcasing hefty net purchases. Analysts emphasize that ongoing investment inflows are crucial for bolstering the rupee further, as market sentiment improves amid reduced energy cost pressures.
Toyota raises annual profit outlook by 15% as hybrid demand, weak yen boost earnings
Toyota Motor raised its full-year operating profit forecast by 15% after reporting a 34% year-on-year increase in quarterly profit, its first rise in six quarters. A weaker yen and strong hybrid vehicle demand helped offset declining sales in China and the Middle East.
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Gold's 192% Dhanteras rally: Rs 92,000 jump in five years, but can the yellow metal reclaim its lost shine in 2027?
Gold has delivered nearly 192% returns over the past five Dhanteras celebrations, but a sharp correction from its January peak has clouded the outlook. Experts assess whether investors should buy the dip, while brokerages share their gold and silver price targets for 2027.
Gold price prediction: Will gold rally on Thursday after midterm election result? Check outlook for November 5
Gold surged 5% to cross $4,100 per ounce, marking its biggest single-day gain since mid-August. Silver also climbed past the $50 per ounce mark, rising 6%. Both precious metals staged a strong recovery from October’s steep losses, with silver leading the gains. Lower borrowing costs and a weaker dollar provided further support to bullion prices.
Gold price prediction: Will gold bounce back on Wednesday? Check outlook for November 4
On the MCX, gold prices ended flat, while silver gained momentum to close higher. As for international prices, spot gold dipped 0.3% to $3,948.75 per ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.1% to $3,943.20. Spot silver fell 0.2% to $49.67 per ounce.
Gold and silver prices correct ahead of Diwali: Buying opportunity or a trap?
Gold and silver have corrected sharply from record highs, but their long-term fundamentals remain supportive. Investors with a longer horizon may consider staggered accumulation, with gold and silver potentially recovering toward $4,750 and $75, respectively, by Diwali 2027.
AMD forecasts fourth-quarter revenue above estimates on strong AI chip demand
Advanced Micro Devices estimates its fourth-quarter revenue will hit about $17 billion, driven primarily by robust demand for AI chips. Although the company's forecast for adjusted gross margin stands at 55%, it falls slightly short of analyst expectations. A remarkable 97% year-on-year increase in data-centre revenue showcases AMD's growth. However, the company currently faces challenges in sourcing high-bandwidth memory, essential for its AI processors.
Gold prices ahead of Dhanteras: Up 10% in a year, but is the worst of correction still ahead?
Gold has outperformed the Nifty and Sensex since Dhanteras 2025, despite falling sharply from its January peak. With inflation concerns, Fed rate expectations and weak demand weighing on prices, analysts remain divided on its near-term outlook, while major banks see scope for a recovery in 2027.
New pact struck to support employability, aspirations of Indian students in UK
NISAU UK and London Metropolitan University have formed a partnership to support Indian students’ educational experiences. The collaboration aims to connect students' learning outcomes to employment opportunities in both the UK and India. Through the triple helix model, the initiative will involve universities, employers, and policymakers to enhance student journeys. This engagement aligns with the India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement and Vision 2035.
US stocks today: Technology stocks lift S&P 500 as US midterm vote keeps investors on edge
US stocks rise as technology shares lead gains in the S&P 500 during the US midterm elections. Investors track the potential impact of the vote on markets while assessing concerns over artificial intelligence spending. Apple falls after a disappointing outlook, while Palantir declines and Fiserv rallies following its earnings beat.
Gold price prediction: Gold prices extend losses on Tuesday. Check outlook for November 3
Investors are now looking to the US midterm elections for indications of the country's fiscal policy direction and their potential impact on broader market sentiment.
FM Sitharaman acknowledges foreign investor anxiety, says she will consider voices seeking tax changes before Budget
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman acknowledged concerns from investors regarding potential tax changes to support equity markets. She emphasized that while taxation is vital, India's economic indicators remain robust and positive. Sitharaman highlighted the necessity for capital expenditure to sustain economic growth and fiscal prudence. On welfare, she noted significant improvements in access to essential services contributing to decreased poverty levels.
India's economic pillars show 'no fragility', says Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted the government's commitment to increasing capital expenditure to promote economic growth. She remarked on the importance of fiscal prudence while implementing spending strategies effectively. Sitharaman emphasized the need for public investment to enhance welfare programs and improve access to essential services. The government aims to provide comprehensive insurance coverage by 2047 to foster financial inclusion.
