INDIAN FOREIGN POLICY
India in a 'sweet spot' amid oil volatility and currency dynamics: Kotak Neo's Anindya Banerjee
India is in a favourable economic position due to declining crude oil prices and increasing foreign investment inflows. The Indian rupee is currently undervalued, and there is potential for appreciation if geopolitical tensions ease. Expectations suggest one more interest rate hike from both the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of India. Additionally, shifting global investment sentiment is favoring markets such as India beyond artificial intelligence stocks.
India risks losing tax revenue by delaying global minimum tax rollout
India’s delay in implementing the OECD-G20 global minimum tax framework, known as Pillar Two, could mean losing tax revenue to other countries, according to the article. It cites Apple’s FY2026 tax disclosure to show how Singapore’s 15% minimum tax has helped it collect additional revenue while retaining investment incentives.
Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Higher yields offer opportunities, but investors need not rush into long-duration funds: Shriram Ramanathan
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Shriram Ramanathan, CIO–Fixed Income at HSBC Mutual Fund, discusses the changing dynamics in India’s bond market, the outlook for interest rates and yields, and how investors should navigate the choice between debt mutual funds, fixed deposits and government securities. He also explains why liquidity and flexibility could matter more than rushing to lock into longer-duration bets in the current environment.
Sensex & Nifty fall in Muhurat trade for first time since 2017
Indian equities experienced a slight decline during the Diwali Muhurat trading session for the first time since 2017. The Sensex ended at 80,999.40, down 28.62 points, and the Nifty closed at 24,986.40, shedding 43.95 points. Despite the drop, market sentiment has recently shown signs of improvement, particularly with foreign investors becoming buyers again.
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AI slump revives Asia’s forgotten trades from China to India
Global investors are rethinking their Asia bets as the AI trade loses momentum following the US midterm elections. India and China are emerging as potential beneficiaries of the shift, with funds rotating towards undervalued stocks, domestic growth, healthcare, consumer companies and financials. India's limited AI exposure, easing oil prices and renewed foreign inflows are strengthening its appeal.
Anger against Trump policies, not US stance towards India guided Desi voters in midterms
Indian Americans showed discontent towards Republican policies mainly driven by immigration and economic issues. In the recent midterm elections, Indian Americans elected several candidates to various offices, reflecting their political engagement. While anti-India sentiment was noted, broader economic concerns influenced voter behaviors significantly. Research indicates that despite perceived discrimination, interest in studying and working in the US remains strong.
FIIs pump Rs 45,960 crore into Indian stocks in a week; is the tide finally turning for Dalal Street?
Foreign institutional investors poured a net Rs 45,960 crore into Indian equities in one week, reversing October’s outflows and fuelling a sharp market rally. Improving earnings, attractive valuations and global AI stock corrections are driving renewed interest. However, sustainability of inflows, crude prices and geopolitical risks remain key concerns.
India's 10-year bond posts best week in 7 years, leads emerging Asia as oil slides
This week, Indian government bonds saw a remarkable performance, outpacing other Asian markets as benchmark yields dropped significantly. Following the Democratic win in the US midterms, crude prices fell sharply, enticing foreign investors back to purchase a significant volume of Indian bonds. This shift alleviates pressure on the Reserve Bank of India to maintain elevated yields, contributing to a positive outlook for Indian debt moving forward.
India bonds emerge as top Asian performers as oil, Treasury yields decline
This week, Indian government bonds saw a positive trend following a Democratic win in the U.S. midterm elections. The reduction in oil prices and Treasury yields eased rupee pressure, boosting investor confidence. The benchmark bond yield improved significantly, declining by approximately 22 basis points. Furthermore, the surge in foreign investments into Indian bonds marked a notable high since July, leading to enhanced overall market sentiment.
Indian stocks set for pullback after sharp rally on oil slide, foreign inflows
Indian markets are likely to experience a decline on Friday following a global market selloff. Investor concerns are rising due to the impact of the US Democratic win on regulations and foreign policy. Both Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex ended their six-session winning streak on Thursday. Foreign institutional investors made substantial stock purchases amid shifting market dynamics related to AI.
Sensex stages biggest rally since April as FIIs turn aggressive buyers
Foreign institutional investors significantly increased their purchases of Indian stocks, leading to substantial market gains. The BSE Sensex rose by 2,008.61 points, achieving its biggest jump since April. Easing crude oil prices contributed to reduced inflation expectations and improved India's macroeconomic outlook. Positive global cues, including gains in US markets, further supported investor sentiment and market performance.
