US TARIFFS ON ELECTRONICS
China's trade surplus surpasses $1 trillion for a 2nd straight year, as exports surge 35%
Exports in October surged 35.2% from a year earlier, the customs agency said. Exports have grown rapidly this year, supported by high-tech goods like semiconductors and autos.
China’s trade surplus tops $1 trillion for second straight year as exports surge
China's trade surplus reached $1.04 trillion in January-October, crossing $1 trillion for a second consecutive year. October exports rose 35.2% year-on-year, while imports grew 41.6%, narrowing the monthly surplus to $105.3 billion. Strong overseas demand is supporting exports, but weak domestic consumption and rising trade tensions pose risks to the outlook.
China's trade surplus surpasses USD 1 trillion for 2nd straight year, as exports surge 35 per cent
China's trade surplus has surpassed USD 1 trillion for the second consecutive year as exports continue to rise significantly. Imports increased sharply in October, contributing to a narrowing of the monthly surplus. The trade situation presents challenges as domestic demand remains sluggish while foreign competition intensifies. Trade discussions are anticipated between the leaders of the US and China amid ongoing global trade tensions.
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
Tech firms claw back some losses after midterms rout, eyes on Nvidia
Tech firms rose Monday to claw back some of last week's painful losses fuelled by AI regulation worries, though traders were keeping a wary eye on a probe into Nvidia boss Jensen Huang amid claims of an affair with a Chinese spy. The executive, Alice Huang -- also known as Huang Le, and no relation to 63-year-old Taiwanese-born Jensen -- developed a close relationship with the Nvidia boss, the Times said.
AI slump revives Asia’s forgotten trades from China to India
Global investors are rethinking their Asia bets as the AI trade loses momentum following the US midterm elections. India and China are emerging as potential beneficiaries of the shift, with funds rotating towards undervalued stocks, domestic growth, healthcare, consumer companies and financials. India's limited AI exposure, easing oil prices and renewed foreign inflows are strengthening its appeal.
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Investors in other markets would be envious of India multiples: Rich Handler, chief executive of Jefferies
Jefferies CEO Rich Handler believes Indian equities remain reasonably valued despite the market correction and says easing long-term capital gains taxes could attract foreign investors. He sees opportunities in India's AI and data centre sectors, argues that global capital outflows reflect external pressures, and believes concerns about an AI bubble warrant a healthy pause rather than alarm.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks join US selloff as AI slump deepens
South Korea’s tech-heavy Kospi Index slid 8.8% in early trading, triggering a circuit breaker, with chipmakers Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. both plunging more than 9%. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average lost 6.2%, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 2.9%. Futures pointed to losses in Taiwan, Hong Kong and China.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Friday
Indian markets staged a powerful rally, with Sensex jumping 2,009 points and Nifty gaining 576 points. Improved global sentiment, easing crude prices, US midterm election results, foreign investor buying and strong Q2 earnings lifted market capitalisation above Rs 500 lakh crore.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
Strong balance sheet, domestic focus, and a moat matter more: 5 large-cap stocks with upside potential of up to 24%
The big event the market was waiting for has come and gone. So, is there greater clarity about where the crisis in the Gulf is headed? Not really. While US President Trump acknowledged the war was one of the reasons his Republican party received a drubbing at the hands of the Democrats, he said he would do it again. Which suggests it is unlikely that the uncertainty and volatility in the markets will go away anytime soon.
US Democratic win unlikely to ease firms' cost, tariff woes in near term, executives say
Global businesses expect limited immediate changes following Democrats' takeover of the US Congress, as high energy and raw material costs, inflation and strained consumer spending continue to weigh on operations. While some executives welcomed prospects of political stability, companies remain uncertain about tariffs, AI regulation and trade policies, amid fears of Washington gridlock.
From Iran to trade, how the US midterms impact the rest of the world
US Democrats' recent midterm election victories could influence global relations, especially concerning Iran and Israel. The potential for a peace deal with Iran seems viable as US voters oppose prolonged conflicts. In Ukraine, Democrats may propose increased financial and military aid, which could face delays. Additionally, Asian countries may reconsider investment pledges to avoid tariffs in light of these outcomes.
Sensex jumps 383 points, Nifty closes above 23,950 as benchmark indices scale 2-month highs. What lies ahead?
The Indian stock market has surged, with both Sensex and Nifty climbing to their highest points in two months. As investors keep a keen eye on outcomes from the US midterm elections, which could influence international exchanges, major sectors such as Realty and FMCG have thrived. There's a marked increase in buying from foreign institutional investors, suggesting renewed confidence in large-cap stocks.
Democrats’ win rattles Trump trades from AI stocks to crypto
The recent Democratic majority in Congress triggered a downturn in global markets, most notably impacting technology stocks. Investors are now wary about President Trump’s policies and their implications for AI investments. Conversely, solar stocks saw an uptick, signaling potential changes to clean energy regulations. Additionally, Treasury yields dropped as heightened oversight dampens fiscal stimulus hopes, while cryptocurrencies also fell amid uncertainty surrounding upcoming industry regulations.