Explained: Why gold investors should tone down expectations as yellow metal plunges to a 1-year low
Gold has fallen more than 30% from its January record high, with rising oil prices, inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes adding to pressure. Analysts remain cautious about a near-term recovery, even as major banks retain bullish forecasts for 2027.
US Midterm elections, Apple earnings, jobs data to test Wall Street after AI rout
Wall Street faces a pivotal week as US midterm elections, major corporate earnings and October jobs data test investor sentiment. Recent AI-led tech selloffs have heightened concerns over infrastructure spending and returns. Apple, AMD and Palantir results, alongside regulatory uncertainty and economic signals, could determine market direction and volatility.
Charting the global economy: Central banks hold rates steady
Global central banks have opted to keep interest rates unchanged amidst growing inflation worries stemming from energy costs. While the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank signaled potential hikes during their December meetings, the US economy displays robust growth from business investments and consumer activity.
India's 500 GW RE target hinges on LDES scale-up; FY28 viability gap funding key enabler: IESA report
With a target of 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030, India recognizes the urgent need for long-duration energy storage solutions. The India Energy Storage Alliance stresses the pivotal role of viability gap funding to promote quicker adoption of these technologies. Current data reveals substantial solar energy curtailment caused by grid restrictions, highlighting the necessity for strategic policy support and innovative business paradigms.
India bonds buckle for fourth straight month on oil's climb
Indian government bonds ended October with losses, marking a fourth consecutive decline in bond yields. Brent crude oil prices surged, raising inflation concerns for the country. The Reserve Bank of India raised its policy rate for the first time in nearly four years this month. Foreign investments in Indian bonds fell to a four-month low, causing further concerns about the rupee's performance.
Silver market’s big problem may be ending, but a new worry is coming for investors
Silver could move from a supply deficit to a surplus in 2027 as rising inventories, weak jewellery demand and slowing industrial consumption ease market tightness, Metals Focus said. Silver has underperformed gold amid expectations of higher interest rates and falling investor demand.
Global FMCG giants find an Indian answer to their Western slowdown
Global consumer giants including PepsiCo, Nestle, Unilever, Pernod Ricard and Coca-Cola are increasingly looking to India for growth as demand slows in the US and Europe. Companies are betting on premiumisation, wider distribution and fast-growing channels such as ecommerce and quick commerce, with several reporting stronger momentum in India than in developed markets.
IMF flags Super El Niño risks to India’s growth, says impact yet to materialise
According to the IMF, India continues to act as a significant growth engine within the global economy. Despite looming threats posed by weather phenomena like Super El Nino, these risks have yet to materialize. Recent adjustments have raised growth forecasts to 7 percent for the fiscal years 2027 and 2028, reflecting robust domestic demand and a thriving service sector.
ECB keeps rates unchanged but points to mounting inflation risk
The European Central Bank has decided to maintain its current interest rates, signaling concerns over inflation driven by escalating energy costs. Meanwhile, borrowing expenses in France have seen a sharp rise, creating anxiety about the nation’s economic outlook amid political upheaval. ECB President Christine Lagarde's early resignation raises questions about the potential investigation into growing French debt.
Global Market: ECB rate decision in focus as Lagarde exit speculation grows
The European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates steady as oil-driven inflation risks, rising French borrowing costs and uncertainty over President Christine Lagarde's future complicate the central bank's monetary policy outlook.
World Bank sees commodity prices surging 23% in 2026 on Middle East war
Commodity prices were projected to rise 23% in 2026 as the Middle East war disrupted energy supplies and shipping, while grain disruptions and safe haven demand pushed food and metals prices higher. The World Bank warned that further conflict escalation and a severe El Niño could intensify inflation and food security risks.
World Bank sounds alarm on food crisis as energy shock and El Nino push commodity prices up 23%
Global commodity prices are projected to rise significantly in 2026, driven by conflict in the Middle East and supply disruptions. Energy prices are likely to escalate by 32% due to decreased oil supply and increased consumption. Food prices are expected to increase about 10% in 2026 due to rising farm costs and disrupted grain shipments. The World Bank emphasizes the urgency of supporting vulnerable countries facing economic hardships.
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