GROUNDNUT PRODUCTION FORECAST
India may import more food, feed and farm commodities as drought hits crops
Amid predictions of drought in India this financial year, food and agricultural imports are anticipated to rise sharply. With serious reductions in kharif soybean and groundnut production, import requests are growing. The sugar and poultry industries are grappling with soaring feed costs, prompting an extension for raw sugar imports to be granted.
Double trouble at the dinner table: When will food prices normalise for Indians?
India’s food inflation: Food prices are rising unevenly, impacting household budgets, while inflation is projected to persist in upcoming months. Economists expect food inflation to reach up to 7% in the near future due to various factors. Weather risks, particularly from El Niño, could significantly affect crop yields and consequently food prices. Additionally, global events in West Asia contribute to higher energy and logistic costs.
Pulses, oilseed prices rise as rain deficit hits crops
Key pulse and oilseed prices have risen sharply compared to last year. Scanty rains are affecting the current kharif crop and raising rabi season output concerns. Tur and chana prices have increased significantly, while soyabean and groundnut have seen larger jumps. Forecasts of El Nino are also impacting chana prices for the upcoming rabi season. Despite output worries, industry veterans state the supply situation remains stable.
RBI MPC Meeting 2026: Central bank flags a threat for Indian agriculture warming up in the Pacific
The RBI has flagged El Niño and an uneven southwest monsoon as key risks to agriculture, rural demand and the broader economy, despite cutting its FY27 inflation forecast to 5%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said government measures, including climate-resilient crops, water conservation and adequate foodgrain stocks, should cushion the impact, though volatile crude prices and geopolitical tensions continue to pose inflation risks.
Kharif sowing picks up, but still 21% below last year
Kharif sowing lags significantly behind last year due to delayed and uneven monsoon rains. Paddy, pulses, and oilseeds acreage shows substantial year-on-year declines. This reduced planting raises concerns about potential crop output and food inflation. Sugarcane acreage has seen a slight increase, bucking the overall trend. Below-normal rainfall forecasts for July further exacerbate these agricultural challenges.
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Foodgrain output seen rising 5% to 376.5 MT
Union agriculture minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan termed it the highest-ever foodgrain output in the country's history.
India's wheat output pegged at record 120.21 million tonnes in 2025-26, up 2%: Ministry
India anticipates a record wheat harvest of 120.21 million tonnes in the 2025-26 crop year. This marks a significant increase from the previous year. Overall rabi crop production is also projected to rise. Pulses output is expected to grow substantially, helping to bridge the demand-supply gap. Oilseeds and other cereals also show positive production forecasts.
Government raises 2024-25 foodgrain output forecast to record 353.95 million tons, wheat at 117.50 million tons
India's foodgrain production is projected to reach a record 353.95 million tonnes in the 2024-25 crop year, driven by bumper harvests of wheat, rice, and maize. The Agriculture Minister attributed this success to supportive government policies, including fair pricing and agricultural schemes. Significant increases are also expected in oilseeds and sugarcane production, contributing to overall agricultural growth.
Drought in China, low yield in India can fuel domestic edible oil prices, says Samir Shah
The US's Department of Agriculture's forecast for China's peanut production for 2020-21 was 17.7 million metric ton, which is likely to remain the same for the current year.
Excessive rainfall in September may impact kharif crop, increase prices
Rains are now helping oilseed crops like soyabean and groundnut, pulses, paddy, bajra, maize and cotton, Agricultural experts said. But if the rains are excessive and continue till the end of September, then it will damage crops, sending their prices up.
Excessive rainfall in September may damage kharif crops, say experts
While the kharif season began on a good note with timely monsoon and good sowing, patchy rains in July and August in certain parts of the country slowed down the pace of sowing.
Concerns about kharif sowing persist due to uneven distribution of rainfall, says Crisil
IMD forecasts monsoon will remain normal for the rest of the season. However, concerns around kharif sowing persist mainly because of uneven distribution of rainfall
India set for record foodgrain output in 2017-18: Agriculture ministry
Foodgrain output is expected to increase 0.9% to 277.49 million tonnes, exceeding the previous record of 275.11 million tonnes during 2016-17.
Groundnut, cottonseed oil rally 10% in two weeks
Cotton prices have seen a 45% increase in past 15 days trading at Rs 45,000 per candy of 356 kg each. Refined cottonseed oil have risen 10-15% at Rs 710 per kg.
Farmers get their cultivable land ready with expectations of good monsoons
Although the country faced two successive years of monsoon shortfall, India’s food grain production increased marginally to 252.23 million tonnes in the 2015-16.
El Nino may impact oilseeds production this year
Imports of vegetable oil and oilseeds are likely to surge if El Nino effect develops this year as forecast.
MRPC launches GIS system for mustard crop
GIS is expected to allow integration of various data inputs and provide real-time access to end users and decision makers.
Winter aids wheat, oil seeds crops
Sowing of rabi crops is progressing with total area at 482.14 lakh hectare as on Friday.
Monsoon revival unlikely to boost food production; food prices likely to go up
There would be some drop in the production of pulses and coarse cereals,” said Agriculture Secretary Ashish Bahuguna.
CMIE scales down GDP growth projections at 8.1 per cent in FY 12
Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) has revised its real GDP forecast for FY 12 downwards -from 8.6 per cent to 8.1 per cent.
Normal monsoon likely: IMD
Rainfall likely to be 98% of the long-term average of 89 cms, says meteorological dept.
Bumper kharif harvest may help crop inflation
A bumper kharif crop may soften the inflation that touched a 45-month high at 8.24% for the week ended May 24 due to rising prices of food articles and metals.
Inflation up on rising food prices
Experts opine that inflation will rise further in weeks to come on account of hike in fuel prices.
Good rains to spur kharif crop: IMD
The country is set for a good kharif crop production this year with 3% more rainfall than the normal throughout the country.
Low rainfall forecast threatens oilseeds, pulses
The India Meteorological Department's second stage regional forecast of lower rainfall in July (the key sowing month for kharif crops) and the overall June-September season may spell tighter prices for oilseeds and pulses.
Get ready to pay more for edible oil
An early Holi, insufficient mustard crop, higher world prices and a dry local pipeline may all lead up to an increase in Indian vegetable oils prices.
Monsoon Mayhem Oilseed output may fall 10%
Country’s winter-harvested oilseed output is expected to fall 10.2% in the ’06-07 crop year from a year earlier due to erratic rains in growing regions.
Erratic rains may hurt oilseed, grains output
Erratic monsoon rains will drag down winter oilseeds output, while grain production will stay near levels forecast in the first official estimate for last year’s crop.
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