GLOBAL MACRO OUTLOOK
Largecaps over SMIDs: Ambit’s Nitin Bhasin and Bharat Arora share their Samvat 2083 strategy
As we step into the new Samvat, investors are advised to take a more cautious stance with their portfolios. The focus should be on large-cap stocks and the banking sector due to their better earnings prospects and attractive valuations. Meanwhile, although mid- and small-cap sectors may face hurdles, the cement industry might see unexpected margin improvements.
Stock picks of the week: 5 stocks with consistent score improvement and upside potential of up to 28% in 1 year, according to analysts
Despite the upbeat mood in the market, remember one thing: Valuations are still not cheap. Even after everything the market has been through, prices are not at a level you could call a bargain. So this is not a signal to rush in. It is a signal to stop treating every development as a threat, and to start weighing the good against the bad with a clear head, rather than a frightened one.
Investors in other markets would be envious of India multiples: Rich Handler, chief executive of Jefferies
Jefferies CEO Rich Handler believes Indian equities remain reasonably valued despite the market correction and says easing long-term capital gains taxes could attract foreign investors. He sees opportunities in India's AI and data centre sectors, argues that global capital outflows reflect external pressures, and believes concerns about an AI bubble warrant a healthy pause rather than alarm.
$5 billion in 5 days! Why FIIs are suddenly shopping Indian stocks non-stop this Diwali
Foreign institutional investors have poured nearly $5 billion into Indian equities in five trading sessions, marking a sharp reversal after months of heavy selling. Strong Q2 earnings, softer crude prices, stable currency and the global AI sell-off are improving India's appeal, with investors rotating towards relatively undervalued markets and large-cap stocks.
ETMarkets Commodity Talk| Building a 5-year portfolio? Why gold could take the largest share of your commodity allocation, Deveya Gaglani decodes
In this edition of ETMarkets Commodity Talk, Deveya Gaglani, Senior Research Analyst – Commodities at Axis Direct, shares his views on the evolving commodity landscape and the role of gold, silver and industrial metals in a diversified portfolio. He also explains why gold could form the largest component of a long-term commodity allocation, while highlighting the risks of blindly buying the dip or chasing a sharp rally.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Gold, silver or copper? Tata MF fund manager suggests a 50:30:20 commodity allocation: Tapan Patel
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, we speak with Tapan Patel, Fund Manager – Commodities at Tata Asset Management, who shares his outlook on gold, silver, copper and crude oil, explains the changing dynamics driving commodity prices, and suggests a 50:30:20 allocation to gold, copper and silver, respectively, for investors looking to build a commodity portfolio for the long term.
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Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Wednesday
Indian equities rallied nearly 2%, with Sensex gaining 1,225 points and Nifty rising 370 points. Falling crude prices, renewed FII buying, resilient earnings and expectations of LTCG tax changes boosted sentiment, adding nearly Rs 4 lakh crore to market capitalisation.
India’s consumers are back, its stocks aren’t: Srinivasan Sivabalan
Amid the vibrant festive season in India, consumer demand is soaring, prompting businesses to boost sales and raise prices accordingly. However, rising costs are pressuring profit margins, causing a decline in investor confidence. The stock market struggles to reflect the upbeat consumer activity, signaling a potential need for a resolution to the Iran war and governmental intervention to promote stability.
Indian stocks may recover on steady growth and earnings, Axis AMC says
Indian stocks are expected to recover in the financial year due to strong earnings and economic growth. The Nifty 50 index has decreased significantly after years of gains, partly due to global issues. The fund manager emphasizes that foreign fund outflows do not indicate a decline in India's growth prospects. Certain sectors like AI, energy, and domestic manufacturing are highlighted for potential investment.
FPI buying returns to Dalal Street as global investors rethink AI bets
Foreign portfolio investors have shifted from aggressive selling to net buying of Indian equities recently. They invested nearly $1.2 billion over the last ten trading sessions, particularly in large-cap stocks. This change in behavior may be attributed to concerns regarding the artificial intelligence trade influencing investor decisions. Globally, markets saw corrections, while Indian indices had a mixed performance in October.
US-friendly nations slash treasury purchases by 60%, led by Asia
In the first eight months of 2026, countries aligned with the US purchased a net total of $174.3 billion in Treasuries. This amount represents a significant decline, reflecting a drop of over 60% from the previous year. It marks the lowest investment level recorded for this period since 2021. The data highlights a shift in fiscal relationships between the US and its partners.
US Market: AI boom could weaken dollar’s safe-haven appeal as foreign flows rise
The US dollar’s safe-haven status could face pressure if the AI investment boom unwinds, prompting foreign investors to pull back from American equities and corporate bonds. Weaker growth, lower interest rates and credit-market stress could amplify the risk.
Bitcoin trades near $79,000 as Fed rate uncertainty, selling pressure weigh on crypto markets
Bitcoin slipped near $79,000 as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. ETF outflows, macroeconomic uncertainty and selling pressure weakened sentiment, while traders monitored $78,000 support, inflation data and institutional demand for potential market direction.
Global Market: Japan life insurers eye domestic bonds as foreign debt selling grows
Japan’s major life insurers are split on increasing domestic government bond holdings as rising yields make Japanese debt more attractive. Foreign bond selling has accelerated, but differences in investment strategies suggest any shift towards domestic bonds will be uneven.
