US INTEREST RATES
Eurozone bond yields steady as investors await inflation data; US Treasury yields ease after midterm elections
Eurozone government bond yields were steady as investors awaited October inflation data, while US Treasury yields declined after Democrats gained control of both chambers of Congress. Markets also assessed the likelihood of further European Central Bank rate hikes in December.
Oil slide, Treasury strength boost Indian bonds
Indian government bonds experienced an increase due to a significant decline in crude oil prices. A Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections raised hopes for peace in the Middle East. Traders responded positively, adding positions in government bonds as yields softened. Concerns about inflation risks diminished as investors anticipated a delay in interest rate hikes. Market dynamics indicate that Qatar-led mediation efforts are being monitored closely amid these developments.
Gold price prediction: Gold prices extend losses on Tuesday. Check outlook for November 3
Investors are now looking to the US midterm elections for indications of the country's fiscal policy direction and their potential impact on broader market sentiment.
Silver crashes below $60 from $122 and enters oversold zone. What should you do?
Silver’s sharp rally has reversed amid expectations of higher US interest rates, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar. HSBC expects limited upside as weaker demand, increasing supply and a narrowing market deficit reduce the chances of the metal returning to $100 soon.
El Nino could add to US inflation pressures in 2027, San Francisco Fed paper warns
A San Francisco Fed study warns the current strong El Niño could drive US inflation up by 1 percentage point in 2027, despite temporarily boosting jobs. With inflation already above the 2% target, the climate shock adds further pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates.
US manufacturing strengthens in October, input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity accelerated in October, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, beating Reuters-polled economists' expectations. Strong consumer and AI-related business spending supported growth, but factory input prices remained elevated at 75.2, reinforcing concerns that US inflation could stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
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Gold lingers near one-year low as Fed hike expectations firm
Gold prices experienced a minor uptick in early trading across Asia; however, they linger near a one-year low. Persistent worries about inflation are bolstering expectations for an impending Federal Reserve rate increase this year. The recent drop in tech stocks has placed additional strain on bullion prices, prompting a sell-off in safe-haven investments. Buyers in major Asian markets, especially India and China, remain hesitant amid expectations of further price declines.

US bonds rally, sending yields to biggest monthly decline since 2023
US Treasuries experienced a notable rise as technology stock selloffs caused a shift towards safer investments. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note had its largest monthly drop in nearly three years. Earnings reports from Amazon and Intel negatively impacted investor confidence amid rising AI costs. Expectations for a December interest rate hike remain high after a recent Federal Reserve meeting.

US bond market crash: 10-year, 30-year, 2-year yield notes fall to historic lows. Here's why
US Federal Reserve in September raised rates for the first time in three years in an effort to combat higher inflation, tied in part to high energy prices and the Artificial Intellience (AI) boom.

Gold rate, silver price today: Why is gold price down today? When will gold recover from its worst trading day since mid-July?
Gold prices fell to their lowest since mid-July on Friday. Gold rates were going down for a second straight monthly decline.

Gold prices edge lower as US inflation data reinforces Fed outlook
Gold prices fell in early Asian trading, reflecting a decline of over 1% from the previous session. Spot gold is currently valued at $4,006.06 per ounce, while US gold futures have dipped to $4,018.50. Heightened inflation worries have raised fears of a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December.

US Bond Treasury Yield Notes fall big: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year notes down? Check factors, what to expect
US Treasury yields were down ahead of the US midterm elections 2026 due to a number of factors.

US inflation heats up in September; consumer spending rises
In September, the US experienced a notable rise in inflation, driven by surging gasoline prices and other consumer goods. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index climbed to 0.5%, up from 0.3% previously. Despite inflation-adjusted consumer spending remaining flat, it still rose by 0.5%, reflecting a resilient economic activity. The Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates steady, though considerable inflationary pressures have analysts anticipating a possible rate hike in December.

Gold price, silver rate today: Why are gold rate, silver price down on Thursday? What to expect in November?
Gold rate today fell as the precious metal saw topsy-turvy month of October. Silver price was also down along with platinum and palladium.

US Market: Fed holds rates steady, but bond investors remain concerned over inflation
The US Treasury yield curve steepened after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, as investors weighed inflation risks, fiscal concerns and the outlook for interest rates. Longer-dated bond yields faced pressure amid worries over government borrowing and the term premium. Mixed economic signals also raised questions about the Fed’s growth assessment, while markets continued to price in the possibility of further rate hikes.

