NIFTY PREDICTION
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
Oil Price Today (November 9): Crude oil falls below $100 again as Trump says fresh attacks ‘highly unlikely’. What are experts saying?
Crude oil price: Prices came under further pressure after US President Donald Trump indicated that he was unlikely to authorise fresh attacks on Iran if negotiations to end the conflict continued to make progress. In a phone interview with CNN, Trump said further military action was "highly unlikely" to be necessary, provided both sides reached a strong agreement.
PSBs, pharma and defence: HDFC Securities CEO names Samvat 2083’s dark horses
HDFC Securities MD and CEO Dhiraj Relli identifies public sector banks, pharmaceuticals and defence as potential outperformers in Samvat 2083. He favours largecaps for valuation comfort, highlights selective stock opportunities and urges investors to prioritise earnings visibility and disciplined asset allocation.
Oil Price Today (November 6): Crude oil nears $100 again as fresh attacks dent peace talk hopes. What are experts saying?
Crude oil price : Oil prices are making a comeback as fears of supply interruptions grow following recent tanker attacks. President Donald Trump has reiterated that Iran must obtain US consent for its nuclear activities. Concerns about potential supply challenges loom large, prompting Goldman Sachs to revise its Brent and WTI crude price projections upwards. Meanwhile, diplomatic negotiations involving Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar progress amid regional volatility.
Diwali sweet nothings: Like soan papdi, the annual festival stock tip is admired, passed along, and almost never 'eaten'
Diwali gifting traditions influence stock market trading strategies and recommendations across various brokerages during the festive season. Many analysts provide stock picks with target prices, which are frequently unattainable in the falling market. A significant number of brokerage reports underperform their benchmarks for prolonged periods of time.
Gold, Silver, Stocks: Why Bonds Deserve a Place on Your Dhanteras Shopping List
Traditionally, investors have turned to gold and silver on Dhanteras, but this trend is shifting. Recent fluctuations in these precious metals and stock equities have raised apprehensions over their reliability. Bonds present a viable alternative with their assured returns and steady interest payouts, offering stability amid market volatility. By including bonds in their investment strategy, individuals can ensure they meet their financial requirements without rushing to liquidate assets.
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Pull it, not just for better FPIs: Scrap FPI capital gains tax to boost inflows, strengthen rupee and cut fiscal deficit
Scrapping the long-term capital gains tax could significantly enhance foreign portfolio investment in India. This move would likely lead to a stronger rupee and reduced fiscal deficit for the government. Historical data suggests that foreign capital flows have a direct correlation with the value of the rupee. The elimination of this tax could also support higher valuations and better disinvestment proceeds.
What investment mistakes should investors avoid this Diwali? Experts share 5 lessons
As the Diwali festivities unfold, investors should exercise caution and resist the urge to make hasty decisions based on the current market climate. It's vital to adhere to preset financial objectives and strategies rather than chasing after recent high-performers, which can lead to recency bias and unnecessary risk. A thorough evaluation of asset allocations, particularly in gold and silver, is essential to safeguard long-term wealth without succumbing to emotional impulses.
Entering the new Samvat: How to position your portfolio for long-term wealth creation
As investors enter Vikram Samvat 2083 amid market volatility, disciplined portfolio construction matters more than short-term predictions. Sound asset allocation, genuine diversification, regular reviews and continued SIP investing can help investors manage uncertainty and build long-term wealth.
Only 3.2% of working Indians trade stocks. Why Morgan Stanley likes NSE
Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage of NSE with an overweight rating and a price target of Rs 2,315, citing its dominant market share, strong liquidity and India’s underpenetrated capital markets. The brokerage expects revenue and normalised profit to grow at 15% annually between FY27 and FY29. It sees long-term growth opportunities but flags regulatory changes and market-share losses as key risks.
Gold vs silver ETFs: Which metal offers better opportunity for investors this Diwali?
