US INFLATION INTEREST RATES
US employers add 165,000 jobs in October, but worrying joblessness trends remain: Here's what the latest numbers mean for you
US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, resulting in a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1 percent. Average hourly earnings saw a year-over-year increase of 3.1 percent, although it remains below the inflation rate. The US Federal Reserve might be considering a potential interest rate hike after the robust jobs report, which could be announced next month.
Charting the global economy: Job growth in US tops all forecasts
US employment rose significantly last month, with the jobless rate declining to 4.1%, indicating robust economic activity. Labor productivity increased sharply in the third quarter, reflecting business adaptation to rising costs and greater efficiency.
Dollar jumps after strong US payrolls report
The US dollar index jumped significantly following the Labor Department's report indicating an increase of 165,000 jobs last month, which far exceeded economists' forecasts. As a result, the probability of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve climbed to nearly 80% for next month. Moreover, Federal Reserve officials voiced concerns about ongoing inflation, leading to declines for other currencies such as the euro and sterling against the dollar.
Gold drops as strong US payrolls boost dollar, yields
In light of stronger-than-anticipated US payroll figures, gold prices dipped significantly as the data suggested a robust labor market. This development heightened expectations for sustained high-interest rates from the Federal Reserve, bolstering the dollar's strength. Spot gold saw a decline of 0.3% to reach $4,074.36 per ounce, while US gold futures fell by 0.9%. However, Indian retail demand picked up ahead of Diwali festivities, taking advantage of the lower prices.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
NY Fed's John Williams flags need to gather more information on inflation risks before rate decisions
Federal Reserve officials John Williams and Alberto Musalem have flagged persistent inflation risks, with rapid AI infrastructure investment potentially adding to price pressures. Williams backed the need for more economic data before determining monetary policy, while Musalem warned that policymakers must address current inflation rather than wait for future AI-driven productivity gains.
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Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
Gold set for weekly gain as markets await US payrolls data
Gold prices have seen a surge in early Asian markets, climbing by 0.4% as investors brace for the crucial US non-farm payrolls report. With a projected weekly increase of 5.9%, market sentiment remains optimistic. Two Federal Reserve officials have floated the idea of gradual interest rate hikes to tackle inflation.
Fed's Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin favour gradual rate hikes as inflation stays high
Two officials from the Federal Reserve have supported modest and steady interest rate increases to combat high inflation. They believe these adjustments should minimize disruptions for households, businesses, and financial markets. The Fed has left interest rates unchanged recently, with discussions ongoing about future hikes in December and early next year. The political landscape has shifted following the midterm elections, potentially changing price pressures in the economy.
Fed's Beth Hammack favors gradual rate-hike path to lower inflation
Cleveland's Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack has emphasized the need for additional rate hikes to achieve the target inflation rate of 2%. She proposes implementing smaller, more frequent adjustments to minimize impacts on households and markets. Dissatisfied with the last Fed meeting's outcome, Hammack argues that the current monetary policy lacks sufficient restrictiveness.
Bank of England hikes rates to 4%, first raise since 2023, says more may come amid high UK inflation
In a decisive move, the Bank of England has escalated interest rates to 4% amidst spiraling inflation, projected to hit 4.8% in Q2 next year. Governor Andrew Bailey cautioned that further hikes may be necessary, especially with ongoing global conflicts. Market reactions were notably favorable, with the British pound gaining strength against the US dollar. Enhancements in economic data have prompted economists to revise growth forecasts upwards.
Bank of England raises rates for first time since 2023, says more may come
British inflation is likely to reach around 5% in the middle of next year, the BoE said, more than double the central bank's target and a blow for new Prime Minister Andy Burnham who has sought to ease of cost of living pressures.
Eurozone bond yields edge lower as oil prices stabilise, ECB rate bets ease
Eurozone government bond yields edged lower as oil prices stabilised and investors assessed easing geopolitical risks following US midterm elections. However, rising inflation, potential ECB rate hikes and political uncertainty in France continued to shape market sentiment and influence European debt markets.
Bank of England set to raise interest rates for first time in three years as Iran war fuels inflation
The Bank of England is widely expected to raise interest rates for the first time in three years as the US-Iran conflict fuels energy prices and inflation. Policymakers remain divided over the need for further tightening and the risks to economic growth.
BOJ policymakers signal scope for faster interest rate hikes
Bank of Japan policymakers are signalling support for further interest rate hikes, with some open to accelerating monetary tightening if inflation rises faster than expected, minutes of the September meeting showed. The BOJ raised its benchmark rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, as it seeks to keep inflation near its 2% target.