US Midterms 2026: Cost of living and government corruption are top issues, AP Voter Poll says
Voters are participating in Election Day to influence control of the U.S. House and Senate. Many electorate members express dissatisfaction with the current economic situation attributed to Trump's policies. Polls indicate a significant desire for checks and balances on the presidency from Congress. Various gubernatorial candidates, along with major ballot measures, also shape the election landscape. Early voting statistics show heightened engagement compared to previous elections and reflect voter concerns.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Bond markets have priced in nearly four rate hikes. Where should investors invest now?
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Piyush Barawal, Director and Senior Fund Manager at WhiteOak Capital, shares his outlook on interest rates and bond yields and explains why the two- to four-year segment of the yield curve could offer an attractive opportunity.
US manufacturing strengthens in October, input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity accelerated in October, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, beating Reuters-polled economists' expectations. Strong consumer and AI-related business spending supported growth, but factory input prices remained elevated at 75.2, reinforcing concerns that US inflation could stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
India, Mexico begin talks for trade pact; aim to boost commerce, investments
India and Mexico have initiated negotiations for a preferential trade agreement to enhance bilateral trade and investment. The agreement aims to create new economic opportunities while addressing market access, customs procedures, and trade facilitation. Discussions included organising a Mexican business mission to India in early 2027 to improve commercial ties. India had a trade surplus with Mexico, largely due to exports in autos and pharmaceuticals.
US, Brazil and Israel elections put India’s trade worth billions in focus
Recent elections in the US, Brazil, and Israel may impact India's trade negotiations and economic partnerships. The US is close to finalizing a trade pact, which could affect Indian exports significantly. Brazil's growing economic relationship with India is leading to ambitious trade targets between the two nations. In Israel, the continuation of defense cooperation and negotiations for a free trade agreement are crucial for India.
Lula’s Brazil election win: How he thwarted Trump’s Latin America ambitions
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil’s presidential election against Flávio Bolsonaro, stopping a conservative streak in Latin America. This victory challenges U.S. influence in the region and complicates President Trump's strategies. Lula's administration may seek collaboration with Washington while maintaining Brazil's independent foreign policy. Domestic congressional dynamics present challenges for Lula as he pursues reforms amidst conservative opposition.
India's gold import route changing course for a benefit all jewellers want
India is diversifying its gold import sources as expanding domestic refining capacity, tax incentives and the India-UAE trade pact reshape supply chains. Switzerland’s share of India’s bullion imports fell to 21.9% in FY26 from 42.4% five years earlier, while the UAE’s share rose to 16.5% from 10.8%, according to Crisil Intelligence.
Is India a “shadow transshipment” hub? The data says otherwise
Between 2014 and 2024, India’s goods exports to the US grew 1.86 times, while US exports to India grew 1.94 times. A rising two-way relationship, with India’s global exports also up 1.36-fold, is hard to square with a “mere pass-through” story tailored to one market.
Vietnam's export boom offers India six lessons for growth
Vietnam’s export success offers India six lessons: simplify tariffs, strengthen top-level industry engagement, expand free trade access, ease local content rules and ensure predictable taxes to attract global supply chains and boost exports.
Japan’s $21 billion US chip bet raises questions over its own semiconductor revival
Japan has committed to investing $21 billion to establish two semiconductor factories in New York. This deal comes as Japan seeks to support US semiconductor industry growth and strengthen bilateral relations. Experts indicate that these investments may yield limited advantages for Japan's domestic chip manufacturing capabilities. As Japan's debt concerns mount, it plans further investments across various strategic sectors, including AI and chips.
Japan’s $21 billion US chip bet raises questions over its own semiconductor revival
Japan will invest up to $21 billion to build two chip factories in New York state, under a deal announced last week by GlobalFoundries, which is majority-owned by Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala Investment Co.
Dr Doom, who predicted global financial crisis, has a forecast for India
Economist Nouriel Roubini, known as “Dr Doom” for predicting the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, sees India emerging as a major growth story over the coming decades. He believes easing US tariffs, deeper trade ties, friendshoring and continued reforms could strengthen India's economic prospects. However, India must accelerate growth towards 9% to create enough jobs for its young workforce as artificial intelligence reshapes employment and global manufacturers diversify beyond China.
The $50-billion question: Who gets what as India and Canada aim to strike a trade deal?
India and Canada are currently negotiating a free trade agreement designed to enhance bilateral trade significantly. Nearly 300 Canadian business delegates are visiting India to advance these discussions. Both countries aim to increase two-way trade to $50 billion by 2030. Key focus areas include energy, critical minerals, and agriculture, alongside demands for improved market access. The negotiations have resumed after a brief pause, with optimism surrounding the outcome before December.
India's September goods exports rise 23% as imports hit six-month low, narrowing trade deficit
India's goods exports surged by 23% in September, totaling $44.4 billion, supported by significant gains in electronics, petroleum, and engineering goods. At the same time, imports rose by only 8%, leading to a reduced trade deficit of $30.21 billion. This export growth reflects a sustained positive trend in the second quarter of the current fiscal year. Notably, gold imports fell sharply by 81.27%, impacting overall import figures.
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