US TREASURY BONDS
Japanese investors sell foreign bonds for seventh time in eight weeks
Japanese investors sold 537.6 billion yen ($3.36 billion) in foreign long-term bonds for the seventh time in eight weeks, reflecting caution over US inflation and Federal Reserve rate expectations. They also withdrew from overseas equities. Meanwhile, foreign investors continued buying Japanese long-term bonds, marking their sixth consecutive week of net purchases.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
South Korean shares fall as AI concerns, US inflation weigh on sentiment
South Korean shares fell as concerns over elevated AI valuations and stronger-than-expected US inflation weighed on investor sentiment. The benchmark KOSPI declined 0.34%, led by losses in chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. The won strengthened against the dollar, while government bond yields rose amid expectations of further US interest rate hikes.
Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation
The US dollar is holding onto gains following a stronger-than-expected inflation report. Federal Reserve comments indicate potential rate hikes to address ongoing inflation concerns. Market expectations are shifting, with traders anticipating a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has also increased, reflecting market sentiments. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether are trading near three-month lows amidst these developments.
US treasury yields jump: What does it mean for mortgage rates?
Higher interest rates can help rein in inflation, but they do so by making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money.

Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.

US Treasury yields rise as Fed's Waller presses rate hike case
Following remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, short-dated Treasury yields saw an uptick, as he proposed the necessity of action despite seemingly moderated inflation data. Waller highlighted a possible half-point rate increase if inflation intensifies, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy. Economists expect a modest rise in core inflation, guiding market anticipations as money markets now fully reflect a 25 basis point increase in December.

US Dollar crashes today: Why is USD down against other currencies?
Brent crude futures fell $5.75, or 5.85 per cent, to settle at $92.57 a barrel, and prices continued falling after settlement, while US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped $3.98, or 4.38 per cent, to $86.85.

US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline

India's 10-year bond posts best week in 7 years, leads emerging Asia as oil slides
This week, Indian government bonds saw a remarkable performance, outpacing other Asian markets as benchmark yields dropped significantly. Following the Democratic win in the US midterms, crude prices fell sharply, enticing foreign investors back to purchase a significant volume of Indian bonds. This shift alleviates pressure on the Reserve Bank of India to maintain elevated yields, contributing to a positive outlook for Indian debt moving forward.

India bonds emerge as top Asian performers as oil, Treasury yields decline
This week, Indian government bonds saw a positive trend following a Democratic win in the U.S. midterm elections. The reduction in oil prices and Treasury yields eased rupee pressure, boosting investor confidence. The benchmark bond yield improved significantly, declining by approximately 22 basis points. Furthermore, the surge in foreign investments into Indian bonds marked a notable high since July, leading to enhanced overall market sentiment.

US yields fall in choppy session as oil rises and equities sink
As geopolitical tensions change the landscape, US Treasuries are witnessing a spike in demand while equity markets take a hit and oil prices show volatility. Investors are reassessing their outlook on the US-Iran relations following new election results. The labor market remains resilient with dropping unemployment claims and heightened productivity levels, pointing towards ongoing inflation risk.

Democratic victories threaten to slow US data-centre expansion, ease bond yields: ICICI Bank report
The US midterm election results have put 141 GW of planned data-centre capacity at risk of tighter policy restrictions, potentially slowing AI infrastructure investments, while supporting US Treasury bonds, according to an ICICI Bank report.

US Bond Yields fall after midterm election 2026 results: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year treasury notes down?
US Treasuries were down after Democrats gained control of both the Senate and House with the election results also raising the prospect of gridlock between the US Congress and Donald Trump's White House.

US Treasury shifts language, opening door to auction size changes
The US Treasury Department has updated its regulations regarding upcoming auction sizes for treasury securities. This revision hints at a potential increase in the issuance of short- and intermediate-term debt. They also flagged a likely decrease in demand for longer-term 20- and 30-year auctions. Future adjustments will rely on demand trends and financial requirements, with the Treasury planning to consult market participants for a thorough understanding of these changing factors.

US midterm election results cheer US bond yields, 10-year treasury note, yield on 30-year bond, two-year treasury yield jump on Tuesday
US midterm election 2026 results: 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at 2.305 per cent, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about 2.3 per cent a year for the next decade.

US Treasury yields climb as strong jobs data, midterm polls weigh; 10-year yield eyes 5% again
US Treasury yields climbed as stronger than expected September jobs data pointed to a resilient labour market, while investors awaited the midterm election results. Falling oil prices briefly eased pressure on bonds, but the move reversed as economic data reinforced growth expectations and uncertainty over future US fiscal policy kept investors cautious.

US Treasury projects $618 billion borrowing in Q4, $800 billion in Q1 2027
The US Treasury is estimating federal borrowing will hit $618 billion in the last quarter of 2026, which is $10 billion less than previously thought. Despite anticipating lower cash flows, the Treasury projects borrowing of $800 billion in early 2027 as well. Market watchers are eager for upcoming announcements regarding Treasury auctions, as these might indicate changes in their bond issuance tactics.
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