RBI MPC
RBI MPC Date and Time: Guv Sanjay Malhotra to share key update on repo rate, inflation & more; check when and where to watch live speech
RBI MPC Meeting October 2026: The Reserve Bank of India is expected to consider its first repo rate hike in four years amid rising inflation risks and elevated crude oil prices. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra will announce the monetary policy decision on October 7 at 10 am. Experts anticipate a 25-basis-point repo rate hike, potentially taking rates to 5.50%.
Banks vs NBFCs: Which stocks could benefit as RBI eyes rate hike for first time in 3 years?
The RBI’s expected first rate hike in three years could have a mixed impact on banks and NBFCs. While higher funding costs may pressure NBFC margins, lenders with floating-rate assets and strong liquidity could benefit. Brokerages favour HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bajaj Finance and Tata Capital.
Explained: How RBI rate hike may impact Sensex, Nifty after 8-week losing streak
The Reserve Bank of India is expected to announce a 25-basis point rate hike in its upcoming meeting. Analysts assert that this rate hike has already been largely priced into the stock market. While sectors such as real estate and autos may experience some volatility, clean balance sheets could mitigate impacts. The market's movement will depend more on corporate earnings than on monetary policy adjustments.
RBI seen starting rate-hike cycle, repo could rise to 6% by FY27-end: Reports
The Reserve Bank of India is likely to increase the repo rate to combat rising inflation and support stronger growth. Reports indicate that a rate-hike cycle of 75 basis points is anticipated, potentially reaching 6 percent by FY27. While inflation drives this tightening, geopolitical factors could impact the extent of rate increases. ICICI Bank has raised its CPI inflation forecast based on core inflation trends and global developments.
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FD interest rate hike coming? With rising inflation, many experts expect RBI to hike interest rate
Many financial analysts expect the Reserve Bank of India to increase the repo rate by 25 basis points. This forecast is driven by persistent inflation, soaring crude oil prices, and a depreciating rupee. Should the RBI implement this hike, it could lead to higher fixed deposit returns for investors. Meanwhile, public sector banks continue to offer lower rates, struggling against fierce competition from government securities and small savings schemes.

RBI likely to hold repo rate in Oct policy, begin 50-75 bps hike cycle in Dec: BoB
The Reserve Bank of India is set to maintain the repo rate at 5.25% during the upcoming policy meeting. Despite rising inflation pressures and global economic uncertainty, the rate is expected to remain unchanged. Credit and deposit growth in India currently show strong performance, supporting steady rates. A rate hike cycle is anticipated to begin in December, amounting to 50-75 basis points.

Rupee headed to 100? How much the psychological red line matters
India's rupee has slipped past ₹96 as high US Treasury yields, elevated oil prices and foreign portfolio outflows strengthen the dollar. The IMF says India can allow the exchange rate to act as a shock absorber, while the RBI weighs intervention against reserves, inflation and external risks. Experts debate whether gradual depreciation could improve competitiveness without triggering imported inflation.

$100/barrel crude on screen, $145/barrel in physical market: Kotak Securities sees two prices
Crude oil’s physical market price could reach nearly $145 a barrel even if benchmark prices show $100, as soaring VLCC shipping costs widen the gap, Kotak Securities’ Anindya Banerjee said. He expects India to remain protected by ample refining capacity and diversified supplies, while predicting RBI rate hikes in October and December as liquidity remains abundant.

RBI MPC begins 3-day meeting today amid expectations of first rate hike since 2023
The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee is meeting to discuss potential interest rate hikes. Inflationary pressures and external factors are leading to anticipation of a rate increase. Analysts expect a 25 basis points hike in the upcoming policy announcement. This decision aligns with current inflation trends and economic forecasts for the country. The market is closely monitoring these developments as they will impact future economic stability.

D-Street poised for a positive start as GIFT Nifty trades firmly higher
The Nifty index continues to decline, marking its eighth consecutive week of losses due to market pressures. Analysts predict that the combination of foreign selling and rising bond yields will affect sentiment negatively. The Indian rupee has also weakened, contributing to ongoing market challenges faced by investors. Importantly, the 200-Week EMA remains a critical level for potential recovery or further decline.

Blockbuster Accenture show holds out hope for battered Indian IT
Accenture's latest financial performance has sparked renewed optimism among investors in the Indian IT sector. The strong results hint at a revival in client discretionary spending. Analysts underscore the need for Indian IT firms to enhance their artificial intelligence capabilities to successfully tackle upcoming challenges. Accenture's forecast suggests improved market conditions and steady margins, painting a picture of a resilient industry.

Largecaps bear brunt of selloff as 84% of Nifty50 stocks slip below 200-DMAs
The Indian stock market is facing notable turmoil, with a pronounced selloff impacting major players like Tata Motors and Infosys. Currently, a staggering 84% of Nifty 50 stocks are underperforming their 200-day moving averages. In contrast, smaller stocks are showing notable strength, as many in the Nifty 500 outstrip established blue-chip firms.

September IPO rush draws $1 billion FPI money even as listed stocks see record outflows
In September, Foreign Portfolio Investors actively participated in the Indian primary market by investing $1 billion. Simultaneously, they offloaded $4.8 billion worth of equities from the secondary market. A total of 96 IPOs have launched in 2026, with 34 occurring in September alone. The expected future launch of the Jio Platforms IPO may influence upcoming primary market dynamics.

