TRADE RELATIONS SOUTH ASIA
Sensex & Nifty fall in Muhurat trade for first time since 2017
Indian equities experienced a slight decline during the Diwali Muhurat trading session for the first time since 2017. The Sensex ended at 80,999.40, down 28.62 points, and the Nifty closed at 24,986.40, shedding 43.95 points. Despite the drop, market sentiment has recently shown signs of improvement, particularly with foreign investors becoming buyers again.
AI slump revives Asia’s forgotten trades from China to India
Global investors are rethinking their Asia bets as the AI trade loses momentum following the US midterm elections. India and China are emerging as potential beneficiaries of the shift, with funds rotating towards undervalued stocks, domestic growth, healthcare, consumer companies and financials. India's limited AI exposure, easing oil prices and renewed foreign inflows are strengthening its appeal.
All is fair in books and coffee at Frankfurt, despite AI anxieties and geopolitical unease
The Frankfurter Buchmesse this year experienced a decline in trade visitors and exhibitors amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions. Many Ukrainian publishers suffered losses due to the war, reflecting the continuing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The event also highlighted innovative contributions from global comic book publishers and creators from various countries. Notably, the theme of this year's fair underscored the growing influence of machine intelligence in publishing.
AI investment cycle may have peaked, Jefferies warns; raises India allocation to 14%
According to a recent Jefferies report, global investment in artificial intelligence appears to be facing a mid-cycle correction. Although US tech giants have ramped up their capital spending, there are growing concerns regarding both financing and profitability. This situation may adversely impact US economic growth. Investors are advised to explore opportunities outside the AI realm, especially in healthcare and biotechnology sectors.
D-Street just 5% away from highs with a 10% bounce from lows
The rupee has shown a significant recovery, closing at 93.90 this week, its best level since April. Recent drops in oil prices have alleviated inflation concerns and supported the local currency. Simultaneously, foreign portfolio investors have made substantial net purchases in Indian equities, contributing to market stability. Indian equity indices have also rallied over 10% from recent lows, showing strong earnings.
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Wall Street stocks rally after heavy AI-related selloff
Wall Street's trading session presented a mixed scenario as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed, contrasting with a modest dip in the Dow. Investor apprehensions regarding impending regulations for the AI sector, especially after recent Democratic electoral successes, led to increased market volatility. Meanwhile, key global markets witnessed declines, particularly in Europe and Asia, overshadowing advancements in certain tech stocks amid a generally bearish sentiment.
D Street lights up, ends Diwali week with a firecracker of a Friday
Indian stocks witnessed impressive growth, with the Sensex and Nifty surging over 2%, defying declines in Asian markets. This robust rally is fueled by strong corporate earnings coupled with declining crude oil prices, boosting investor morale significantly. Over the recent weeks, foreign portfolio investors have surpassed net purchases of $4 billion, enhancing the positive outlook.
China confirms discussions are underway on a historic Xi-Trump-Putin meeting
Beijing has officially indicated it is coordinating a meeting between the leaders of China, the U.S., and Russia. This historic gathering may take place in Shenzhen later this month during a regional summit. Experts suggest the discussions will likely be superficial and primarily focused on optics rather than substantive issues. Both the U.S. and China are dealing with ongoing trade tensions and disagreements over multiple topics.
Nifty’s 8% surge this week is the best since January 2021. Are bulls here to stay?
Nifty surged 8% this week, marking its biggest weekly gain since January 2021, as foreign investors returned to Indian equities. Strong Q2 earnings, attractive valuations and a global shift away from AI-linked stocks supported the rally. The key question now is whether renewed buying can sustain the market's recovery.
Bloodbath in Nasdaq, Kospi and Nikkei but why Nifty is an oasis of peace amid global rout
A global AI-led tech selloff has battered US and Asian markets, wiping out $3 trillion from S&P 500 companies. However, Indian equities are showing relative resilience as investors rotate away from crowded AI trades. Market experts believe India's lower exposure to the AI boom, attractive large-cap valuations and renewed foreign inflows could help it weather the global rout.
AI selloff hits India too: TD Power, HFCL, Sterlite, other power capex-linked stocks crash up to 15%
Indian power capex and AI-linked stocks tumbled as a global technology sell-off spread across markets, with TD Power and Thermax plunging 15% each. Concerns that US midterm election results could slow data centre expansion and AI infrastructure spending triggered sharp losses across Asian technology stocks and domestic market-linked companies.
Trump could woo North Korea after midterm setback, but Kim may not respond
Following an unfavorable midterm election, Trump may pivot towards foreign policy engagement with North Korea, as analysts suggest this could fortify his legacy. Nevertheless, the North seems disinclined to reciprocate Trump's overtures, and regional partners, including South Korea and Japan, are apprehensive about being excluded from talks with Kim Jong Un. The intricate dynamics of the situation are likely to hinder productive discussions moving forward.
FIIs turn buyers in IT, telecom stocks in second half of October ahead of Diwali
Technology stocks in India are seeing increased interest from foreign institutional investors as Diwali approaches. After struggling in the first half of October, the IT and telecom sectors have gained attention. Foreign portfolio investors made significant net purchases of Indian equities in late October. This upward trend follows substantial selling earlier in the month. The shift highlights a renewed focus on technology investments within the Indian market.
