GDP MARK
Mid and smallcap stocks could see strong gains in 2027, but expect volatility, says Deepak Shenoy, Capitalmind Mutual Fund
Deepak Shenoy anticipates a stronger rally for mid and smallcap stocks in 2027, marked by volatility. He forecasts earnings growth exceeding 20% in these segments, supporting potential gains. Valuations, however, will vary based on companies meeting growth expectations or not. Global political tensions and the AI sector's challenges may influence market dynamics. Shenoy emphasizes the unpredictability of market movements and shares insights on past predictions.
BoE’s Pill sees scope for interest rate cuts if UK growth stalls
Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill indicated that interest rates could remain steady or decline if economic growth stalls. Recent financial market predictions suggest potential for at least two interest rate increases within the next year. Economic growth has shown surprising strength, yet households are beginning to tighten their spending due to rising energy costs. While GDP growth is projected at 1.
Samvat 2083 begins: Will the good times roll for Indian businesses?
Samvat 2083 begins with Indian businesses entering the new year on a note of cautious optimism. Strong GST collections, festive demand and the RBI’s upgraded FY27 growth forecast point to economic resilience. But weak hiring, easing manufacturing momentum, food inflation and crude oil risks cloud the outlook.
ETMarkets Commodity Talk| Building a 5-year portfolio? Why gold could take the largest share of your commodity allocation, Deveya Gaglani decodes
In this edition of ETMarkets Commodity Talk, Deveya Gaglani, Senior Research Analyst – Commodities at Axis Direct, shares his views on the evolving commodity landscape and the role of gold, silver and industrial metals in a diversified portfolio. He also explains why gold could form the largest component of a long-term commodity allocation, while highlighting the risks of blindly buying the dip or chasing a sharp rally.
Warren Buffett has lived through 16 US Presidents. Why he ignores election impact on markets
Warren Buffett believes investors should not let political uncertainty or election outcomes dictate their market decisions. Speaking at Berkshire Hathaway’s 2018 shareholder meeting, he recalled living through multiple US presidencies, split almost equally between Republicans and Democrats, while witnessing major political and economic crises.
Diwali 2026: Will banking stocks shine in Samvat 2083? Analysts list top picks
With Diwali 2026 on the horizon, banking stocks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Karur Vysya Bank are drawing attention from analysts as potential winners for Samvat 2083. Following a period of volatility, these stocks are anticipated to regain momentum, driven by consistent loan growth and enhanced management practices. Investors are advised to navigate the changing landscape prudently as opportunities unfold.
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Only 3.2% of working Indians trade stocks. Why Morgan Stanley likes NSE
Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage of NSE with an overweight rating and a price target of Rs 2,315, citing its dominant market share, strong liquidity and India’s underpenetrated capital markets. The brokerage expects revenue and normalised profit to grow at 15% annually between FY27 and FY29. It sees long-term growth opportunities but flags regulatory changes and market-share losses as key risks.
ETMarkets Smart Talk | Gold for ballast, silver for growth; avoid industrial commodities in core portfolios: Saish Sawant
In this edition of ETMarkets Smart Talk, Saish Sawant, Research Analyst–Commodities at Emkay Global Financial Services, breaks down the contrasting moves across gold, crude and copper.
Cheap stocks aren’t enough: The one trigger FIIs need to return to India
FIIs have pulled nearly $64 billion from Indian equities over the past two years, marking the longest and deepest sell-off in two decades, according to JM Financial. Despite cheaper valuations and an improving earnings outlook, foreign investors remain on the sidelines, with a sustained decline in crude oil prices emerging as a key trigger for their return.
Lighting lives beyond Diwali: How everyday Indians are making a difference through giving
An RBI officer, a Bengaluru retailer, a safari lodge owner and a 24-year-old money coach tell us how giving a little, steadily, lights someone else’s life, long after Diwali.
With G-sec yields rising, countries have no alternative but to increase their bullion holdings
In India yield on T-year G secs has increased by 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Unfortunately, governments are confronting these higher borrowing costs precisely at a time when debt is elevated, with global public debt expected to exceed 100% of GDP by 2030, a level last reached in the immediate aftermath of WW2.
Diwali blues: 83 largecap stocks plunge up to 60% since Samvat 2082. Can bluechips light up D-Street in the new year?
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a volatile year and a sharp market correction. While lower valuations have improved the risk-reward profile of several stocks, persistent FII outflows, elevated crude oil prices and global uncertainties remain key concerns. Strong domestic fundamentals and earnings growth could support markets, but returns will increasingly depend on stock selection, valuations and earnings delivery.
IIP growth eases to 4-month low in September as mining output contracts
September witnessed a decline in India's factory output growth, falling to 6.7%, the lowest rate observed in four months. The drop is largely linked to a high base effect and decreased mining activity. Despite this, manufacturing output surged by 7.6% compared to the previous year, while electricity generation also grew, spurred by robust demand even with insufficient rainfall. Economists anticipate GDP growth to surpass 7% for the July-September period.
Kazakhstan economy registers strong growth since 2019
President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev reported that Kazakhstan’s GDP per capita has surpassed $15,000 in recent years. Economic growth has been marked by a 30% increase since 2019, highlighting a strong recovery. The National Fund for Children program has aided over seven million children with a total of $2.5 billion. Significant housing developments have occurred, with more than 20 million square meters commissioned last year.
