US ANNUAL INFLATION EASES
India bonds track Treasury weakness ahead of debt supply
Indian government bonds are currently facing losses as traders brace for an influx of debt supply and mounting inflation pressures. The 10-year US Treasury yield is nearing the 5% mark, fueled by predictions of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes in December. With India's retail inflation climbing to 6.09%, expectations rise for further rate adjustments by the Reserve Bank of India.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
India bonds to stay hemmed in by oil, Treasury moves ahead of inflation data
Indian government bonds are anticipated to trade between softer oil prices and rising US yields. The market is waiting for domestic inflation data that could influence the Reserve Bank of India's rate strategy. A Reuters poll estimates an increase in annual consumer inflation, potentially leading to further tightening by the RBI. Investors are cautious ahead of a significant bond auction scheduled for Friday.
Sterling drops against firmer dollar as markets price in a hawkish Fed
The pound fell against the dollar following strong US inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Despite recent hawkish expectations supporting the pound, crude oil prices are rising, which could be unfavorable. Britain's gross domestic product data is due soon, with growth expectations for the third quarter. Analysts remain skeptical about the Bank of England achieving inflation targets before 2030.
Reverse AI trade drives foreign inflows back to India but rising US inflation poses challenge: Ajay Bagga
Foreign investors are returning to Indian equity markets as global funds shift away from the artificial intelligence infrastructure trade in markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while India's relatively attractive valuations and falling crude oil prices are improving its investment appeal, banking and market expert Ajay Bagga said.
European shares rise as Siemens Energy forecast lifts AI optimism; inflation concerns persist
European shares opened higher, supported by positive forecasts from Siemens Energy and CoreWeave, which eases AI investment concerns. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose significantly, nearing record highs from August. However, inflation concerns, increased oil prices, and some stock losses tempered broader market optimism. Notable declines were seen in companies like Vestas and CSG due to disappointing profit forecasts.
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Fed's Bowman flags persistent inflation, expects price pressure to ease next year
Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman flagged persistent US inflation but stopped short of calling for further rate hikes. She expects core PCE inflation to ease next year as AI-related demand pressures and geopolitical shocks fade, while highlighting risks to the economic outlook.
Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
Gold holds near one-week low as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike bets
Gold prices rose 0.2% to $4,039.07 per ounce in early Asian trade on Wednesday. This increase followed a nearly 3% decline in the previous session due to US inflation data. The data indicated stronger inflation, leading to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month. Traders now believe there is a 100% chance of an interest rate increase in December.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks rise on CoreWeave results, bonds drop
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose as much 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi swung between gains and losses. A broader gauge of Asian shares advanced 0.2%. Contracts for tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4% in early Asian after the underlying index dropped 0.6% in regular trading.
Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.
CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.
US consumer prices rise above expectations in October
Consumer prices in the US experienced a larger-than-expected increase in October, affecting future Federal Reserve interest rates. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4%, following a 0.6% increase in September. Core CPI also increased, leading many to predict a rate hike in December. Despite missing year-over-year data, inflation remains significantly above the Fed's 2% target.
Gold price, silver rate today: Why is gold rate down on Tuesday? Check latest bullion outlook
Gold price prediction: The decline in crude prices has eased some inflation concerns, although movements in the dollar and global bullion markets continue to influence gold's near-term direction.
India in a 'sweet spot' amid oil volatility and currency dynamics: Kotak Neo's Anindya Banerjee
India is in a favourable economic position due to declining crude oil prices and increasing foreign investment inflows. The Indian rupee is currently undervalued, and there is potential for appreciation if geopolitical tensions ease. Expectations suggest one more interest rate hike from both the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of India. Additionally, shifting global investment sentiment is favoring markets such as India beyond artificial intelligence stocks.
Eurozone bond yields fall as lower energy prices ease inflation concerns
On Tuesday, government bond yields in the Eurozone experienced a notable drop, particularly for French and Italian bonds. The easing of inflation worries, attributed to falling oil and natural gas prices, enhanced demand for bonds. Germany's 10-year bond yield fell to 3.25%, while France's decreased to 4.69%. Boosted by the US President's calming remarks, market sentiment improved, especially for nations that had faced challenges in their bond markets.
European stocks rise, STOXX 600 nears record high as oil prices fall
European stocks kicked off the day on a positive note, with the STOXX 600 index climbing thanks to decreasing oil prices and reduced geopolitical tensions. Investors showed optimism after Donald Trump's remarks concerning military strategy towards Iran. Notably, airlines such as Lufthansa and Air France-KLM surged alongside lower oil costs.
South Korean shares surge over 3% as tech stocks rebound, oil prices ease
South Korean shares surged 3.57%, snapping a three-session losing streak, as gains in US technology stocks and falling oil prices boosted investor sentiment. Chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led the rally, while foreign investors turned net buyers. However, the won weakened and government bond yields edged higher.
US Dollar crashes today: Why is USD down against other currencies?
Brent crude futures fell $5.75, or 5.85 per cent, to settle at $92.57 a barrel, and prices continued falling after settlement, while US West Texas Intermediate futures dropped $3.98, or 4.38 per cent, to $86.85.
US stocks: Dow rockets 1,100 points, S&P over 2% as oil slide cools inflation worries; Nvidia slumps
US stocks experienced a notable upswing on Monday following a decline in oil prices that calmed inflation worries and propelled market growth. The S&P 500 rebounded significantly after the midterm elections, with gains in nine sector indexes. Nvidia's shares fell amid uncertainty over CEO Jensen Huang's future. Analysts argue the stock market's prior drop was exaggerated, with investors now keenly awaiting inflation reports to gauge Federal Reserve responses.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
Eurozone bond yields edge lower as oil prices ease, investors await US inflation data
Eurozone government bond yields edged lower as easing crude oil prices and concerns over technology stocks supported demand for safer assets. Investors remained cautious ahead of US inflation data, which could influence Federal Reserve rate expectations and global bond market sentiment.
Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
Bank of England hikes rates to 4%, first raise since 2023, says more may come amid high UK inflation
In a decisive move, the Bank of England has escalated interest rates to 4% amidst spiraling inflation, projected to hit 4.8% in Q2 next year. Governor Andrew Bailey cautioned that further hikes may be necessary, especially with ongoing global conflicts. Market reactions were notably favorable, with the British pound gaining strength against the US dollar. Enhancements in economic data have prompted economists to revise growth forecasts upwards.
Bank of England raises rates for first time since 2023, says more may come
British inflation is likely to reach around 5% in the middle of next year, the BoE said, more than double the central bank's target and a blow for new Prime Minister Andy Burnham who has sought to ease of cost of living pressures.
Japan bond yields fall as oil prices slide on hopes of Iran war de-escalation
Japanese government bond yields declined across maturities, tracking a fall in US Treasury yields as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns and improved hopes of an end to the Iran conflict. However, expectations of further Bank of Japan rate hikes could limit the decline.
Indian bonds rally most since April as oil slides after US midterm verdict
Indian government bonds experienced a significant rally influenced by falling oil prices after the US midterm elections. The benchmark bond yield dropped notably, reflecting a three-day decline in yields. Brent crude oil prices decreased, easing inflation and fiscal pressures on India. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates inflation will peak this quarter, supporting future bond market performance.
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