CONSUMER SENTIMENTS
US dollar dips as easing AI and Mideast worries limit its appeal
After a six-month high, the US dollar is now on a downward trend, largely spurred by impressive job growth figures. Investors are eagerly awaiting the upcoming consumer price index data, a key factor for Federal Reserve rate considerations. Meanwhile, the euro and other currencies are rebounding against the dollar, backed by solid economic indicators.
US stocks: Dow Jones rallies 500 points, Nasdaq over 2% as chip stocks rebound; Nvidia probe weighs
Wall Street's indexes climbed as investors honed in on Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's investigation and awaited crucial inflation data. Nvidia's shares faced declines due to worries over foreign intelligence, yet analysts proposed that the sell-off in AI stocks was potentially overblown. Tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet, along with chip manufacturers such as Marvell and Broadcom, enjoyed substantial gains.
India bonds continue rally ahead of inflation data
Indian government bond yields extended their rally on Monday, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling nearly 4 basis points as easing crude oil prices and hopes of a US-Iran peace deal improved sentiment. Investors are now watching US and Indian inflation data for cues on the outlook for interest rates.
Shemaroo flags BARC blackout, deferred broadcaster deals amid digital growth
Shemaroo Entertainment faced challenges in its traditional media business due to BARC ratings blackout and deferred content investments. The company's digital business grew significantly, with digital revenue rising by 26% year-on-year. EBITDA loss has narrowed, indicating improvement in financial performance. Continued investments in Gujarati content remain a key focus for Shemaroo. Management remains optimistic about achieving profitability aspirations amid ongoing industry dynamics.
Indian bonds drift with oil; inflation data in focus
Indian government bonds exhibited limited movement today as oil prices showed signs of stabilization. Investors are remaining cautious, especially with inflation data from both the United States and India on the horizon. Scheduled for later today is a bond auction totaling 290.5 billion rupees. Analysts predict yields on the 10-year bond could oscillate between 7.30% and 7.10%, with particular attention on India's October inflation report due for release this Thursday.
HSBC, Citi turn bullish as Indian stocks draw record inflows
Global banks are turning more positive on Indian stocks, indicating potential for continued growth and record foreign inflows. Recent data shows that India’s benchmark index surged nearly 8% this month, marking its best performance since mid-2022. As foreign investors shift back to Indian equities, analysts expect significant inflows and improved earnings growth in the coming fiscal years. Falling oil prices are also projected to support corporate profits and economic stability.
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China, Hong Kong stocks edge higher as Beijing vows measures to stabilise markets
Chinese and Hong Kong stocks edged higher as Beijing renewed its commitment to stabilising capital markets amid economic concerns. Major mainland indices posted modest gains, while the Hang Seng also advanced. However, weak domestic demand, cooling consumer inflation and global technology-sector volatility continued to challenge investor confidence and market recovery prospects.

Sensex & Nifty fall in Muhurat trade for first time since 2017
Indian equities experienced a slight decline during the Diwali Muhurat trading session for the first time since 2017. The Sensex ended at 80,999.40, down 28.62 points, and the Nifty closed at 24,986.40, shedding 43.95 points. Despite the drop, market sentiment has recently shown signs of improvement, particularly with foreign investors becoming buyers again.

Gold price prediction: Gold rate to undergo volatile mode, claim experts, cite a few factors that will impact bullion movement
Gold rate prediction: Geopolitical developments in the Middle East, US-Iran war are expected to remain a major driver of precious metal prices.

US Stock Market prediction: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones look to start in positive, check factors that will drive Wall Street
US Stock market investors will keep close eyes on Dow Jones as S&P 500, Nasdaq must continue the momentum.

Lower prices add glitter to Dhanteras gold sales
Fresh impetus to festive buying was seen as gold prices corrected, boosting jewellery sales on Dhanteras. Sales volume increased by 8-10% and value growth reached 18-20% compared to last year. Consumers in both metros and smaller cities showed significant demand for lightweight jewellery, coins, and smaller-ticket purchases. Jewellers reported a surge in footfalls and sales, particularly in traditional and diamond pieces.

US treasury bond prices down on Friday, Yields on 10-year, 30-year, 2-year jump. Check latest rates
When US bond prices fall, yields rise. Despite Friday's jump, yields have steadily moved lower in recent weeks. For the week, the 10-year yield posted its fifth straight decline

Jewellers report brisk Dhanteras sales as gold price drop lures buyers; volumes seen flat
Volumes, however, are likely to remain roughly flat from a year earlier because prices are still well above last year's levels, said Rajesh Rokde, chairman of the All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC).

India's 10-year bond posts best week in 7 years, leads emerging Asia as oil slides
This week, Indian government bonds saw a remarkable performance, outpacing other Asian markets as benchmark yields dropped significantly. Following the Democratic win in the US midterms, crude prices fell sharply, enticing foreign investors back to purchase a significant volume of Indian bonds. This shift alleviates pressure on the Reserve Bank of India to maintain elevated yields, contributing to a positive outlook for Indian debt moving forward.

