US TRADE POLICY
US midterm results may give India trade leverage, but tariff and AI risks remain
The US midterm results may give India some room in trade negotiations by increasing congressional scrutiny of executive action, but they do not remove tariff risks or alter Washington's strategic priorities. AI investment is also unlikely to retreat, with capital expected to remain within the US rather than shift significantly to emerging markets.
AI slump revives Asia’s forgotten trades from China to India
Global investors are rethinking their Asia bets as the AI trade loses momentum following the US midterm elections. India and China are emerging as potential beneficiaries of the shift, with funds rotating towards undervalued stocks, domestic growth, healthcare, consumer companies and financials. India's limited AI exposure, easing oil prices and renewed foreign inflows are strengthening its appeal.
The high price of being King Trump: How tariffs and war fuelled voter anger
Inflation has significantly impacted the political careers of Biden and Trump. Rising costs have led to voter discontent against both administrations in recent elections. Trump's tariff policies and military actions have contributed to increasing economic burdens on citizens. Democrats now have an opportunity to implement policies that address voter concerns about inflation and foreign conflict. Improving these areas could help position them competitively for the 2028 presidential election.
Rupee falls 9 paise to 94.50 against US dollar in early trade
In early trading on Friday, the rupee slipped by 9 paise to reach 94.50 against the US dollar, driven by a robust dollar and surging crude oil prices. After a brief bounce-back, it peaked at 94.36. The domestic equity market exhibited mixed performance, with Sensex rising yet Nifty falling. Notably, Foreign Institutional Investors remained active, purchasing substantial equities, bolstering market optimism.
Sensex stages biggest rally since April as FIIs turn aggressive buyers
Foreign institutional investors significantly increased their purchases of Indian stocks, leading to substantial market gains. The BSE Sensex rose by 2,008.61 points, achieving its biggest jump since April. Easing crude oil prices contributed to reduced inflation expectations and improved India's macroeconomic outlook. Positive global cues, including gains in US markets, further supported investor sentiment and market performance.
US tariff relief unlikely for Indian auto parts makers despite Democrats’ Congress sweep
Indian auto component makers see little prospect of near-term relief from steep US tariffs despite Democrats gaining control of Congress. President Donald Trump can veto legislation seeking to challenge his trade policies, while overturning that veto requires a two-thirds majority in both chambers. Industry executives see progress in bilateral trade talks as key.
- Go To Page 1
American midterm results will not have an impact on India-US interim trade deal: Sources
The Democrats' sweeping victory in the US midterm elections is unlikely to affect the India-US interim trade agreement, as the pact does not require formal Congressional ratification, sources said. However, ongoing Section 301 investigations into forced labour and excess industrial capacity could influence Washington's tariff structure and the finalisation of the agreement.
US midterm election impact: What it means for investors in equities, bonds and gold
The US midterm election outcome could influence equities, bonds, gold and emerging market flows, but its direct market impact may remain limited. A weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields could support emerging markets and gold, while Federal Reserve policy, crude oil prices and AI spending remain key drivers for investors.
Trump's midterm election setback may fast-track India-US trade deal within two months says founder, GTRI
Ajay Srivastava, Founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) said the election results could push Trump to focus more on trade negotiations and expedite the proposed agreement with India.
World leaders who sparred with Trump express relief mixed with caution at Republican election rout
World leaders welcomed the Democrats' gains in the US midterm elections, hoping the setback for Donald Trump's Republicans could ease tensions over Washington's foreign policy. However, European and other allies cautioned that the results may not change Trump's approach to Iran, Ukraine, tariffs or NATO, as the president retains considerable freedom in foreign affairs.
Donald Trump's political humbling after US midterms signals short-term gain, long-term pain for China
Donald Trump's US midterm election defeat could strengthen China's hand in upcoming US-China trade negotiations, giving Beijing leverage to push for tariff reductions and other concessions. However, Beijing remains wary of a potentially more hawkish US administration after Trump. China's concerns include Taiwan arms sales, a possible Iran war escalation, energy security and the future of its fragile trade truce with Washington.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
US midterm outcome offers limited relief to India; oil, Russia sanctions remain key risks: Report
The outcome of the US midterm elections is expected to offer only marginal relief to India. Crude oil prices and potential tariffs on Russian oil purchases will continue to present economic challenges. While a Democratic majority may enhance diplomatic engagement, immediate trade relief seems unlikely. The rupee and foreign portfolio investor inflows could see some positive impact.
Democrats' US midterm sweep may give India more room to negotiate a balanced trade deal with Trump
Democrats' takeover of both chambers of the US Congress could ease pressure on India in trade negotiations with the Trump administration, experts said. Greater Congressional scrutiny of tariffs may create opportunities for Indian exporters, although the existing 18% tariff is unlikely to change immediately and the bilateral trade agreement could face delays.
India takes calm view of US midterm results, sees bipartisan support anchoring ties
India is observing the results of the recent US midterm elections with a sense of calmness and stability. The Democrat victory is seen as a move to limit the influence of the Trump administration. India has maintained strong relations with both parties in Congress since 2000 through various sectors.
