FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
Trump's $1.5-trillion defence spending push runs into a Democratic wall after midterm rout
The recent midterm elections have heralded a major loss for Republicans, casting a shadow over President Trump's defense budget ambitions. Democrats, now in control of Congress, are resisting Trump's call for a $1.5 trillion increase in defense spending. This development poses a critical challenge as lawmakers must soon tackle the defense policy bill alongside the fiscal year 2027 budget.
Voters demanded economic relief. Trump and Democrats face tough choices on how to deliver
Voters have conveyed a clear message about the necessity of addressing inflation and economic issues. Both parties are preparing to respond to the economic challenges revealed by recent election outcomes. The Federal Reserve may gain independence to curtail inflation as Trump and Democrats grapple for control. Efforts to secure Social Security funding are urgent as benefits become jeopardized after 2032.
Indian economy to grow faster, foreign capital returning to markets: NSE CEO Ashishkumar Chauhan
India's economy is projected to experience faster growth due to strong macroeconomic fundamentals and increased foreign interest. The Managing Director of the National Stock Exchange highlighted that the country is managing fiscal pressures effectively. Domestic financial savings have significantly increased, reaching nearly USD 1.4 trillion annually. Furthermore, foreign institutional investors are showing renewed enthusiasm for Indian markets ahead of the new Samvat year.
Planning to invest in gold and silver this Diwali? 7 experts decode the risks, outlook and allocation strategy
During the festive season of Diwali, many investors in India turn to gold and silver as traditional investment choices. With the backdrop of rising energy costs and inflation, the prices of these metals have seen fluctuations. Financial experts recommend that in the face of current market volatility, it might be wise for investors to reassess their strategies.
Auto sales to maintain momentum, driven by GST relief, EVs : SIAM
The Indian automotive industry is expected to sustain growth momentum in the second half of the fiscal year. Key factors include improved affordability, strong financing support, and resilient market demand. Sales of entry-level passenger cars have surged significantly, indicating a revival in consumption among first-time buyers.
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Emami bets on winter demand as inflation keeps a lid on growth
Emami Ltd announced a 36% increase in consolidated revenue for the second quarter, reaching Rs 1,088 crore. Despite rising input costs, the company has seen positive trends in its winter portfolio and rural demand. The net profit declined by 3% due to changes in the effective tax rate. Emami has implemented price hikes to offset raw material inflation while focusing on cost-efficiency.
Gold loan NPA rises in first five months while eases over a three-year horizon
India’s gold loan market has experienced a rise in non-performing assets, reaching 0.78% by August 2023. The total outstanding volume grew nearly threefold to Rs 22.5 lakh crore recently. Borrowers are increasingly taking multiple loans, with many having four or more gold loans. The market also saw 5.5 crore active borrowers, indicating its broad consumer reach.
Britannia Industries Q2 Results: Profit rises 11% YoY to Rs 726 crore, revenue grows 16%
Britannia Q2 Results: FMCG major Britannia Industries on Thursday reported a 10.8% year-on-year (YoY) increase in consolidated net profit to Rs 726 crore for the September quarter of FY27 (Q2FY27), compared with Rs 655.06 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal.
Aayush Wellness reports 10.6% rise in first-half income
Aayush Wellness experienced an increase in consolidated income and profit for the first half of fiscal 2027. The company reported an impressive rise in both consolidated income and profit after tax. Standalone income also showed significant growth compared to the preceding quarter. Aayush Wellness is launching new products to expand its presence in preventive healthcare and nutraceutical markets.
Rupee finds its footing as oil worries cool, traders watch flow momentum
The Indian rupee climbed to its highest value in two weeks, following a notable fall in oil prices. This uplifting trend was mirrored by a stark rise in Indian stock markets and a reduction in bond yields. Recently, foreign investments poured into Indian equities, showcasing hefty net purchases. Analysts emphasize that ongoing investment inflows are crucial for bolstering the rupee further, as market sentiment improves amid reduced energy cost pressures.
US midterm elections: Gems & jewellery industry keeps its fingers crossed
India's gems and jewellery industry is optimistic about a potential trade agreement with the United States. Industry leaders believe that a trade deal could enhance export competitiveness and safeguard jobs. The anticipated agreement follows the Democrats' recent success in the US midterm elections. Concerns remain regarding job losses in Surat if tariffs and trade uncertainties persist. Revenue for India's natural diamond industry is projected to remain flat this financial year.
Government prepares draft sustainable aviation fuels policy; moots mandatory blending in ATF from 2027
The civil aviation ministry has circulated the draft National Policy on Sustainable Aviation Fuels which mandates use of only indigenously manufactured SAF to be blended with Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF).
Indian bonds rally most since April as oil slides after US midterm verdict
Indian government bonds experienced a significant rally influenced by falling oil prices after the US midterm elections. The benchmark bond yield dropped notably, reflecting a three-day decline in yields. Brent crude oil prices decreased, easing inflation and fiscal pressures on India. The Reserve Bank of India anticipates inflation will peak this quarter, supporting future bond market performance.
Allcargo Logistics Q2 Results: Co posts Rs 19 crore profit; revenue rises 3.4%
Allcargo Logistics Ltd reported a positive shift in financial performance during the September quarter of FY27, achieving a consolidated profit after tax of Rs 19 crore. This demonstrates a year-on-year growth alongside a 3.4 percent increase in operational revenue. With the festive season on the horizon, the company anticipates further demand, focusing on enhancing capacity utilization and reinstating volume growth in the upcoming months.
