GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS
Samvat 2083 stock picks: 10 ideas from India’s top brokerages for the next Diwali
Brokerages have identified 10 stocks across banking, defence, hospitality, quick commerce, consumption and manufacturing for Samvat 2083. Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bharat Electronics, Indian Hotels, Adani Ports and Eternal feature among their picks, backed by earnings visibility, strong balance sheets and structural growth opportunities. Their target prices suggest further upside potential.
Why cheap stocks offer more safety than strong inflows, says Sundaram AMC MD
Two years ago, seasoned asset manager Anand Radhakrishnan moved from a long, successful stint as Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Franklin Templeton India to take over as Managing Director (MD) at Sundaram Asset Management Company. In this conversation with Sanket Dhanorkar, he shares his views on the market correction, shift in interest rate cycle, valuations and money flows, and more.
How rising bond yields and interest rates are putting pressure on stock market valuations
Higher yields boost safer investments’ appeal, pressuring equity valuations despite earnings recovery. Equities are riskier than sovereign bonds. If a virtually risk-free government bond pays 7.4%, investors won’t settle for the same return from volatile stocks they accepted when bonds yielded 5% or 6%.
ETMarkets Smart Talk| Higher yields offer opportunities, but investors need not rush into long-duration funds: Shriram Ramanathan
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Shriram Ramanathan, CIO–Fixed Income at HSBC Mutual Fund, discusses the changing dynamics in India’s bond market, the outlook for interest rates and yields, and how investors should navigate the choice between debt mutual funds, fixed deposits and government securities. He also explains why liquidity and flexibility could matter more than rushing to lock into longer-duration bets in the current environment.
US midterm results may give India trade leverage, but tariff and AI risks remain
The US midterm results may give India some room in trade negotiations by increasing congressional scrutiny of executive action, but they do not remove tariff risks or alter Washington's strategic priorities. AI investment is also unlikely to retreat, with capital expected to remain within the US rather than shift significantly to emerging markets.
Lower crude, global stability to drive market growth in new Samvat: ANMI President Kamlesh Shroff
India's macroeconomic environment is poised for robust growth, projected at over seven percent, bolstering equity markets. With falling crude oil prices, the rupee may strengthen, drawing foreign investors. Retail and domestic institutional investors are actively engaging despite foreign investor withdrawal. Clarity from recent US elections is predicted to alleviate geopolitical tensions, boosting business confidence and anticipation of renewed foreign investment in Indian markets.
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Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
How to invest this Diwali: ICICI Prudential AMC’s Chockalingam Narayanan shares his Samvat 2083 playbook
As investors prepare for Samvat 2083, the focus is shifting towards companies with strong earnings and cash flows. ICICI Prudential AMC suggests that the market is valuing current earnings more than distant growth predictions. The recovery in IT stocks may signal changing technology spending trends, but caution is advised. Opportunities in India's manufacturing and investment landscape could arise from supply-chain diversification and new trade agreements.
Investors in other markets would be envious of India multiples: Rich Handler, chief executive of Jefferies
Jefferies CEO Rich Handler believes Indian equities remain reasonably valued despite the market correction and says easing long-term capital gains taxes could attract foreign investors. He sees opportunities in India's AI and data centre sectors, argues that global capital outflows reflect external pressures, and believes concerns about an AI bubble warrant a healthy pause rather than alarm.
Nifty’s 8% surge this week is the best since January 2021. Are bulls here to stay?
Nifty surged 8% this week, marking its biggest weekly gain since January 2021, as foreign investors returned to Indian equities. Strong Q2 earnings, attractive valuations and a global shift away from AI-linked stocks supported the rally. The key question now is whether renewed buying can sustain the market's recovery.
$5 billion in 5 days! Why FIIs are suddenly shopping Indian stocks non-stop this Diwali
Foreign institutional investors have poured nearly $5 billion into Indian equities in five trading sessions, marking a sharp reversal after months of heavy selling. Strong Q2 earnings, softer crude prices, stable currency and the global AI sell-off are improving India's appeal, with investors rotating towards relatively undervalued markets and large-cap stocks.
Bloodbath in Nasdaq, Kospi and Nikkei but why Nifty is an oasis of peace amid global rout
A global AI-led tech selloff has battered US and Asian markets, wiping out $3 trillion from S&P 500 companies. However, Indian equities are showing relative resilience as investors rotate away from crowded AI trades. Market experts believe India's lower exposure to the AI boom, attractive large-cap valuations and renewed foreign inflows could help it weather the global rout.
Gold, Silver, Stocks: Why Bonds Deserve a Place on Your Dhanteras Shopping List
Traditionally, investors have turned to gold and silver on Dhanteras, but this trend is shifting. Recent fluctuations in these precious metals and stock equities have raised apprehensions over their reliability. Bonds present a viable alternative with their assured returns and steady interest payouts, offering stability amid market volatility. By including bonds in their investment strategy, individuals can ensure they meet their financial requirements without rushing to liquidate assets.
Rs 40,000 crore in 13 days! Is the great FII reversal finally here to save Nifty bulls?
Foreign institutional investors have pumped nearly Rs 40,000 crore into Indian equities in 13 trading sessions, raising hopes of a sustained reversal after months of heavy selling. Falling crude oil prices, improving corporate earnings, attractive valuations, a weaker dollar and expectations of an LTCG tax cut are driving the renewed optimism.
