GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS
Raw sugar heads back towards 5-week low; arabica coffee gains nearly 4%
Raw sugar futures experienced a downturn as declining energy prices coupled with weak physical demand influenced production strategies. Brazil reported a reduction in sugar output due to heavy rainfall linked to the El Niño phenomenon, subsequently affecting global supply. On the contrary, Arabica coffee prices surged, rebounding from a recent dip despite consistent bean deliveries.
Japan's Nikkei set for biggest weekly gain in five months as AI optimism lifts sentiment
Japan’s Nikkei is headed for its biggest weekly gain in five months, supported by upbeat corporate earnings and renewed optimism around AI stocks. Semiconductor shares led the rally, offsetting concerns over Nvidia and uncertainty surrounding its leadership.
From worst to best! India is now the best performing stock market in the last one month. Missed the rally?
India's stock market has made a remarkable recovery, proudly standing as the top performer in the world over the past month. This upswing is largely credited to a wave of foreign investments that has bolstered liquidity and confidence among investors. The backing from domestic institutions and a clearer outlook on corporate earnings have also played a role.
India equity surge brightens outlook for exchanges, brokerages
India's equity market is witnessing a vibrant revival, boosting earnings prospects for brokerages and exchanges. A surge in trading activity, spurred by favorable market dynamics and declining crude oil prices, indicates robust investor engagement. The NSE India Volatility Index has climbed, reflecting increased confidence in derivatives trading. Analysts predict significant growth opportunities as the trading environment stabilizes following the rollback of the closing-auction framework.
AI can boost productivity but pose risks to India's IT sector: Moody's
Moody's Ratings said AI could boost productivity but also create job displacement risks in emerging markets with significant exposure to software, IT and business-process outsourcing. However, there is no clear evidence of either trend in India and the Philippines yet. The agency also raised its FY27 India GDP growth forecast to 7% from 6.5%.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Friday
Indian benchmark indices closed higher on November 12, with Nifty gaining 44 points and Sensex rising 32 points. Investors tracked October inflation data, foreign fund flows and global cues amid mixed US and European market performance.
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AI can bring productivity gains with job risks; impact on India not yet clearly visible: Moody's
Artificial intelligence is expected to improve productivity in IT services and BPO sectors in emerging markets. Moody's predicts GDP growth for India will rise to 7% in 2027. The lack of digital infrastructure and skills could limit how emerging markets benefit from AI.
US stock market selloff: Four indicators suggest correction may not be over
Four key indicators suggest the US stock market correction may not be over, despite some stabilisation in technology shares. Easing investor positioning and stock correlations offer relief, but options activity and technical signals continue to point to caution.
Sensex erases all Middle East war losses but is it too soon to forget the Hormuz factor?
Sensex and Nifty have recovered all their losses since the Middle East war began, driven by record FII buying, easing crude prices and strong Q2 earnings. But with the Strait of Hormuz remaining a key risk to global oil supplies, can Dalal Street sustain its recovery or is another setback looming?
Sell fast, buy faster! FIIs broke every selling record in 2026. Now their buying is breaking records
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have staged a sharp turnaround, buying a record Rs 73,261 crore worth of Indian equities in November so far, surpassing the previous monthly high of Rs 66,135 crore set in December 2023. This follows record selling of Rs 2.95 lakh crore in the first 10 months of 2026. The renewed buying has helped drive the Sensex and Nifty up around 10% this month, with the Sensex reclaiming its pre-Middle East war levels.
Gold ETF inflows fall 22%, but silver jumps 57% in October. Is it time to rebalance your portfolio?
In October, gold ETFs saw a significant drop in inflows, decreasing by 22% from the previous month. In contrast, silver ETFs experienced a striking surge of 57% in inflows. This shift sparks curiosity regarding changing investor preferences between these metals. Analysts suggest that the uptick in silver may be driven by transient trends rather than a substantial market shift. Investors should evaluate their risk tolerance before adjusting their investment strategies.
Rs 80,000 crore FII buying sparks explosive rally on Dalal Street. Will RBI rate hike worries kill the party?
The Sensex has staged a sharp 9,000-point rally since late October, crossing 82,000 for the first time since February, before the US-Iran conflict erupted. The rebound has been fuelled by a strong return of foreign investors, who have bought nearly Rs 69,000 crore worth of Indian equities in November so far and around Rs 80,000 crore since mid-October.
India's growth gets further votes of confidence as Moody's raises FY27 forecast to 7% from 6.5%
Moody's Ratings has raised India's economic growth forecast for 2026-27 to 7% from 6.5%. This adjustment reflects the nation's strong consumption and improving investment dynamics. Despite potential challenges such as policy interest rate hikes, consumption remains crucial for growth. Additionally, SBI Research predicts a growth of 7.8% for India in the July-September quarter. Improving economic indicators suggest a strong recovery might be underway, supporting a new cycle of private investment.
Reverse AI trade drives foreign inflows back to India but rising US inflation poses challenge: Ajay Bagga
Foreign investors are returning to Indian equity markets as global funds shift away from the artificial intelligence infrastructure trade in markets such as the US, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan, while India's relatively attractive valuations and falling crude oil prices are improving its investment appeal, banking and market expert Ajay Bagga said.