Eurozone bond yields steady as investors await inflation data; US Treasury yields ease after midterm elections
Eurozone government bond yields were steady as investors awaited October inflation data, while US Treasury yields declined after Democrats gained control of both chambers of Congress. Markets also assessed the likelihood of further European Central Bank rate hikes in December.
El Nino could add to US inflation pressures in 2027, San Francisco Fed paper warns
A San Francisco Fed study warns the current strong El Niño could drive US inflation up by 1 percentage point in 2027, despite temporarily boosting jobs. With inflation already above the 2% target, the climate shock adds further pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates.
US manufacturing strengthens in October, input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity accelerated in October, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, beating Reuters-polled economists' expectations. Strong consumer and AI-related business spending supported growth, but factory input prices remained elevated at 75.2, reinforcing concerns that US inflation could stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Goldman Sachs expects Bank of England to raise rates again in February
Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook on the Bank of England's interest rates, now predicting a possible quarter-point rise in November's monetary policy meeting. This would be the first increase since 2023, influenced by climbing energy costs and robust economic growth. Although immediate policy shifts are unlikely, the Bank will vigilantly observe inflation risks, maintaining rates at 4.25% through mid-next year.
BOJ signals December rate hike, but path beyond 1.5% remains uncertain
The Bank of Japan has strengthened signals of a possible December rate hike as inflation remains above target. However, uncertainty over Japan’s neutral interest rate and the impact of higher borrowing costs leaves the central bank’s longer-term tightening path unclear.
Gold lingers near one-year low as Fed hike expectations firm
Gold prices experienced a minor uptick in early trading across Asia; however, they linger near a one-year low. Persistent worries about inflation are bolstering expectations for an impending Federal Reserve rate increase this year. The recent drop in tech stocks has placed additional strain on bullion prices, prompting a sell-off in safe-haven investments. Buyers in major Asian markets, especially India and China, remain hesitant amid expectations of further price declines.
Gold rate, silver price today: Why is gold price down today? When will gold recover from its worst trading day since mid-July?
Gold prices fell to their lowest since mid-July on Friday. Gold rates were going down for a second straight monthly decline.
Gold prices edge lower as US inflation data reinforces Fed outlook
Gold prices fell in early Asian trading, reflecting a decline of over 1% from the previous session. Spot gold is currently valued at $4,006.06 per ounce, while US gold futures have dipped to $4,018.50. Heightened inflation worries have raised fears of a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December.
US inflation heats up in September; consumer spending rises
In September, the US experienced a notable rise in inflation, driven by surging gasoline prices and other consumer goods. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index climbed to 0.5%, up from 0.3% previously. Despite inflation-adjusted consumer spending remaining flat, it still rose by 0.5%, reflecting a resilient economic activity. The Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates steady, though considerable inflationary pressures have analysts anticipating a possible rate hike in December.
The bond market swings, but US stocks remain steady after the Fed says it won't raise interest rates
U.S. stock markets rallied following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates steady. As inflation remains a concern, investors are recalibrating their outlook on potential future rate increases. The bond market showed fluctuations, particularly in the two-year Treasury yield post-announcement. Notably, several companies, such as GE HealthCare Technologies and Wendy's, reported better-than-expected earnings, leading to significant stock price surges.
Gold dips on firmer dollar; US inflation data in focus
Gold prices experienced a decline as the dollar strengthened following the Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady. Market participants are now paying close attention to forthcoming inflation statistics, which could sway the Fed's future decisions. Spot gold dropped by 0.7%, while both silver and platinum recorded slight downturns. However, palladium saw a modest uptick due to ongoing market volatility.
US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as stubborn inflation puts future rate hikes in focus
The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged to evaluate inflation trends. Policymakers are assessing how high inflation might affect future monetary policy amid the upcoming midterm elections. Rising energy prices and tariffs contribute significantly to the ongoing inflation pressures faced by the economy. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report for indications of future rate hikes.
US Fed expected to hold rates as Iran war fuels inflation concerns
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady as rising energy prices linked to the Iran war fuel inflation concerns. With consumer prices accelerating and affordability under pressure, investors will watch Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on the December rate decision and the outlook for further monetary tightening.
US Fed Decision: What to expect from Warsh's October meeting
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its October meeting amid persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs. Investors will scrutinise Chairman Kevin Warsh’s comments on inflation, policy independence and future rate decisions, with potential December tightening and internal disagreements remaining key concerns for financial markets and households.
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