WHAT IS HEDGE
Planning to invest in gold and silver this Diwali? 7 experts decode the risks, outlook and allocation strategy
During the festive season of Diwali, many investors in India turn to gold and silver as traditional investment choices. With the backdrop of rising energy costs and inflation, the prices of these metals have seen fluctuations. Financial experts recommend that in the face of current market volatility, it might be wise for investors to reassess their strategies.
PSBs, pharma and defence: HDFC Securities CEO names Samvat 2083’s dark horses
HDFC Securities MD and CEO Dhiraj Relli identifies public sector banks, pharmaceuticals and defence as potential outperformers in Samvat 2083. He favours largecaps for valuation comfort, highlights selective stock opportunities and urges investors to prioritise earnings visibility and disciplined asset allocation.
How to invest this Diwali: ICICI Prudential AMC’s Chockalingam Narayanan shares his Samvat 2083 playbook
As investors prepare for Samvat 2083, the focus is shifting towards companies with strong earnings and cash flows. ICICI Prudential AMC suggests that the market is valuing current earnings more than distant growth predictions. The recovery in IT stocks may signal changing technology spending trends, but caution is advised. Opportunities in India's manufacturing and investment landscape could arise from supply-chain diversification and new trade agreements.
Success lesson from Jeff Bezos: He asked one question to himself before quitting daily job to build Amazon. What his 'regret minimisation framework' means?
Jeff Bezos used his 'regret minimisation framework' to decide whether to leave his secure Wall Street job and start Amazon. By imagining himself at 80, he realised he might regret never taking the risk more than failing at the business. Here's how one question shaped his biggest career decision and what aspiring entrepreneurs can learn from it.
Stocks vs Gold: Which asset could create more wealth in the Samvat 2083?
Samco Securities believes Indian equities are attractively valued against gold, with the Sensex-to-Gold ratio near multi-decade lows. It recommends increasing equity exposure in Samvat 2083 while retaining gold as a hedge, diversifying across sectors and geographies, and considering US ETFs amid crude oil, currency and global market risks.
Largecaps over SMIDs: Ambit’s Nitin Bhasin and Bharat Arora share their Samvat 2083 strategy
As we step into the new Samvat, investors are advised to take a more cautious stance with their portfolios. The focus should be on large-cap stocks and the banking sector due to their better earnings prospects and attractive valuations. Meanwhile, although mid- and small-cap sectors may face hurdles, the cement industry might see unexpected margin improvements.
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Wall Street grapples with $5.7 trillion rout as AI bets unwind
Wall Street is undergoing notable shifts as worries about the AI investment frenzy and political developments arise. This sharp sell-off brings forth doubts about the viability of AI infrastructure investments, scrutinizing valuations and corporate expenditures. The Democratic majority in Congress poses regulatory challenges, amplifying economic tensions. Investors are leaning towards more conservative sectors, yearning for assurance that AI investments will deliver anticipated results amidst these turbulent times.

Investors in other markets would be envious of India multiples: Rich Handler, chief executive of Jefferies
Jefferies CEO Rich Handler believes Indian equities remain reasonably valued despite the market correction and says easing long-term capital gains taxes could attract foreign investors. He sees opportunities in India's AI and data centre sectors, argues that global capital outflows reflect external pressures, and believes concerns about an AI bubble warrant a healthy pause rather than alarm.

Rs 10 lakh to invest this Diwali? Why experts favour largecaps and debt for a 5-year horizon
As investors gear up for Diwali, allocating ₹10 lakh thoughtfully is pivotal. Experts highlight large caps and debt instruments as primary focuses, while midcaps and smallcaps demand meticulous evaluation due to their inflated valuations. Gold serves as a protective asset, and involvement in international equities should be limited. Crafting a diversified portfolio built on robust fundamentals is essential for long-term success.

Beyond gold: What $340 billion in crypto flows says about India's investment preferences this Dhanteras
Gold remains central to Indian household savings, but high prices are pushing investors toward ETFs and digital gold instead of physical holdings. Crypto is emerging as a separate portfolio option rather than replacing gold, reflecting a broader shift toward digital ownership and diversification.