Alcohol stocks jump as blue wave boosts industry prospects
As the midterm elections unfold, investors are directing their focus to the alcohol sector, anticipating positive impacts on companies such as Constellation Brands due to shifting immigration policies. Optimism surrounding decreasing trade tensions with Canada also seems to uplift brands like Brown-Forman. However, the looming tariffs have caused a sharp decline in US spirits exports, and overall alcohol consumption in the country is still at historical lows, despite minor upticks.
Democratic wave in US midterm elections weakens Trump at home, opens a new front for India-US ties in Congress
The recent US midterm elections saw the Democratic Party gain significant power in the Senate and House. This shift reflects widespread dissatisfaction with the current Republican leadership and its policies. President Trump's influence over the Republican Party may decline following this electoral outcome. Key policy decisions regarding foreign affairs, including relations with Iran, could be affected by these changes.
Canada says US midterms won't change trade stance, sees talks with American officials
A senior Canadian cabinet minister stated that the US midterm election results will not affect trade negotiations. Dominic LeBlanc mentioned he would soon communicate with US officials regarding trade matters. President Trump suggested that a trade deal with Canada is close, but significant work remains. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed that certain US demands have been scaled back.
US Democratic win unlikely to ease firms' cost, tariff woes in near term, executives say
Global businesses expect limited immediate changes following Democrats' takeover of the US Congress, as high energy and raw material costs, inflation and strained consumer spending continue to weigh on operations. While some executives welcomed prospects of political stability, companies remain uncertain about tariffs, AI regulation and trade policies, amid fears of Washington gridlock.
From Iran to trade, how the US midterms impact the rest of the world
US Democrats' recent midterm election victories could influence global relations, especially concerning Iran and Israel. The potential for a peace deal with Iran seems viable as US voters oppose prolonged conflicts. In Ukraine, Democrats may propose increased financial and military aid, which could face delays. Additionally, Asian countries may reconsider investment pledges to avoid tariffs in light of these outcomes.
US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
US midterm election results 2026: India sees some trade relief, new risks after US midterm vote
Indian officials are cautiously optimistic about the recent US midterm election results and their implications. While the election reduces trade tension, it introduces new uncertainties for US-India relations. Analysts suggest it is too early to gauge the long-term effects of these political changes. The potential for increased tariffs still looms due to ongoing investigations.
Trump's midterm setback may put India under pressure for quick trade deal on US terms: GTRI
Amid electoral challenges, US President Donald Trump is likely to ramp up pressure on India to seal a trade deal. This potential agreement would require India to decrease import tariffs on US goods while the US keeps its tariffs intact. Analysts caution that such an arrangement may breach WTO MFN principles, undermining India's trade credibility. Additionally, compromising energy security and development aspirations could have serious implications.
Democrats’ win rattles Trump trades from AI stocks to crypto
The recent Democratic majority in Congress triggered a downturn in global markets, most notably impacting technology stocks. Investors are now wary about President Trump’s policies and their implications for AI investments. Conversely, solar stocks saw an uptick, signaling potential changes to clean energy regulations. Additionally, Treasury yields dropped as heightened oversight dampens fiscal stimulus hopes, while cryptocurrencies also fell amid uncertainty surrounding upcoming industry regulations.
US midterms may help D-Street break free from geopolitical overhang
The upcoming US mid-term elections will potentially influence global markets and trade policies. Investors are closely watching whether the outcomes will ease uncertainties regarding tariffs and immigration. The results could shape the policy direction and affect the sentiment of global investors. Analysts suggest that the focus should remain on domestic earnings growth and financial flows.
Is Donald Trump just a 'lame duck' president as Democrats sweep US midterm elections and take control of the House of Representatives?
With midterm election results coming out, President Trump finds himself in the challenging position of being labeled a "lame duck". Indicating a readiness to counter Democratic probes, he may unleash a more combative strategy during this period. Despite the hurdles ahead, Trump's substantial impact on foreign affairs and trade remains. His relentless ambition ensures he will stay in the spotlight, refusing to let others dominate the narrative.
Is the AI boom losing steam? Global economy faces growing risks
Global financial markets face mounting pressure from geopolitical conflicts, rising government debt and trade tensions, raising concerns about the resilience of the global economy. While the AI investment boom has driven stock markets to record highs and supported growth expectations, rising borrowing costs, inflation, weakening currencies and the prolonged Iran war threaten to undermine investor confidence and expose deeper vulnerabilities.
Trump set for midterm test: What's in store for India, Iran, Ukraine after November 4?
US midterm election 2026: American voters' sentiments about rising prices could affect Trump's standing in trade discussions. Congressional control will determine the scrutiny over Trump's actions regarding Iran and Ukraine. India will, however, continue navigating uncertainties in trade relations regardless of the election results.
India will gain strong comparative advantage after US trade deal: Piyush Goyal
Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal highlighted India's potential advantages from a trade deal with the United States. He asserted that the agreement would not harm the interests of farmers or any other stakeholders involved. Goyal made these statements during the 4th ISID-IDRA National Conference in Delhi. The trade deal aims to enhance India's economic landscape and strengthen its global standing.
Load More
