TRADE RELATIONS
US asks Iraq to shut most Iran border crossings, Iraqi foreign minister says
The US Treasury has requested Iraq to close most border crossings with Iran for increased economic pressure. Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein mentioned the challenges of implementing these closures due to economic concerns. Currently, Iraq is negotiating with the US regarding the border situation. Recently, Iraq closed the Sheeb border crossing for security and anti-smuggling measures. The discussions reflect ongoing tensions between the US and Iran affecting Iraq's border policies.
China extends suspension of 24% tariffs on US goods by two months, retains 10% duty
China announced its decision to prolong the suspension of the extra 24% tariffs on US goods by two more months, keeping the 10% duty on American imports in place. This extension comes in light of a prior agreement made between the leaders of both nations, effective from November 10, 2025. The recent announcement signifies ongoing trade discussions and the complexities involved in US-China economic ties.
Sensex & Nifty fall in Muhurat trade for first time since 2017
Indian equities experienced a slight decline during the Diwali Muhurat trading session for the first time since 2017. The Sensex ended at 80,999.40, down 28.62 points, and the Nifty closed at 24,986.40, shedding 43.95 points. Despite the drop, market sentiment has recently shown signs of improvement, particularly with foreign investors becoming buyers again.
Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty bulls come back to life, but 25,000–25,200 zone poses next test
Indian equity markets rallied significantly following the results of the US midterm elections, which were favorable for investors. The Nifty Index saw a large gain and reclaimed important moving averages, indicating improved market sentiment. Some consolidation is expected, as the Index approaches broader resistance levels between 25,000 and 25,200. Various sector indices showed differing momentum as they contrasted against the broader Nifty 500 Index.
China confirms discussions are underway on a historic Xi-Trump-Putin meeting
Beijing has officially indicated it is coordinating a meeting between the leaders of China, the U.S., and Russia. This historic gathering may take place in Shenzhen later this month during a regional summit. Experts suggest the discussions will likely be superficial and primarily focused on optics rather than substantive issues. Both the U.S. and China are dealing with ongoing trade tensions and disagreements over multiple topics.
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India, Nepal reaffirm commitment to all-round enhancement of partnership as FS Misri meets PM Shah
India and Nepal have reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening bilateral ties as Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri met Prime Minister Balendra Shah in Kathmandu ahead of his expected visit to Delhi later this month. Discussions covered trade, energy, connectivity, sports and new areas of cooperation, including AI and digital connectivity.

Democrats' US midterm sweep may give India more room to negotiate a balanced trade deal with Trump
Democrats' takeover of both chambers of the US Congress could ease pressure on India in trade negotiations with the Trump administration, experts said. Greater Congressional scrutiny of tariffs may create opportunities for Indian exporters, although the existing 18% tariff is unlikely to change immediately and the bilateral trade agreement could face delays.

Reset will keep India busy as Trump’s midterm loss redraws US politics
The recent US midterm elections have significant implications for international relations and the economy. Incoming policies may impact trade agreements between India and the US, affecting both countries' economies. Additionally, potential conflicts involving Iran could influence energy prices in India, creating economic uncertainty. The evolving political landscape in Washington will require India to adjust its diplomatic strategies.

Democratic wave in US midterm elections weakens Trump at home, opens a new front for India-US ties in Congress
The recent US midterm elections saw the Democratic Party gain significant power in the Senate and House. This shift reflects widespread dissatisfaction with the current Republican leadership and its policies. President Trump's influence over the Republican Party may decline following this electoral outcome. Key policy decisions regarding foreign affairs, including relations with Iran, could be affected by these changes.

US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.

India-EU trade deal to ease mobility for Indian professionals, but work visas will still be required
The proposed India-European Union Free Trade Agreement is set to simplify temporary entry for Indian professionals. It includes provisions for intra-corporate transferees, contractual service suppliers, independent professionals, and business visitors. Visa applications will still follow existing immigration procedures and conditions, ensuring applicants meet specific requirements.

US midterm election results 2026: India sees some trade relief, new risks after US midterm vote
Indian officials are cautiously optimistic about the recent US midterm election results and their implications. While the election reduces trade tension, it introduces new uncertainties for US-India relations. Analysts suggest it is too early to gauge the long-term effects of these political changes. The potential for increased tariffs still looms due to ongoing investigations.

Midterm elections 2026: Why Kalshi and Polymarket election betting declines as sports and crypto take over
2026 midterm election results: Prediction markets have grown more than 20-fold since October 2024, but election betting is losing its share of trading activity. Ahead of the 2026 US midterms, sports and crypto are attracting traders, while concerns over market manipulation and state gambling laws put Kalshi and Polymarket under scrutiny.