ETMarkets Smart Talk| ₹15 lakh to invest in bonds? Here's how Jiraaf's Saurav Ghosh would spread it across maturities
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Saurav Ghosh, Co-Founder of Jiraaf, shares his outlook on interest rates and bond yields and explains why a diversified approach across maturities could make sense in the current environment. He also illustrates how an investor with ₹15 lakh could consider spreading the allocation across two-, three- and five-year bonds rather than committing the entire amount at a single point in the interest-rate cycle.

Wall Street fear gauge soars and retail traders bolt as markets in tailspin
Retail investors experienced significant losses as they sold over $1 billion in stocks due to rising fears. The Cboe Volatility Index spiked sharply, indicating increased market anxiety among traders and investors. Major stock indexes declined, driven down by fears that a Democratic sweep could hinder AI spending. Options market activity reflected heightened demand for hedges, as retail investor sentiment shifted.

Why did the ETF betting against Jim Cramer’s stock picks shut down in less than a year?
The Inverse Cramer Tracker ETF launched in March 2023 with a strategy built around betting against Jim Cramer’s stock recommendations. But the fund lost 15%, attracted just $2.4 million in assets and faced closure less than a year later. Here’s why the unusual ETF shut down.

Was Michael Burry right about the AI bubble? Wall Street loses $2 trillion as AI and chip stocks plunge: Why are Tesla, Palantir, AMD, Broadcom and SanDisk crashing?
Michael Burry's warning about an AI bubble is back in focus as Wall Street loses more than $2 trillion in market value. On Thursday, November 5, AMD shares plunged around 12%, SanDisk fell 14%, Micron dropped 10%, while Nvidia lost nearly 7%. Tesla and Palantir also fell 9% and 8%, respectively. The sell-off spread across chipmakers, memory companies and AI infrastructure stocks. The Dow fell 2.36%, the S&P 500 dropped 3.11%, and the Nasdaq sank 4.20%, as investors questioned whether massive AI investments can deliver enough returns.

Elon Musk gambled $445 million to boost Republicans in midterms and came up short
Nobody may have suffered bigger losses Tuesday than President Donald Trump. But few others had more on the line than Musk, who gambled big and came up holding the midterm's worst return on investment. Democrats in Congress were already queuing to get their shot at Musk, with possible subpoenas and investigations.

Elon Musk gambled $445 million to boost Republicans in midterms and came up short
Elon Musk's hefty USD 445 million investment in Republican candidates did not yield the desired electoral success, as Republicans faced significant losses, ceding control of Congress. This setback has prompted Democrats to contemplate investigating Musk's business operations. Critics have denounced his financial influence in politics, highlighting the risks of affluent individuals shaping policy. Anticipated changes in Texas's Democratic leadership suggest intensified scrutiny of Musk's ties to the state.

US midterm election impact: What it means for investors in equities, bonds and gold
The US midterm election outcome could influence equities, bonds, gold and emerging market flows, but its direct market impact may remain limited. A weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields could support emerging markets and gold, while Federal Reserve policy, crude oil prices and AI spending remain key drivers for investors.

'Gold’s rally is not just about wars, it’s fundamentally linked to $40 tn US debt': WGC India CEO Sachin Jain
World Gold Council India CEO Sachin Jain said gold’s rally is driven by rising US debt, de-dollarisation and central bank purchases, rather than geopolitics alone. He expects strong Indian demand during Diwali and recommends allocating 10-15% of financial assets to gold. Over the next five years, technology, tokenisation and blockchain could make gold more accessible, transparent and easier to trade.

Which MF categories should you invest in this Diwali? Experts suggest funds for conservative, moderate & aggressive investors
As Diwali approaches, it's an ideal moment for investors to reassess their mutual fund strategies according to their risk appetite. Conservative investors might prioritize debt-oriented funds with a touch of equity for added safety. Those leaning towards moderate risk can benefit from hybrid funds that merge equity and debt for balanced growth. In contrast, aggressive investors may dive into diversified equity funds for maximizing wealth over the long haul.

