ECONOMY SLOWDOWN
Largecaps over SMIDs: Ambit’s Nitin Bhasin and Bharat Arora share their Samvat 2083 strategy
As we step into the new Samvat, investors are advised to take a more cautious stance with their portfolios. The focus should be on large-cap stocks and the banking sector due to their better earnings prospects and attractive valuations. Meanwhile, although mid- and small-cap sectors may face hurdles, the cement industry might see unexpected margin improvements.
US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline
Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
Investors in other markets would be envious of India multiples: Rich Handler, chief executive of Jefferies
Jefferies CEO Rich Handler believes Indian equities remain reasonably valued despite the market correction and says easing long-term capital gains taxes could attract foreign investors. He sees opportunities in India's AI and data centre sectors, argues that global capital outflows reflect external pressures, and believes concerns about an AI bubble warrant a healthy pause rather than alarm.
Bloodbath in Nasdaq, Kospi and Nikkei but why Nifty is an oasis of peace amid global rout
A global AI-led tech selloff has battered US and Asian markets, wiping out $3 trillion from S&P 500 companies. However, Indian equities are showing relative resilience as investors rotate away from crowded AI trades. Market experts believe India's lower exposure to the AI boom, attractive large-cap valuations and renewed foreign inflows could help it weather the global rout.
Explained: 5 reasons why Trump’s midterm election setback matters for Indian markets and economy
Donald Trump’s midterm election setback has triggered a global market rally, with Indian equities gaining sharply. Lower crude oil prices, a weaker dollar, potential FII inflows, reduced tariff risks and changing US interest rate expectations could reshape India's economic outlook. Here are five key ways the political shift could impact markets.
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Donald Trump's midterm drubbing demonstrates the power of data center opponents
Democrat victories in recent midterm elections signal a shift in public sentiment regarding data centers and AI technology. Key races in Texas and Georgia brought significant wins for candidates opposing data center development. Analysts estimate that nearly half of planned US data center capacity could face new regulations and moratoriums. Concerns have emerged over potential slowdown effects on the AI and technology sectors as stocks decline.
Trump's loss in US midterms hands Indian gold buyers new setup before Dhanteras
Gold prices surged over 2% on Wednesday, with a weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields supporting the rally after Democrats made gains in the US midterm elections. In India, 24-karat gold rose 2.26% to ₹14,280 per gram.
China Services PMI slows to three-month low; what lies ahead for Chinese stocks?
China’s services sector expanded at its slowest pace in three months as rising costs and intense competition squeezed margins. The weaker PMI and declining business confidence may weigh on Chinese equities, although sustained growth in export orders offers some support.
Bharat Electronics shares gain 3% as Motilal raises target price after Q2; Elara Capital upgrades to Buy
Bharat Electronics shares gained after Motilal Oswal raised its price target and Elara Capital upgraded its rating to Buy. Brokerages cited strong order visibility, healthy revenue growth and margin prospects, while delays in major defence orders remain a key risk.
Is the AI boom losing steam? Global economy faces growing risks
Global financial markets face mounting pressure from geopolitical conflicts, rising government debt and trade tensions, raising concerns about the resilience of the global economy. While the AI investment boom has driven stock markets to record highs and supported growth expectations, rising borrowing costs, inflation, weakening currencies and the prolonged Iran war threaten to undermine investor confidence and expose deeper vulnerabilities.
Garment workers' protests in Bangladesh turn violent
The BNP government has formed a wage board to determine revised pay scales for garment workers. However, protests have continued, potentially emerging as a major challenge for the Tarique Rahman government, which is already facing growing anti-incumbency amid a slowdown in the domestic economy.
Dubai in Transit: The megalopolis is trying to shake off nightmarish war months, but caution remains in the air
Dubai is struggling to regain business momentum eight months after Iranian missile strikes disrupted tourism, real estate and other sectors. While tourist arrivals and hotel occupancy have recovered from their March lows, the recovery has stalled amid renewed regional tensions.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks slide as tech earnings disappoint, AI fears mount
The Kospi Index in South Korea — a key barometer of the AI trade — fell over 3% with chip heavyweights Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. declining. That dragged the MSCI Asia Pacific Index down 0.3%.
US economy grows faster than expected at 3.4% in Q3 on consumer spending, AI boom
The US economy grew at a faster-than-expected 3.4% annualised rate in the third quarter, driven by resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment despite higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict. The robust growth contrasts with weak consumer sentiment and comes as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged.
Finance ministry estimates India’s Q2 FY27 GDP growth at 7.35%
The finance ministry’s nowcasting model estimates India’s GDP will grow 7.35% in Q2 FY27, following 7.8% growth in the previous quarter, supported by stronger industrial output, energy consumption, port traffic, GST collections and automobile sales.
