TREASURY BILL RATES
India short bonds may underperform on rate hikes, cash squeeze
India's bond market is experiencing changes due to recent interest rate hikes and tightening liquidity conditions. The Reserve Bank of India is anticipated to raise interest rates significantly in the coming months. Short-term bonds are expected to be more sensitive to these monetary conditions, leading to their underperformance. There are expectations for the yield curve to flatten further as short-term yields rise.
FCNR(B) interest bill to keep dollar hedging costs high
As a multibillion-dollar FCNR(B) interest bill escalates, Indian banks grapple with increased dollar hedging expenses. Recently, the Reserve Bank of India mandated new reserve prerequisites for forex derivatives, compounding the challenges for banks that must secure cash reserves against these contracts. A significant number of Indian banks are currently without a robust hedging strategy, frequently depending on short-term contracts.
Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
US Bond Yields fall after midterm election 2026 results: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year treasury notes down?
US Treasuries were down after Democrats gained control of both the Senate and House with the election results also raising the prospect of gridlock between the US Congress and Donald Trump's White House.
US Treasury shifts language, opening door to auction size changes
The US Treasury Department has updated its regulations regarding upcoming auction sizes for treasury securities. This revision hints at a potential increase in the issuance of short- and intermediate-term debt. They also flagged a likely decrease in demand for longer-term 20- and 30-year auctions. Future adjustments will rely on demand trends and financial requirements, with the Treasury planning to consult market participants for a thorough understanding of these changing factors.
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Beyond Equity: Jiraaf’s Saurav Ghosh on how to customise your portfolio, and the importance of bonds
An investment portfolio should be customised to one’s own needs, because there tends to be no one-size-fits-all portfolio. The idea is to ensure financial goals are realised across timelines and not just a decade or twenty years later. Jiraaf founder, Saurav Ghosh, talked about the customisation, profit margins, risk management and more when it comes to allocating a part of one’s portfolio to bonds. Read on!
Silver ETFs jump up to 6%, white metal reclaims $51 as Democrats win US midterms. What should investors do?
Silver ETFs rallied up to 6% as silver prices rebounded above $50 an ounce following the Democrats' US midterm election victory. Experts advise investors against chasing the recovery, citing volatility, uncertain industrial demand and the possibility of further price swings.
Silver prices jump over 4% to reclaim $51/oz as Democrats secure US midterm victory. What’s happening?
Silver prices surged over 4% to reclaim the $51/oz mark after Democrats secured a victory in the US midterm elections, weakening the dollar and Treasury yields. However, HSBC expects further gains to be limited as silver trades close to levels justified by fundamentals. Industrial and jewellery demand may weaken, while institutional buying and supply constraints could offer support.
What do midterm election results 2026 mean for US Stock Market, Bond Treasury Yields, common Americans?
Donald Trump is not on ballot for US Midterm elections 2026 but election results will give us hint how things will move forward till 2028 Presidential Elections.
These 11 private and public banking stocks have an upside of up to 33% in 1 year, according to analysts
It is too early to read a lot into the divergence seen in the stock price movements of private and PSU banks on Tuesday. Neither can it be said with any certainty that it had anything to do with FII buying. Against this background, remember: For any investor interested in the banking sector, the price movements should matter less than what the overall Q2 performance of both private and PSU banks reveals.
US Treasury projects $618 billion borrowing in Q4, $800 billion in Q1 2027
The US Treasury is estimating federal borrowing will hit $618 billion in the last quarter of 2026, which is $10 billion less than previously thought. Despite anticipating lower cash flows, the Treasury projects borrowing of $800 billion in early 2027 as well. Market watchers are eager for upcoming announcements regarding Treasury auctions, as these might indicate changes in their bond issuance tactics.
Bank CD rates surge above 8% amid liquidity squeeze, rising T-Bill yields
Public-sector banks have recently increased one-year certificate of deposit rates beyond 8%, influenced by stricter liquidity and high treasury-bill yields. The reduction in banking liquidity has led to a noticeable rise in CD issuances lately. Observers predict further policy rate hikes to address inflation effectively, signaling that the current rates may not yet reflect their maximum potential amidst ongoing market fluctuations.
These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of over 25%
Oil prices matter to the Indian economy, and the market responded with a smart rally as Brent crude cooled significantly on Monday. The rally was broad-based and involved all segments. But too much should not be read into one day’s showing. The thing to watch remains the results of the US mid-term elections which will be known in India through Wednesday. It will decide which way the market will move in the coming days and weeks.
Should you buy gold now? Experts see prices rising, but watch these risks
Gold prices have experienced a notable drop, creating favorable opportunities for those looking to buy during the festive and wedding seasons. Experts suggest that gold demand may rise in the near future. Nevertheless, market volatility driven by US Federal Reserve rate changes should prompt caution among investors. It is essential for buyers to evaluate their financial objectives and consult with financial advisors regarding suitable gold investment strategies.