Dollar steady after Fed hold leaves rate path murky
After the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates steady, the US dollar found stability. Investors are now grappling with uncertainty regarding potential rate increases as inflation figures loom. The Fed highlighted robust economic growth, with Chair Kevin Warsh emphasizing the need for inflation control without hindering this progress. Eyes are now on upcoming central bank meetings in Europe and Japan, where rate adjustments are unlikely.

The bond market swings, but US stocks remain steady after the Fed says it won't raise interest rates
U.S. stock markets rallied following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates steady. As inflation remains a concern, investors are recalibrating their outlook on potential future rate increases. The bond market showed fluctuations, particularly in the two-year Treasury yield post-announcement. Notably, several companies, such as GE HealthCare Technologies and Wendy's, reported better-than-expected earnings, leading to significant stock price surges.

Gold dips on firmer dollar; US inflation data in focus
Gold prices experienced a decline as the dollar strengthened following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. Market participants are now paying close attention to forthcoming inflation statistics, which could sway the Fed's future decisions. Spot gold dropped by 0.7%, while both silver and platinum recorded slight downturns. However, palladium saw a modest uptick due to ongoing market volatility.

US Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh just telegraphed more rate hikes without saying it
Warsh used his assessment of a strong economy and warnings over persistent inflation to signal the Fed’s job is not yet done. The message reinforced expectations that officials will raise borrowing costs in December — after holding them steady Wednesday — with the potential for another increase in early 2027.

US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as stubborn inflation puts future rate hikes in focus
The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged to evaluate inflation trends. Policymakers are assessing how high inflation might affect future monetary policy amid the upcoming midterm elections. Rising energy prices and tariffs contribute significantly to the ongoing inflation pressures faced by the economy. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report for indications of future rate hikes.

US Fed expected to hold rates as Iran war fuels inflation concerns
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady as rising energy prices linked to the Iran war fuel inflation concerns. With consumer prices accelerating and affordability under pressure, investors will watch Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on the December rate decision and the outlook for further monetary tightening.

US Market: AI boom could weaken dollar’s safe-haven appeal as foreign flows rise
The US dollar’s safe-haven status could face pressure if the AI investment boom unwinds, prompting foreign investors to pull back from American equities and corporate bonds. Weaker growth, lower interest rates and credit-market stress could amplify the risk.

US Market: Treasury yields face pressure despite expected Fed rate pause
US Treasury yields face continued pressure from persistent inflation, rising government borrowing and uncertainty over AI investments, despite a recent bond market recovery. Investors are watching the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and midterm elections for signals on the outlook.

Global Market: China's yuan holds near four-year high as markets await Fed decision
China’s yuan held near a four-year high against the US dollar as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s policy decision for clues on the US interest rate outlook. The currency drew support from stronger-than-expected industrial profit growth, while concerns over persistent inflation and elevated energy prices kept markets alert to potential monetary tightening.

Dollar holds gains ahead of Fed policy signal, RBNZ decision
The US dollar is sticking close to a two-week high ahead of crucial central bank policy announcements. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain its current interest rates, while market watchers speculate on future actions. European currencies are holding steady, with the euro and British pound showing minor fluctuations against the dollar.

US Fed Decision: What to expect from Warsh's October meeting
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its October meeting amid persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs. Investors will scrutinise Chairman Kevin Warsh’s comments on inflation, policy independence and future rate decisions, with potential December tightening and internal disagreements remaining key concerns for financial markets and households.

Indian bonds tick up on calm oil before Fed verdict
In early trade, Indian government bonds improved as oil prices found stability after last week's surge. Traders remained cautious ahead of a significant policy decision by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. India's bond yields decreased slightly, although overall demand for longer maturities has declined amid inflation concerns. The Indian rupee remained stable as fears of further rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of India persisted.

Yen slips ahead of central bank bonanza, dollar firms on tech rebound
Yen vs Dollar : The Japanese yen fell against the US dollar as market sentiment shifted towards risk-taking. Major banks, including the Bank of Japan, are expected to announce monetary policy decisions this week. A rise in Japan's service-sector inflation suggests increasing price pressures that may lead to future interest rate hikes. Concurrently, the euro weakened amid concerns regarding France's fiscal stability and economic health.

Gold lingers near three-month low ahead of Fed policy meeting
Gold prices dipped close to a three-month low, reflecting worries from investors as the Federal Reserve meeting approaches. While an interest rate hike appears more likely for December, this week’s chances remain low. In the oil market, prices fell back after a prior rise, amid ongoing supply worries linked to conflicts.
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