INDIA HIKES
India's October retail inflation quickens to 6.09% to breach RBI's tolerance ceiling
India's retail inflation accelerated to 6.09% in October, largely driven by rising food prices and supply disruptions. Food inflation significantly contributed to overall price increases, affecting household staples like onions and proteins. Economists noted concerns about potential double-digit inflation for various food categories amid global price pressures. The Reserve Bank of India expects average inflation for the financial year to be around 5.2%.
Rupee slips with traders clinging to equity cues, awaiting inflation data
The Indian rupee faced a setback on Thursday, dipping to 94.0425 against the dollar amidst rising oil prices and escalating inflation fears. Previously, it had seen a peak of 93.62 thanks to foreign portfolio inflows. Investors are now holding their breath for October's consumer inflation figures, as they could significantly influence upcoming policy decisions and market sentiment surrounding the rupee.
Milk & money: What’s making India’s daily dose of doodh more expensive?
Amul and Mother Dairy have recently raised milk prices by Rs 2-4 per litre to address higher production costs. Karnataka's Nandini also increased prices in early November to enhance farmer earnings. Rising expenditures for fodder, cattle feed, and operational costs have pressured dairy companies. Although India remains the largest milk producer, growth rates have slowed, affecting supply dynamics.
Gold and silver ETFs fall up to 3% as firm dollar and Fed rate hike bets weigh. Should investors buy the dip?
Gold and silver ETFs declined as a stronger US dollar and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on precious metal prices. Financial experts advise investors to continue systematic investments in gold and silver in line with their long-term asset allocation.
Caught between costly inputs and cautious buyers, India Inc takes a hit
Companies in India's consumer goods, automobile, and paints sectors are increasing prices to offset rising costs. The West Asia conflict has severely impacted input and logistics expenses across various industries. While some companies have raised prices, they are still absorbing part of these costs to maintain demand. Consumer giants like Hindustan Unilever and Asian Paints report pressure on their margins despite price hikes.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
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Rs 80,000 crore FII buying sparks explosive rally on Dalal Street. Will RBI rate hike worries kill the party?
The Sensex has staged a sharp 9,000-point rally since late October, crossing 82,000 for the first time since February, before the US-Iran conflict erupted. The rebound has been fuelled by a strong return of foreign investors, who have bought nearly Rs 69,000 crore worth of Indian equities in November so far and around Rs 80,000 crore since mid-October.
Bond rush continues amid milder yields, costly loans
Indian companies are raising funds through bond issuances as government bond yields improve and borrowing conditions become favorable. More than ₹3,500 crore was raised in bond sales recently, continuing a trend from last week. Many companies, including Tata Capital and Axis Finance, are tapping into the bond market for advantageous financing. Banks are beginning to raise lending rates, making loans more expensive for companies.
Healthy eating, GLP-1 trend make air fryers a kitchen staple as sales double
Air fryer sales in India have experienced significant growth, reaching nearly ₹1,000 crore in annual sales. The surge in demand is attributed to a focus on healthier cooking alternatives and falling prices. With the cost dropping from ₹10,000 to ₹4,000, more consumers are adopting air fryers. The popularity of social media cooking videos also plays a role in increasing sales across various regions.
US Treasury rout hands India's 10-year bond its worst day in a month
On Wednesday, the Indian rupee gained strength against the dollar, reaching its highest point since April. This improvement was influenced by foreign investments in local stocks and upbeat sentiment in the non-deliverable forward market. Although inflation concerns in the US led to a stronger dollar, traders remained focused on foreign portfolio investments in Indian equities.
Rupee touches strongest since April as foreign inflows offset firm dollar
On Wednesday, the Indian rupee surged to its healthiest value since April, closing at 93.69 against the dollar. This upswing was driven by a remarkable influx of foreign investments in local stocks, totaling nearly $6 billion in November. Even in light of a stronger dollar amid US inflation signals, the rupee stood firm. There's a notable optimistic shift in market sentiment, now eager for India's inflation data anticipated for October.
Reverse AI trade drives foreign inflows back to India but rising US inflation poses challenge: Ajay Bagga
Foreign investors are returning to Indian equity markets as global funds shift away from the artificial intelligence infrastructure trade in markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while India's relatively attractive valuations and falling crude oil prices are improving its investment appeal, banking and market expert Ajay Bagga said.