Global Market Today: Wall Street gains lift Asian stocks as Fed decision looms
Gauges in Japan and South Korea advanced, helping the broader MSCI Inc.’s Asia Pacific equities gauge rise 0.6%. Equity-index futures for US stocks also climbed in early trading.
RBI rate hikes: How short-duration funds and high-quality corporate bonds can protect your debt portfolio
Investors must position fixed income portfolio for further rate hikes. But this cycle may look different.
US stocks face crucial test as AI earnings, Fed meeting loom
US stocks face a crucial week as earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon coincide with the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Investors will assess whether massive AI investments can deliver sustainable returns, while the Fed’s guidance on interest rates and uncertainty surrounding the November midterm elections could shape market sentiment and volatility.
Infosys Q2 net profit rises 6.2%; projects weakest growth in seven years
Revenue rose 10.7% yearly and 2.1% quarter-on-quarter to reach Rs 49,244 crore. Infosys lowered its guidance for 2026-27 to 1-2% in constant currency terms, its weakest estimate in seven years, down from an earlier range of 1.5-3%. Last quarter, it had trimmed the upper end from 3.5% earlier.
Tech under pressure on AI jitters, dollar slips: Markets wrap
South Korea’s Kospi Index — a bellwether for AI investments — dropped 3.5%, with chip heavyweight SK Hynix Inc. heading for its lowest close since April. MSCI Inc.’s Asia Pacific Index fell 1%, diverging from Monday’s tech-led gains on Wall Street.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Manufacturing, healthcare and financialisation could create India’s next wealth creators: Sanjay Doshi
Abakkus Mutual Fund’s Sanjay Doshi sees opportunities across market capitalisations, despite elevated mid- and smallcap valuations. He urges investors to prioritise sustainable earnings, cash flows and returns on capital, maintain disciplined stock selection and align SIP allocations with long-term goals.
Why has US 10-year yield hit lowest in over one week?
US Bond market: The benchmark Yields on 10-year US Treasury debt have climbed to 24-year highs in recent days.
Rethink the short term, but it is only about business in the long term: 5 mid-cap stocks with upside potential of up to 23%
Be clear-eyed about the short term, because we are not done with market pessimism. There may well be more to come, and that could give you better prices than today's. But the preparation has to be done now, not after the move. In the long term, the rule is a simple one: Know what you own, and know why you own it.
Mortgage hedging adds selling pressure to US Treasury market as yields surge
Rising US Treasury yields and mortgage rates have triggered increased mortgage-related hedging, adding selling pressure to the bond market. However, analysts expect the impact to remain limited compared with previous selloffs, as refinancing incentives decline and the mortgage market shrinks. Oil prices, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policy remain key drivers of yields.
Echoes of 2017: Why domestic flows alone won't rescue Indian equities
Strong domestic inflows through SIPs and mutual funds are failing to sustain Indian equity returns amid continuous FII selling and moderating earnings growth. Drawing parallels to the 2017 market cycle, this analysis highlights why structural macroeconomic challenges and valuation compression demand a strategic shift toward high-quality, largecap stocks.
US bull market nears fourth anniversary, but narrow rally raises risks
The ongoing US stock bull market is nearing its fourth anniversary with strong corporate earnings and low volatility. Investor concerns are rising due to the disparity between benchmark indices and the performance of individual stocks. The reliance on artificial intelligence for growth makes the market susceptible to volatility if sentiment shifts. Upcoming third-quarter earnings and midterm elections could introduce additional uncertainties for investors.
Nifty earnings seen rising 27%, strongest growth in 17 quarters in Q2: Motilal Oswal
India’s Q2FY27 earnings season is expected to mark a strong recovery in corporate profitability, with Nifty 50 earnings projected to grow 27% YoY, the highest in 17 quarters, according to Motilal Oswal. While resilient domestic fundamentals and liquidity support the outlook, persistent FII outflows, weak foreign investor sentiment and global macroeconomic pressures remain key challenges for Indian equities.
Four horsemen of economic trouble? RBI governor flags the risks spooking the world
The RBI raised the repo rate 25 bps to 5.50%, its first hike in nearly four years, and shifted its stance to calibrated tightening. Governor Sanjay Malhotra flagged four global risks: West Asia tensions and volatile oil prices, tariff uncertainty, elevated bond yields and stretched AI stock valuations. He said these risks are clouding global sentiment despite resilient growth.
Bitcoin holds near $86,000 as weak US jobs data lowers October Fed rate hike expectations
Bitcoin traded around $86,000 as expectations of easier US monetary policy supported crypto sentiment. Analysts said weak jobs data reduced rate-hike expectations, while mixed ETF flows, elevated bond yields and resistance near $87,000 kept gains in check and encouraged cautious positioning.
Current gold prices provide a better entry point as central bank demand supports the outlook, says Tata Mutual Fund
Gold prices have corrected sharply from their January peak, but Tata Mutual Fund believes the long-term outlook remains supported by central bank buying, fiscal risks and geopolitical uncertainty. The fund house also remains constructive on silver amid persistent supply deficits.
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