TRUMP TARIFF HIKE
Tech firms claw back some losses after midterms rout, eyes on Nvidia
Tech firms rose Monday to claw back some of last week's painful losses fuelled by AI regulation worries, though traders were keeping a wary eye on a probe into Nvidia boss Jensen Huang amid claims of an affair with a Chinese spy. The executive, Alice Huang -- also known as Huang Le, and no relation to 63-year-old Taiwanese-born Jensen -- developed a close relationship with the Nvidia boss, the Times said.
China's giant pandas make public debut at US zoo
Giant pandas Ping Ping and Fu Shuang have made their public debut at Zoo Atlanta after their arrival. The pandas were flown from Chengdu to Atlanta in September as part of a ten-year loan. Zoo Atlanta has renovated facilities to host the pandas, providing locally grown bamboo for their diet. The black-and-white mammals are considered vulnerable, with their population threatened by habitat loss and poaching.
US stocks suffer worst rout since 2020: Dow plunges 1,800 points, Nasdaq crashes 5.5% as AI fears wipe out $3 trillion
Wall Street experienced a major selloff in technology stocks following recent midterm election outcomes. The Nasdaq Composite recorded its steepest decline in 19 months, while the S&P 500 also fell sharply. Investors are worried about potential regulations impacting AI infrastructure growth amid increasing political resistance. Major chipmakers, including Nvidia, saw significant losses alongside other AI-related companies. Analysts are closely monitoring upcoming economic data to gauge the Federal Reserve's actions.
US midterm election impact: What it means for investors in equities, bonds and gold
The US midterm election outcome could influence equities, bonds, gold and emerging market flows, but its direct market impact may remain limited. A weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields could support emerging markets and gold, while Federal Reserve policy, crude oil prices and AI spending remain key drivers for investors.
India bonds climb in step with Treasuries as oil sinks
Indian government bonds increased for the fourth consecutive session following a Democratic win in the US midterm elections. This victory led to a decline in crude oil prices, easing inflation concerns for India. The 10-year US Treasury yield also fell significantly, impacting investors' expectations. A trader noted that upcoming inflation data would be critical for assessing the Reserve Bank of India's rate outlook.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
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Democrats' US midterm sweep may give India more room to negotiate a balanced trade deal with Trump
Democrats' takeover of both chambers of the US Congress could ease pressure on India in trade negotiations with the Trump administration, experts said. Greater Congressional scrutiny of tariffs may create opportunities for Indian exporters, although the existing 18% tariff is unlikely to change immediately and the bilateral trade agreement could face delays.
Democratic victory in midterm elections adds a new twist to stock markets' Iran war, AI, and debt worries
Investors are watching the implications of the recent Democratic win in the US midterm elections. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran war, continue to elevate oil prices and market risks. Regulatory scrutiny on the rapidly growing AI sector is expected following the election outcomes. Market volatility is anticipated to persist due to fiscal policy debates and increasing debt concerns. The market response so far has shown modest gains despite heightened uncertainties.
Indian bonds rally most since April as oil slides after US midterm verdict
Indian government bonds experienced a significant rally influenced by falling oil prices after the US midterm elections. The benchmark bond yield dropped notably, reflecting a three-day decline in yields. Brent crude oil prices decreased, easing inflation and fiscal pressures on India. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates inflation will peak this quarter, supporting future bond market performance.
With G-sec yields rising, countries have no alternative but to increase their bullion holdings
In India yield on T-year G secs has increased by 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Unfortunately, governments are confronting these higher borrowing costs precisely at a time when debt is elevated, with global public debt expected to exceed 100% of GDP by 2030, a level last reached in the immediate aftermath of WW2.
America's power bills are soaring. Utilities are now facing an election-year reckoning
Electricity prices are increasingly affecting midterm election campaigns as utility bills rise significantly for consumers. Politicians are proposing measures to curb utility rate increases and reduce profits for power companies. Notably, several gubernatorial candidates pledge to address energy affordability and utility practices if elected. The political climate indicates that utilities may face increased scrutiny and regulatory changes post-election. The long-term effects of these political moves on utility investments remain uncertain.
Silver market’s big problem may be ending, but a new worry is coming for investors
Silver could move from a supply deficit to a surplus in 2027 as rising inventories, weak jewellery demand and slowing industrial consumption ease market tightness, Metals Focus said. Silver has underperformed gold amid expectations of higher interest rates and falling investor demand.
US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as stubborn inflation puts future rate hikes in focus
The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged to evaluate inflation trends. Policymakers are assessing how high inflation might affect future monetary policy amid the upcoming midterm elections. Rising energy prices and tariffs contribute significantly to the ongoing inflation pressures faced by the economy. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report for indications of future rate hikes.
US Fed opens two-day meeting with markets expecting rate hold
Policymakers at the US Federal Reserve opened a two-day meeting Tuesday to set interest rates, with markets expecting them to hold steady days ahead of crucial midterm elections. On Tuesday, markets put the probability of rates being held steady at near 90 percent, as per CME's FedWatch tool. aha/mjf
The war bump is a false victory for S&P 500 profits
The commentary argues that strong S&P 500 earnings growth is narrowly concentrated in AI-linked companies and sectors benefiting from the Iran war, including energy, defence and materials. It warns that higher fuel prices, inflation and borrowing costs could weaken consumer demand, while heavy dependence on the AI boom leaves the market vulnerable if investment returns disappoint.
