TRADE WAR 2025
When wars and AI cast a shadow, India has pressed a power reset
India’s renewable energy expansion is reshaping its energy security, cutting dependence on imported coal and natural gas as wars, oil supply disruptions and AI-driven electricity demand put pressure on power markets. An International Energy Agency report says clean energy saved India over $100 billion in fuel imports between 2011 and 2025, with cumulative savings potentially reaching $240 billion by 2030.
‘Ocean freight rates will come down eventually, we have seen this before’: DP World COO
Global ocean freight rates are predicted to decrease after a surge due to logistical disruptions from the US-Iran conflict. DP World rerouted shipping routes through India to mitigate the impact on trade, showcasing the importance of Indian partnerships. Investment in Jebel Ali Free Zone increased significantly, with over 270 new Indian companies starting operations recently. Alternative routes were implemented for Indian cargo to bypass maritime bottlenecks, enhancing connectivity for trade.
AI slump revives Asia’s forgotten trades from China to India
Global investors are rethinking their Asia bets as the AI trade loses momentum following the US midterm elections. India and China are emerging as potential beneficiaries of the shift, with funds rotating towards undervalued stocks, domestic growth, healthcare, consumer companies and financials. India's limited AI exposure, easing oil prices and renewed foreign inflows are strengthening its appeal.
All is fair in books and coffee at Frankfurt, despite AI anxieties and geopolitical unease
The Frankfurter Buchmesse this year experienced a decline in trade visitors and exhibitors amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions. Many Ukrainian publishers suffered losses due to the war, reflecting the continuing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The event also highlighted innovative contributions from global comic book publishers and creators from various countries. Notably, the theme of this year's fair underscored the growing influence of machine intelligence in publishing.
Diwali Patakha from China: The world's fireworks capital is reinventing its centuries-old industry
Liuyang in China's Hunan province is a significant hub for global fireworks production. The county supplies around 60% of the domestic fireworks market and 70% of exports. This industry has evolved to incorporate advanced technology, like digital ignition and AI. Although safety measures have improved since past catastrophic incidents, risks still exist.
Wall Street stocks rally after heavy AI-related selloff
Wall Street's trading session presented a mixed scenario as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed, contrasting with a modest dip in the Dow. Investor apprehensions regarding impending regulations for the AI sector, especially after recent Democratic electoral successes, led to increased market volatility. Meanwhile, key global markets witnessed declines, particularly in Europe and Asia, overshadowing advancements in certain tech stocks amid a generally bearish sentiment.
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US employers added a surprising 165,000 jobs in October; unemployment rate dipped to 4.1%
US employers added 165,000 jobs last month, surpassing economists' expectations and bringing the unemployment rate down to 4.1%. The Labor Department also revised previous months' job figures upwards, indicating stronger hiring trends.
Buying gold this Dhanteras: Gold price down by 18% from record high, can it recover to January peak next year?
Dhanteras Gold Price return: Gold rates have seen a sharp decline after scaling to a record high earlier this year, resulting in varied investment outcomes. With Dhanteras on the horizon, many buyers are hopeful for profits despite the market's fluctuations. Experts recommend a cautious approach, favouring staggered purchases over lump sum investments. Looking ahead, price predictions suggest that global economic factors will play a significant role in shaping future gold values, making it crucial for investors to stay informed.
Oil Price Today (November 6): Crude oil nears $100 again as fresh attacks dent peace talk hopes. What are experts saying?
Crude oil price : Oil prices are making a comeback as fears of supply interruptions grow following recent tanker attacks. President Donald Trump has reiterated that Iran must obtain US consent for its nuclear activities. Concerns about potential supply challenges loom large, prompting Goldman Sachs to revise its Brent and WTI crude price projections upwards. Meanwhile, diplomatic negotiations involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar progress amid regional volatility.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks join US selloff as AI slump deepens
South Korea’s tech-heavy Kospi Index slid 8.8% in early trading, triggering a circuit breaker, with chipmakers Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. both plunging more than 9%. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average lost 6.2%, while the MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 2.9%. Futures pointed to losses in Taiwan, Hong Kong and China.
Developing countries' debt hit record $9.4 trillion in 2025: World Bank
Most of the increase was driven by private financing, with borrowing from private creditors and bond issuance by public enterprises rising nearly 35 percent, the Bank's annual International Debt Report showed.
Oil Price Today (November 5): Crude oil falls below $94 after 9% plunge on Wednesday after midterm results. More downside ahead?
Crude oil price : Crude oil prices have dropped significantly following the Democratic victory in the recent US midterm elections. This political shift has raised hopes for a possible negotiated settlement of the conflict in Iran. Goldman Sachs predicts potential price increases for oil if production issues persist in the Gulf region. Analysts face uncertainty in forecasting the future of the ongoing war and its impact on oil prices.
India takes calm view of US midterm results, sees bipartisan support anchoring ties
India is observing the results of the recent US midterm elections with a sense of calmness and stability. The Democrat victory is seen as a move to limit the influence of the Trump administration. India has maintained strong relations with both parties in Congress since 2000 through various sectors.
From Iran to trade, how the US midterms impact the rest of the world
US Democrats' recent midterm election victories could influence global relations, especially concerning Iran and Israel. The potential for a peace deal with Iran seems viable as US voters oppose prolonged conflicts. In Ukraine, Democrats may propose increased financial and military aid, which could face delays. Additionally, Asian countries may reconsider investment pledges to avoid tariffs in light of these outcomes.
