TARIFF UNCERTAINTIES
India garment makers rethink reliance on US after tariff shock
Many Indian companies are reconfiguring their export destinations, and their exposure to the US, in light of the tariff shock, in a move that is likely to strengthen New Delhi's hand in its trade negotiations with Washington, and potentially reduce India's vulnerability to US pressure over time.
India begins pouring in a bigger glass when global alcohol demand takes a hit
Alcohol consumption in India increased by 10% in early 2026, contrasting with declines in other major markets. Beer led the growth, with a 16% rise, while no-alcohol beer surged by 25%. Despite a global decline of 1% in alcohol consumption, India recorded increases across all categories tracked. Global brands are increasingly focusing on India for growth opportunities in the beverage alcohol sector.
China’s trade surplus tops $1 trillion for second straight year as exports surge
China's trade surplus reached $1.04 trillion in January-October, crossing $1 trillion for a second consecutive year. October exports rose 35.2% year-on-year, while imports grew 41.6%, narrowing the monthly surplus to $105.3 billion. Strong overseas demand is supporting exports, but weak domestic consumption and rising trade tensions pose risks to the outlook.
When wars and AI cast a shadow, India has pressed a power reset
India’s renewable energy expansion is reshaping its energy security, cutting dependence on imported coal and natural gas as wars, oil supply disruptions and AI-driven electricity demand put pressure on power markets. An International Energy Agency report says clean energy saved India over $100 billion in fuel imports between 2011 and 2025, with cumulative savings potentially reaching $240 billion by 2030.
Explained: Why copper prices could fall further after four-month low amid US election outcome
Copper prices fell to a four-month low following the US midterm election outcome, which raised doubts over AI data centre demand and import tariffs. Despite a minor Monday bounce and tight supply constraints, analysts at TD Securities warn of potential further downside in the near term.
Tech firms claw back some losses after midterms rout, eyes on Nvidia
Tech firms rose Monday to claw back some of last week's painful losses fuelled by AI regulation worries, though traders were keeping a wary eye on a probe into Nvidia boss Jensen Huang amid claims of an affair with a Chinese spy. The executive, Alice Huang -- also known as Huang Le, and no relation to 63-year-old Taiwanese-born Jensen -- developed a close relationship with the Nvidia boss, the Times said.
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After the US midterm rout of Trumpism, the world struggles to trust America again
In the wake of the midterm elections, Joe Reeve alongside other international observers share their skepticism about the integrity of American democracy. A dominant concern is the potential volatility in U.S. policy amidst Trump’s sway. There’s a strong call from world leaders for the U.S. to uphold its democratic values, as businesses start to feel anxious about impending changes in trade and immigration policies.
After the US midterm rout of Trumpism, the world struggles to trust America again
Joe Reeve, a London startup founder, expressed global concern over the uncertainty following the midterm elections. Many international observers doubt whether the election results will lead to significant policy changes. Political leaders and business owners are cautious about America's potential direction under continued Trump influence. The emotional aftermath of the elections enhances feelings of distrust in American governance worldwide.
Gokaldas Exports Q2 net profit jumps 410% to ₹41 crore
Gokaldas Exports reported a 13% year-on-year rise in Q2FY27 consolidated income to ₹1,135 crore, while net profit surged 410% to ₹41 crore. EBITDA grew 52% to ₹127 crore, with margins expanding 287 basis points to 11.2%, supported by a stronger product mix, productivity gains and better execution.
Indian GCCs set to add 35k jobs in 2027
ANSR expects these jobs – ranging from 30,000 to 35,000 - to be added by 160-175 new greenfield GCCs amid an increasing number of inquiries from US mid-sized companies. The caveat emptor: Experts say this interest is yet to translate into plans for large-scale relocation of jobs from the US.
Did Vance just fire first salvo at Trump? The Republican inheritance war may have begun
US midterm election results: Trump & Co's defeat at the midterms has not just changed the balance of power in Washington. It has also exposed the fault lines of a party structure built solely around a single celebrity politician.
US midterm election impact: What it means for investors in equities, bonds and gold
The US midterm election outcome could influence equities, bonds, gold and emerging market flows, but its direct market impact may remain limited. A weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields could support emerging markets and gold, while Federal Reserve policy, crude oil prices and AI spending remain key drivers for investors.
US tariffs squeeze Canadian cabinet makers facing doubling of Trump duty
As US tariffs on Canadian kitchen cabinets are set to double to 50%, the industry faces significant challenges. Companies like Cabico are considering relocating production to the US to mitigate costs. Many cabinet manufacturers have experienced reduced shipment volumes and workforce cuts due to tariffs. The Canadian government has proposed a provisional 25% surtax, but manufacturers want stronger measures.
