FEDERAL RESERVE RATE HIKE
Gold edges up as softer crude tempers inflation concerns
Gold prices edged higher on Monday as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns, though gains were capped by expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep US interest rates higher
US employers add 165,000 jobs in October, but worrying joblessness trends remain: Here's what the latest numbers mean for you
US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, resulting in a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1 percent. Average hourly earnings saw a year-over-year increase of 3.1 percent, although it remains below the inflation rate. The US Federal Reserve might be considering a potential interest rate hike after the robust jobs report, which could be announced next month.
Dollar jumps after strong US payrolls report
The US dollar index jumped significantly following the Labor Department's report indicating an increase of 165,000 jobs last month, which far exceeded economists' forecasts. As a result, the probability of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve climbed to nearly 80% for next month. Moreover, Federal Reserve officials voiced concerns about ongoing inflation, leading to declines for other currencies such as the euro and sterling against the dollar.
Gold drops as strong US payrolls boost dollar, yields
In light of stronger-than-anticipated US payroll figures, gold prices dipped significantly as the data suggested a robust labor market. This development heightened expectations for sustained high-interest rates from the Federal Reserve, bolstering the dollar's strength. Spot gold saw a decline of 0.3% to reach $4,074.36 per ounce, while US gold futures fell by 0.9%. However, Indian retail demand picked up ahead of Diwali festivities, taking advantage of the lower prices.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
NY Fed's John Williams flags need to gather more information on inflation risks before rate decisions
Federal Reserve officials John Williams and Alberto Musalem have flagged persistent inflation risks, with rapid AI infrastructure investment potentially adding to price pressures. Williams backed the need for more economic data before determining monetary policy, while Musalem warned that policymakers must address current inflation rather than wait for future AI-driven productivity gains.
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Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
US stocks today: Nasdaq rebounds as chip stocks recover from steep losses, rate fears persist
US stocks rebound as chipmakers recover from Thursday's steep AI-led selloff, lifting the Nasdaq 1.73%. Nvidia, AMD, Intel and Micron lead the recovery, while stronger-than-expected October jobs data revive concerns over a December Fed rate hike. Airbnb rallies after raising its full-year revenue growth forecast, while Atlassian shares decline.
US stock market today: Why is the Nasdaq up 1% while the Dow Jones falls? S&P 500 turns green amid tech stock volatility and Fed rate hike fears over strong October jobs report
US stock market today: Wall Street is seeing a split recovery on Friday after Thursday's AI-led sell-off. The Nasdaq has jumped 1.02%, while the Dow Jones has fallen 0.90% and the S&P 500 gained 0.29%. Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Broadcom and Micron were among the chipmakers recording gains in early trading. Nvidia's rebound has been particularly important because of its large weight in the broader market.
MCX gold prices dip Rs 2,400/10g; silver falls Rs 3,400/kg on Dhanteras as rate hike bets rise again. Buy, sell or hold?
MCX Gold Price: Gold and silver prices tumbled on MCX as surging crude oil prices reignited inflation concerns and strengthened expectations of a December Fed rate hike. Investors await US jobs data for fresh policy cues, while Goldman Sachs has lowered its gold price forecast.
Gold price prediction: Will gold continue its surge on Dhanteras? Check outlook for November 6
In today’s session, Spot gold rose 0.4% to $4,103.55 per ounce, taking its weekly gains to 5.9%. US gold futures for December delivery were little changed at $4,112.80 per ounce, while spot silver gained 0.5% to $52.01 per ounce.
Gold set for weekly gain as markets await US payrolls data
Gold prices have seen a surge in early Asian markets, climbing by 0.4% as investors brace for the crucial US non-farm payrolls report. With a projected weekly increase of 5.9%, market sentiment remains optimistic. Two Federal Reserve officials have floated the idea of gradual interest rate hikes to tackle inflation.
Dollar holds, yen gains as equity rout saps risk appetite ahead of payrolls
The dollar maintained its ground against key currencies as traders flocked to safe havens following a volatile market downturn. Concerns mounted over a potential Democratic majority in Congress, raising alarms about stricter regulations on the artificial intelligence sector. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds declined, signaling shifts in Federal Reserve interest rate outlooks. The euro remained stable against the dollar, with the yen and Swiss franc making gains.
Fed's Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin favour gradual rate hikes as inflation stays high
Two officials from the Federal Reserve have supported modest and steady interest rate increases to combat high inflation. They believe these adjustments should minimize disruptions for households, businesses, and financial markets. The Fed has left interest rates unchanged recently, with discussions ongoing about future hikes in December and early next year. The political landscape has shifted following the midterm elections, potentially changing price pressures in the economy.
Fed's Beth Hammack favors gradual rate-hike path to lower inflation
Cleveland's Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack has emphasized the need for additional rate hikes to achieve the target inflation rate of 2%. She proposes implementing smaller, more frequent adjustments to minimize impacts on households and markets. Dissatisfied with the last Fed meeting's outcome, Hammack argues that the current monetary policy lacks sufficient restrictiveness.
