POLLING ANALYSIS
Two Indian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya face key US midterm races as early voting begins
Amish Shah, a 48-year-old physician and former state representative, is in the fray from the First District in Arizona against former National Football League kicker Jay Feely, the Republican candidate who has received an endorsement from President Donald Trump. Pia Dandiya, a 39-year-old former high school principal, is contesting from South Florida's 22nd district, which was carved out in redistricting, against Casey Askar of the Republican Party.
US midterm elections 2026: Who is funding Rudy Yakym’s campaign? PAC money and outside spending explained
Rudy Yakym's campaign in Indiana's 2nd Congressional District reported total receipts more than $6.5 million. Approximately $1.41 million was received in direct contributions from committees during this election cycle. Pro-Israel PACs contributed around $111,368 to Yakym's campaign, with AIPAC PAC as the main contributor. Outside groups, including American Mission, reported nearly $192,500 in independent spending supporting Yakym.
US Midterm Elections 2026: Where could Indian-American voters make a difference?
Indian-American Voters in 2026: Indian-American voters could influence closely contested races in the November 3 US midterm elections, particularly in states such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, Texas and New Jersey. While the community continues to lean Democratic, weakening party loyalty, economic concerns, immigration policy and perceptions of discrimination could shape its electoral choices.
US Midterm election 2026 early voting, mail-in, in-person votes before polling day surge higher than previous years. What does this mean for Donald Trump, Republican party?
US Midterm elections typically favor the party out of power in Washington. With Republicans in control of both chambers of Congress and the White House, it's a distinctly different environment than 2022, when Democrats were in charge.
Trump's midterm alarm bells are ringing: Five new polls hold clues
National polling ahead of the US midterm elections indicates a Democratic lead over Republicans in congressional races. Various surveys show that dissatisfaction with the current administration is affecting voter preferences. President Trump is experiencing low approval ratings, particularly regarding his economic management. Economic concerns, particularly rising gas prices, are influencing voter sentiment as the elections approach.
Republicans bet Musk's millions can rescue Texas' Paxton in US Senate race
Texas’ Senate race has become one of the most expensive in US history, with more than $500 million spent as Republican groups, backed by major donors including Elon Musk, seek to help Ken Paxton defeat Democrat James Talarico. With early voting underway, analysts say the focus has shifted from persuading undecided voters to mobilising supporters, while both parties battle over inflation, the Iran war and culture-war issues.
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Global Market: Eurozone banking crisis fears return as government borrowing costs surge
Rising euro zone borrowing costs have renewed fears of a sovereign debt crisis, particularly in France. European banks’ stronger capital buffers, diversified bond holdings and tighter regulation offer protection, but prolonged market volatility could increase funding costs, weaken profitability and revive investor concerns over banks’ exposure to government debt.
Trump is facing record-low approval ahead of the 2026 US midterms as Democrats gain ground. Why history offers Republicans little comfort
Donald Trump's approval rating has dropped significantly, causing concern for the Republican Party ahead of midterm elections. Recent polling reveals a 12-point lead for Democrats over Republicans, increasing electoral pressure. Rising living costs and international conflicts contribute to voter dissatisfaction affecting election outcomes. Historically, low presidential approval ratings correlate with seat losses for the incumbent party during midterms.
Lula vs Bolsonaro: As Brazil lies on the brink of tilting right, India watches its major BRICS partner
Flávio Bolsonaro secured leading votes against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil's elections on October 4. The runoff on October 25 could solidify right-wing power across South America, following a regional trend. Lula aims to reduce economic inequality while Bolsonaro focuses on crime and spending cuts. India is observing the elections closely due to its strategic partnership with Brazil in various sectors.
Karnataka’s voter gender gap flips as women take 3.7 lakh lead over men amidst SIR
Karnataka’s provisional electoral rolls show 2.28 crore women against 2.25 crore men, a lead of nearly 3.7 lakh that breaks the pattern in available historical data. Women outnumber men in 25 of 34 districts, while officials work to clear pending hearings and applications before the final roll is published on October 27.
Delhi Police’s Rs 15.7 crore facial recognition CCTV tender flags surveillance concerns
Delhi Police has issued a Rs 15.7-crore tender for the installation of CCTV cameras with facial recognition capabilities. The tender, part of a modernization initiative, specifies 338 cameras for Central and New Delhi. Concerns have been raised regarding the procurement process and surveillance safeguards. Installation is expected to commence in December 2026 or January 2027.
Nine ways the Trump administration could interfere with the midterms
US President Donald Trump has made efforts to exert control over the upcoming midterm elections. Many election officials are preparing for potential disruptions and challenges that could arise. Trump's history of contesting election outcomes and urging supporters to act complicates the electoral landscape. Federal investigations and other interventions could influence voter confidence and result certifications.
Israel’s opposition wants Netanyahu out. Its leaders’ positions on Palestine reveal the limits of a political shake-up
Four opposition parties in Israel are collaborating to remove Benjamin Netanyahu from power in the upcoming election. While they agree on ousting Netanyahu, their commitment to alter policies regarding Palestinians is uncertain. Notably, key leaders within the alliance maintain strict positions against Palestinian statehood and support for settlements. The potential shift in government may not lead to significant changes in the treatment of Palestinians.
From gas prices to grocery bills: How Trump’s economic policies are giving Democrats a new midterm campaign weapon
Rising living costs are becoming a focal point for Democrats in the 2026 midterm elections. Many voters are linking these economic pressures to the policies of Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers. Democratic candidates are spending millions on advertisements highlighting tariffs and the Iran war's financial impact. In response, Republicans are focusing on other issues while trying to distance themselves from Trump.
