US INFLATION RATE
Fed's John Williams signals more rate hikes as inflation remains persistent
New York Fed President John Williams signalled further US interest rate hikes as inflation remains stubbornly high. Markets expect a 25-basis-point increase in December, while stronger-than-expected inflation data and divisions among policymakers have added uncertainty to the Fed's policy outlook.
India bonds under pressure before debt supply; hot inflation prints pinch further
Indian government bonds experienced significant selling pressure ahead of a major auction for the benchmark paper. The yield on the 6.94% 2036 bond rose notably due to rising inflation in both India and the United States. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to raise interest rates again in early December due to persistent inflationary pressures. Moreover, US Treasury yields remained elevated as markets anticipate larger interest rate hikes.
Dollar near 19-month high on Fed hike bets, yen tests 160
Treasury yields rose after US President Donald Trump said the US does not need a deal with Iran and as traders weighed the chance of a larger-than-usual Federal Reserve rate hike next month. Two-year Treasury yields gained 34 basis points over the past two sessions, the sharpest two-day rise in 3-1/2 years.
Gold inches higher but heads for weekly loss on Fed hike concerns
Gold prices edged higher on Friday, recovering from the previous session's lowest level in more than a year, but stayed on track for a weekly fall as higher oil prices stoked
Gold price today: Why is gold rate down to lowest since November 4? Check latest predictions
Gold rate plunged to new low as strong US dollar and other factors have strong impact on the precious metal bullion. What could be likely gold prices in near terms? Details here
Japanese investors sell foreign bonds for seventh time in eight weeks
Japanese investors sold 537.6 billion yen ($3.36 billion) in foreign long-term bonds for the seventh time in eight weeks, reflecting caution over US inflation and Federal Reserve rate expectations. They also withdrew from overseas equities. Meanwhile, foreign investors continued buying Japanese long-term bonds, marking their sixth consecutive week of net purchases.
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Gold and silver ETFs fall up to 3% as firm dollar and Fed rate hike bets weigh. Should investors buy the dip?
Gold and silver ETFs declined as a stronger US dollar and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on precious metal prices. Financial experts advise investors to continue systematic investments in gold and silver in line with their long-term asset allocation.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
India bonds to stay hemmed in by oil, Treasury moves ahead of inflation data
Indian government bonds are anticipated to trade between softer oil prices and rising US yields. The market is waiting for domestic inflation data that could influence the Reserve Bank of India's rate strategy. A Reuters poll estimates an increase in annual consumer inflation, potentially leading to further tightening by the RBI. Investors are cautious ahead of a significant bond auction scheduled for Friday.
Bitcoin price today: Why BTC USD fell near $73,000 after US CPI report and could it crash to $70,000 next?
Bitcoin price today after CPI report: BTC USD slipped towards $73,000 after hotter-than-expected US inflation data revived fears of a bigger Federal Reserve rate hike in December. With Bitcoin funds seeing billions of dollars in withdrawals, traders are watching whether BTC can hold $73,000 or face another decline towards $70,000.
Reverse AI trade drives foreign inflows back to India but rising US inflation poses challenge: Ajay Bagga
Foreign investors are returning to Indian equity markets as global funds shift away from the artificial intelligence infrastructure trade in markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while India's relatively attractive valuations and falling crude oil prices are improving its investment appeal, banking and market expert Ajay Bagga said.
Fed's Bowman flags persistent inflation, expects price pressure to ease next year
Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman flagged persistent US inflation but stopped short of calling for further rate hikes. She expects core PCE inflation to ease next year as AI-related demand pressures and geopolitical shocks fade, while highlighting risks to the economic outlook.
Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.
Fed's Paulson signals further gradual interest rate hikes to curb inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson signals support for further interest rate hikes to curb persistent US inflation, which remains above the Fed’s 2% target. Strong October CPI data, resilient employment and rising price pressures reinforce expectations of monetary tightening, with markets anticipating additional increases in December.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
Japan bond yields rise as US inflation fuels rate hike bets
Japanese government bond yields climbed for a third straight session, tracking a global debt selloff after stronger US inflation data and hawkish Fed commentary raised expectations of further rate hikes. Investors also assessed the Bank of Japan’s policy outlook ahead of key bond auctions.
Gold holds near one-week low as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike bets
Gold prices rose 0.2% to $4,039.07 per ounce in early Asian trade on Wednesday. This increase followed a nearly 3% decline in the previous session due to US inflation data. The data indicated stronger inflation, leading to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month. Traders now believe there is a 100% chance of an interest rate increase in December.
Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation
The US dollar is holding onto gains following a stronger-than-expected inflation report. Federal Reserve comments indicate potential rate hikes to address ongoing inflation concerns. Market expectations are shifting, with traders anticipating a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has also increased, reflecting market sentiments. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether are trading near three-month lows amidst these developments.
US stocks: US market falls as hot inflation, hawkish Fed fuel rate-hike fears
US stocks closed lower after hotter-than-expected inflation data strengthened expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike and raised the possibility of more aggressive tightening. Rising Treasury yields and weakness in technology stocks, particularly Nvidia, weighed on the market, while investors also assessed hawkish Fed comments and Anthropic’s upcoming IPO.
Fed’s Christopher Waller opens door to 50-basis-point December rate hike after hot CPI
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has raised the possibility of a 50-basis-point December rate hike after US core inflation rose 0.3% in October. Persistent price pressures have intensified debate over tighter monetary policy and the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility.
Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.
CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.
Gold price, silver rate today: Why is gold rate down on Tuesday? Check latest bullion outlook
Gold price prediction: The decline in crude prices has eased some inflation concerns, although movements in the dollar and global bullion markets continue to influence gold's near-term direction.
Dollar sellers hit pause for US inflation data
The trade and sentiment-sensitive Australian dollar rose by nearly 1% through Monday to sit at $0.6921 early on Tuesday and the New Zealand dollar rose even further to trade at $0.5624, with both steady in morning Asia trade.
Americans growing more worried about jobs amid rising prices, finds NY Fed survey
* NY Fed survey finds rising worry over future unemployment * NY Fed poll finds little change in expected inflation * NY Fed survey reports stability in personal financial situations (Adds graphics)
Fed’s Barkin urges rate policy caution, Goolsbee warns of inflation concerns as AI risks loom
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin emphasized the need for caution in managing inflation and its policy risks. He mentioned that inflation continues to pose the biggest challenge for the Federal Reserve's objectives. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee highlighted the rapid AI investments potentially overheating the economy and exacerbating inflation. Policymakers are considering rate increases at the upcoming December meeting to address these inflation concerns.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
NY Fed's John Williams flags need to gather more information on inflation risks before rate decisions
Federal Reserve officials John Williams and Alberto Musalem have flagged persistent inflation risks, with rapid AI infrastructure investment potentially adding to price pressures. Williams backed the need for more economic data before determining monetary policy, while Musalem warned that policymakers must address current inflation rather than wait for future AI-driven productivity gains.
Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
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