MOODY ANALYTICS
China's trade surplus surpasses $1 trillion for a 2nd straight year, as exports surge 35%
Exports in October surged 35.2% from a year earlier, the customs agency said. Exports have grown rapidly this year, supported by high-tech goods like semiconductors and autos.
China’s trade surplus tops $1 trillion for second straight year as exports surge
China's trade surplus reached $1.04 trillion in January-October, crossing $1 trillion for a second consecutive year. October exports rose 35.2% year-on-year, while imports grew 41.6%, narrowing the monthly surplus to $105.3 billion. Strong overseas demand is supporting exports, but weak domestic consumption and rising trade tensions pose risks to the outlook.
China's trade surplus surpasses USD 1 trillion for 2nd straight year, as exports surge 35 per cent
China's trade surplus has surpassed USD 1 trillion for the second consecutive year as exports continue to rise significantly. Imports increased sharply in October, contributing to a narrowing of the monthly surplus. The trade situation presents challenges as domestic demand remains sluggish while foreign competition intensifies. Trade discussions are anticipated between the leaders of the US and China amid ongoing global trade tensions.
Bombs, billions, and household bills: How much is the US-Iran war costing America and its people? Here's all about the war's price tag
By mid-October 2023, the US-Iran war had incurred costs totaling $47 billion, not counting damages to military bases following Iranian assaults. American households are bearing the brunt, each incurring around $2,000, mainly due to skyrocketing energy expenses. With the Pentagon reporting an ammunition deficit amid this escalating conflict, concerns are growing regarding the long-term economic fallout from sustained military engagement.
Warren Buffett's Berkshire earns more than 40% from just these 3 stocks; do you have in your portfolio?
Warren Buffett’s biggest dividend lesson lies in three stocks Berkshire Hathaway has held for decades. Coca-Cola, American Express and Moody’s now generate annual dividends equal to 65%, 45% and 41% of Berkshire’s original purchase costs.
Stocks in news: Reliance Industries, Eternal, IREDA, Yes Bank, Trent and Hindustan Zinc
Indian equity benchmarks experienced a decline as profit-booking occurred amid rising crude oil prices. The Nifty 50 dropped significantly, closing at 22,889 after disappointing corporate earnings. Reliance Industries aims to raise funds through its initial public offering today, which is highly anticipated. Other companies such as IREDA and Yes Bank reported mixed financial results for the quarter. Investors are closely monitoring these developments and their potential market impacts.
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Bajaj Finance acquires 5% stake in TrueFan AI as part of Finserv Intelligence
Bajaj Finance has completed a five percent equity investment in TrueFan AI, a move that aligns with Bajaj Finserv's commitment to fostering applied research and driving innovation. This investment will focus on tech startups that demonstrate significant scalability. TrueFan's platform is already being utilized for enhancing customer engagement, with the goal of expanding efforts in personalized marketing and AI-enhanced communication.
India to buck APAC slowdown despite oil, trade and El Nino risks: Moody's Analytics
India's economy is projected to grow strongly in the Asia-Pacific region. Higher oil prices and global slowdown pose significant risks to this outlook. El Nino presents a dual threat of food and energy vulnerability for the nation. AI-driven investments will support regional growth before gradually weakening. Policymakers must balance inflation risks with sustaining economic activity.
AI-boom fuels 'K' shaped global economic growth: Moody's Analytics
The global economy shows K-shaped growth as artificial intelligence advances some sectors. Moody's Analytics predicts a slowdown to 2.5 percent in 2026. AI demand has prevented a sharper economic downturn globally. Geopolitical risks and market volatility could lead to recession. Economies and industries not benefiting from AI have struggled.
Global growth set to slow to 2.5% and India 'will lose a step too': Moody's Analytics
Moody's Analytics expects global growth to slow to 2.5% in 2026, saying India too "will lose a step" amid a broader moderation in activity. The report said the AI boom has prevented a steeper downturn but warned that geopolitical tensions, trade frictions and inflation continue to pose downside risks to the global economy.
India emerging as prime destination for data centre projects, chip manufacturing: Report
Moody’s Analytics reports that AI investments are surging globally, with India, Singapore, and Malaysia emerging as top destinations for data centers and chip manufacturing. Despite slowing global trade, strong AI demand drives capital flows, with US tech firms expanding abroad to meet supply gaps and tap supportive Asian markets.
Who is Mark Zandi, the Iranian-American Moody's chief economist whom Donald Trump accuses of downgrading the U.S. credit rating to Aa1?