India bonds climb in step with Treasuries as oil sinks
Indian government bonds increased for the fourth consecutive session following a Democratic win in the US midterm elections. This victory led to a decline in crude oil prices, easing inflation concerns for India. The 10-year US Treasury yield also fell significantly, impacting investors' expectations. A trader noted that upcoming inflation data would be critical for assessing the Reserve Bank of India's rate outlook.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
US midterm outcome offers limited relief to India; oil, Russia sanctions remain key risks: Report
The outcome of the US midterm elections is expected to offer only marginal relief to India. Crude oil prices and potential tariffs on Russian oil purchases will continue to present economic challenges. While a Democratic majority may enhance diplomatic engagement, immediate trade relief seems unlikely. The rupee and foreign portfolio investor inflows could see some positive impact.
Democrats' US midterm sweep may give India more room to negotiate a balanced trade deal with Trump
Democrats' takeover of both chambers of the US Congress could ease pressure on India in trade negotiations with the Trump administration, experts said. Greater Congressional scrutiny of tariffs may create opportunities for Indian exporters, although the existing 18% tariff is unlikely to change immediately and the bilateral trade agreement could face delays.
US midterm elections: Gems & jewellery industry keeps its fingers crossed
India's gems and jewellery industry is optimistic about a potential trade agreement with the United States. Industry leaders believe that a trade deal could enhance export competitiveness and safeguard jobs. The anticipated agreement follows the Democrats' recent success in the US midterm elections. Concerns remain regarding job losses in Surat if tariffs and trade uncertainties persist. Revenue for India's natural diamond industry is projected to remain flat this financial year.
Reset will keep India busy as Trump’s midterm loss redraws US politics
The recent US midterm elections have significant implications for international relations and the economy. Incoming policies may impact trade agreements between India and the US, affecting both countries' economies. Additionally, potential conflicts involving Iran could influence energy prices in India, creating economic uncertainty. The evolving political landscape in Washington will require India to adjust its diplomatic strategies.
US Democratic win unlikely to ease firms' cost, tariff woes in near term, executives say
Global businesses expect limited immediate changes following Democrats' takeover of the US Congress, as high energy and raw material costs, inflation and strained consumer spending continue to weigh on operations. While some executives welcomed prospects of political stability, companies remain uncertain about tariffs, AI regulation and trade policies, amid fears of Washington gridlock.
US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
Rupee gains 17 paise to settle at 94.58 against Us dollar
The Indian rupee appreciated for the second consecutive session, closing 17 paise higher against the US dollar. Easing crude oil prices and inflows from foreign investors contributed to the rupee's firmness. Domestic equity markets also performed well, with both Sensex and Nifty rising significantly. The dollar index experienced a decline, reflecting a weaker American currency. These factors indicated improved global sentiment following the US midterm elections.
US midterm election results 2026: India sees some trade relief, new risks after US midterm vote
Indian officials are cautiously optimistic about the recent US midterm election results and their implications. While the election reduces trade tension, it introduces new uncertainties for US-India relations. Analysts suggest it is too early to gauge the long-term effects of these political changes. The potential for increased tariffs still looms due to ongoing investigations.
US midterms may help D-Street break free from geopolitical overhang
The upcoming US mid-term elections will potentially influence global markets and trade policies. Investors are closely watching whether the outcomes will ease uncertainties regarding tariffs and immigration. The results could shape the policy direction and affect the sentiment of global investors. Analysts suggest that the focus should remain on domestic earnings growth and financial flows.
Apple shares slide as higher memory costs fuel margin concerns
The iPhone maker has benefited from using memory purchased at lower prices, but that advantage is expected to diminish over time, leaving more of its purchases exposed to higher prices.
Trump set for midterm test: What's in store for India, Iran, Ukraine after November 4?
US midterm election 2026: American voters' sentiments about rising prices could affect Trump's standing in trade discussions. Congressional control will determine the scrutiny over Trump's actions regarding Iran and Ukraine. India will, however, continue navigating uncertainties in trade relations regardless of the election results.
US midterm elections set to begin: Can Trump’s likely defeat sparkle Sensex, Nifty? Here’s what analysts say
The November 3 US midterm elections could reshape control of Congress, with analysts anticipating potential Republican losses. A divided government may heighten market volatility, although historical annualised returns remain largely unaffected. For Indian investors, the key concerns are the dollar, US bond yields, crude oil prices and foreign fund flows amid an already challenging market environment.
US midterms may raise shutdown, debt risks; keep tariff uncertainty high: ICICI Bank
The upcoming US midterm elections could increase the potential for a government shutdown and legislative standoffs. Democrats are predicted to have a high chance of controlling both chambers of Congress, which may impact future policies. While significant tariff changes are not expected, uncertainty for businesses may rise under new leadership. Additionally, ongoing disputes surrounding the debt ceiling could affect government financial stability.
India's FTAs to open new export opportunities as country eyes $1 trillion milestone: IIFT VC
India's trade deficit is likely to persist as long as the country remains dependent on oil imports, although rising exports of value-added petroleum products are helping narrow the gap, K. Rangarajan, Vice-Chancellor of the Indian Institute of Foreign Trade (IIFT), said on Friday.
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