A family office with $36 billion took on $160 billion of exposure, and its founder got 18 years in prison
Sung Kook 'Bill' Hwang received an 18-year prison sentence for his involvement in the Archegos Capital Management collapse. The firm’s failure resulted in over $10 billion in losses for major banks. Prosecutors previously sought a 21-year sentence and over $12 billion in financial penalties from Hwang. During sentencing, the judge compared Hwang's actions to those of Sam Bankman-Fried from FTX.

ETMarkets Smart Talk| FDs, government bonds or debt mutual funds: How should investors choose in today's market?
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, we speak with Siddharth Chaudhary, Head – Fixed Income, Bajaj Asset Management Limited, who shares his outlook on interest rates, bond yields and liquidity, and explains how investors can navigate the changing fixed-income landscape while balancing returns, risk and liquidity needs.

Silver crashes below $60 from $122 and enters oversold zone. What should you do?
Silver’s sharp rally has reversed amid expectations of higher US interest rates, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar. HSBC expects limited upside as weaker demand, increasing supply and a narrowing market deficit reduce the chances of the metal returning to $100 soon.

ETMarkets Smart Talk | Gold for ballast, silver for growth; avoid industrial commodities in core portfolios: Saish Sawant
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Saish Sawant, Research Analyst–Commodities at Emkay Global Financial Services, breaks down the contrasting moves across gold, crude and copper.

IndiGo to consider hedging fuel as it ventures on long haul routes
IndiGo is evaluating the possibility of hedging fuel costs as it plans for long-haul international operations. The airline's planned introduction of the Airbus A350 aircraft will enhance its overseas expansion strategy. Despite previously avoiding fuel hedging, management is now reassessing this approach in light of market competition. IndiGo's dominant position in the domestic aviation market facilitates its long-term growth aspirations.

Diwali investment picks 2026: 10 fund managers reveal promising opportunities and risks to watch
This Diwali, investment experts advise a strategic approach focused on asset allocation rather than luring high-growth stocks. Sectors like banking, financial services, and premium goods present promising opportunities. While gold should only occupy a small fraction of a diversified portfolio for risk management, short-duration debt funds gain favour as interest rates shift. Maintaining discipline and patience is essential for long-term investment success.

Banks are safe; AI bubble is the risk for global markets: Julius Baer CEO Stefan Bollinger
Stefan Bollinger highlights the potential risk of an AI bubble affecting global markets significantly. He notes that India's equity valuation correction is healthy, maintaining the country's growth story. Investors are increasingly diversifying their portfolios with a focus on hedge funds and private equity. The Fed's decision on rates remains uncertain, though high inflation complicates matters. Rising yields in Japan are likely to attract domestic investors back to their markets.

Wealthy Indians sit on cash, prepare to deploy funds across markets over next 12-24 months: Joint MD & CEO Systematix Private Wealth
Wealthy Indian investors are holding liquidity and planning phased investments across diverse market segments. The focus is on both domestic and international markets, including the US, China, and South Korea. Private markets and credit opportunities are also gaining traction among ultra-high-net-worth individuals. Real estate investments are evolving with increased interest in Alternative Investment Funds, which have doubled over the last year.

Is it time for India’s HNI’s and UHNIs to rethink their real estate portfolios?
For generations, families have measured real estate wealth by the number of properties they own, not the returns those assets deliver. That is beginning to change with the next generation asking sharper questions: What does each asset earn? How liquid is it? Is it worth holding?

Wary of RBI, banks back off from forex deals
The banks, using the easy rupee liquidity created after the inflow of deposits from the diaspora, bought dollars and invested the funds in US Treasury bills to earn higher returns. The transaction involved a buy-sell swap, where banks purchased dollars in the spot market and sold dollars in the forward market. The dollars generated through the swaps were deployed in US government papers, whose yields have risen in the past three months.
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