US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
Silver prices jump over 4% to reclaim $51/oz as Democrats secure US midterm victory. What’s happening?
Silver prices surged over 4% to reclaim the $51/oz mark after Democrats secured a victory in the US midterm elections, weakening the dollar and Treasury yields. However, HSBC expects further gains to be limited as silver trades close to levels justified by fundamentals. Industrial and jewellery demand may weaken, while institutional buying and supply constraints could offer support.
Global Market Today: Asian shares retreat as US futures slide on mid-term election bets
Contracts for the S&P 500 Index dropped 0.3%, erasing an initial gain of 0.5%, while those for the Nasdaq 100 declined 0.6%. The dollar dropped against most of its Group-of-10 peers and the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell four basis points to 4.92%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.2% even as South Korea’s Kospi Index jumped 1%.
Betting markets have picked a winner in the US midterms. Here’s how often they get it right
With the midterms already here, predictions show a strong likelihood for Democrats to gain control of both chambers of Congress. We analyse the historical accuracy of betting markets and their forecast ahead of the elections. Since 2016, there has been a remarkable increase in political betting engagement. Nonetheless, studies reveal that popular candidates may falter despite market faith, and ongoing regulatory issues are posing obstacles for betting platforms in the American landscape.
Oil Price Today (November 3): Crude oil rebounds to $105 as fresh attacks outweigh peace talks. What are experts saying?
Crude oil price : Oil prices experienced a slight increase following reports of a US strike on Iran's Qeshm Island. Concerns have risen regarding the potential escalation of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Goldman Sachs has revised its oil price forecasts upward, contemplating a possible future increase to $140 per barrel. Meanwhile, Tehran continues discussions with the US to seek peace despite ongoing military tensions.
Gold rate prediction: Will gold price jump after US Midterm elections results? Check critical factors
Gold price saw an uptick ahead of US midterm election day on November 3. Bullion investors are tracking several factors which may drive the gold rate.
Gold price prediction today: Gold down for 3rd consecutive day. Check outlook for November 2
Gold and silver prices experienced mixed movements on MCX ahead of Diwali due to inflation fears. Rising inflation triggered expectations for a potential US Federal Reserve interest rate hike later this year. Federal Reserve officials have suggested further interest rate increases are needed to address inflation. Silver futures gained while gold futures saw a decline in the domestic market.
How Indian investors’ portfolios are changing: From property and gold to SIPs and ETFs
Indian households are re-evaluating their asset allocations as gold holdings rise and equity investments remain stable. Recent data reveals a significant increase in household wealth, particularly in gold and real estate. Households are moving from traditional savings to market investments, notably through systematic investment plans. Meanwhile, financial behaviors are changing, with more monthly contributions being made to equities.
Gold lingers near one-year low as Fed hike expectations firm
Gold prices experienced a minor uptick in early trading across Asia; however, they linger near a one-year low. Persistent worries about inflation are bolstering expectations for an impending Federal Reserve rate increase this year. The recent drop in tech stocks has placed additional strain on bullion prices, prompting a sell-off in safe-haven investments. Buyers in major Asian markets, especially India and China, remain hesitant amid expectations of further price declines.
FPI buying returns to Dalal Street as global investors rethink AI bets
Foreign portfolio investors have shifted from aggressive selling to net buying of Indian equities recently. They invested nearly $1.2 billion over the last ten trading sessions, particularly in large-cap stocks. This change in behavior may be attributed to concerns regarding the artificial intelligence trade influencing investor decisions. Globally, markets saw corrections, while Indian indices had a mixed performance in October.
India can achieve $1 trillion exports target this fiscal despite global headwinds: Piyush Goyal
Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal expressed confidence that India would achieve its $1 trillion exports target in 2026-27 despite global uncertainties. He said nine FTAs could open preferential market access to economies with a combined GDP of $60 trillion. Goods and services exports were estimated at $476.2 billion in April-September.
"Discussing ACITI": EAM Jaishankar holds trilateral meeting with Australian, Canadian counterparts
External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar held a trilateral meeting with Canadian and Australian counterparts in Atlanta. They discussed the Australia-Canada-India Technology and Innovation Partnership focused on green energy and supply chains. Jaishankar emphasized the need for diplomatic solutions to global challenges and highlighted issues impacting the Global South. He noted the adverse effects of military actions on civilian shipping and emphasized market access issues.
US stock Market today: Wall Street stocks that jump on tough trading day for S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2000
Wall Street today: S&P 500 tech sector posted its largest monthly percentage loss since March 2025, and communication services registered its biggest monthly drop since April 2022.
Who sent $2 bn military equipment to Iran past US blockade? More than 5,000 agencies
Iran has developed a clandestine network involving over 5,000 agencies to import military equipment and evade sanctions. This network functions despite ongoing US naval blockades and sanctions since the war began. Extensive investigations reveal significant transactions and military logistics supporting their activities. The secretive agencies have been linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and elite controlled businesses.
'2026 resembles 1991': CEA Nageswaran says India is at a critical economic inflection point
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran emphasized that 2025-26 could be a significant inflection point for India's economy. He mentioned the challenges posed by global shocks and supply-side disruptions in recent years. The reliance on imported crude oil adds to India's vulnerability to fluctuating international energy prices. Strengthening resilience to external disruptions is crucial for managing such risks effectively.
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