Fed expected to pause rate hikes ahead of US midterms
The US Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is expected to result in steady interest rates. High inflation continues to challenge economic policies, with rates anticipated to rise later this year. The Federal Open Market Committee will analyze data amidst political considerations ahead of the midterm elections. Analysts believe that while inflation remains a concern, a cautious approach will likely be taken.
Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of US midterms
The US Federal Reserve appears set to hold interest rates steady at its meeting next week, analysts say, despite stubbornly high inflation and with markets pricing in at least one rate hike before year-end. The Fed has missed its long-term two-percent target for inflation for more than five years, and at its last meeting in September the FOMC voted to raise the key federal funds rate for the first time in three years, lifting the target range to 3.75 percent to 4.0 percent.
From $6 Diesel to Immigration Raids: What Michigan and Kansas Senate candidates told voters before Election Day
Candidates in Michigan and Kansas addressed pressing issues such as rising fuel costs and immigration enforcement. As the midterm elections approach, these topics influence voters' concerns about household finances and national security. Economic arguments varied between the two states, reflecting local priorities and the candidates' positions. The outcome of these Senate races may affect control of the Senate and federal policy directions.
US weekly jobless claims near 57-year lows
Economists say rising profits amid strong domestic demand were shielding workers from layoffs. There are, however, worries that tightening financial conditions and higher interest rates as the US-Israeli war with Iran fuels inflation could undercut the labor market next year.
Why is market rising today? Sensex jumps 800 points, Nifty above 23,050. 5 key factors behind D-Street rebound
The Sensex and Nifty rallied nearly 1% as strong Q2 earnings, gains in IT stocks, rupee appreciation and attractive largecap valuations lifted sentiment. However, elevated crude oil prices and rising bond yields remain key risks. Analysts expect market movements to remain stock-specific and driven by corporate earnings.
Rupee ends flat as stock slump, importer hedging erodes bounce
The Indian rupee held steady even as it initially surged, influenced by rising dollar demand from importers. However, the local stock markets, particularly the Nifty 50, suffered a decline of more than 1% due to underwhelming results in the technology and financial sectors. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices dipped about 2% after the US administration's sanction waivers.
India bonds rise after flat open as sharp drop in US yields spurs value buying
The Indian government bond market saw a positive turnaround as US Treasury yields declined, prompting significant value purchases. The benchmark 6.94% bond maturing in 2036 observed a yield of 7.3551% in morning trading. Concurrently, oil prices dipped, fueled by expectations of improved supply following lifted sanctions on Russia. With India's consumer inflation rising to 5.54%, the Reserve Bank of India may respond with tighter financial conditions amidst ongoing capital outflows.
D-St set for a cautious opening as GIFT Nifty signals muted start
The Benchmark Nifty saw a 0.7% rise, signaling a continuation of its positive trajectory. Market analysts foresee a period of consolidation ahead, with a gradual uptick on the horizon. The key resistance levels for the index are 22,650 and 22,800, while support is noted at 22,500. Additionally, foreign portfolio investors recorded net buys of Rs 1,165 crore, contrasting with a trend of domestic outflows.
US labour market remains stuck in low-hire, low-fire state as inflation intensifies: Fed
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book highlights persistent inflation pressures and a stagnant US labour market, with rising energy, tariff, and insurance costs hitting businesses. With September consumer inflation rising 3.7%, expectations are growing for another potential interest rate hike at the Fed's upcoming October meeting.
PM Modi's free trade push could lead to $140 billion GDP gain for India
A more protectionist US could unexpectedly benefit India as New Delhi expands its free-trade agreements (FTAs) to diversify export markets and attract investment. A World Trade Organization-based model estimates that India’s concluded and proposed trade deals, including agreements with the EU and New Zealand, could add about $140 billion to GDP by 2035, lifting it 1.7% above the baseline.
Donald Trump approval rating crashes among Republicans weeks ahead of November 3 US midterm elections
Donald Trump approval rating: Concerns about the economy and the war have driven Trump's public approval to record lows and have been weighing on support for his party ahead of the November 3 election that will determine control of Congress for the next two years.
PepsiCo is raising prices on Doritos and more after a weak quarter in America
PepsiCo plans to raise prices on certain snack foods and beverages due to increased costs. The price increase will be in the single-digit percentage range, although it remains lower than earlier this year. Consumption patterns indicate demand in their international market, contributing to a revenue rise of 5.6%. However, the North American beverage business continues to struggle, leading to adjusted earnings expectations.
Four horsemen of economic trouble? RBI governor flags the risks spooking the world
The RBI raised the repo rate 25 bps to 5.50%, its first hike in nearly four years, and shifted its stance to calibrated tightening. Governor Sanjay Malhotra flagged four global risks: West Asia tensions and volatile oil prices, tariff uncertainty, elevated bond yields and stretched AI stock valuations. He said these risks are clouding global sentiment despite resilient growth.
Fed rate hike 'not urgent', says John Williams; Austan Goolsbee warns against 'playing with fire'
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams stated there could be one more interest rate increase before year-end. He emphasized that the central bank is not in a hurry to act immediately as it awaits more economic data. Williams projected that inflation might end the year at approximately 3.5% before returning to the Fed's target by 2028.
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