RBI likely to hike repo rate by 25 bps to 5.50% in October policy: ET Poll
On Monday, the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will hold important meetings. Analysts are anticipating a 25 basis points increase in the key interest rate, raising it to 5.50%. The surge in inflation is attributed to elevated crude oil costs and subpar agricultural production. Many economists advocate for a rate hike as a crucial measure to tackle ongoing inflation issues, with outcomes to be revealed on October 7.

RBI could keep rates higher for longer amid global and local risks
With global financial risks in the spotlight, the Reserve Bank of India is indicating a shift towards higher interest rates. Governor Sanjay Malhotra has highlighted emerging challenges, including significant global debt levels and surging asset prices. The rise in US treasury yields and crude oil costs suggests trials ahead for the Indian economy.

RBI MPC must raise rates as inflation and external risks rise
India's economy is currently thriving, boasting a growth rate exceeding 7%, bolstered by diverse sectors and enhancing productivity levels. Nonetheless, escalating oil prices and geopolitical instability present significant threats to economic stability and rising inflation. The Reserve Bank of India faces calls to increase interest rates to effectively address inflationary pressures. Furthermore, the current capital account surplus is insufficient to cover the current account deficit, reflecting persistent economic hurdles.

RBI may hike repo rate by 25 bps as inflation and oil risks mount: Sunil Sanghai
The RBI could raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in October and signal further tightening as inflation, elevated crude prices and a narrowing rate gap with the US pressure the rupee. Strong reserves and a manageable current account provide crucial buffers.

RBI repo rate may climb to 6% in FY27; G-Sec yields face upward pressure: Report
RBI is expected to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points in October, with one or two more hikes possible in FY27, taking the benchmark rate to 5.75-6%, according to a Union Bank of India report.

Will Nifty, Sensex plunge for 9th straight week? TCS Q2, RBI MPC among 4 factors to drive Dalal Street from Monday
India's stock market has faced a challenging downturn, marking eight weeks of losses, the longest in 25 years. Driving this trend are soaring oil prices and rising US bond yields. The sell-off by foreign institutional investors has intensified the downturn. As companies like TCS and DMart prepare for their Q2 earnings, investors hope for signs of resilience amidst a weaker rupee fueling their concerns.

Rate cut cycle near turning point. What lies ahead for Indian bonds?
The RBI is expected to signal monetary tightening at its October policy meeting as stronger economic growth, rising oil prices and elevated US Treasury yields fuel inflation concerns. Higher domestic rates could support the rupee but raise borrowing costs for the government and companies while pressuring equities and consumption.

SBI Research sees CPI inflation at 5.65% in Sept, above 6.5% in Oct-Nov
SBI Research forecasts a rise in CPI inflation to around 5.65 percent in September. They expect it to exceed 6.5 percent during October and November. Inflationary pressures have broadened significantly since the last monetary policy meeting. Additionally, the weakening rupee poses further risks to economic stability. The Reserve Bank of India may adjust its GDP growth and inflation projections during the upcoming policy review.

ETMarkets Smart Talk: Rupee under pressure, inflation sticky: Will RBI be forced to rethink rates? Ankita Pathak, Ionic Asset
With the Fed entering a tightening cycle, India faces a tougher monetary policy trade-off as the rupee remains under pressure and inflation shows signs of broadening. Ankita Pathak of Ionic Asset says RBI’s policy flexibility could narrow, while elevated US yields and a stronger dollar may weigh on Indian equities and capital flows.

10-year bond yield breaches 7.20%; hits 2.5-year high
India's 10-year benchmark bond yields have surged to 7.21%, reaching their highest point in two and a half years. With oil prices continuing to soar and an anticipated rate hike, analysts predict these yields could escalate to 7.50% if the Reserve Bank of India enacts a 25 basis point increase. A substantial bond issuance is on the horizon, adding complexity to the supply-demand landscape.

Will RBI rate hikes intensify selloff in bank stocks? Analysts explain why fears may be overdone
Bank shares have endured steep declines as investors brace for imminent interest rate hikes from the RBI. Some analysts suggest that the recent selloff may be excessive, presenting an opportunity to pick up quality stocks at lower prices. The forthcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting will clarify the scope of any rate changes. Although there are immediate margin concerns, the overall asset quality in the banking sector remains stable.

RBI may face two hikes, one dilemma as repo rate is seen hitting 5.75% soon: Report
The Reserve Bank of India is projected to increase its repo rate by 25 basis points in October and December. Inflationary pressures, primarily from food and energy prices, are influencing this expected change. Nomura forecasts consumer inflation rising before gradually declining over the next few quarters. Economists predict this rate cycle might be relatively short due to potential consumption slowdowns.

Nifty Bank crashes 1,800 points in 2 days, slips below 54K for first time in 4 months. What’s next?
Banking stocks have come under heavy pressure, with the Nifty Bank index plunging nearly 1,800 points in two days and slipping below 54,000 for the first time since early June. The selloff has been driven by concerns over potential RBI rate hikes and rising bond yields.

RBI MPC October 2026: Sanjay Malhotra & co may raise interest rates to 5.50% as inflation broadens, poll finds
Economic experts predict that the Reserve Bank of India will increase interest rates at its upcoming meeting. This anticipated rate hike is largely due to rising inflation, which has exceeded the RBI's targets consistently. As central banks globally address inflationary pressures, India is under similar pressures regarding its currency. Nearly 60% of surveyed economists expect this action will occur in October.
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