Gold rises after biggest daily gain since August, with US payrolls in focus
On Thursday, gold prices increased partially due to a declining US dollar, building on a strong daily surge prior. Spot gold's elevation followed reactions to the US midterm elections while investors eyed potential shifts in policy. Anticipation about the forthcoming non-farm payrolls report could influence Federal Reserve decisions, with Citi predicting a rise in gold should geopolitical tensions reduce.
Glittering Prospects: Why Gold is the ultimate sweet spot this Dhanteras
Gold is trading over 20% below its peak ahead of Dhanteras, offering long-term investors a potential staggered buying opportunity. Central-bank demand, ETF inflows and rupee weakness could support prices, with analysts projecting returns of 15–20% by next Dhanteras.
Oil slide, Treasury strength boost Indian bonds
Indian government bonds experienced an increase due to a significant decline in crude oil prices. A Democratic sweep in the US midterm elections raised hopes for peace in the Middle East. Traders responded positively, adding positions in government bonds as yields softened. Concerns about inflation risks diminished as investors anticipated a delay in interest rate hikes. Market dynamics indicate that Qatar-led mediation efforts are being monitored closely amid these developments.
Gold prices ahead of Dhanteras: Up 10% in a year, but is the worst of correction still ahead?
Gold has outperformed the Nifty and Sensex since Dhanteras 2025, despite falling sharply from its January peak. With inflation concerns, Fed rate expectations and weak demand weighing on prices, analysts remain divided on its near-term outlook, while major banks see scope for a recovery in 2027.
Goldman Sachs expects Bank of England to raise rates again in February
Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook on the Bank of England's interest rates, now predicting a possible quarter-point rise in November's monetary policy meeting. This would be the first increase since 2023, influenced by climbing energy costs and robust economic growth. Although immediate policy shifts are unlikely, the Bank will vigilantly observe inflation risks, maintaining rates at 4.25% through mid-next year.
Explained: Why gold investors should tone down expectations as yellow metal plunges to a 1-year low
Gold has fallen more than 30% from its January record high, with rising oil prices, inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed rate hikes adding to pressure. Analysts remain cautious about a near-term recovery, even as major banks retain bullish forecasts for 2027.
US bonds rally, sending yields to biggest monthly decline since 2023
US Treasuries experienced a notable rise as technology stock selloffs caused a shift towards safer investments. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note had its largest monthly drop in nearly three years. Earnings reports from Amazon and Intel negatively impacted investor confidence amid rising AI costs. Expectations for a December interest rate hike remain high after a recent Federal Reserve meeting.
Gold prices edge lower as US inflation data reinforces Fed outlook
Gold prices fell in early Asian trading, reflecting a decline of over 1% from the previous session. Spot gold is currently valued at $4,006.06 per ounce, while US gold futures have dipped to $4,018.50. Heightened inflation worries have raised fears of a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December.
Gold price, silver rate today: Why are gold rate, silver price down on Thursday? What to expect in November?
Gold rate today fell as the precious metal saw topsy-turvy month of October. Silver price was also down along with platinum and palladium.
US Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh just telegraphed more rate hikes without saying it
Warsh used his assessment of a strong economy and warnings over persistent inflation to signal the Fed’s job is not yet done. The message reinforced expectations that officials will raise borrowing costs in December — after holding them steady Wednesday — with the potential for another increase in early 2027.
Fed holds rates as inflation stays high, signals more hikes amid AI boom and energy costs
The Federal Reserve held its key rate steady at around 3.9%, signaling cautious optimism about inflation trends. Chairman Kevin Warsh emphasized the importance of inflation control while dismissing political influences on monetary policy decisions. Analysts expect a potential rate increase at the next meeting as inflation persists, affecting consumer sentiment. Some Fed officials dissented, indicating ongoing discussions about future rate hikes remain relevant.
US Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as stubborn inflation puts future rate hikes in focus
The US Federal Reserve has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged to evaluate inflation trends. Policymakers are assessing how high inflation might affect future monetary policy amid the upcoming midterm elections. Rising energy prices and tariffs contribute significantly to the ongoing inflation pressures faced by the economy. Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report for indications of future rate hikes.
Dollar holds gains ahead of Fed policy signal, RBNZ decision
The US dollar is sticking close to a two-week high ahead of crucial central bank policy announcements. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to maintain its current interest rates, while market watchers speculate on future actions. European currencies are holding steady, with the euro and British pound showing minor fluctuations against the dollar.
US Fed Decision: What to expect from Warsh's October meeting
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its October meeting amid persistent inflation and elevated borrowing costs. Investors will scrutinise Chairman Kevin Warsh’s comments on inflation, policy independence and future rate decisions, with potential December tightening and internal disagreements remaining key concerns for financial markets and households.
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