INDIA US TRADE RESET
When wars and AI cast a shadow, India has pressed a power reset
India’s renewable energy expansion is reshaping its energy security, cutting dependence on imported coal and natural gas as wars, oil supply disruptions and AI-driven electricity demand put pressure on power markets. An International Energy Agency report says clean energy saved India over $100 billion in fuel imports between 2011 and 2025, with cumulative savings potentially reaching $240 billion by 2030.
HSBC, Citi turn bullish as Indian stocks draw record inflows
Global banks are turning more positive on Indian stocks, indicating potential for continued growth and record foreign inflows. Recent data shows that India’s benchmark index surged nearly 8% this month, marking its best performance since mid-2022. As foreign investors shift back to Indian equities, analysts expect significant inflows and improved earnings growth in the coming fiscal years. Falling oil prices are also projected to support corporate profits and economic stability.
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
US midterm results may give India trade leverage, but tariff and AI risks remain
The US midterm results may give India some room in trade negotiations by increasing congressional scrutiny of executive action, but they do not remove tariff risks or alter Washington's strategic priorities. AI investment is also unlikely to retreat, with capital expected to remain within the US rather than shift significantly to emerging markets.
Bad AI cholesterol vs good AI cholesterol
The Magnificent 7 of Big Tech has recently experienced a staggering drop, losing over $1 trillion in collective market value. This decline is fueled by apprehensions regarding spending on artificial intelligence and rampant inflation. As challenges loom for AI investments—particularly in legal and borrowing contexts—investors must now navigate a landscape where distinguishing between thriving and failing AI projects is crucial.
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Chip stocks bounce up to 8% as US stock futures recover after Thursday’s stock market crash - Jefferies says sell-off was ‘reactionary, not a reset’
Chip stocks bounced back before Friday's market open after Thursday's brutal sell-off sent the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down 12.2%. Nvidia, AMD and Intel recovered, while Aehr Test Systems, Camtek and Cohu also posted strong gains. Jefferies called the sell-off "reactionary, not a fundamental reset."
NVDA stock crash: Nvidia’s worst day since the DeepSeek shock - The AI giant fell 9% and is now down for the year
Nvidia stock rebounds 5% after 9.26% crash: Nvidia suffered its worst single-day fall since the January 2025 DeepSeek shock, with shares plunging 9.26% to $181.60 on Thursday and turning negative for 2026. The crash came as Wall Street lost nearly $3 trillion in market value. Friday’s futures pointed to a partial recovery, with Nvidia rebounding in premarket trading as chip stocks attempted to recover.
Nomura silences AI doubters, says Kospi can hit 10,000 mark to double as fundamentals are intact
South Korea's Kospi plunged to a nine-month low amid fears that US political shifts could slow AI infrastructure spending and hurt chip demand. However, Nomura remains bullish, projecting a potential recovery towards 10,000, with a near-term target of 7,500–8,000.
US tariff relief unlikely for Indian auto parts makers despite Democrats’ Congress sweep
Indian auto component makers see little prospect of near-term relief from steep US tariffs despite Democrats gaining control of Congress. President Donald Trump can veto legislation seeking to challenge his trade policies, while overturning that veto requires a two-thirds majority in both chambers. Industry executives see progress in bilateral trade talks as key.
American midterm results will not have an impact on India-US interim trade deal: Sources
The Democrats' sweeping victory in the US midterm elections is unlikely to affect the India-US interim trade agreement, as the pact does not require formal Congressional ratification, sources said. However, ongoing Section 301 investigations into forced labour and excess industrial capacity could influence Washington's tariff structure and the finalisation of the agreement.
68.4% respondents in survey plan job change in 2027; half seek 31%-plus pay hike: Survey
According to a recent survey, 68.4 percent of Indian professionals are planning to explore new job opportunities in 2027. Career growth is identified as the primary motivation for changing jobs, with high salary expectations influencing decisions as well. The report highlights that most professionals feel confident about their job prospects in the evolving job market. Many are actively engaged in upskilling, especially in AI.
Trump's midterm election setback may fast-track India-US trade deal within two months says founder, GTRI
Ajay Srivastava, Founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) said the election results could push Trump to focus more on trade negotiations and expedite the proposed agreement with India.
Democrats' US midterm sweep may give India more room to negotiate a balanced trade deal with Trump
Democrats' takeover of both chambers of the US Congress could ease pressure on India in trade negotiations with the Trump administration, experts said. Greater Congressional scrutiny of tariffs may create opportunities for Indian exporters, although the existing 18% tariff is unlikely to change immediately and the bilateral trade agreement could face delays.
