CPI IN FOCUS
US stocks face volatile week as AI selloff, inflation data and tech earnings loom
US stocks face a volatile week as investors brace for October CPI inflation data and key tech earnings following a sharp AI-led selloff. Regulatory concerns post-US midterms, alongside Fed rate hike expectations, have pushed the Nasdaq into correction territory despite the S&P 500 maintaining gains for 2026.
Samvat 2083 outlook: 8 triggers that could turn Sensex, Nifty correction into a rally by next Diwali
Indian equities enter Samvat 2083 after a correction that has made valuations more attractive, but a sustained rally will depend on several triggers. Falling crude oil prices, easing inflation, an earnings recovery, FII buying, an India-US trade deal and continued domestic liquidity could shape the market's trajectory over the next year.
Overall, India Inc credit profile looks healthy: Ramnath Krishnan, Icra Group CEO
Corporate India's credit profile has maintained strength following a period of deleveraging post-Covid, although external pressures exist. While rating upgrades continue to outnumber downgrades, specific sectors like chemicals and airlines face challenges. The potential for a drop in credit ratios exists, dependent on geopolitical factors and inflation rates. Companies remain hesitant to invest heavily amid uncertain consumer demand, leading to muted private sector capex.
Nifty bulls reclaim 25,000 mark as FIIs step up India buying: 5 factors that will determine D-Street's fate next week
Indian equities rallied nearly 9% last week as the Nifty reclaimed 25,000 and the Sensex gained 8.82%. FIIs bought Rs 45,960 crore, while DIIs sold Rs 24,197 crore. Investors will track AI stocks, crude oil, geopolitical developments, US Treasury yields, India's October inflation data and Nifty technical levels in the coming week.
What BJP is doing to blunt Opposition's 'vote chori' charge
SIR news: BJP has initiated a nationwide campaign called 'Loktantra Bachao, Arajakta Hatao' to counter opposition protests. Senior leaders will conduct padyatras in various states and challenge the opposition's claims. The campaign addresses the Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls, which is currently under scrutiny. BJP intends to engage with the public through targeted programs, social media, and public meetings.
Strong macro fundamentals, policy interventions to anchor eco against global headwinds: RBI bulletin
Strong macroeconomic fundamentals continue to support the Indian economy against global inflation and trade tensions. Recent geopolitical frictions have resulted in increased prices and supply chain issues, leading to policy changes. Currency fluctuations were observed, but measures by the Reserve Bank helped stabilize the rupee recently. Foreign Direct Investment remains robust, driven by significant inflows from major sources like the US and Singapore.
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Global Market: Japan’s core inflation accelerates, putting BOJ rate hikes in focus
Japan’s core inflation rises to 2.1% in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the first time in nine months. Higher energy costs, yen weakness and AI-related demand could strengthen the case for further interest rate hikes.

Gold heads for sharpest weekly decline in four months on Fed rate outlook
Gold prices took a hit on Friday amid strong indicators of US economic growth and climbing oil prices. Spot gold prices sank to their lowest since August, and US gold futures mirrored the drop. Positive employment figures showed a decrease in unemployment claims, hinting at stronger job growth in October.

Gold slips as investors await Fed rate signals
Gold prices fell slightly as investors monitored the Federal Reserve's major interest rate decision. The anticipated meeting will provide key insights into future economic policies. Economists expect the Fed to hold rates steady, emphasizing inflation concerns. The Bank of Japan is also projected to raise interest rates in December. Other precious metals, including silver and platinum, experienced minimal changes during this period.

USD rate: Why is US Dollar down from 18-month peak?
USD rate: Government bonds rallied and the dollar pulled back, reflecting cautious remarks from Federal Reserve officials that further cooled expectations for an October interest-rate hike.

Dollar retreats from 18-month high despite hot CPI as Fed officials temper hike bets
The dollar has fallen back after peaking at an 18-month high, fueled by stronger than expected inflation data. Expectations of an October rate hike were moderated by prudent remarks from Federal Reserve officials. With Treasury yields decreasing, the dollar slipped against key currencies like the euro and sterling. Traders are now closely monitoring the upcoming US producer price and retail sales figures to gauge future market movements.

Gold steadies after hitting one-week low
Gold prices have stabilized after recently dipping to a one-week low, now sitting at $4,114.57 per ounce. This slight recovery follows an uptick in US consumer prices, primarily driven by rising gasoline costs, pushing discussions about potential interest rate hikes. Currently, there is a 32% chance of a rate increase this month. Investors are keenly awaiting significant economic reports expected later today.

Xbox’s new Nano controller signals a shift beyond the traditional console as Microsoft targets gaming across devices
Microsoft has launched the Xbox Nano Controller, which aims to enhance accessibility across various gaming devices. The compact controller is designed for younger players and portability, measuring just over five inches. In addition, Microsoft is partnering with television manufacturers to enable cloud gaming on supported devices. This strategic shift focuses on making Xbox games accessible beyond dedicated consoles through various other platforms.

Who blew up the Nord Stream pipelines? Germany’s sabotage trial reopens Europe’s biggest energy mystery years after the Baltic Sea explosions
On October 14, a trial commenced in Hamburg for Serhii Kuznietsov, a former Ukrainian military officer. He is accused of organizing the explosions that damaged the Nord Stream pipelines. The proceedings could reveal important details and implications for Ukraine’s role in the incident. Germany navigates complex diplomatic considerations as it investigates the sabotage. The trial is expected to last several months as the prosecution presents its case.