5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 34% in 1 year, according to analysts
The recent uptick in the indices should not fool you. The market’s troubles have not gone away. So, be cautious, but don’t treat the whole market as one block. Some parts are worse off, some are holding up better, and some are simply carrying on as before. A falling market tends to paint them all with the same brush.
Best short duration debt mutual funds to invest in October 2026
Short duration mutual funds invest in both short term bonds and very short term instruments. They invest in treasury bills, commercial papers, certificates of deposits and so on to take care of their liquidity needs. They also invest in corporate bonds, government securities, etc.
Wall Street is showing fear at 32 on the Fear and Greed index: Is a US recession getting closer and what should investors do?
Wall Street investors are becoming cautious after a strong period of stock market gains. The Fear and Greed Index has fallen to 32, placing it in the fear zone. The S&P 500 is around 2% below its recent high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite are down roughly 3% and 5%, respectively, from their peaks earlier this year.
Global Market: Japanese investors extend foreign bond selling streak to six weeks
Japanese investors extended their selling streak in foreign long-term bonds to six weeks, although falling US Treasury yields slowed outflows. Meanwhile, they increased short-term bill purchases and foreign stock investments, while overseas investors returned to Japanese equities.
US-friendly nations slash treasury purchases by 60%, led by Asia
In the first eight months of 2026, countries aligned with the US purchased a net total of $174.3 billion in Treasuries. This amount represents a significant decline, reflecting a drop of over 60% from the previous year. It marks the lowest investment level recorded for this period since 2021. The data highlights a shift in fiscal relationships between the US and its partners.
UK Budget 2026 Highlights: Treasury chief John Healey presents his first budget, check latest updates
Chancellor John Healey on Wednesday presented his first Budget focused on the rising cost-of-living crisis and energy prices. There were expectations for measures that provide temporary assistance to struggling households and businesses. Here are the highlights of UK Budget 2026.
These 7 private and public banking stocks have an upside of up to 27% in one year, according to analysts
If interest rates stay high, and there are signs of a slowdown, banks that depend on retail deposits are the ones to watch carefully. That is where the strain of a slowing economy and the high cost of money are likely to show up first. Check out Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, for price targets of over 4,000 listed stocks along with detailed company analysis focusing on five key components, earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum, to generate standardised scores. SR+ Reports is a complimentary offering to ETPrime members.
Wary of RBI, banks back off from forex deals
The banks, using the easy rupee liquidity created after the inflow of deposits from the diaspora, bought dollars and invested the funds in US Treasury bills to earn higher returns. The transaction involved a buy-sell swap, where banks purchased dollars in the spot market and sold dollars in the forward market. The dollars generated through the swaps were deployed in US government papers, whose yields have risen in the past three months.
US growth boosted by AI, but no sign of a turning point higher
Economists estimate the growth potential of the US economy to be around 2%, whereas President Donald Trump aspires to double it. Business investments are escalating, primarily driven by the demands for data centers and enhanced AI capabilities, which can positively affect GDP growth. However, the influence of artificial intelligence on productivity is still unpredictable, and tariff strategies for cutting imports yield mixed results, affecting the market dynamics significantly.
G-Sec yields at three-year peak, could climb to 7.75% by December
India's benchmark 10-year government bond yield is expected to reach 7.75% by December. This increase is influenced by high crude oil prices and tight liquidity conditions. Persistent bond supply and expectations of further monetary tightening are driving the yield higher. Foreign portfolio investors have sold significant amounts of Indian debt, contributing to market instability. Economic concerns are spreading across emerging markets due to the interplay of oil prices and yields.
RBI's Rs 2.5 lakh crore liquidity infusion raises questions over tightening policy signal: SBI Report
In its report, SBI said the RBI had consistently signalled its commitment to monetary tightening through its policy resolution, the Governor’s statement and the minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The liquidity infusion through repo auctions, however, appeared difficult to reconcile with this approach.
Indian bonds flattish as oil spike offset by falling Treasury yields
Indian government bonds saw little movement as investors monitored volatile oil prices and US Treasury yields. A spike in oil prices, spurred by geopolitical uncertainties, has heightened worries about the impact on global energy supplies and India's import expenses. The central bank's recent increase in the benchmark repo rate adds to this equation, hinting at possible future adjustments.
Global Market: Japanese investors extend foreign bond selling streak to five weeks
Japanese investors extended their foreign bond selling streak to five weeks through October 17, offloading 161.6 billion yen of long-term debt as US Treasury yields retreated from 24-year highs. Year-to-date net disposals reached 5.18 trillion yen, the highest for the comparable period since 2022, while overseas equity buying continued.
US Treasury yields slip as AI concerns boost safe haven demand ahead of 20 year auction
US Treasury yields slipped as investors weighed the impact of higher borrowing costs on AI stocks, with the 10 year yield heading for a second straight daily decline. The move came ahead of a $13 billion 20 year Treasury auction, while markets continued to price in a muted chance of a Fed rate hike.
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