GLOBAL ECONOMIC TRENDS
India's gold import route changing course for a benefit all jewellers want
India is diversifying its gold import sources as expanding domestic refining capacity, tax incentives and the India-UAE trade pact reshape supply chains. Switzerland’s share of India’s bullion imports fell to 21.9% in FY26 from 42.4% five years earlier, while the UAE’s share rose to 16.5% from 10.8%, according to Crisil Intelligence.
Nifty's PEG ratio near 10-year low but why don't stocks look cheap yet? Valuation paradox explained
Nifty’s PEG ratio approaches a decade low, suggesting an enticing potential for valuation and earnings growth. The substantial drop in the forward P/E ratio has heightened hopes for a market recovery. However, rising bond yields and potential earnings downgrades pose challenges to investor sentiment. Selective opportunities arise across sectors, influenced by enhanced credit growth and evolving demand.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Monday
Indian equities fell over 2% last week as rising crude oil prices, FII outflows and geopolitical tensions weighed on sentiment. Broader markets underperformed, while global indices also declined and market breadth strongly favoured bears.
US business activity cools in October; strong demand fueling price pressures
US business activity experienced a slight slowdown in October, though strong demand allowed price increases. The S&P Global Composite PMI Output Index indicated sustained economic expansion, even amid challenges. New orders received by businesses rose slightly, with the services sector seeing growth. Although price pressures persisted, employment in manufacturing increased significantly, highlighting capacity expansion. Economists anticipate further inflation concerns due to ongoing supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions.
Cyient shares rally 9% after Q2 revenue rises 25%; board declares Rs 12/sh interim dividend
Cyient shares surged on Friday after the company reported a 25% year-on-year rise in consolidated revenue to Rs 2,235 crore in Q2 FY27. Net profit declined 8% to Rs 132 crore. The board declared an interim dividend of Rs 12 per share, while its DET business reported stronger revenue and order intake.
South Korean shares fall 2% as AI selloff weighs on global markets
South Korea’s KOSPI fell 2.14% on Friday, heading for a second straight weekly decline as a global selloff in AI-related stocks weighed on sentiment. Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor and POSCO Holdings led losses, while foreign investors remained net sellers. The won strengthened against the dollar, and government bond yields declined.
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D-Street poised for a positive start as GIFT Nifty trades firmly higher
Indian equity benchmarks experienced a third consecutive session of declines due to selling pressure. Global cues remained weak, impacting market sentiment and performance. A recovery is possible if the index reclaims 22,800, while immediate support is at 22,600. Foreign institutional investors were net buyers, but the rupee fell against the dollar amid rising crude oil prices. Investors are advised to assess levels carefully as market volatility persists.
Corporates, politics, not just hand in Gov
Marco Rubio visited Jamnagar, showcasing the new dynamics of government-corporate relationships in a changing global landscape. Companies like Reliance benefit from interactions that blend trade, technology, and statecraft in today's world. The shift in globalisation signifies a need for cooperation between nations and multinational corporations. As trade policies evolve, strategic engagements are increasingly essential for market access and competitiveness.
India must avoid copying China's aggressive tax policies on private wealth and offshore assets
Developing economies often look to the US and China for cues on taxation, infra spending and policy. India, for one, must steer clear of emulating such tax policies. China's circumstances are materially different from India's. India's economy is expanding at a healthy pace, and housing is rising steadily.
Why did market fall today? Sensex drops 460 points, Nifty closes below 22,700. Key factors behind Rs 3 lakh crore rout
The Indian stock market took a notable hit on Thursday, with Sensex and Nifty reporting steep declines. This drop coincided with rising oil prices triggered by geopolitical strife, especially in Saudi Arabia. Global markets added to the gloom, while persistent sell-offs from foreign institutional investors have raised alarms. Analysts believe a more substantial market correction could be imminent as investors begin to reassess stock valuations.
Global Market: Japanese investors extend foreign bond selling streak to five weeks
Japanese investors extended their foreign bond selling streak to five weeks through October 17, offloading 161.6 billion yen of long-term debt as US Treasury yields retreated from 24-year highs. Year-to-date net disposals reached 5.18 trillion yen, the highest for the comparable period since 2022, while overseas equity buying continued.
Global Market: China's yuan hits more than four-year high against dollar
In a remarkable turn of events, China's yuan has surged against the US dollar, hitting levels unseen in over four years. This strength is linked to a declining dollar and prevailing central bank strategies. Although the People's Bank of China set a midpoint lower than anticipated, its actions aim to moderate currency appreciation. Analysts believe the yuan's resilience may hinge on sustained export performance and domestic demand influences.
IGI shares hit 10% upper circuit as Q2 profit jumps 43%, revenue rises 31% YoY
International Gemological Institute shares hit the 10% upper circuit after Q2 FY27 revenue rose 31% and profit surged 43% year on year. Growth was supported by lab-grown diamonds, stronger margins and rising demand across jewellery and coloured gemstones.
Global Market: Hong Kong stocks slump to four-month low as China stimulus hopes fade
Hong Kong stocks plunged to a four-month low, while mainland Chinese blue-chip shares approached bear-market territory as technology stocks sold off. Weak stimulus expectations, concerns over economic imbalances and broader AI-related market losses weighed on investor sentiment.
