US ECONOMIC GROWTH
Global Market: Chinese yuan hits four-year high, heads for fourth straight monthly gain
China’s yuan reached its strongest level against the US dollar in more than four years, supported by exporter dollar sales, robust exports and a weaker greenback. The currency has gained about 5% this year, while the PBOC’s stronger daily fixing suggests policymakers are comfortable with its appreciation, though the pace may moderate.
Global Market: ECB may pause rate hikes after December amid growth risks
European Central Bank policymakers expect to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December to counter energy-led inflation, before pausing further monetary tightening as rising bond yields are expected to weigh on economic growth and price pressures.
Finmin pegs Q2 expansion at 7.35%,flags capital pressure over US yield
India’s economy is estimated to have grown 7.35% in the September quarter, supported by strong industrial output, GST collections, energy use, port traffic and auto sales, the finance ministry said. It expects domestic demand and investment to sustain momentum, while warning that high crude prices, food inflation, rupee pressure and elevated US bond yields could pose risks in the second half.
US Bond Treasury Yield Notes fall big: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year notes down? Check factors, what to expect
US Treasury yields were down ahead of the US midterm elections 2026 due to a number of factors.
US Markets Today: US stocks end lower as Alphabet revenue miss revives AI capex jitters
Wall Street ended the day on a sour note, as Alphabet's revenue shortfall cast a shadow over the AI investment landscape and overall market stability. The Nasdaq Composite was hardest hit, plummeting by 1.36 percent. Although the economy shows robust growth, investor focus shifted to inflation numbers and corporate profitability, which displayed resilience.
US stocks today: Nasdaq slides over 1% as Alphabet's AI spending revives investor concerns
The Nasdaq Composite dropped over 1% as Alphabet reported disappointing advertising results. The downturn was worsened by software stocks, which fell following Fortinet and ServiceNow's unfavorable quarterly performances. Rising AI spending concerns and inflation data also impacted investor sentiment. On a brighter note, Eli Lilly's shares surged due to strong revenue forecasts, while Caterpillar faced declines as it kept its annual sales forecast steady.
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US inflation heats up in September; consumer spending rises
In September, the US experienced a notable rise in inflation, driven by surging gasoline prices and other consumer goods. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index climbed to 0.5%, up from 0.3% previously. Despite inflation-adjusted consumer spending remaining flat, it still rose by 0.5%, reflecting a resilient economic activity. The Federal Reserve opted to keep interest rates steady, though considerable inflationary pressures have analysts anticipating a possible rate hike in December.
US economy grows faster than expected at 3.4% in Q3 on consumer spending, AI boom
The US economy grew at a faster-than-expected 3.4% annualised rate in the third quarter, driven by resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment despite higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict. The robust growth contrasts with weak consumer sentiment and comes as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged.
US Market: Fed holds rates steady, but bond investors remain concerned over inflation
The US Treasury yield curve steepened after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, as investors weighed inflation risks, fiscal concerns and the outlook for interest rates. Longer-dated bond yields faced pressure amid worries over government borrowing and the term premium. Mixed economic signals also raised questions about the Fed’s growth assessment, while markets continued to price in the possibility of further rate hikes.
Global Market: China stocks fall as tech selloff deepens despite Fed rate pause
Chinese stocks declined as a sharp selloff in technology and AI-related shares outweighed the US Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The Shanghai Composite fell 0.9%, while the CSI300 dropped 1.2% and the STAR50 tumbled 4.2%.
US Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh just telegraphed more rate hikes without saying it
Warsh used his assessment of a strong economy and warnings over persistent inflation to signal the Fed’s job is not yet done. The message reinforced expectations that officials will raise borrowing costs in December — after holding them steady Wednesday — with the potential for another increase in early 2027.
Fed holds rates, says data will guide next move
In their latest meeting, Federal Reserve officials decided to keep interest rates steady, reflecting a measured approach towards inflation concerns. Not all agreed, however; two officials pushed for an increase to counteract growing prices. Current economic indicators reveal robust growth, driven by increased consumer spending and investment. Analysts are keenly awaiting upcoming inflation data to better gauge the Fed's policy direction, which aims for a 2 percent inflation target.
US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as stubborn inflation puts future rate hikes in focus
The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged to evaluate inflation trends. Policymakers are assessing how high inflation might affect future monetary policy amid the upcoming midterm elections. Rising energy prices and tariffs contribute significantly to the ongoing inflation pressures faced by the economy. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report for indications of future rate hikes.
Fed's Kevin Warsh says US economy not running too hot from AI boom
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said on Wednesday that the US economy is not running too hot despite some demand pressures from the boom in AI investment, adding
US Fed expected to hold rates as Iran war fuels inflation concerns
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady as rising energy prices linked to the Iran war fuel inflation concerns. With consumer prices accelerating and affordability under pressure, investors will watch Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments for clues on the December rate decision and the outlook for further monetary tightening.