AI meltdown: Kospi crashes 9%, hits 9-month low as Wall Street bloodbath after midterm elections spills to Asia; circuit breaker triggered
The sell-off followed a global market rout on Thursday, which saw the Nasdaq 100 plunge 6.4%, wiping out a record $2.3 trillion in market value. The weakness extended across Asia on Friday, with chip-heavy indices coming under pressure. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average and Taiwan's Taiex were also on course to enter technical bear market territory, having fallen 20% from their respective peaks.
How many people could die from El Niño worldwide? Which American states could face the greatest heat-related risks?
In a significant step, the Climate Impact Lab has launched a tool to forecast deaths from extreme heat exacerbated by El Niño. Alarmingly, India is projected to endure the greatest loss of life, with Indonesia and Brazil also bearing heavy burdens. As temperatures rise globally, the situation remains dire, with the U.S. reporting an alarming increase in heat emergencies this year.
Chinese President Xi Jinping likely to skip ASEAN Summit in Manila: Report
The Philippines' Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) shared this information on Wednesday while responding to reports about Xi's expected absence from the annual summit, which the Philippines is hosting this year.
Gulf Oil eyes market leadership in India, global expansion to drive next growth phase
Gulf Oil aims to surpass its rival and achieve the market leader status in India's lubricants sector. The company plans to invest approximately ₹55 crore to expand its manufacturing capacity significantly. Growth is expected from B2B, industrial, and infrastructure segments, alongside exploring new niches like data centre cooling.
Japanese climbing fern came to the US as an ornamental; it now spreads across at least 6 Southern states, climbing over trees and helping fire reach their crowns
Japanese climbing ferns, introduced for ornamental purposes, have proliferated across southern forests since the early 1900s. These ferns pose risks to native plants by causing shading and competing for resources. Fire crews are concerned about their ability to facilitate crown fires in pine plantations. While fire can damage the ferns, it is ineffective for complete control, necessitating early detection efforts.
A global AI selloff could send money India's way, says Uday Kotak
Uday Kotak highlighted the potential for India to attract foreign investment as global AI valuations rise. Indian equities have performed relatively well, rebounding nearly 10% from lows earlier this month. Despite the drop in tech-heavy Asian markets, local stocks demonstrate resilience due to continued domestic investor confidence.
KOSPI crashes 4% as US midterm shock rattles Asian markets
Oil prices and stock markets reacted significantly to the recent midterm election victories by Democrats in the United States. Asian chip stocks declined alongside the dollar, indicating market volatility following the elections. Lower oil prices have resulted in a bond rally, subsequently reducing yield rates. Anticipation of increased support for renewables is driving optimism in solar supply chain stocks.
Upbeat earnings bolster case for India stocks as Asia wavers
Indian equities are outperforming Asian peers, supported by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings, improving valuations and renewed foreign investor inflows. September-quarter profits rose 20% among major companies, boosting market sentiment. However, elevated oil prices, currency pressures and slower earnings upgrades remain key risks to sustaining the rally.
Odisha signs MOU with J-PAL South Asia to strengthen evidence-based policymaking
The Government of Odisha has signed a three-year MoU with Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab. This agreement aims to strengthen evidence-based policymaking through research and collaboration. J-PAL South Asia will support various governmental departments to address their policy priorities effectively. A Steering Committee will oversee the partnership and monitor project development every six months. The collaboration builds on ongoing efforts to improve areas such as education, sanitation, and governance.
Democratic wave in US midterm elections weakens Trump at home, opens a new front for India-US ties in Congress
The recent US midterm elections saw the Democratic Party gain significant power in the Senate and House. This shift reflects widespread dissatisfaction with the current Republican leadership and its policies. President Trump's influence over the Republican Party may decline following this electoral outcome. Key policy decisions regarding foreign affairs, including relations with Iran, could be affected by these changes.
India, Israel vote against Pakistan-Belarus resolution on regional arms control at UN; New Delhi explains why
India and Israel voted against a Pakistan-Belarus-sponsored resolution on conventional arms control at the UN, with New Delhi arguing that national security concerns extend beyond regional boundaries. India also questioned the need for fresh deliberations on the issue and separately opposed a reference to South Asian arms control proposals.
DHL Express appoints Sandeep Juneja to lead business in South Asia and India
DHL Express has appointed Sandeep Juneja as senior vice-president for South Asia and managing director for India, effective November 1. He succeeds R S Subramanian, who will move to Blue Dart as managing director.
China’s 5,000-ton digging machines are a trade war risk to India
China is tightening export controls on tunnel-boring machines and other specialised construction equipment, raising concerns that the restrictions could disrupt India's infrastructure projects, particularly along the disputed Himalayan border.
November could favour bulls, but macro headwinds cloud outlook
In November, investors are optimistic about Indian equities due to ongoing festive celebrations and better-than-expected corporate earnings. While the Sensex and Nifty boasted gains in October, other market indices saw declines. However, potential threats such as rising crude oil prices and global uncertainties remain. A noticeable surge in purchases by foreign portfolio investors signals renewed interest in Indian stocks.
Global trading is mixed as worries about AI-related issues grow
On the global stage, stock markets displayed a mixed bag of results as Alphabet's stock drop spurred worries about the trajectory of artificial intelligence. Japan witnessed a notable dip in the Nikkei 225 index while the Bank of Japan opted to keep interest rates unchanged. In the US, the Dow futures crept up slightly, contrasting with a decline in S&P 500 futures.
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