India will gain strong comparative advantage after US trade deal: Piyush Goyal
Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal highlighted India's potential advantages from a trade deal with the United States. He asserted that the agreement would not harm the interests of farmers or any other stakeholders involved. Goyal made these statements during the 4th ISID-IDRA National Conference in Delhi. The trade deal aims to enhance India's economic landscape and strengthen its global standing.
US Market: Fed holds rates steady, but bond investors remain concerned over inflation
The US Treasury yield curve steepened after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference, as investors weighed inflation risks, fiscal concerns and the outlook for interest rates. Longer-dated bond yields faced pressure amid worries over government borrowing and the term premium. Mixed economic signals also raised questions about the Fed’s growth assessment, while markets continued to price in the possibility of further rate hikes.
IIP growth eases to 4-month low in September as mining output contracts
September witnessed a decline in India's factory output growth, falling to 6.7%, the lowest rate observed in four months. The drop is largely linked to a high base effect and decreased mining activity. Despite this, manufacturing output surged by 7.6% compared to the previous year, while electricity generation also grew, spurred by robust demand even with insufficient rainfall. Economists anticipate GDP growth to surpass 7% for the July-September period.
These 7 private and public banking stocks have an upside of up to 27% in one year, according to analysts
If interest rates stay high, and there are signs of a slowdown, banks that depend on retail deposits are the ones to watch carefully. That is where the strain of a slowing economy and the high cost of money are likely to show up first. Check out Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, for price targets of over 4,000 listed stocks along with detailed company analysis focusing on five key components, earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk, and price momentum, to generate standardised scores. SR+ Reports is a complimentary offering to ETPrime members.
US Market: AI boom could weaken dollar’s safe-haven appeal as foreign flows rise
The US dollar’s safe-haven status could face pressure if the AI investment boom unwinds, prompting foreign investors to pull back from American equities and corporate bonds. Weaker growth, lower interest rates and credit-market stress could amplify the risk.
India to remain top of the Asian pie for Advent
Advent International has successfully raised $30 billion for its global buyout and mid-market funds. The firm plans to invest significantly in India, expecting healthy GDP growth in the country. With recent investments including Yatharth Hospitals and Aditya Birla Housing Finance, Advent remains confident in the Indian market potential. The new fund is set to target various sectors including healthcare, technology services, and industrials.
Anthropic files for US IPO amid AI boom, rising costs and safety concerns
Anthropic has filed for a US IPO to support its ambitious AI development plans and secure funding. The company's recent financial details show significant revenue growth, but losses have widened sharply. Investors are currently valuing Anthropic at approximately $1.5 trillion, reflecting recent market fluctuations. Anthropic is in competition with OpenAI in the race to create advanced AI systems.
US growth boosted by AI, but no sign of a turning point higher
Economists estimate the growth potential of the US economy to be around 2%, whereas President Donald Trump aspires to double it. Business investments are escalating, primarily driven by the demands for data centers and enhanced AI capabilities, which can positively affect GDP growth. However, the influence of artificial intelligence on productivity is still unpredictable, and tariff strategies for cutting imports yield mixed results, affecting the market dynamics significantly.
Global Market: BOJ nears historic inflation milestone, shifts focus to rate hikes
The Bank of Japan is expected to declare its nearly 14-year battle to achieve 2% inflation successful while keeping interest rates unchanged at 1.25%. With wage growth and inflation expectations strengthening, policymakers may signal further tightening, potentially in December, as they balance persistent price pressures against economic growth and financial stability.
Debt investing strategies: How laddering, barbell, bullet and other strategies work
Cutting through money jargon, one topic at a time. This week, Sanket Dhanorkar explains fixed income investing strategies and which ones suit which investors.
Brazil presidential election results: Five economic challenges facing re-elected President Lula
Brazil's economy is encountering significant challenges as President Lula starts his fourth term in January. Soaring public debt and rising mandatory spending limit budget flexibility, complicating fiscal management. High interest rates and persistent inflation hinder economic growth, impacting household and business debt levels. Lula's ability to implement reforms may be constrained by a conservative Congress, complicating his agenda.
US bond market down: Why are 10-year, 30-year, 2-year treasury yield notes are falling? Check latest predictions
US bond Yields have dropped in recent days, as concerns about a slowdown in AI spending and its impact on economic growth have overshadowed economic data, which showed persistent inflation pressures.
Chinese stock market enters bear territory! CSI 300 index crashes 20% from June peak
China’s CSI 300 index entered bear market territory on Thursday, falling 20% from its June peak amid concerns over taxation policies, slowing economic growth and weak corporate earnings. Geopolitical uncertainty and fears of an artificial intelligence bubble have added to investor anxiety, though some analysts expect a potential rebound in 2027.
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