DECEMBER RATE HIKE
Japanese investors sell foreign bonds for seventh time in eight weeks
Japanese investors sold 537.6 billion yen ($3.36 billion) in foreign long-term bonds for the seventh time in eight weeks, reflecting caution over US inflation and Federal Reserve rate expectations. They also withdrew from overseas equities. Meanwhile, foreign investors continued buying Japanese long-term bonds, marking their sixth consecutive week of net purchases.
Gold and silver ETFs fall up to 3% as firm dollar and Fed rate hike bets weigh. Should investors buy the dip?
Gold and silver ETFs declined as a stronger US dollar and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on precious metal prices. Financial experts advise investors to continue systematic investments in gold and silver in line with their long-term asset allocation.
Indian bonds drift as US debt rout saps oil relief before CPI
On Thursday morning, Indian government bonds remained stable, reflecting a pause after recent volatility. Market sentiment is influenced by declining oil prices and climbing US Treasury yields, with inflation data on the horizon. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to modify its policy rate in light of these figures. Meanwhile, the ongoing Iran conflict could affect oil pricing, as traders prepare for a significant bond auction set for Friday.
Rs 80,000 crore FII buying sparks explosive rally on Dalal Street. Will RBI rate hike worries kill the party?
The Sensex has staged a sharp 9,000-point rally since late October, crossing 82,000 for the first time since February, before the US-Iran conflict erupted. The rebound has been fuelled by a strong return of foreign investors, who have bought nearly Rs 69,000 crore worth of Indian equities in November so far and around Rs 80,000 crore since mid-October.
Gold prices drop below Rs 1.4 lakh/10g, silver jumps by Rs 2,300/kg on MCX on firm dollar, Fed rate hike bets. Check rates in your city
Gold and silver prices declined as a stronger dollar and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike weighed on bullion. Hotter-than-expected US inflation and hawkish Fed signals have increased pressure on precious metals, keeping investors cautious about the near-term outlook.
Dollar near one-month high as yen edges toward 160
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.63% to 102.85, its highest level since October 14.
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Dollar firms as hot inflation, hawkish Fed talk lift rate-hike bets
The US dollar has gained against multiple currencies due to expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Inflation data revealed an increase in consumer prices, prompting trader speculation about further monetary tightening. The Japanese yen has weakened to its lowest level in over two months, approaching significant mark. Many developed-market currencies are performing poorly against the dollar this year, attributed to widening interest-rate gaps.
Goldman Sachs forecasts additional Fed rate hike in March after hotter US inflation data
Goldman Sachs expects the US Federal Reserve to deliver an additional 25-basis-point rate hike in March after October inflation data came in hotter than expected for the third consecutive month. The bank has also pushed back its forecast for the first rate cut to December 2027, signalling prolonged monetary tightening.
Fed's Paulson signals further gradual interest rate hikes to curb inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson signals support for further interest rate hikes to curb persistent US inflation, which remains above the Fed’s 2% target. Strong October CPI data, resilient employment and rising price pressures reinforce expectations of monetary tightening, with markets anticipating additional increases in December.
India bonds slip as Treasury rout offsets oil slide
Indian government bonds declined on Wednesday as a sharp rise in US Treasury yields, triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation and hawkish signals from policymakers, overshadowed relief from lower crude oil prices. Higher US yields could erode the relative return advantage of Indian debt, dampening its appeal among foreign investors.
Gold prices near Rs 1.45 lakh/10g, silver jumps Rs 2,900/kg on MCX despite rising Fed rate hike bets. Check rates in your city
Gold and silver recovered modestly after a sharp previous-session decline, but hotter US inflation data fuelled expectations of a December Fed rate hike. Investors also tracked international bullion prices, geopolitical developments and retail gold rates across major Indian cities.
Japan bond yields rise as US inflation fuels rate hike bets
Japanese government bond yields climbed for a third straight session, tracking a global debt selloff after stronger US inflation data and hawkish Fed commentary raised expectations of further rate hikes. Investors also assessed the Bank of Japan’s policy outlook ahead of key bond auctions.
Gold holds near one-week low as hot US inflation boosts Fed hike bets
Gold prices rose 0.2% to $4,039.07 per ounce in early Asian trade on Wednesday. This increase followed a nearly 3% decline in the previous session due to US inflation data. The data indicated stronger inflation, leading to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next month. Traders now believe there is a 100% chance of an interest rate increase in December.
