US FED
Fed's Bowman flags persistent inflation, expects price pressure to ease next year
Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman flagged persistent US inflation but stopped short of calling for further rate hikes. She expects core PCE inflation to ease next year as AI-related demand pressures and geopolitical shocks fade, while highlighting risks to the economic outlook.
US household debt rises to $19.1 trillion in Q3, delinquencies edge higher: New York Fed
US household debt rises by $334 billion to $19.1 trillion in Q3, while troubled borrowing edges up to 5% of total debt, according to the New York Fed. Despite rising mortgage, auto and credit card delinquencies, overall credit quality remains relatively stable, with student loan defaults continuing to increase.
Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
Gold prices near Rs 1.45 lakh/10g, silver jumps Rs 2,900/kg on MCX despite rising Fed rate hike bets. Check rates in your city
Gold and silver recovered modestly after a sharp previous-session decline, but hotter US inflation data fuelled expectations of a December Fed rate hike. Investors also tracked international bullion prices, geopolitical developments and retail gold rates across major Indian cities.
Gold holds near one-week low as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike bets
Gold prices rose 0.2% to $4,039.07 per ounce in early Asian trade on Wednesday. This increase followed a nearly 3% decline in the previous session due to US inflation data. The data indicated stronger inflation, leading to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month. Traders now believe there is a 100% chance of an interest rate increase in December.
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Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation
The US dollar is holding onto gains following a stronger-than-expected inflation report. Federal Reserve comments indicate potential rate hikes to address ongoing inflation concerns. Market expectations are shifting, with traders anticipating a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has also increased, reflecting market sentiments. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether are trading near three-month lows amidst these developments.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks rise on CoreWeave results, bonds drop
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose as much 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi swung between gains and losses. A broader gauge of Asian shares advanced 0.2%. Contracts for tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4% in early Asian after the underlying index dropped 0.6% in regular trading.
US treasury yields jump: What does it mean for mortgage rates?
Higher interest rates can help rein in inflation, but they do so by making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money.
US stocks: US market falls as hot inflation, hawkish Fed fuel rate-hike fears
US stocks closed lower after hotter-than-expected inflation data strengthened expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike and raised the possibility of more aggressive tightening. Rising Treasury yields and weakness in technology stocks, particularly Nvidia, weighed on the market, while investors also assessed hawkish Fed comments and Anthropic’s upcoming IPO.
Fed’s Christopher Waller opens door to 50-basis-point December rate hike after hot CPI
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has raised the possibility of a 50-basis-point December rate hike after US core inflation rose 0.3% in October. Persistent price pressures have intensified debate over tighter monetary policy and the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility.
US Fed's Logan calls for two more rate hikes, possibly rapidly
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the central bank needs at least two more quarter-point rate increases to curb persistent inflation and prevent price pressures from becoming entrenched. She suggested policymakers could accelerate the pace of tightening this winter, beginning with the Fed’s December 8-9 meeting.
Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.
CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
Consumer prices in the US experienced a larger-than-expected increase in October, affecting future Federal Reserve interest rates. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4%, following a 0.6% increase in September. Core CPI also increased, leading many to predict a rate hike in December. Despite missing year-over-year data, inflation remains significantly above the Fed's 2% target.
US Treasury yields rise as Fed's Waller presses rate hike case
Following remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, short-dated Treasury yields saw an uptick, as he proposed the necessity of action despite seemingly moderated inflation data. Waller highlighted a possible half-point rate increase if inflation intensifies, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy. Economists expect a modest rise in core inflation, guiding market anticipations as money markets now fully reflect a 25 basis point increase in December.
Americans growing more worried about jobs amid rising prices, finds NY Fed survey
* NY Fed survey finds rising worry over future unemployment * NY Fed poll finds little change in expected inflation * NY Fed survey reports stability in personal financial situations (Adds graphics)
Fed’s Barkin urges rate policy caution, Goolsbee warns of inflation concerns as AI risks loom
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin emphasized the need for caution in managing inflation and its policy risks. He mentioned that inflation continues to pose the biggest challenge for the Federal Reserve's objectives. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee highlighted the rapid AI investments potentially overheating the economy and exacerbating inflation. Policymakers are considering rate increases at the upcoming December meeting to address these inflation concerns.
US dollar dips as easing AI and Mideast worries limit its appeal
After a six-month high, the US dollar is now on a downward trend, largely spurred by impressive job growth figures. Investors are eagerly awaiting the upcoming consumer price index data, a key factor for Federal Reserve rate considerations. Meanwhile, the euro and other currencies are rebounding against the dollar, backed by solid economic indicators.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Higher yields offer opportunities, but investors need not rush into long-duration funds: Shriram Ramanathan
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Shriram Ramanathan, CIO–Fixed Income at HSBC Mutual Fund, discusses the changing dynamics in India’s bond market, the outlook for interest rates and yields, and how investors should navigate the choice between debt mutual funds, fixed deposits and government securities. He also explains why liquidity and flexibility could matter more than rushing to lock into longer-duration bets in the current environment.
US dollar holds onto payrolls gains, NZ dollar rises after election
Dollar index steadies at 102.20 after jumping about 0.7% Friday * Fed hike bets rekindled after receding amid AI stock selloff * NZ ballot too close to call, leader will not be known for weeks TOKYO
Gold edges up as softer crude tempers inflation concerns
Gold prices edged higher on Monday as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns, though gains were capped by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep US interest rates higher
NY Fed's John Williams flags need to gather more information on inflation risks before rate decisions
Federal Reserve officials John Williams and Alberto Musalem have flagged persistent inflation risks, with rapid AI infrastructure investment potentially adding to price pressures. Williams backed the need for more economic data before determining monetary policy, while Musalem warned that policymakers must address current inflation rather than wait for future AI-driven productivity gains.
Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
Gold price prediction: Gold rate falls amidst big movement in oil price, inflation, check experts' opinions
Gold rate on Friday took a hit after pivotal factors like oil prices and inflation have impact on the bullion.
Fed's Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin favour gradual rate hikes as inflation stays high
Two officials from the Federal Reserve have supported modest and steady interest rate increases to combat high inflation. They believe these adjustments should minimize disruptions for households, businesses, and financial markets. The Fed has left interest rates unchanged recently, with discussions ongoing about future hikes in December and early next year. The political landscape has shifted following the midterm elections, potentially changing price pressures in the economy.
Fed's Beth Hammack favors gradual rate-hike path to lower inflation
Cleveland's Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack has emphasized the need for additional rate hikes to achieve the target inflation rate of 2%. She proposes implementing smaller, more frequent adjustments to minimize impacts on households and markets. Dissatisfied with the last Fed meeting's outcome, Hammack argues that the current monetary policy lacks sufficient restrictiveness.
Democrats’ Senate win could shield Federal Reserve from Trump’s influence, but risks persist
Democrats’ midterm victory could strengthen the Federal Reserve’s independence by limiting President Donald Trump’s ability to appoint allies to its board. A Democrat controlled Senate could also intensify scrutiny of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with Elizabeth Warren likely to lead the Senate Banking Committee and challenge the administration’s banking reforms.
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