Global Market: Japan’s Nikkei falls as chip stocks retreat on AI spending concerns
Japan’s Nikkei slipped as semiconductor stocks retreated amid concerns over the sustainability of AI infrastructure spending into 2027. Tokyo Electron and Screen Holdings led losses, while gains in cybersecurity and IT services stocks limited the broader market’s decline.
Gold, global equities, largecaps, midcaps and smallcaps: Samco CEO Jimet Modi’s five-way portfolio formula
With India’s stock market caught between expensive mid- and smallcaps and largecaps that lack strong growth drivers, Samco Securities founder and CEO Jimeet Modi is recommending a deliberately balanced portfolio: 20% each in largecaps, midcaps, smallcaps, gold and global equities. He expects the market to remain range-bound for the next 10 to 12 months, with neither an immediate bull market nor a deep, panic-driven bear market.
India could be among top 5 global markets for Glenfiddich maker as whisky drinkers trade up
India is projected to enter the top five global markets for William Grant & Sons in the coming years. The free trade agreement with the UK, effective since July, is anticipated to enhance demand significantly. Premium and luxury spirit consumption is increasing, particularly for single malts and blended whiskies. The company aims to strengthen its position in these growing segments, especially by collaborating with designers for gifting.
Global Market: BOJ's Himino says Japan inflation near 2% target, signals further rate hikes
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino says underlying inflation is nearing the central bank’s 2% target, while accommodative financial conditions and rising cost pressures strengthen expectations of further interest rate hikes.
Global Market: Japanese government bond yields fall as safe-haven demand returns
Japanese government bond prices rose for a third session as attractive yields and safe-haven demand boosted investor interest. Record demand at a 20-year bond auction supported the recovery, while global yields declined. Economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates to 1.50% in December, though October rates may remain unchanged.
Global Market: China's yuan hits four-year high on export strength, weak dollar
China’s onshore yuan touched a more than four-year high against the US dollar, supported by robust exports, resilient economic growth, foreign exchange inflows and a weaker greenback. The currency has gained 4.7% against the dollar so far in 2026.
JPMorgan Asset Management sees Bitcoin beating stocks, but with a big catch
JPMorgan Asset Management has introduced Bitcoin into its long-term capital market assumptions for the first time. The firm forecasts annualized returns of 10% over the next decade, alongside significant volatility of 55%. This volatility may undermine Bitcoin's attractiveness on a risk-adjusted basis compared to traditional investments. Despite the potential returns, JPMorgan has not incorporated Bitcoin into its main portfolio models due to instability.
Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Wednesday
Indian markets plunged on Monday as the Sensex fell nearly 900 points and the Nifty dropped below 22,900, wiping out nearly Rs 5 lakh crore in market value. Private bank selling, weak global cues and earnings uncertainty weighed on sentiment.
US Treasury yields nudge higher as AI fears ebb
US Treasury yields experienced a rise alongside a boost in equities, particularly driven by AI stocks, which has mitigated earlier anxieties among investors. The 10-year Treasury yield saw a modest rebound after a steep decline, indicating a shift in market mood. Moreover, oil prices declined, easing inflation fears related to global tensions.
Global Market: Japan bond yields fall as US tech selloff fuels safe-haven demand
Japanese government bond yields fell as a selloff in US technology stocks triggered demand for safer assets. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s pledge to control debt issuance also supported sentiment, while Bank of Japan rate expectations remained in focus.
Charting the global economy: Inflationary pressures mount in US
A broad upswing in consumer prices last month helps reinforce expectations for additional Federal Reserve interest-rate increases in the months ahead.
Why India's steel demand is defying global weakness
India’s steel prices are rising despite weak global markets, supported by infrastructure spending, manufacturing growth and higher input costs. While Chinese oversupply pressures international prices, robust domestic consumption and capacity utilisation underpin India’s outlook, with cheaper imports remaining a key risk.
MoSPI conducting new surveys to improve economic data: Secretary Saurabh Garg
MoSPI is conducting new surveys, including one on cooperatives, to improve India's economic data, Secretary Saurabh Garg said. He expressed confidence in the country's growth trajectory after GDP expanded 7.8% in the first quarter, while highlighting inflation concerns, gaps in measuring household work and care activities, and methodological improvements to national accounts.
If you only own Indian stocks, what are you missing?
Indian investors may hold stocks across several companies yet remain concentrated in a single market. With India accounting for around 3% of global equity market capitalisation in May 2026, international investing offers a broader opportunity set. The key is understanding diversification, currency risk, investment routes and how overseas exposure fits individual financial goals.
Global Market: European shares rise as lower oil prices lift sentiment; tech stocks slide
European markets saw an uptick, driven by declining oil prices that buoyed sentiment across numerous sectors. However, the technology industry struggled with fears stemming from rising competition from Chinese firms, particularly ChangXin Memory Technologies, which raised alarms for traditional memory-chip players. Investors geared up for critical economic data from Germany, as they hope for clearer insights into the regional economy.
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