US goods trade deficit unexpectedly widens in September
The goods trade shortfall increased 2.1%, or $2.8 billion to $134.9 billion last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the goods deficit at $130.2 billion.
US Market: AI boom could weaken dollar’s safe-haven appeal as foreign flows rise
The US dollar’s safe-haven status could face pressure if the AI investment boom unwinds, prompting foreign investors to pull back from American equities and corporate bonds. Weaker growth, lower interest rates and credit-market stress could amplify the risk.
Before becoming Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu studied at MIT and worked at Boston Consulting Group; how his business career shaped his economic policies
Benjamin Netanyahu studied architecture at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). There he reportedly earned a bachelor's degree. He also studied business management at MIT and earned a master's degree. After completing his education he worked at Boston Consulting Group (BCG) in the late 1970s.
US Fed opens two-day meeting with markets expecting rate hold
Policymakers at the US Federal Reserve opened a two-day meeting Tuesday to set interest rates, with markets expecting them to hold steady days ahead of crucial midterm elections. On Tuesday, markets put the probability of rates being held steady at near 90 percent, as per CME's FedWatch tool. aha/mjf
RBI may raise repo rate to 6.25% by 2027 amid inflation risks: Deutsche Bank
The Reserve Bank of India is anticipated to raise the repo rate to 6.25% by mid-2027. This increase is driven by persistent inflationary pressures and robust economic growth expectations. Deutsche Bank forecasts an average consumer price index inflation of 6% in late 2026, stabilizing to 4.7% by FY28. India's GDP growth is projected above 7% for both FY27 and FY28.
US growth boosted by AI, but no sign of a turning point higher
Economists estimate the growth potential of the US economy to be around 2%, whereas President Donald Trump aspires to double it. Business investments are escalating, primarily driven by the demands for data centers and enhanced AI capabilities, which can positively affect GDP growth. However, the influence of artificial intelligence on productivity is still unpredictable, and tariff strategies for cutting imports yield mixed results, affecting the market dynamics significantly.
Global Market: China's yuan hits four-year high as dollar weakens ahead of policy meetings
The yuan of China has surged to a peak not seen in four years against the US dollar, driven by evolving market dynamics and currency evaluations. The People's Bank of China established this daily midpoint, marking its strongest position since early February. Experts predict that this upward trend in yuan value may persist, citing signs of dollar softness intertwined with local policy adjustments.
US business activity cools in October; strong demand fueling price pressures
US business activity experienced a slight slowdown in October, though strong demand allowed price increases. The S&P Global Composite PMI Output Index indicated sustained economic expansion, even amid challenges. New orders received by businesses rose slightly, with the services sector seeing growth. Although price pressures persisted, employment in manufacturing increased significantly, highlighting capacity expansion. Economists anticipate further inflation concerns due to ongoing supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions.
Major new US regulation on AI unlikely despite rising political focus: UBS Report
In the United States, significant regulations on Artificial Intelligence appear improbable, as economic optimism prevails. This technology is viewed as a cornerstone for future economic growth and enhanced productivity. The midterm elections are predicted to have a minimal effect on existing regulations. While developers advocate for stricter safety protocols, the tech industry has opted for voluntary collaborations instead.
When it comes to Trump's economy, these are the numbers that matter before mid-term elections
United States President Donald Trump attempted to convince voters before the upcoming mid-term elections that the American economy is growing. However, voters have maintained the negative effects of inflation caused by the Iran war. The economy is seeing slowing job growth and widening income inequality, with high interest rates encumbering housing and automobile purchases.
Tech giants' AI spending to exceed $1 trillion in 2027, lift US growth: UBS
Major technology companies are projected to invest more than USD 1 trillion in artificial intelligence infrastructure by 2027. Reports indicate that demand for computing capacity is exceeding supply, influencing investment decisions.
Global Market: China's yuan hits four-year high on export strength, weak dollar
China’s onshore yuan touched a more than four-year high against the US dollar, supported by robust exports, resilient economic growth, foreign exchange inflows and a weaker greenback. The currency has gained 4.7% against the dollar so far in 2026.
Vietnam's export boom offers India six lessons for growth
Vietnam’s export success offers India six lessons: simplify tariffs, strengthen top-level industry engagement, expand free trade access, ease local content rules and ensure predictable taxes to attract global supply chains and boost exports.
Fed sneezes, but emerging markets aren't catching a cold yet: McGeever
Emerging markets are displaying surprising economic resilience in light of the Federal Reserve's tightening measures. Stronger fiscal fundamentals and high bond yields provide emerging market central banks with greater flexibility. Some countries are even considering rate cuts, which may not have been possible in the past. Investor sentiment is shifting towards emerging markets as they are viewed more favorably compared to developed economies.
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