Republican voter enthusiasm gap: Trump’s biggest 2026 problem isn’t Democrats, but it's his own voters who seem to be losing interest-here's what the new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
With the midterm elections approaching, only 30% of Trump voters express strong enthusiasm about voting. In contrast, 48% of Harris voters are very enthusiastic, indicating a significant gap. This discrepancy may affect overall voter turnout in the upcoming elections. Meanwhile, Trump's approval rating has reached a record low, which is impacting his supporters' motivation. Addressing these challenges is crucial for both parties as they prepare for November 3.
What is early voting telling us about the 2026 US midterms and what is it not?
More than 700,000 Americans have cast early votes across at least 30 states for the upcoming midterm elections. In states like Iowa and Pennsylvania, Democrats represent a larger share of ballot requests compared to previous elections. Virginia is leading in early voting, with significant participation noted from Democratic voters. Early voting trends may not reflect overall results, as secret ballots keep specific voting data hidden.
Google cofounder Sergey Brin bets $102 million to dodge a $13 billion tax bill as California billionaires head for the exit
Sergey Brin has committed $102 million against a proposed one-time tax on California billionaires. This tax could potentially cost him around $13 billion if approved. With significant opposition funding exceeding $187 million, support for the tax stands at about $32 million. Governor Gavin Newsom and other billionaires have joined Brin in the campaign against the tax.
US trade deficit widens in August amid strong imports
The US trade deficit increased by 13.7% in August, reaching $105.6 billion. This rise reflects strong domestic demand and increased imports. Imports rose by 4.3% to $420.8 billion, with goods imports jumping 5.3%. Exports also saw a small increase of 1.4% to $315.2 billion in the same period. Economists predict that trade could significantly impact economic growth in the third quarter.
Warning signs multiply for Trump just a month before the midterms
The Republican Party is entering a challenging political environment as midterm elections approach. Issues related to tariffs and the Iran war are causing economic concerns among voters. Recent polling reveals low approval ratings for Trump's handling of the economy and cost of living. Early voting data indicates stronger Democratic participation compared to previous elections. Republican candidates may struggle to distance themselves from Trump while addressing economic dissatisfaction.
US stocks: Nasdaq rises while S&P, Dow dip as softer inflation cools Fed hike bets
On Wednesday, inflation data led to mixed market movements, with the Nasdaq increasing slightly. The Dow and S&P 500 faced declines, although both indexes posted quarterly gains. Private employers added 90,000 jobs in September, contributing to labor market reports this week. The S&P 500 achieved new highs while also experiencing several lows in its performance. Rising concerns about inflation continue to influence economic outlooks and Federal Reserve expectations.
US inflation rises less than expected in August; consumer spending surges
US inflation rose less than expected in August, with the PCE price index increasing 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year. Core PCE rose 0.2% monthly and 3% annually. The softer inflation reading may reduce expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike next month, while consumer spending surged 0.9%.
Broadening inflation, robust growth, global hikes build case for India RBI tightening
The RBI is under growing pressure to raise rates in October as inflation broadens across the economy, growth remains strong and global central banks tighten policy. A Reuters poll shows most economists expect a 25-basis-point hike to 5.50%, while markets are already pricing in further increases over the next year.
Women's safety concerns trigger campus protests from Delhi to Punjab as clashes, misinformation fuel unrest
Concerns regarding the safety of women students have led to protests on various campuses across India. In Delhi, the alleged gangrape of a teenager prompted demonstrations demanding better safety measures. Meanwhile, protests in Punjab were fueled by unverified claims of missing students and sexual assaults. These incidents resulted in violence, property damage, and clashes with police at multiple universities.
How are US midterms different from presidential elections? What to know before 2026 polls
US midterm elections differ from presidential contests in turnout, electorate composition and what voters decide. Midterms typically draw fewer and older voters, with a smaller share of nonwhite voters than presidential elections. In 2026, the vote will determine control of Congress and shape the legislative environment President Donald Trump faces.
Where are you voting in the US midterm elections following redistricting? 1 in 10 Americans will vote in a different district
For millions of Americans, the 2026 midterm ballot could look different from the one they received two years ago. Their address may be exactly the same. Their polling place may also be unchanged. What could be different is the congressional district drawn around them. A Protect Democracy analysis estimates that about 34.8 million Americans were placed in different congressional districts between the 2024 and 2026 elections.
US current account deficit widens 15.7% to $246 billion in Q2 on import surge
In the second quarter, the US current account deficit increased by $33.4 billion, reaching $246.0 billion. The rise in imports of goods was substantial, outpacing the growth in exports significantly. The goods trade deficit widened to $291.3 billion after a notable increase in imports. Additionally, the primary income balance narrowed, indicating changes in international financial flows. The nation's international investment position also deteriorated slightly, showing a larger deficit.
US Midterm Poll favors Democrats, but Republicans hold a $103 million advantage that could change the race
The Republican National Committee closed out August with roughly $125.6 million in cash on hand. By comparison, the Democratic National Committee reported about $16.9 million in available cash and was carrying another $17.6 million in debt.
Which party is leading in the US mid term elections 2026? Here's what the polls are saying
US Midterm Elections 2026 Polling: With the 2026 U.S. midterm elections now less than six weeks away, the national political picture is beginning to look different from where it stood earlier in the year. Democrats have opened a noticeable lead in several measures of congressional preference, while Republicans are still protected by the structure of the Senate map and their existing majority.
Republicans have a billion-dollar answer to Trump's weak midterm polling
Republican groups are dramatically outspending Democrats in several key Senate and House races, deploying hundreds of millions of dollars in outside advertising as the party tries to defend vulnerable seats ahead of the midterms. But the financial advantage may not fully offset voter concerns over inflation, fuel prices and Donald Trump’s economic record.
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