Following Moody's Ratings' downgrade of the US credit rating, Donald Trump's team has targeted Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, for blame. Trump's spokesman, Steven Cheung, dismissed Zandi's economic analysis, citing his history of criticism towards the administration's policies. Moody's cited rising government debt as the reason for the downgrade.
Moody's Analytics cuts India's 2025 growth forecast by 30 basis points citing US tariff impact
Moody's Analytics has downgraded India's 2025 growth forecast to 6.1% due to potential U.S. tariffs, despite a temporary freeze. Gems, jewellery, medical devices, and textiles are expected to be most affected. The RBI has responded by cutting the repo rate and adopting an accommodative stance to mitigate the impact and stimulate the domestic economy.
Need fiscal, monetary policy changes to achieve 6.4 pc GDP growth in 2025: Moody's Analytics
India needs to adjust its fiscal and monetary policies to achieve a 6.4% GDP growth in 2025 amid challenges like a weakening rupee, declining foreign investment, and volatile inflation. Moody's Analytics anticipates fiscal deficit reduction and supportive domestic demand measures in the upcoming Union Budget.
India & China inflation readings are worlds apart, India is playing catch-up after Covid: Moody's Analytics
Moody's Analytics reports contrasting retail inflation outlooks for India and China, with China experiencing minimal inflation due to demand shortages and falling pork prices, while India's inflation remains around 5%, nearing the upper limit of the RBI's tolerance band. India's recovery from the pandemic-induced economic downturn is slow, with output still 4% lower than pre-pandemic levels.
Baltimore bridge collapse may impact supply chains in APAC region, says Moody's Analytics
The collapse of Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge may impact trade in the Asia-Pacific region, according to Moody's Analytics. The incident, which involved a container ship colliding with the world's third-longest truss bridge, is expected to have a significant impact on the automotive sector and coal markets.
Currency risks a concern for India: Moody’s Analytics
Affirming that the outlook for emerging markets will hold even amidst the US banking storm, Moody’s Analytics said that while India would continue to grow owing to pent-up demand, “further currency weakness could put the region’s central banks in a bind.”
Slowdown in India's GDP growth late last year temporary: Moody's Analytics
"Our take is that the slowdown late last year will be temporary and even salutary, helping to wring some of the demand-side pressures out of the economy without stopping it wholesale. On the external front, better growth in the US and Europe's incipient recovery will propel India at the mid-year mark," Moody's Analytics said.
Omicron adds new uncertainties to global economic outlook: Moody's Analytics
In its commentary titled 'Much to Learn About OmicronFast’, Moody’s Analytics said although the variant appears to spread ”remarkably quickly”, it will be at least two more weeks before more will be known about this new variant.
COVID 2nd wave may have more lasting damage on economy, exports to drive recovery: Moody's Analytics
The Delta variant of COVID-19 is among factors now adversely affecting economies of the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, but the economic hit from the current round of movement restrictions in the region will not be as severe as the recessions in the second quarter of last year.
India, China set to lead vaccine distribution in APAC region: Moody's Analytics
Moody's Analytics said the Indian government plans to inoculate nearly 300 million high-priority people, including health workers, the elderly, and those with higher comorbidities by August.
Moody's Analytics' criticism of government baseless: Jayant Sinha
"Moody's comment was totally baseless and there is no depth in its argument," Sinha said on the sidelines of the Delhi Economics Conclave here.
Moody's Analytics stands by its India report, says it is part of economic outlook series
Moody's Analytics today stood by its report that had asked Prime Minister Narendra Modi to keep BJP members in check or risk losing global credibility.
Government dismisses Moody's report; calls it opinion of junior analyst
The government has said it is distressed that the personal opinion of a junior analyst working with Moody's Analytics has been passed off as commentary.
Government dismisses Moody's report, calls it opinion of junior analyst
Moody’s Analytics is the economic research and analysis division of Moody’s Corporation, which also owns Moody’s Investor Services.
RBI likely to cut rate on falling inflation: Moody's Analytics
RBI is likely to cut interest rate as the wholesale price-based inflation is expected to decline further to 4.3 per cent in August, Moody's Analytics said.
Indian economy to grow at 7.3% in 2015: Moody's Analytics
Indian economy is expected to grow marginally higher at 7.3 per cent during the year compared with 7.2 per cent in 2014, said a group company of global rating agency Moody's.
Moody's projects BJP victory in general elections
Moody's Analytics today said the BJP is likely to form the next government after the general elections.
Moody's Analytics sees no economic recovery in second half
Moody's Analytics is the economic research division of Moody's Corporation and does not reflect the opinions of Moody's Investors Services.
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