US CONSUMER INFLATION
India's October retail inflation quickens to 6.09% to breach RBI's tolerance ceiling
India's retail inflation accelerated to 6.09% in October, largely driven by rising food prices and supply disruptions. Food inflation significantly contributed to overall price increases, affecting household staples like onions and proteins. Economists noted concerns about potential double-digit inflation for various food categories amid global price pressures. The Reserve Bank of India expects average inflation for the financial year to be around 5.2%.
Japanese investors sell foreign bonds for seventh time in eight weeks
Japanese investors sold 537.6 billion yen ($3.36 billion) in foreign long-term bonds for the seventh time in eight weeks, reflecting caution over US inflation and Federal Reserve rate expectations. They also withdrew from overseas equities. Meanwhile, foreign investors continued buying Japanese long-term bonds, marking their sixth consecutive week of net purchases.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
India bonds to stay hemmed in by oil, Treasury moves ahead of inflation data
Indian government bonds are anticipated to trade between softer oil prices and rising US yields. The market is waiting for domestic inflation data that could influence the Reserve Bank of India's rate strategy. A Reuters poll estimates an increase in annual consumer inflation, potentially leading to further tightening by the RBI. Investors are cautious ahead of a significant bond auction scheduled for Friday.
Dollar firms as hot inflation, hawkish Fed talk lift rate-hike bets
The US dollar has gained against multiple currencies due to expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Inflation data revealed an increase in consumer prices, prompting trader speculation about further monetary tightening. The Japanese yen has weakened to its lowest level in over two months, approaching significant mark. Many developed-market currencies are performing poorly against the dollar this year, attributed to widening interest-rate gaps.
Sterling drops against firmer dollar as markets price in a hawkish Fed
The pound fell against the dollar following strong US inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Despite recent hawkish expectations supporting the pound, crude oil prices are rising, which could be unfavorable. Britain's gross domestic product data is due soon, with growth expectations for the third quarter. Analysts remain skeptical about the Bank of England achieving inflation targets before 2030.
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Bitcoin price today: Why BTC USD fell near $73,000 after US CPI report and could it crash to $70,000 next?
Bitcoin price today after CPI report: BTC USD slipped towards $73,000 after hotter-than-expected US inflation data revived fears of a bigger Federal Reserve rate hike in December. With Bitcoin funds seeing billions of dollars in withdrawals, traders are watching whether BTC can hold $73,000 or face another decline towards $70,000.
Reverse AI trade drives foreign inflows back to India but rising US inflation poses challenge: Ajay Bagga
Foreign investors are returning to Indian equity markets as global funds shift away from the artificial intelligence infrastructure trade in markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while India's relatively attractive valuations and falling crude oil prices are improving its investment appeal, banking and market expert Ajay Bagga said.
Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.
China stocks edge lower, Hong Kong shares fall as global rate concerns weigh
Chinese mainland stocks edged lower while Hong Kong equities fell as investors assessed rising global bond yields, stronger US inflation and uncertainty in oil markets. Technology stocks showed resilience, with the ChiNext index gaining 1% and the CSI 5G Communications Index rising 3%.
Fed's Paulson signals further gradual interest rate hikes to curb inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson signals support for further interest rate hikes to curb persistent US inflation, which remains above the Fed’s 2% target. Strong October CPI data, resilient employment and rising price pressures reinforce expectations of monetary tightening, with markets anticipating additional increases in December.
South Korean shares fall as AI concerns, US inflation weigh on sentiment
South Korean shares fell as concerns over elevated AI valuations and stronger-than-expected US inflation weighed on investor sentiment. The benchmark KOSPI declined 0.34%, led by losses in chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. The won strengthened against the dollar, while government bond yields rose amid expectations of further US interest rate hikes.
Fed’s Christopher Waller opens door to 50-basis-point December rate hike after hot CPI
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has raised the possibility of a 50-basis-point December rate hike after US core inflation rose 0.3% in October. Persistent price pressures have intensified debate over tighter monetary policy and the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility.
US Fed's Logan calls for two more rate hikes, possibly rapidly
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said the central bank needs at least two more quarter-point rate increases to curb persistent inflation and prevent price pressures from becoming entrenched. She suggested policymakers could accelerate the pace of tightening this winter, beginning with the Fed’s December 8-9 meeting.
Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.
CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
Consumer prices in the US experienced a larger-than-expected increase in October, affecting future Federal Reserve interest rates. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4%, following a 0.6% increase in September. Core CPI also increased, leading many to predict a rate hike in December. Despite missing year-over-year data, inflation remains significantly above the Fed's 2% target.
US inflation rises 0.4% in October, exceeding forecasts amid price pressures
U.S. inflation rates rose unexpectedly last month, indicating ongoing challenges for the government and Federal Reserve. The consumer price index increased by 0.4% from September to October this year, slightly above forecasts. Although the rise was lower than the previous month's increase, inflation remains above the target rate of 2%. Voter dissatisfaction regarding high living costs influenced recent midterm election outcomes.
US Treasury yields rise as Fed's Waller presses rate hike case
Following remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, short-dated Treasury yields saw an uptick, as he proposed the necessity of action despite seemingly moderated inflation data. Waller highlighted a possible half-point rate increase if inflation intensifies, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy. Economists expect a modest rise in core inflation, guiding market anticipations as money markets now fully reflect a 25 basis point increase in December.
Gold dips ahead of US inflation data
Gold prices edged lower in early Asian trade on Tuesday as investors awaited US inflation data later in the day for clues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move.
Americans growing more worried about jobs amid rising prices, finds NY Fed survey
* NY Fed survey finds rising worry over future unemployment * NY Fed poll finds little change in expected inflation * NY Fed survey reports stability in personal financial situations (Adds graphics)
Fed’s Barkin urges rate policy caution, Goolsbee warns of inflation concerns as AI risks loom
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin emphasized the need for caution in managing inflation and its policy risks. He mentioned that inflation continues to pose the biggest challenge for the Federal Reserve's objectives. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee highlighted the rapid AI investments potentially overheating the economy and exacerbating inflation. Policymakers are considering rate increases at the upcoming December meeting to address these inflation concerns.
US dollar dips as easing AI and Mideast worries limit its appeal
After a six-month high, the US dollar is now on a downward trend, largely spurred by impressive job growth figures. Investors are eagerly awaiting the upcoming consumer price index data, a key factor for Federal Reserve rate considerations. Meanwhile, the euro and other currencies are rebounding against the dollar, backed by solid economic indicators.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.
Charting the global economy: Job growth in US tops all forecasts
US employment rose significantly last month, with the jobless rate declining to 4.1%, indicating robust economic activity. Labor productivity increased sharply in the third quarter, reflecting business adaptation to rising costs and greater efficiency.
The high price of being King Trump: How tariffs and war fuelled voter anger
Inflation has significantly impacted the political careers of Biden and Trump. Rising costs have led to voter discontent against both administrations in recent elections. Trump's tariff policies and military actions have contributed to increasing economic burdens on citizens. Democrats now have an opportunity to implement policies that address voter concerns about inflation and foreign conflict. Improving these areas could help position them competitively for the 2028 presidential election.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
India's October consumer inflation likely nears top of RBI target on food costs: Reuters poll
India's consumer inflation is projected to rise in October, mainly driven by significant increases in food prices. Economists expect food inflation to reach 8.20%, reflecting ongoing market pressures. Rising global food prices and higher input costs contribute to the inflationary environment. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates inflation to average 5.2% for the current financial year. A rate hike is likely to occur in the central bank's upcoming policy meeting.
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