During the festive season of Diwali, savvy investors often gravitate towards gold and silver seeking security. Experts recommend evaluating personal investment goals to decide on gold, known for its stability, or silver, which presents higher risks but potential for greater returns. Recent data shows gold ETFs delivered 9.22% returns, while silver ETFs outperformed with 14.05%. A balanced approach within your portfolio can lead to sustainable wealth amidst market fluctuations.
US midterm elections set to begin: Can Trump’s likely defeat sparkle Sensex, Nifty? Here’s what analysts say
The November 3 US midterm elections could reshape control of Congress, with analysts anticipating potential Republican losses. A divided government may heighten market volatility, although historical annualised returns remain largely unaffected. For Indian investors, the key concerns are the dollar, US bond yields, crude oil prices and foreign fund flows amid an already challenging market environment.
Lionel Messi’s playbook for investors: Heavy lifting, patience, planning, consistency, and teamwork
A young Messi relied on explosive speed and amazing dribbling to beat defenders. As he grew older, he used experience, positioning and passing to influence matches. He remained exceptional because he adapted. Investors must adopt a similar transition.
Cheap stocks aren’t enough: The one trigger FIIs need to return to India
FIIs have pulled nearly $64 billion from Indian equities over the past two years, marking the longest and deepest sell-off in two decades, according to JM Financial. Despite cheaper valuations and an improving earnings outlook, foreign investors remain on the sidelines, with a sustained decline in crude oil prices emerging as a key trigger for their return.
ET Wealth Expo: Saurabh Mukherjea suggests a simple 50:50 portfolio to diversify across India and the US
Saurabh Mukherjea recommends a simple 50:50 portfolio split between the Nifty 50 and the S&P 500, with annual rebalancing, to diversify across India and the US. He explains how the strategy can improve returns relative to risk, reduce volatility and help investors avoid predicting which market will outperform.
Advance-decline ratio hits 7-month low as market breadth weakens
The advance-to-decline ratio in the stock market indicates underlying weakness, despite some index gains. The BSE MidCap 150 and BSE SmallCap 250 have both seen declines this month. Various factors such as profit-booking and high valuations contribute to this market trend. Institutional money is increasingly favoring larger companies with stable earnings. Overall market conditions remain uncertain due to external economic pressures and geopolitical risks.
As crypto markets mature, technical analysis moves to the core of investor strategy
Crypto investing has evolved from hype-driven participation to a focus on technical analysis and structured decision-making. Investors are now using tools to analyze price movements and market trends effectively. Technical analysis helps investors remove emotions from trading and create a repeatable system for decision-making. Additionally, many traders combine technical analysis with fundamental research to inform their investment choices.
Diwali 2026: Sensex plunged 10,000 points, Nifty dropped 12% since last Diwali. Will Samvat 2083 bring some relief?
Dalal Street heads into Samvat 2083 after a turbulent year that saw the Sensex plunge over 10,750 points and the Nifty shed nearly 12% since last Diwali. The Iran-US conflict, elevated crude oil prices, persistent FII outflows and AI-led IT selloff weighed on sentiment. Can easing headwinds revive the market?
These large-caps have ‘strong buy’ & ‘buy’ recos and an upside potential of over 25%, according to analysts
At this juncture, what companies say about their Q2 results, and their outlook for Q3 and Q4, matters a great deal – but only to a certain extent. A company can plan only for what is in its control. No management can predict what the US President will decide, or which way the trouble in the Gulf will turn next.
PMS Talk: AI, defence and electronics manufacturing are the next growth engines, says Vaibhav Agarwal
In this edition of ETMarkets PMS Talk, we speak with Vaibhav Agarwal, Founder & CIO, Accelt Asset Management LLP, about how his team’s bottom-up stock-picking approach identifies businesses capable of delivering sustained earnings growth. He explains why smallcaps offer opportunities among companies growing earnings at 25–30%, how the GMCV framework — Growth, Management, Capital Efficiency and Valuation — helps separate potential compounders from value traps, and why paying the right price matters even when a business has a compelling growth story.