Reset will keep India busy as Trump’s midterm loss redraws US politics
The recent US midterm elections have significant implications for international relations and the economy. Incoming policies may impact trade agreements between India and the US, affecting both countries' economies. Additionally, potential conflicts involving Iran could influence energy prices in India, creating economic uncertainty. The evolving political landscape in Washington will require India to adjust its diplomatic strategies.
Canada says US midterms won't change trade stance, sees talks with American officials
A senior Canadian cabinet minister stated that the US midterm election results will not affect trade negotiations. Dominic LeBlanc mentioned he would soon communicate with US officials regarding trade matters. President Trump suggested that a trade deal with Canada is close, but significant work remains. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed that certain US demands have been scaled back.
US trade deficit contracts slightly in September
In September, the US trade deficit decreased by 0.6 percent, driven by capital goods imports and strong exports. Imports rose by 1.2 percent to $426.6 billion, primarily fueled by computers and accessories. Additionally, crude oil imports saw a reduction of $1.3 billion during this period. On the other hand, exports climbed by 1.8 percent, reaching $321.5 billion due to oil, food, and capital goods.
US midterm election results: What Trump & Republicans' loss means for India
US midterms result: Indian industry and economy watchers were keenly looking at the polls to try and find out what direction US policy will take. In recent months, India's trade/export fortunes have swayed in lockstep with Trump's tantrums, making policymakers jittery over any new development in the US.
US midterm election results 2026: India sees some trade relief, new risks after US midterm vote
Indian officials are cautiously optimistic about the recent US midterm election results and their implications. While the election reduces trade tension, it introduces new uncertainties for US-India relations. Analysts suggest it is too early to gauge the long-term effects of these political changes. The potential for increased tariffs still looms due to ongoing investigations.
Trump's midterm setback may put India under pressure for quick trade deal on US terms: GTRI
Amid electoral challenges, US President Donald Trump is likely to ramp up pressure on India to seal a trade deal. This potential agreement would require India to decrease import tariffs on US goods while the US keeps its tariffs intact. Analysts caution that such an arrangement may breach WTO MFN principles, undermining India's trade credibility. Additionally, compromising energy security and development aspirations could have serious implications.
Sony is offering US gamers up to $400 for their used PlayStation 5. Here's why you should think twice before trading it in
Sony is partnering with Back Market to offer up to $400 for trading in used PlayStation 5 consoles. Gamers can obtain cash based on the console's condition, model, and accessories included with it. This trade-in program, running until December 31, 2026, is focused on existing players rather than attracting new buyers. With the upcoming release of GTA 6, demand for consoles is expected to increase significantly.
Trump set for midterm test: What's in store for India, Iran, Ukraine after November 4?
US midterm election 2026: American voters' sentiments about rising prices could affect Trump's standing in trade discussions. Congressional control will determine the scrutiny over Trump's actions regarding Iran and Ukraine. India will, however, continue navigating uncertainties in trade relations regardless of the election results.
Canadian Prime Minister Carney reports progress in trade talks with Trump days before US midterms
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney reported a productive discussion regarding a potential trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump. The conversation aimed to create jobs, lower family costs, and protect Canadian sovereignty. Negotiators from both sides will continue working over the coming weeks toward an agreement. Trade relations remain tense as discussions include U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and automobiles.
Jaishankar's Atlanta diplomacy: Quad meeting and several bilaterals on G20 sidelines
External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has a busy schedule during the G20 Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Atlanta. He is expected to engage in discussions with multiple foreign ministers on trade, defense, and energy. Meetings with Canada and Brazil are crucial for redefining relationships and securing resources. Jaishankar will also address India's partnerships with European and East Asian nations.
India will gain strong comparative advantage after US trade deal: Piyush Goyal
Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal highlighted India's potential advantages from a trade deal with the United States. He asserted that the agreement would not harm the interests of farmers or any other stakeholders involved. Goyal made these statements during the 4th ISID-IDRA National Conference in Delhi. The trade deal aims to enhance India's economic landscape and strengthen its global standing.
India, Mexico sign terms of reference to kickstart trade pact negotiations
India and Mexico have signed the Terms of Reference to initiate negotiations on a Preferential Trade Agreement. This agreement aims to enhance bilateral trade and investment opportunities between the two countries. Key negotiating areas include market access, customs procedures, and trade facilitation measures. Both delegations discussed organizing a Mexican business mission to India in early 2027.
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