Dollar gains traction as Fed speakers warn of risks from inflation
The US dollar is holding onto gains following a stronger-than-expected inflation report. Federal Reserve comments indicate potential rate hikes to address ongoing inflation concerns. Market expectations are shifting, with traders anticipating a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury bond has also increased, reflecting market sentiments. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether are trading near three-month lows amidst these developments.
Global Market Today: Asian stocks rise on CoreWeave results, bonds drop
Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose as much 0.3%, while South Korea’s Kospi swung between gains and losses. A broader gauge of Asian shares advanced 0.2%. Contracts for tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4% in early Asian after the underlying index dropped 0.6% in regular trading.
US treasury yields jump: What does it mean for mortgage rates?
Higher interest rates can help rein in inflation, but they do so by making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money.
Fed’s Christopher Waller opens door to 50-basis-point December rate hike after hot CPI
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has raised the possibility of a 50-basis-point December rate hike after US core inflation rose 0.3% in October. Persistent price pressures have intensified debate over tighter monetary policy and the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility.
Traders raise odds of 50 bps Fed rate hike as CPI rise exceeds expectations
New data has revealed that US consumer prices rose faster than anticipated, prompting speculation about interest rate changes. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested a half percentage point hike may be necessary if core prices continue rising. The Consumer Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.4% in October, with core inflation remaining persistent. The bond market reacted strongly to these developments, significantly affecting Treasury yields.
CPI report today: What is current US Fed interest rate? Will inflation data force US Fed to go for interest rate hike?
CPI data today: Inflation report is running well above the US central bank's 2 per cent target. The US-Israeli war with Iran has boosted oil prices, combining with the import tariffs implemented by the Trump administration last year to lift the cost of living.
Gold price, silver rate today: Why is gold rate down on Tuesday? Check latest bullion outlook
Gold price prediction: The decline in crude prices has eased some inflation concerns, although movements in the dollar and global bullion markets continue to influence gold's near-term direction.
US Treasury yields rise as Fed's Waller presses rate hike case
Following remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, short-dated Treasury yields saw an uptick, as he proposed the necessity of action despite seemingly moderated inflation data. Waller highlighted a possible half-point rate increase if inflation intensifies, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy. Economists expect a modest rise in core inflation, guiding market anticipations as money markets now fully reflect a 25 basis point increase in December.
Dollar sellers hit pause for US inflation data
The trade and sentiment-sensitive Australian dollar rose by nearly 1% through Monday to sit at $0.6921 early on Tuesday and the New Zealand dollar rose even further to trade at $0.5624, with both steady in morning Asia trade.
US dollar dips as easing AI and Mideast worries limit its appeal
After a six-month high, the US dollar is now on a downward trend, largely spurred by impressive job growth figures. Investors are eagerly awaiting the upcoming consumer price index data, a key factor for Federal Reserve rate considerations. Meanwhile, the euro and other currencies are rebounding against the dollar, backed by solid economic indicators.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
US employers add 165,000 jobs in October, but worrying joblessness trends remain: Here's what the latest numbers mean for you
US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, resulting in a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1 percent. Average hourly earnings saw a year-over-year increase of 3.1 percent, although it remains below the inflation rate. The US Federal Reserve might be considering a potential interest rate hike after the robust jobs report, which could be announced next month.
Federal Reserve rate hike bets strengthen as US jobs growth beats estimates
Stronger than expected US jobs growth has revived expectations of a December Federal Reserve rate hike, with employers adding 165,000 jobs in October against estimates of 65,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while markets raised the probability of a quarter point hike to 85% and brought forward expectations of another increase.
US stocks today: Nasdaq rebounds as chip stocks recover from steep losses, rate fears persist
US stocks rebound as chipmakers recover from Thursday's steep AI-led selloff, lifting the Nasdaq 1.73%. Nvidia, AMD, Intel and Micron lead the recovery, while stronger-than-expected October jobs data revive concerns over a December Fed rate hike. Airbnb rallies after raising its full-year revenue growth forecast, while Atlassian shares decline.
Fed's Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin favour gradual rate hikes as inflation stays high
Two officials from the Federal Reserve have supported modest and steady interest rate increases to combat high inflation. They believe these adjustments should minimize disruptions for households, businesses, and financial markets. The Fed has left interest rates unchanged recently, with discussions ongoing about future hikes in December and early next year. The political landscape has shifted following the midterm elections, potentially changing price pressures in the economy.
Eurozone bond yields steady as investors await inflation data; US Treasury yields ease after midterm elections
Eurozone government bond yields were steady as investors awaited October inflation data, while US Treasury yields declined after Democrats gained control of both chambers of Congress. Markets also assessed the likelihood of further European Central Bank rate hikes in December.
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