India's battered rupee finds an unlikely rescue party in cheaper oil and Wall Street's AI rout
As crude oil prices fall, India's import costs see a positive shift, bolstering the rupee's steadiness. The return of foreign portfolio investors to the Indian equities market, following significant sell-offs in October, has led to the rupee appreciating against the dollar. Enhanced energy supply is expected to mitigate inflation risks, contributing to a potential stabilization range of ₹92 to ₹93 per dollar for the currency.
Bata India says new product lines to drive growth, reiterates target to double turnover by 2030
By 2030, Bata India plans to achieve remarkable growth by doubling its turnover and profits. To attract a younger demographic, the company is rolling out innovative sneakers and casual footwear. The 'Reignite India 2030' initiative outlines its strategy for sustained growth, including introducing diverse global products and prioritizing franchisee developments while reviewing new opportunities for its own retail stores.
Chinese yuan remains range-bound as US rate hike bets strengthen dollar
The Chinese yuan edged higher but remained range-bound as a weaker PBOC midpoint and expectations of further US rate hikes limited gains. Strong export data and a sizeable trade surplus, however, continue to support the currency's longer-term outlook.
Easing global headwinds, lower crude oil prices may further lift rupee in coming months: Economists
Economists predict the Indian rupee will strengthen against the US dollar in the coming months. Factors contributing to this appreciation include lower crude oil prices and improving foreign capital inflows. Additionally, a weaker US dollar and the easing of geopolitical tensions are supporting this trend. The Reserve Bank of India has implemented measures to stabilize the currency and enhance dollar availability.
While the world nursed a hangover, India ordered another round
India’s alcohol consumption rose 10% in the first half of 2026, even as volumes across 21 major markets fell 1%, according to IWSR data shared with TOI. The US and China recorded declines of 4% and 3%, respectively. India was the only market among those tracked to report growth across every beverage category and subcategory.
India begins pouring in a bigger glass when global alcohol demand takes a hit
Alcohol consumption in India increased by 10% in early 2026, contrasting with declines in other major markets. Beer led the growth, with a 16% rise, while no-alcohol beer surged by 25%. Despite a global decline of 1% in alcohol consumption, India recorded increases across all categories tracked. Global brands are increasingly focusing on India for growth opportunities in the beverage alcohol sector.
AI demand unlikely to be derailed by Nvidia CEO controversy: Taiwan supply chain executives
Global demand for artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to remain strong despite the controversy surrounding Nvidia Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang, with Taiwan's semiconductor supply chain sources expecting limited long-term impact on the industry, according to a news report by Focus Taiwan.
European shares muted as investors assess AI outlook; banking stocks rally
European shares were subdued as investors assessed the fallout from last week's technology selloff and uncertainties surrounding AI investments. Banking stocks gained on merger developments and upbeat earnings, while mining shares advanced on higher precious metal prices.
AI analytics, technological upgrades to drive retail investor experience in new Samvat: NSE CEO Ashishkumar Chauhan
Highlighting the exchange's digital initiatives, Chauhan announced major technological upgrades aimed at improving the experience of the country's growing retail investor base.
Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
F&O Talk: Nifty’s bullish structure intact after best week in 5 years; Sudeep Shah on HDFC Bank strategy, picks 5 stocks this festive season
Nifty surged 8% to post its strongest weekly gain in five years, supported by improving technical indicators and bullish momentum. SBI Securities’ Sudeep Shah discusses market outlook, HDFC Bank’s rally, mid- and smallcap trends, AI-linked stock risks and sectors showing promising buying opportunities.
Delhi-NCR among APAC's top office markets as prime rents rise 5.4%; occupancy costs rank seventh
Delhi-NCR has emerged as a key player in the Asia-Pacific office market, marked by a notable 5.4% rise in prime office rents yearly by Q3 2026. This uptick showcases persistent demand in the region, which ranks seventh in occupancy costs among major markets. While overall office leasing has declined, the focus on enhancing workplace quality continues to lead rental rates upward, underscoring its significance for boosting productivity.
Gold may glitter at Rs 1.68 lakh as global uncertainties bolster outlook: Report
Gold prices in India could rise to ₹1.60-1.68 lakh per 10 grams over the next 6-12 months, according to Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL), which sees price corrections as buying opportunities amid sustained investment demand and central-bank purchases..
India's natural gas demand to decline 2% in 2026 despite 10% rise in LNG imports: IEA
The trend highlights the challenges facing India's gas market as disruptions to global LNG supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and elevated international prices reshape supply and consumption patterns. The IEA said the outlook would remain influenced by global supply availability and domestic production trends.
Sugar prices jump Rs 4/kg in a month, rise Rs 12-13 over year despite supply steps
Sugar prices in India have risen significantly over the past month in both retail and wholesale markets. Retail prices have now reached Rs 59.50 per kg while wholesale prices stand at Rs 55.40 per kg. Kolkata has the highest retail price at Rs 65 per kg followed closely by Delhi at Rs 64. The government is implementing measures to manage supply, including stock limits and imports. India produced 8.
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