IT companies likely to see 2-3% AI led deflation over the next 1-2 years
The rise of artificial intelligence is anticipated to contribute to ongoing revenue challenges within the IT services sector. Leading firms such as Tata Consultancy Services and Wipro have begun to adapt their revenue models. While some leaders believe AI-related growth may soon balance out traditional losses, worries about AI-induced deflation and reduced discretionary spending linger. Analysts suggest that these trends could persist until at least FY29 during contract renewals.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| India’s next wealth creators may be hidden in specialised manufacturing and energy infrastructure: Paresh Bhagat
Paresh Bhagat, Chairman of Mangal Keshav Financial Services, discusses where India’s next wealth creators could emerge from, why several mid- and smallcap stocks remain priced for strong future growth, and how investors can distinguish expensive growth stories from genuine long-term compounders. He also explains why valuation discipline matters, whether largecaps are becoming more attractive, and what investors should look for when identifying smaller companies that could grow into tomorrow’s market leaders.
Nifty rally faces crucial test at key resistance levels: Analysts
Nifty gained 3% last week, forming a higher-top and higher-bottom structure, indicating bullish sentiment. Analysts suggest it must breach key resistance levels for more substantial gains ahead. Meanwhile, Bank Nifty is approaching significant resistance, which may hinder further upside potential shortly. Key stocks like Coforge, Kotak Bank, and Indian Hotels present buying opportunities based on technical analysis.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Manufacturing, healthcare and financialisation could create India’s next wealth creators: Sanjay Doshi
Abakkus Mutual Fund’s Sanjay Doshi sees opportunities across market capitalisations, despite elevated mid- and smallcap valuations. He urges investors to prioritise sustainable earnings, cash flows and returns on capital, maintain disciplined stock selection and align SIP allocations with long-term goals.
How GIFT Nifty can help investors understand market trends before the opening bell
GIFT Nifty plays a pivotal role as a futures contract that encapsulates overnight global market shifts. It is essential for estimating the daily opening position of the Nifty 50. Investors analyze the discrepancy between the current GIFT Nifty and its previous close to decipher market trends. Though it offers a directional hint, it is not a guarantee of market behavior.
TCS, HCL Tech, Infosys shares surge up to 11% in 2 days; Nifty IT soars 2,000 points. More steam left for rally?
Indian IT stocks rallied as concerns over AI-driven disruption eased, triggering an “anti-AI” trade. The Nifty IT index surged over 2,000 points in two sessions to cross 30,000, its first move above the mark in nearly a month. HCL Tech gained nearly 11% in two days following its Q2 results, while TCS and Infosys rose 6–10%.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Largecaps look attractive, but selective mid and smallcaps still offer opportunities: Chandraprakash Padiyar of Tata MF
In an interview with Kshitij Anand of ETMarkets, Chandraprakash Padiyar, Senior Fund Manager at Tata Asset Management, says investors should focus on bottom-up stock selection rather than making investment decisions based solely on market capitalisation. He also highlights manufacturing as a promising wealth-creation theme, backed by improving cost competitiveness, strong balance sheets and ambitions to scale up globally.
Why did market rally today? Sensex surges 1,100 points, Nifty closes above 22,700. 5 key factors behind D-Street rebound
Stock Market Today: On Tuesday, Indian equity benchmarks, Sensex and Nifty, showcased a robust recovery after a lower opening. Driving this upward momentum, IT stocks saw notable gains, particularly HCL Tech, which soared more than 5% following its impressive Q2 results.
Nifty 50 at 26,500 in 4-5 months? Monarch Networth CEO points to 3 key triggers
Nifty 50 could reach 26,000-26,500 within four to five months, driven by cooling US Treasury yields, dollar weakness, and FII short covering, according to Monarch Networth Capital CEO Gaurav Bhandari. Strong monthly domestic inflows of Rs 31,000 crore provide additional support for valuation re-rating.
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