Coca-Cola HBC raises 2026 revenue growth forecast on strong demand
Coca-Cola HBC has upgraded its annual organic revenue growth outlook, driven by successful pricing strategies and heightened consumer demand. In the third quarter, the company achieved a notable 9% organic revenue growth, surpassing the anticipated 8%. This surge was propelled by effective promotional initiatives tied to the FIFA World Cup and increased summer demand.
India's natural diamond industry eyes revenue stabilisation at $15 billion, not recovery
An analysis indicates India's natural diamond industry's revenues are projected to stabilize rather than rebound. Domestic demand is expected to cushion export weaknesses, particularly from the US and China. Lab-grown diamonds are reshaping the entry-level segment, affecting market dynamics and pricing. While profitability faces pressure, supply discipline is helping maintain stability in credit profiles. Overall, improved inventory and consumption trends could support a more robust industry outlook.
US midterm elections: Early Democratic wins rattle Wall Street
Early Democratic victories in key US Senate races have raised expectations of a potential shift in control of Congress, although the final outcome remains uncertain. The emerging results triggered a sharp reaction across financial markets, with US stock futures falling, Treasury yields declining and the dollar weakening as investors assessed the implications of a possible Democratic sweep.
Chinese yuan hits over two-week low against dollar as PBOC signals caution on appreciation
China’s yuan weakened to a more than two-week low against the dollar after the central bank set a weaker daily fixing and raised foreign exchange reserve requirements. The moves signal Beijing’s efforts to moderate the currency’s rapid appreciation.
Indian stocks poised to open lower as US midterm vote outcome looms
As Indian shares experienced four days of upward movement, a decline is now expected as market participants turn their eyes towards the US midterm elections. The results could play a pivotal role in shaping energy prices and foreign investor activity. Recently, foreign investors have shown confidence in Indian shares, enhancing market performance. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions over Brent crude oil continue to loom, making post-election stock movements critical for investors.
India's data centre capacity set for 5x surge by 2030
By March 2030, India’s data centre capacity is projected to soar to 7.5 gigawatts, fueled by escalating demand from global hyperscalers and the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. However, challenges such as power infrastructure and project execution timing loom large. To mitigate these risks, pre-commitments and long-term contracts are essential, alongside the industry's flexibility to adapt to changing computing needs, which will dictate its future profitability.
We will consider the call for review of LTCG tax: Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman
"The circumstances have changed and, therefore, the voices of concern are louder,'' she said at a media event, in reference to reports that her administration has received suggestions to review levies on long-term capital gains (LTCG) for overseas investors. "I quite appreciate that. So, I'll consider all this... Our growth is very important, where people are putting their very best, we are able to see sustained 7(%)-plus growth.''
Gold price prediction: Gold prices extend losses on Tuesday. Check outlook for November 3
Investors are now looking to the US midterm elections for indications of the country's fiscal policy direction and their potential impact on broader market sentiment.
Government has fiscal headroom to absorb Rs 50,000 crore revenue loss from LTCG tax abolition: SBI Research
SBI Research indicates that eliminating the long-term capital gains tax may lead to a modest revenue decline, estimated to be between Rs 40,000-50,000 crore for FY28. The suggested reforms involve raising the exemption limits and introducing lower tax rates based on extended holding durations. Furthermore, an increase in the Securities Transaction Tax is expected to help mitigate some revenue losses, thereby fostering foreign investment and enhancing market confidence.
FM Sitharaman acknowledges foreign investor anxiety, says she will consider voices seeking tax changes before Budget
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman acknowledged concerns from investors regarding potential tax changes to support equity markets. She emphasized that while taxation is vital, India's economic indicators remain robust and positive. Sitharaman highlighted the necessity for capital expenditure to sustain economic growth and fiscal prudence. On welfare, she noted significant improvements in access to essential services contributing to decreased poverty levels.
India's economic pillars show 'no fragility', says Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted the government's commitment to increasing capital expenditure to promote economic growth. She remarked on the importance of fiscal prudence while implementing spending strategies effectively. Sitharaman emphasized the need for public investment to enhance welfare programs and improve access to essential services. The government aims to provide comprehensive insurance coverage by 2047 to foster financial inclusion.
India bonds surge as oil cools on US-Iran deal hopes
Indian government bonds showed improvement as crude oil prices declined, which is expected to boost market demand. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming US midterm elections for potential impacts on oil prices and economic policies. The falling crude prices are expected to alleviate inflation concerns and fiscal pressures for India. Furthermore, the Reserve Bank of India may adjust its interest rate plans based on these developments.
FPI G-Sec outflows nearly halve to Rs 5,400 crore in October
Foreign portfolio investors reduced their selling of Indian government securities and equities in October compared to September. Despite this, high oil prices and global yields pose challenges for sustained portfolio inflows. Economists caution that the slowdown may not indicate a definitive change in foreign investment trends. Political dynamics in other emerging markets might influence foreign capital movement toward India.
Indian Bank targets Rs 100 cr lending under EV charging scheme in FY27: MD
Indian Bank has set a lending target of Rs 100 crore for electric vehicle charging infrastructure. The bank launched IND Green Charge for public, captive, and fleet charging stations under various models. It plans to promote entrepreneurship and support India's transition to sustainable mobility with this initiative. The scheme will provide loans up to Rs 10 crore for a maximum tenure of eight years.
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