Rupee finds its footing as oil worries cool, traders watch flow momentum
The Indian rupee climbed to its highest value in two weeks, following a notable fall in oil prices. This uplifting trend was mirrored by a stark rise in Indian stock markets and a reduction in bond yields. Recently, foreign investments poured into Indian equities, showcasing hefty net purchases. Analysts emphasize that ongoing investment inflows are crucial for bolstering the rupee further, as market sentiment improves amid reduced energy cost pressures.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
Iran lifts Hormuz transit curbs for ships from India, China, Iraq and Qatar, could ease pressure on India’s oil and gas supply
Iran has announced the lifting of transit restrictions for vessels from India, China, Iraq, and Qatar. This decision aims to enhance regional cooperation and facilitate trade, particularly in medicines from India. Iranian officials have noted that American forces do not intercept these ships, showing Tehran's strategic interests.
US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
Iran says Indian ships exempt from Strait of Hormuz restrictions, urges military to consider Qatar peace proposal
Iran has exempted Indian vessels from restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, along with ships from China, Iraq, and Qatar. The exemption aims to facilitate India's medicine imports while acknowledging China's political and economic relations. Senior Iranian leaders are advocating for a Qatari-brokered proposal to prevent renewed conflict with the United States. Diplomatic efforts are ongoing, despite assessments suggesting a renewed conflict may be likely.
US midterm election results 2026: India sees some trade relief, new risks after US midterm vote
Indian officials are cautiously optimistic about the recent US midterm election results and their implications. While the election reduces trade tension, it introduces new uncertainties for US-India relations. Analysts suggest it is too early to gauge the long-term effects of these political changes. The potential for increased tariffs still looms due to ongoing investigations.
RBI sets up panel with banks, market players to review financial market issues
India's central bank has formed a technical consultative committee to engage with market participants on financial issues. This committee will include seven external members from various financial institutions and will address market infrastructure. It will examine the functioning and efficiency of money and related derivative markets. Members will assess both domestic and international developments that impact these markets.
US midterm election results: Indian-origin US Congressman Ro Khanna wins California election, backs H-1B visa reform and immigrant rights
In a resounding victory, Congressman Ro Khanna, of Indian descent, has been re-elected in California's 17th District, garnering an impressive 72 per cent of the votes cast against his Republican opponent, Ritesh Tandon. As a notable progressive figure in Congress, Khanna is a fierce advocate for immigrant rights and champions reforms in the tech sector.
US midterms: Trump leaves the door ajar for Democrats on immigration
After the midterm elections, President Trump is feeling optimistic about the possibility of both parties coming together to tackle immigration reform. He recognises that the political scene has changed and emphasises that it's crucial to collaborate on these issues, particularly for foreign workers and their families who are affected by current policies.
US midterms may help D-Street break free from geopolitical overhang
The upcoming US mid-term elections will potentially influence global markets and trade policies. Investors are closely watching whether the outcomes will ease uncertainties regarding tariffs and immigration. The results could shape the policy direction and affect the sentiment of global investors. Analysts suggest that the focus should remain on domestic earnings growth and financial flows.
Indian stocks poised to open lower as US midterm vote outcome looms
As Indian shares experienced four days of upward movement, a decline is now expected as market participants turn their eyes towards the US midterm elections. The results could play a pivotal role in shaping energy prices and foreign investor activity. Recently, foreign investors have shown confidence in Indian shares, enhancing market performance. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions over Brent crude oil continue to loom, making post-election stock movements critical for investors.
Should my OCI son continue his Indian health insurance policy or take a new one?
ET Wealth Reader's Query: My son recently became an Overseas Citizen of India (OCI). Earlier, he had insurance coverage in India. Should he continue that or take a new one in India?
Trump set for midterm test: What's in store for India, Iran, Ukraine after November 4?
US midterm election 2026: American voters' sentiments about rising prices could affect Trump's standing in trade discussions. Congressional control will determine the scrutiny over Trump's actions regarding Iran and Ukraine. India will, however, continue navigating uncertainties in trade relations regardless of the election results.
US midterm elections today: Can Trump’s pain be Dalal Street’s gain? Analysts estimate impact in 3 possible scenarios
The United States will hold crucial midterm elections that could significantly alter the balance of power in Congress. Analysts are focusing on potential scenarios that could emerge based on whether the Democrats or Republicans hold the majority. These outcomes may impact critical issues such as tariffs, immigration, foreign relations, and even oil prices.
$64 billion out, $5 billion in? Why LTCG tax cut may not be enough to bring FIIs back
A reassessment of long-term capital gains tax is underway as foreign investors continue their significant selloff from Indian equities. Analysts at JM Financial project that tax relief may yield only $3–5 billion in fresh inflows. This minimal increase may not be sufficient to reverse the current trend of investor exodus amidst concerns over oil prices. India’s tax regime differentiates between dollar and rupee gains, impacting foreign investor returns significantly.
Lowering LTCG isn't a magic bullet
A reduction in Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG) tax could uplift sentiment in India's equity market, especially as foreign investors withdraw. The current landscape is shaped more by external economic influences than tax adjustments. The reinstatement of LTCG has rendered India less appealing compared to rivals like Hong Kong and Singapore. A strategically planned tax cut may provide clearer policy stability for investors while preserving fiscal responsibility.
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