Upbeat earnings bolster case for India stocks as Asia wavers
Indian equities are outperforming Asian peers, supported by stronger-than-expected corporate earnings, improving valuations and renewed foreign investor inflows. September-quarter profits rose 20% among major companies, boosting market sentiment. However, elevated oil prices, currency pressures and slower earnings upgrades remain key risks to sustaining the rally.
Foreign buying, softer crude lift Dalal Street; Sensex closes above 77,300
Following the US midterm elections, Indian investors are buoyed by hopes of decreased global trade tensions. The Sensex surged by 383.55 points, closing at 77,301.40, while the Nifty increased by 149.75 points to end at 23,960.60, highlighting a significant rebound for the indices. Analysts believe reduced geopolitical risks could enhance India's economic prospects, despite a mixed performance in Asian markets regarding US investments in AI.
Crazy economics gets a stop button
After the US midterm elections, stock futures show a positive reaction despite ongoing economic uncertainties. Trump's legislative agenda faces gridlock, impacting his trade and immigration policies significantly. The focus will shift to regulating AI, potentially stalling infrastructure growth in the US economy. India's position in trade negotiations may improve due to Trump's need for success overseas.
Rupee gains 17 paise to settle at 94.58 against Us dollar
The Indian rupee appreciated for the second consecutive session, closing 17 paise higher against the US dollar. Easing crude oil prices and inflows from foreign investors contributed to the rupee's firmness. Domestic equity markets also performed well, with both Sensex and Nifty rising significantly. The dollar index experienced a decline, reflecting a weaker American currency. These factors indicated improved global sentiment following the US midterm elections.
S&P affirms Reliance Industries' 'A-' credit rating, cites Jio listing, stronger earnings
S&P Global Ratings has affirmed Reliance Industries’ (RIL) ‘A-’ long-term issuer credit rating with a stable outlook, citing resilient earnings, strong cash generation and improved funding flexibility following the listing of Jio Platforms.
Diwali 2026: Will Sensex, Nifty reclaim their peaks or scale new highs? Analysts map the road ahead
Market analysts are tentatively optimistic about Indian equity markets seeing a resurgence in the next financial year. Expectations suggest that both the Sensex and Nifty may rise to their past peak levels by Diwali 2027, driven by improving corporate profitability. While favorable valuations and steady domestic investments bolster this outlook, global uncertainties like inflation, interest rates, and oil prices could pose challenges.
US midterms may help D-Street break free from geopolitical overhang
The upcoming US mid-term elections will potentially influence global markets and trade policies. Investors are closely watching whether the outcomes will ease uncertainties regarding tariffs and immigration. The results could shape the policy direction and affect the sentiment of global investors. Analysts suggest that the focus should remain on domestic earnings growth and financial flows.
FPIs pour Rs 21,715 crore into Indian stocks in 10 days; is record sell-off finally reversing?
Foreign portfolio investors infused $2.29 billion into Indian equities over 10 days, signalling improving sentiment. Strong corporate earnings, attractive valuations and potential LTCG tax relief could revive foreign inflows, while crude oil prices remain a key risk.
Global markets were already fragile. Big AI bets could break them
Investors flocked to bonds. Yields, which move inversely to price, fell from multidecade highs, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury, which guides borrowing costs globally, falling almost 20 basis points on October 22, its biggest daily fall since early 2023.
Asian companies to ramp up investments in US amid supply-chain shifts
Citi expects investments by South Korean, Japanese and Taiwanese companies in the US to rise as global supply chains shift. The bank also sees growing cross-border business flows involving India and China, creating opportunities in transaction banking and financial services.
$64 billion out, $5 billion in? Why LTCG tax cut may not be enough to bring FIIs back
A reassessment of long-term capital gains tax is underway as foreign investors continue their significant selloff from Indian equities. Analysts at JM Financial project that tax relief may yield only $3–5 billion in fresh inflows. This minimal increase may not be sufficient to reverse the current trend of investor exodus amidst concerns over oil prices. India’s tax regime differentiates between dollar and rupee gains, impacting foreign investor returns significantly.
FII retreat deepens: Almost every second Nifty stock sees stake cuts in all 3 quarters of 2026
This year has seen Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) divest nearly ₹3 lakh crore in Indian equities, causing a significant reduction in their stakes. As a result, FII ownership has declined in about half of the Nifty stocks over the past three quarters. Meanwhile, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their equity holdings, reflecting a change in market dynamics amidst frequent foreign sell-offs.
FPI G-Sec outflows nearly halve to Rs 5,400 crore in October
Foreign portfolio investors reduced their selling of Indian government securities and equities in October compared to September. Despite this, high oil prices and global yields pose challenges for sustained portfolio inflows. Economists caution that the slowdown may not indicate a definitive change in foreign investment trends. Political dynamics in other emerging markets might influence foreign capital movement toward India.
FPIs pull out Rs 34,843 cr from equities in Oct; turn net buyers last week
Amidst rising economic fears, foreign portfolio investors withdrew Rs 34,843 crore from Indian equities in October. Although they had made significant contributions in July and August, outflows continued through September. By late October, a turnaround occurred as foreign investors became net buyers, infusing approximately Rs 6,300 crore into the market. Support from domestic institutional investors provided much-needed stability as all eyes turn to potential global impacts on investor sentiment.
S&P Global revises outlook on Meta to negative on cashflow concerns
S&P Global Ratings on Friday revised its outlook on Meta Platforms to negative, citing significant uncertainty around capital spending and free operating cash flow.
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