US CONSUMER SENTIMENT
India bonds give up gains as high oil prices weigh
Indian government bonds declined on Monday due to rising oil prices affecting market sentiment and the rupee. The rupee fell for the third consecutive day, adding pressure on bond yields and currency. India's central bank is expected to consider interest rate hikes to stabilize the currency amidst inflation concerns. The Reserve Bank of India has raised its inflation forecast, anticipating a peak of 6% in consumer prices.
The war bump is a false victory for S&P 500 profits
The commentary argues that strong S&P 500 earnings growth is narrowly concentrated in AI-linked companies and sectors benefiting from the Iran war, including energy, defence and materials. It warns that higher fuel prices, inflation and borrowing costs could weaken consumer demand, while heavy dependence on the AI boom leaves the market vulnerable if investment returns disappoint.
Research: Navigating the Business Risks of Changing Pro-America Sentiment
U.S. firms increasingly operate in a marketplace where “Made in USA” is no longer a neutral provenance claim but a charged political signal. A new study analyzing 5,355 companies over twenty years found that pro-America marketing has increasingly shifted from pride-based patriotism to grievance-fueled, us‑versus‑them nationalism. While this can create upsides—new customers, loyalty, pricing power—it also exposes companies to narrative capture, boycotts, and legal scrutiny. To avoid risk, companies must examine their exposure along two axes: domestic embeddedness and symbolic intensity. Leaders must align operations and symbolism, set clear guardrails, and proactively manage meaning drift before others define their loyalties.
Global equity funds attract $28.16 billion as easing yields boost sentiment
Global equity funds attracted $28.16 billion in weekly inflows as easing US Treasury yields and strong corporate earnings lifted investor sentiment. Asian equities led regional allocations, while technology, bond and precious metals funds also drew fresh investments.
Gold lingers near three-month low ahead of Fed policy meeting
Gold prices dipped close to a three-month low, reflecting worries from investors as the Federal Reserve meeting approaches. While an interest rate hike appears more likely for December, this week’s chances remain low. In the oil market, prices fell back after a prior rise, amid ongoing supply worries linked to conflicts.
Charting the global economy: Euro area business activity cools
The euro area’s private sector slowed more than expected in October, weighed down by France as the region’s No. 2 economy grapples with fiscal and political tensions.
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Nifty bears tighten grip as crude, geopolitical risks, FII outflows mount: 5 factors to decide D-Street’s fate next week
Indian stock markets faced a setback as crude oil prices soared, triggered by increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite some defensive buying from domestic institutions, foreign investors pulled back. The forthcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is poised to impact global market moods. Investors will be keenly watching industrial production metrics and second-quarter earnings for insights on corporate health, as macroeconomic stability remains crucial for market trends.
Operation Sindoor enters US Midterms as Trump boasts mediation
During a rally in Florida, Trump claimed he stopped a potential war between India and Pakistan through tariffs. He expressed that these actions prevented escalation following the Pahalgam terror attack. Trump mentioned the shooting down of eleven planes as evidence of conflict, which he alleges he resolved without UN involvement. Despite his assertions, India has consistently rejected Trump's claims of brokering peace between the two nations.
FIIs dump Indian stocks for 10th straight week as markets slide: Is the worst over or more pain ahead?
The Nifty 50 declined in all four sessions of the holiday-shortened week, hitting an intraweek low of 22,372 on Friday before closing 2.4% lower at 22,600. The Bank Nifty fell 2.8%, while the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 plunged 5.6% and 7.3%, respectively, as selling pressure intensified beyond frontline stocks.
Growth, value stocks set for reshuffle as S&P adopts new rules
S&P Dow Jones Indices will soon change its rules for classifying growth and value shares. The new criteria will incorporate intangible assets, forward earnings, and free cash flow instead of relying on 12-month price momentum. These changes are expected to affect approximately $375 billion of passive funds linked to the index. FTSE Russell is also considering adjustments due to the dominance of technology companies.
US consumer sentiment near record low ahead of midterm elections
In October, consumer sentiment in the U.S. plummeted to a concerning 48.0, driven by rising prices and economic worries amid the ongoing Middle East conflict. Survey results suggest that independents show the steepest drop in confidence, approaching historical lows. Additionally, inflation expectations have risen, marking a continuation of trends from earlier this year. Federal Reserve officials are attentively observing these shifts as they plan future interest rate adjustments.
US Markets Today: Dow ends 600 pts lower as AI doubts persist ahead of Fed meet
US stocks ended lower after a turbulent week as fresh doubts over the AI trade weighed on sentiment. The Dow fell 1.25%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also declined. Investors turned their focus to major earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon, along with next week’s Federal Reserve meeting.
US Treasury yield on 10-year note, 30-year bond, 2-year jump again: What does this mean for US Fed interest rate?
US treasury yield on 10-year note plunged 19.3 basis points on Thursday, its biggest drop since March 10, 2023, when SVB Financial Group was closed by regulators after the bank's failed attempt to raise capital.
Strong macro fundamentals, policy interventions to anchor eco against global headwinds: RBI bulletin
Strong macroeconomic fundamentals continue to support the Indian economy against global inflation and trade tensions. Recent geopolitical frictions have resulted in increased prices and supply chain issues, leading to policy changes. Currency fluctuations were observed, but measures by the Reserve Bank helped stabilize the rupee recently. Foreign Direct Investment remains robust, driven by significant inflows from major sources like the US and Singapore.