India to make tunnel boring machines at home if China curbs exports: Piyush Goyal
India is gearing up to start producing its own tunnel boring machines if China decides to limit its exports. This statement came from Piyush Goyal, India's trade minister, after Beijing made its recent announcement. It highlights India’s plan to not rely on foreign supplies and enhance its domestic manufacturing capabilities in this crucial area.

Trump set for midterm test: What's in store for India, Iran, Ukraine after November 4?
US midterm election 2026: American voters' sentiments about rising prices could affect Trump's standing in trade discussions. Congressional control will determine the scrutiny over Trump's actions regarding Iran and Ukraine. India will, however, continue navigating uncertainties in trade relations regardless of the election results.

India, EU discuss FTA implementation ahead of December signing
In an effort to advance their free trade agreement, India and the European Union held pivotal discussions led by Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agarwal, who visited Brussels for dialogues with prominent EU officials. Central to the talks were customs cooperation and trade facilitation, deemed critical for the agreement's efficacy. Additionally, industry stakeholders from the diamond sector were engaged to harness opportunities within India's expanding market.

India-New Zealand FTA: Expanding India’s footprint in Oceania
More than a trade deal, the India-New Zealand FTA is a strategic gateway to new markets, fresh investment and stronger capabilities, positioning India to compete, connect, and grow across the Asia-Pacific.

India, EU discuss FTA implementation, customs cooperation and market access in Brussels
India and the European Union engaged in discussions regarding the implementation of their Free Trade Agreement. Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal held meetings with various senior European Commission officials in Brussels, focusing on market access and customs procedures. The FTA is expected to eliminate tariffs on the majority of exports from both regions. Both parties are working towards the proposed signing and full ratification of the agreement.

China’s 5,000-ton digging machines are a trade war risk to India
China is tightening export controls on tunnel-boring machines and other specialised construction equipment, raising concerns that the restrictions could disrupt India's infrastructure projects, particularly along the disputed Himalayan border.
Canadian Prime Minister Carney reports progress in trade talks with Trump days before US midterms
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney reported a productive discussion regarding a potential trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump. The conversation aimed to create jobs, lower family costs, and protect Canadian sovereignty. Negotiators from both sides will continue working over the coming weeks toward an agreement. Trade relations remain tense as discussions include U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and automobiles.

India-Brazil bilateral trade set to reach $20 bn with focus on critical minerals, AI, defence: Envoy
Brazil's Ambassador to India highlighted growing trade relations, expecting bilateral trade to reach USD 20 billion soon. The partnership encompasses critical sectors such as defence, energy, and pharmaceuticals, promoting economic engagement. Both nations aim to deepen cultural ties, celebrating the centenary of musician Antonio Carlos Jobim in 2027. Recent political visits strengthened commitments toward technological and economic cooperation in multilateral forums.

Global trading is mixed as worries about AI-related issues grow
On the global stage, stock markets displayed a mixed bag of results as Alphabet's stock drop spurred worries about the trajectory of artificial intelligence. Japan witnessed a notable dip in the Nikkei 225 index while the Bank of Japan opted to keep interest rates unchanged. In the US, the Dow futures crept up slightly, contrasting with a decline in S&P 500 futures.

China trade accord with Swiss bucks wider trend towards protectionism
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Swiss President Guy Parmelin are set to sign a significant trade deal. The accord offers Switzerland extensive market access to China, enhancing the trade relationship between the two nations. This agreement notably contrasts with increasing trade barriers established by the United States and the European Union. Swiss officials believe this deal will provide stability in a volatile global trade environment.

UK PM Burnham's trip to India could take place soon: British envoy
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham is keen to visit India soon, Acting British High Commissioner Ben Mellor said on Thursday, highlighting strengthening ties between the two countries. Mellor also expressed confidence that India and the UK would surpass their target of doubling bilateral trade to around $120 billion by 2030, citing new deals worth £12 billion since the free trade agreement was signed.

India to emerge as major exporter to China, ASEAN, get edge in US trade pact, says Piyush Goyal
Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal highlighted India's potential to expand exports to China and ASEAN. Negotiations are underway for a trade pact with the United States that could provide India a comparative advantage. The country is also working towards an Investment Protection Agreement with the European Union. Goyal indicated that discussions for preferential trade agreements are progressing with multiple countries and groups.

We will see India becoming major exporter of goods and services to China: Piyush Goyal
Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal emphasised India's willingness to engage with Chinese suppliers. He highlighted the importance of fair play and judicial processes regarding pricing discrepancies. India aims to enhance exports to China and the ASEAN region over the coming years. Recent trade data shows a significant increase in India-China bilateral trade. The Indian government is also addressing concerns related to China's export controls on key machinery.
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