Lula's extra time goal sends a signal
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has returned as Brazilian president for a record fourth term after a competitive election. He must now address various economic challenges, including high inflation and public debt levels. The recent electoral results reflect significant voter dissatisfaction with the previous administration's policies and management. While Lula aims to implement reforms, he faces potential roadblocks from the established right-wing coalition in Congress.
Big Tech’s AI push faces a $1 trillion profit test, says UBS
UBS Global Research indicates that major cloud companies must generate an additional $1 trillion in operating profits by 2031. They are expected to invest $7.7 trillion between 2026 and 2030 to achieve these returns. A decline in returns on invested capital is anticipated as AI infrastructure dominates investments. The largest firms face challenges in securing electricity for expanding data centres.
Lula da Silva: A metalworker who rose from poverty to reclaim Brazil's presidency
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has secured a fourth, non-consecutive term as Brazil’s president, defeating Flávio Bolsonaro in a fiercely contested election. The victory strengthens the left’s position in Latin America amid Donald Trump’s growing influence, marking another remarkable comeback for the former metalworker who overcame corruption convictions and imprisonment.
JSW Steel Q2 Results: Net profit rockets 225% YoY to Rs 5,279 crore; revenue rises 21%
JSW Steel Q2 Results: JSW Steel reported a 225% year-on-year jump in Q2 FY27 net profit to Rs 5,279 crore, while revenue rose 21% to Rs 54,486 crore. EBITDA climbed 39% to Rs 9,941 crore, with crude steel production and steel sales hitting record highs. However, shares fell around 3% after results.
India's copper demand rises 12% to 2,100 KT in FY26
India's copper demand rose to 2,100 kilotonnes in FY'26, reflecting a 12% increase from the previous year. This growth was primarily driven by strong performance in the infrastructure, automotive, and construction sectors. The infrastructure sector experienced a notable 29% year-on-year increase, contributing significantly to domestic consumption. In contrast, the automotive sector rebounded with a 14% rise following previous declines.
Rupee rises 46 paise to 94.45 on India-US trade deal hopes; oil prices cap gains
The rupee gained 46 paise to 94.45 against the dollar on optimism over a potential India-US trade deal and RBI measures. However, elevated crude prices, foreign outflows and global financial pressures continue to threaten the currency's recovery.
From lifespan to healthspan: How Abu Dhabi and India can make prevention practical
New modelling suggests that eliminating modifiable health risks could add 12 years to healthy life expectancy at birth by 2050. Realising even part of this potential will require making prevention part of everyday life.
Orthodontist Jim Woods invested $65,000 in Nvidia in 2000; by 2024, his stake had reached $15 million
In 2000, Jim Woods was working full-time as an orthodontist. That same year, he placed $65,000 into Nvidia, then a relatively young tech company known mostly for PC graphics hardware. Twenty-four years later, that single trade reached a value of $15 million.
US fiscal 2026 budget deficit rises to $1.99 trillion, largest in 5 years
The US budget deficit for fiscal 2026 rose to $1.99 trillion, driven by increased tariff refunds and spending. Total spending for the year reached a record $7.40 trillion, while total receipts were $5.40 trillion. Net tariff receipts fell significantly, contributing to the deficit increase as refunds reached $145 billion. The debt-service outlays recorded a new high of $1.36 trillion during this fiscal year.
World Bank has a $19 billion gameplan to expand its critical minerals business in five years
World Bank President Ajay Banga has set a target to quintuple the lender’s critical minerals business over five years, with financing projected to rise to $19 billion in FY26-FY30 from $3.6 billion in the previous five years. The bank has identified 20 countries for partnerships to build local industries and create jobs.
ET Product of the Year Awards 2026: Recognising insurance products that customers trust
India's insurance industry is witnessing growth, yet challenges remain in accessibility and understanding. The ET Product of the Year Awards 2026 aims to highlight innovations in insurance that enhance customer value, focusing on new products, streamlined digital experiences, and effective distribution methods to improve policy engagement and claims processes.
Govt not only 'stealing' votes but also savings: Congress on rise in inflation
Congress leader Jairam Ramesh pointed out that inflation is rising, impacting essential goods and public savings. Food inflation surged to 7.74 percent, with significant increases in prices of onions, garlic, and ginger. The Reserve Bank of India has raised the repo rate in response to these inflationary pressures. The party accuses the Modi government of failing to address the economic struggles faced by the people.
Inflation could hit 7%, forcing RBI to hike rates by 150 bps further: Report
India's inflation is projected to reach 6-7% due to increasing price pressures and consumer expectations. The Reserve Bank of India has acknowledged risks stemming from rising input costs and resilient domestic demand. Recent trends show that household inflation expectations are significantly higher than headline inflation rates. The RBI has raised its GDP growth projection while revising inflation forecasts upwards to 6% for the upcoming quarter.
Economists see food, oil stoking India’s September inflation
India's consumer inflation is anticipated to rise as energy costs increased significantly during September. Brent crude surpassed $100 a barrel, contributing to higher inflation alongside rising food prices. The Reserve Bank of India raised its key repo rate for the first time in nearly four years to combat inflation. Economists predict consumer inflation reached 5.40%, marking four consecutive months above the RBI's target.
RBI rate hike to test housing affordability, premium segment seen more resilient
The Reserve Bank of India recently raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to curb inflation. This increase is expected to raise borrowing costs for banks, affecting interest rates on home loans. First-time and price-sensitive homebuyers in the affordable housing sector may feel the impact more significantly. Market experts anticipate that strong demand fundamentals will mitigate some negative effects. The overall housing market remains robust, especially in higher-priced segments.
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