Silver prices slide below Rs 2 lakh/kg, down nearly 55% from Jan peak. What’s behind the rapid selloff?
MCX silver prices fell below Rs 2 lakh per kg after a sharp two-day decline, as a stronger dollar, elevated bond yields and hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations weighed on sentiment. Fresh import permits and industrial demand remain key factors for the outlook.
ETMarkets Smart Talk: Smallcap investors should consider a five-year SIP horizon amid volatility: Sorbh Gupta
In an interview with Kshitij Anand of ETMarkets, Sorbh Gupta, Head of Equity at Bajaj Asset Management Limited, says investors considering smallcap exposure could look at a five-year SIP horizon, depending on their risk appetite and financial goals. He also explains why market volatility may persist in the near term, where valuations look more attractive, and how investors should approach fresh investments amid global uncertainties.
From CDMO to aerospace: How Vikas Khemani finds India’s next big themes
Now, as Carnelian has ventured into mutual fund business by launching a small-cap fund with a ₹5,000 crore cap, Khemani is focusing on manufacturing, financials and IT while warning investors against confusing market capitalisation with valuation. In an interview, he explains how the fund plans to manage size, assess expensive growth opportunities and position for the next market re-rating.
Gold heads for sharpest weekly decline in four months on Fed rate outlook
Gold prices took a hit on Friday amid strong indicators of US economic growth and climbing oil prices. Spot gold prices sank to their lowest since August, and US gold futures mirrored the drop. Positive employment figures showed a decrease in unemployment claims, hinting at stronger job growth in October.
Euro zone consumer confidence falls to -17.9 in October
The European Commission said a flash estimate showed euro zone consumer morale decreased to -17.9 this month from a revised -16.8 in September.
Global Market: Bank of Korea holds interest rates at 3% after back-to-back hikes
The Bank of Korea kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.00% on Thursday, pausing after back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes in July and August. The decision was in line with expectations of all 34 economists surveyed by Reuters.
Global Market: Hong Kong stocks slump to four-month low as China stimulus hopes fade
Hong Kong stocks plunged to a four-month low, while mainland Chinese blue-chip shares approached bear-market territory as technology stocks sold off. Weak stimulus expectations, concerns over economic imbalances and broader AI-related market losses weighed on investor sentiment.
Chinese stock market enters bear territory! CSI 300 index crashes 20% from June peak
China’s CSI 300 index entered bear market territory on Thursday, falling 20% from its June peak amid concerns over taxation policies, slowing economic growth and weak corporate earnings. Geopolitical uncertainty and fears of an artificial intelligence bubble have added to investor anxiety, though some analysts expect a potential rebound in 2027.
When it comes to Trump's economy, these are the numbers that matter before mid-term elections
United States President Donald Trump attempted to convince voters before the upcoming mid-term elections that the American economy is growing. However, voters have maintained the negative effects of inflation caused by the Iran war. The economy is seeing slowing job growth and widening income inequality, with high interest rates encumbering housing and automobile purchases.
US Market: Wall Street’s AI rally faces test as Meta earnings loom
Wall Street’s AI-driven rally faces a crucial test as Meta, semiconductor makers and major companies report quarterly earnings. Investors will scrutinise AI infrastructure spending, profitability prospects, valuations and chip demand. Rising Treasury yields and potential Federal Reserve rate hikes add uncertainty, raising questions about the sustainability of technology-led market gains.
FPIs pull out Rs 52,100 cr from equities in Oct so far amid global headwinds
Foreign portfolio investors have withdrawn Rs 52,100 crore from Indian equities as of October this year. This follows a net withdrawal of Rs 35,861 crore in September, indicating ongoing financial retreat. Elevated crude oil prices, higher US bond yields, and a stronger dollar have affected investor sentiment. Despite temporary buying by foreign investors on October 16, selling in certain sectors continues.
Christmas cheer, but caution remains: Exporters welcome US tariff relief, keep diversification plans
US President Donald Trump’s decision to waive proposed tariffs of up to 100% on buyers of Russian oil has eased uncertainty for Indian exporters ahead of the crucial Christmas shipping season. However, businesses across textiles, gems and jewellery, and human hair products say they will continue diversifying export markets after last year’s tariff turmoil, even as the US remains a key destination for Indian goods.
Beyond Titan and Kalyan: Analysts pick these jewellery stocks as potential market winners. Do you own any?
As the festive season approaches, India's gems and jewellery sector braces itself for an influx of consumer demand. Analysts believe that sustained purchases tied to weddings could boost sales, even amid rising gold prices. While Titan Company and Kalyan Jewellers remain prominent, Senco Gold and Lalithaa Jewellery Mart are capturing investor interest.
Treasury rally could lift India bonds at open, but caution prevails
Indian government bonds are expected to draw investor interest early Thursday as US Treasury yields retreat. The Reserve Bank of India's recent hawkish outlook on interest rates continues to create a cautious market environment. The 6.94% 2036 bond yield is projected to stabilize after closing at 7.3999%. Furthermore, predictions suggest that September's consumer inflation may breach 6%, influencing the central bank's decisions, with further interest rate increases anticipated.
Charting the Global Economy: Sentiment among US consumers wanes
As consumer sentiment declines in the US and Japan experiences weakening household spending, Europe faces challenges with rising bond yields and falling factory orders. Meanwhile, China introduces fiscal measures to bolster growth and inflation dynamics shift across emerging markets.
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