Moody’s raises India FY27 growth forecast to 7% as economy weathers Iran war energy shock
Moody’s Ratings has raised India’s FY27 growth forecast to 7% from 6.5%, citing resilient domestic consumption, improving investment and the economy’s ability to absorb the Iran war-induced energy shock. Robust capital goods activity and industrial credit growth point to a possible private capex revival, though inflation and tighter monetary policy pose risks.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
India garment makers rethink reliance on US after tariff shock
Many Indian companies are reconfiguring their export destinations, and their exposure to the US, in light of the tariff shock, in a move that is likely to strengthen New Delhi's hand in its trade negotiations with Washington, and potentially reduce India's vulnerability to US pressure over time.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks rise on CoreWeave results, bonds drop
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose as much 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi swung between gains and losses. A broader gauge of Asian shares advanced 0.2%. Contracts for tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4% in early Asian after the underlying index dropped 0.6% in regular trading.
Suvendu Sarkar rolls out Diwali bonanza for Bengal babus, hikes IAS allowances by 50%
The Suvendu Adhikari-led West Bengal government has announced a range of benefits for its IAS officers, including a 50% hike in monthly sumptuary allowances for senior officials, education loans of up to Rs 50 lakh for children's studies in India and abroad, and expanded foreign travel benefits under LTC. The package also includes housing, electricity and post-retirement benefits, along with allowances for official work-related expenses.
Dabur hints calibrated price hikes amid inflation, focus on cost optimisation to protect margins
The company is navigating an inflationary environment, with rising crude oil prices amid the West Asia conflict adding to cost pressures across the supply chain, said Dabur India CEO (India Business) Herjit Bhalla during the post-earnings investor call last week.
India in a 'sweet spot' amid oil volatility and currency dynamics: Kotak Neo's Anindya Banerjee
India is in a favourable economic position due to declining crude oil prices and increasing foreign investment inflows. The Indian rupee is currently undervalued, and there is potential for appreciation if geopolitical tensions ease. Expectations suggest one more interest rate hike from both the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of India. Additionally, shifting global investment sentiment is favoring markets such as India beyond artificial intelligence stocks.
Whirlpool hikes prices by 5% from November 1 amidst inflationary heat
Whirlpool of India Limited announced a five percent price increase on all products, effective November 1, 2026. This decision aims to address cost pressures stemming from commodity inflation and rising crude oil prices. The price hike occurs ahead of the peak Diwali season, which is vital for consumer sales. The company faces challenges due to new energy regulations and increased production costs.
Dollar sellers hit pause for US inflation data
The trade and sentiment-sensitive Australian dollar rose by nearly 1% through Monday to sit at $0.6921 early on Tuesday and the New Zealand dollar rose even further to trade at $0.5624, with both steady in morning Asia trade.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
RBI's $239 bn forward dollar position to limit rupee gains despite FPI inflows: Report
The Reserve Bank of India currently has a net short position of USD 239 billion in the forward market, which may hinder the rupee's ability to strengthen, even as foreign portfolio investor inflows improve. This influx could potentially be managed by the Reserve Bank, capping any gains for the rupee against the US dollar.
India short bonds may underperform on rate hikes, cash squeeze
India's bond market is experiencing changes due to recent interest rate hikes and tightening liquidity conditions. The Reserve Bank of India is anticipated to raise interest rates significantly in the coming months. Short-term bonds are expected to be more sensitive to these monetary conditions, leading to their underperformance. There are expectations for the yield curve to flatten further as short-term yields rise.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Higher yields offer opportunities, but investors need not rush into long-duration funds: Shriram Ramanathan
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Shriram Ramanathan, CIO–Fixed Income at HSBC Mutual Fund, discusses the changing dynamics in India’s bond market, the outlook for interest rates and yields, and how investors should navigate the choice between debt mutual funds, fixed deposits and government securities. He also explains why liquidity and flexibility could matter more than rushing to lock into longer-duration bets in the current environment.
JSW Dulux cautions against further price hikes as demand risks emerge
JSW Dulux, a paint manufacturer, has increased prices by 13% due to rising crude oil costs. Rajiv Rajgopal emphasized the need to balance future price hikes with consumer demand. Despite the current increases, demand for paints has remained stable thus far, though concerns persist about potential slowdowns. The company reported a 21% year-on-year volume growth in its retained business during the September quarter.
India bonds emerge as top Asian performers as oil, Treasury yields decline
This week, Indian government bonds saw a positive trend following a Democratic win in the U.S. midterm elections. The reduction in oil prices and Treasury yields eased rupee pressure, boosting investor confidence. The benchmark bond yield improved significantly, declining by approximately 22 basis points. Furthermore, the surge in foreign investments into Indian bonds marked a notable high since July, leading to enhanced overall market sentiment.
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