INFLATION DATA
Rupee slips with traders clinging to equity cues, awaiting inflation data
The Indian rupee faced a setback on Thursday, dipping to 94.0425 against the dollar amidst rising oil prices and escalating inflation fears. Previously, it had seen a peak of 93.62 thanks to foreign portfolio inflows. Investors are now holding their breath for October's consumer inflation figures, as they could significantly influence upcoming policy decisions and market sentiment surrounding the rupee.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
India bonds to stay hemmed in by oil, Treasury moves ahead of inflation data
Indian government bonds are anticipated to trade between softer oil prices and rising US yields. The market is waiting for domestic inflation data that could influence the Reserve Bank of India's rate strategy. A Reuters poll estimates an increase in annual consumer inflation, potentially leading to further tightening by the RBI. Investors are cautious ahead of a significant bond auction scheduled for Friday.
Gold slips as strong US inflation data bolsters dollar, Fed hike expectations
Gold prices edged lower on Thursday as hotter-than-expected US inflation data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary lifted the dollar to near a one-month high and reinforced
Sterling drops against firmer dollar as markets price in a hawkish Fed
The pound fell against the dollar following strong US inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Despite recent hawkish expectations supporting the pound, crude oil prices are rising, which could be unfavorable. Britain's gross domestic product data is due soon, with growth expectations for the third quarter. Analysts remain skeptical about the Bank of England achieving inflation targets before 2030.
US Treasury rout hands India's 10-year bond its worst day in a month
On Wednesday, the Indian rupee gained strength against the dollar, reaching its highest point since April. This improvement was influenced by foreign investments in local stocks and upbeat sentiment in the non-deliverable forward market. Although inflation concerns in the US led to a stronger dollar, traders remained focused on foreign portfolio investments in Indian equities.

Rupee touches strongest since April as foreign inflows offset firm dollar
On Wednesday, the Indian rupee surged to its healthiest value since April, closing at 93.69 against the dollar. This upswing was driven by a remarkable influx of foreign investments in local stocks, totaling nearly $6 billion in November. Even in light of a stronger dollar amid US inflation signals, the rupee stood firm. There's a notable optimistic shift in market sentiment, now eager for India's inflation data anticipated for October.

Global markets broadly rise on AI chip demand despite Wall Street's retreat on inflation data
Global equity markets witnessed an upward trend after unexpected US inflation data for October was released. Taiwan's markets surged notably, fueled by a strong demand for AI chips as noted by TSMC. Japan’s stock index and South Korea's Kospi also rose, despite challenges for SoftBank. However, inflationary pressures continue to spark concerns about impending interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this December.

Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.

Gold holds near one-week low as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike bets
Gold prices rose 0.2% to $4,039.07 per ounce in early Asian trade on Wednesday. This increase followed a nearly 3% decline in the previous session due to US inflation data. The data indicated stronger inflation, leading to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month. Traders now believe there is a 100% chance of an interest rate increase in December.

CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.

Gold price, silver rate today: Why is gold rate down on Tuesday? Check latest bullion outlook
Gold price prediction: The decline in crude prices has eased some inflation concerns, although movements in the dollar and global bullion markets continue to influence gold's near-term direction.

Gold dips ahead of US inflation data
Gold prices edged lower in early Asian trade on Tuesday as investors awaited US inflation data later in the day for clues on the Federal Reserve's next policy move.

Dollar sellers hit pause for US inflation data
The trade and sentiment-sensitive Australian dollar rose by nearly 1% through Monday to sit at $0.6921 early on Tuesday and the New Zealand dollar rose even further to trade at $0.5624, with both steady in morning Asia trade.

India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.

Eurozone bond yields edge lower as oil prices ease, investors await US inflation data
Eurozone government bond yields edged lower as easing crude oil prices and concerns over technology stocks supported demand for safer assets. Investors remained cautious ahead of US inflation data, which could influence Federal Reserve rate expectations and global bond market sentiment.

Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.

US stocks face volatile week as AI selloff, inflation data and tech earnings loom
US stocks face a volatile week as investors brace for October CPI inflation data and key tech earnings following a sharp AI-led selloff. Regulatory concerns post-US midterms, alongside Fed rate hike expectations, have pushed the Nasdaq into correction territory despite the S&P 500 maintaining gains for 2026.

Gold, silver prices may sway with US-Iran tensions
As the US-Iran conflict and crude oil pricing remain in focus, bullion prices are set to encounter downward pressure. Key economic data releases from China, the US, Germany, Japan, and India will significantly impact inflation and interest rate expectations. Market watchers will be attentive to Federal Reserve remarks and US job market indicators for cues on trends.
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