Nvidia pledges $250 million in computing resources to boost UK AI safety research
Nvidia has committed $250 million in computing resources over five years to advance UK artificial intelligence safety research. Announced by CEO Jensen Huang on Wednesday, the $50 million annual pledge focuses on agentic AI security, supporting initiatives at Oxford, Imperial College London, and University College London.

Global Market: European shares rise as ASML rally lifts tech stocks; investors eye US CPI
European shares increased modestly as the pan-European STOXX 600 index recovered from previous losses. ASML's strong demand led technology stocks to gain, while concerns about geopolitical risks remained. Oil prices rose following attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, which limited gains in equities. The market also awaits US consumer price index data that could impact interest-rate projections.

Global Market: China stocks slip as AI selloff deepens, mixed inflation data weighs
Chinese stocks edged lower as AI-related shares weakened and mixed inflation data heightened concerns over domestic demand. The CSI300 declined, while energy and consumer staples stocks advanced amid rising oil prices. Technology shares remained under pressure, and HSBC cut year-end targets for major Chinese indexes, reflecting persistent market uncertainty.

Dollar languishes as focus turns to CPI, Fed speakers
The dollar declined as traders awaited new information on the timing for interest rate increases. Investors reevaluated the recent rally fueled by artificial intelligence developments and easing oil prices. Meanwhile, the euro gained slightly amid regional budget concerns affecting bond yields. The US consumer price index data release is upcoming, alongside important speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Social Security commissioner Frank Bisignano makes major claim about program's future ahead of 2027 COLA announcement
Amid rising financial pressures, Social Security Commissioner Frank Bisignano reassures the public about the program's future viability. An announcement regarding the 2027 Cost-of-Living Adjustment is imminent, potentially introducing a 3.5% increase in benefits for retirees facing escalated living costs. However, the sustainability of these benefits hinges on upcoming legislative actions, prompting crucial discussions among many Americans about the program's financial health.

Wallet war: More new things are fighting for every rupee Indians earn
Indian Consumer Spending Trends: Indian households are increasingly shifting their consumption patterns, which reflects a richer variety of spending options. This changing consumer behavior shows significant growth in non-food expenditures over the years. The introduction of quick commerce has further diversified available products, making various goods more accessible. Both urban and rural consumers are seeking premium products alongside traditional staples.

Gold prices rise to Rs 1.50 lakh/10g; silver gains ahead of US economic data. Key levels to track
Gold and silver prices opened higher on MCX as investors awaited US inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook, while a firm dollar and geopolitical tensions kept precious metals volatile.

Gold subdued with spotlight on US inflation data
Gold prices have seen a slight retreat as investors brace for key US inflation figures that could sway interest rates. The robust US dollar further complicates matters, making gold pricier for overseas buyers. While the Federal Reserve is poised to maintain current rates this month, market watchers are speculating on a potential hike in December.

Global Market Today: Asian shares slide as chip stocks tumble; investors eye US earnings, CPI
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 0.3% with equities in South Korea slipping over 3%. That came after a US gauge of chipmakers fell 2.7% Monday, while the Nasdaq 100 Index lost 0.7%.

Ahead of Market: 10 things that will decide stock market action on Tuesday
Indian benchmark indices reversed early gains on Monday, with the Sensex falling 548 points and the Nifty closing below 22,400 amid persistent FII selling, rising bond yields and geopolitical concerns. Investors will track key stocks, global cues, crude oil prices, inflation data and earnings expectations for Tuesday’s market direction.

US Stock market on Columbus day predictions: S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 investors eye tricky Monday on Indigenous Peoples' Day. Nvidia, Apple, Micron, AMD, Tesla other stocks to watch out today
Stock market on Columbus day: Earnings season begins on Tuesday, with major US banks including Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase scheduled to report first.

Gold prices fall Rs 1,450/10g; silver down Rs 1,400/kg despite a soft dollar ahead of US economic data. Time to sell?
Gold and silver prices opened lower on MCX despite a weaker US dollar and falling oil prices, as investors awaited US inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. Analysts recommend buying on dips while monitoring key support levels.

Dollar stays near 18-month high as Mideast conflict, inflation data in focus
The dollar's steadiness reflects a cautious market responding to geopolitical stresses in the Middle East, which have dampened investor confidence. Fluctuations in oil prices continue as conflict in Saudi Arabia disrupts infrastructure, paired with controversial ceasefire news. Investors focus on the looming US consumer price index report, which will influence Federal Reserve interest rate policies.

Global Market Today: Asian shares cautious as earnings loom
Trade was thin with Japan markets shut and the US on a partial holiday ahead of the earnings season with major US banks kicking off on Tuesday.

Wall Street Week Ahead: Bank earnings, CPI headline busy markets week as S&P 500 hovers near records
U.S. stock investors are on high alert as they anticipate quarterly earnings reports from major banks, including JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. These reports are pivotal, shedding light on corporate profitability and the future direction of interest rates. The upcoming Consumer Price Index report will also provide vital clues about inflation trends, potentially swaying Federal Reserve policy.
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