Emami bets on winter demand as inflation keeps a lid on growth
Emami Ltd announced a 36% increase in consolidated revenue for the second quarter, reaching Rs 1,088 crore. Despite rising input costs, the company has seen positive trends in its winter portfolio and rural demand. The net profit declined by 3% due to changes in the effective tax rate. Emami has implemented price hikes to offset raw material inflation while focusing on cost-efficiency.

Gold retailers' revenue to rise up to 23% as volume decline moderates this fiscal: Crisil
India's organised gold jewellery retailers are expected to see a slower decline in sales volumes this fiscal, with revenue projected to grow 21-23 per cent despite elevated gold prices, while their credit profiles are likely to remain resilient on the back of healthy cash flows and controlled expansion, according to Crisil Ratings.

Issue for foreigners is they don't pay taxes elsewhere: Samir Arora, founder and Group CIO of Helios Capital
Samir Arora from Helios Capital discusses India's optimistic earnings forecast, suggesting a growth of 14-15%. Despite this, foreign investors remain wary due to uncertainties surrounding the capital gains tax regime, impacting their sentiment towards investment. He draws an analogy between the current AI investment frenzy and historical market trends, emphasizing that substantial corporate investments are persisting even amidst falling valuations.

Midterm results may slow US visa curbs, but no quick relief likely for IT
The opposition party’s takeover of both chambers of US Congress is expected to bring greater scrutiny of the administration’s policy decisions, potentially slowing further restrictions, industry experts told ET. However, any improvement in sentiment is unlikely to translate quickly into higher hiring or technology spending.

Gold price correction to lift Dhanteras sentiment, but sales volumes likely to remain flat: Jewellers
The decline in gold prices is expected to boost demand this Dhanteras, All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) Chairman Rajesh Rokde told.

Auto sales growth to cool post-festive season, says Monarch; bets on Minda Corp, RK Forgings and Sundram Fasteners
Auto sales growth is expected to moderate in the second half of FY27 after strong festive demand, while tractor sales may remain weak. Monarch Networth Capital prefers diversified ancillary players Minda Corporation, RK Forgings and Sundram Fasteners, with potential upside of up to 44%.

India's natural diamond industry eyes revenue stabilisation at $15 billion, not recovery
An analysis indicates India's natural diamond industry's revenues are projected to stabilize rather than rebound. Domestic demand is expected to cushion export weaknesses, particularly from the US and China. Lab-grown diamonds are reshaping the entry-level segment, affecting market dynamics and pricing. While profitability faces pressure, supply discipline is helping maintain stability in credit profiles. Overall, improved inventory and consumption trends could support a more robust industry outlook.

China Services PMI slows to three-month low; what lies ahead for Chinese stocks?
China’s services sector expanded at its slowest pace in three months as rising costs and intense competition squeezed margins. The weaker PMI and declining business confidence may weigh on Chinese equities, although sustained growth in export orders offers some support.

RBI launches 3 surveys to capture inflation expectations, consumer confidence ahead of December policy meeting
Reserve Bank of India has announced the November 2026 round of the Inflation Expectations Survey of Households. This survey aims to capture households' perceptions regarding price movements and inflation based on their consumption patterns. Additionally, the Urban Consumer Confidence Survey seeks to understand household sentiments on the economic situation and employment. The Rural Consumer Confidence Survey collects perceptions from rural areas on economic conditions, income, and spending.

Dip in gold price puts the sparkle back into festive and wedding buying, jewellers see 10-12% rise in Dhanteras sales
Gold prices have dropped significantly, encouraging consumers to return to jewellery stores for upcoming purchases. The correction in gold prices has led to increased footfalls and advance bookings for weddings. Jewellers expect a rise in sales volume on Dhanteras, which is an auspicious buying day. Consumers are opting for lightweight jewellery and lower-karat gold to manage budget constraints.

ITC Q2 net profit falls 20% as high taxes keep margins in check
ITC reported a 20% decline in standalone net profit for the September quarter despite a 45% increase in revenue. The rise in cigarette taxation significantly impacted profitability, forcing ITC to absorb part of the price hikes. Non-cigarette businesses showed strong growth, achieving the highest revenue growth in 14 quarters. Factors such as inflation and geopolitical tensions continue to affect the operating environment.

US manufacturing strengthens in October, input prices stay high
US manufacturing activity accelerated in October, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising to 55.5 from 54.5 in September, beating Reuters-polled economists' expectations. Strong consumer and AI-related business spending supported growth, but factory input prices remained elevated at 75.2, reinforcing concerns that US inflation could stay above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Mass brands give liquor companies a hangover
"It is difficult to pinpoint the reasons for the slowdown, even in states such as Uttar Pradesh which had recorded strong growth earlier," said Amar Sinha, managing director of Allied Blenders and Distillers (ABD), maker of Officer's Choice whisky. There are "no clear factors explaining the weakness," he said.

US economy grows faster than expected at 3.4% in Q3 on consumer spending, AI boom
The US economy grew at a faster-than-expected 3.4% annualised rate in the third quarter, driven by resilient consumer spending and AI-related business investment despite higher oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict. The robust growth contrasts with weak consumer sentiment and comes as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged.

Charting the global economy: Euro area business activity cools
The euro area’s private sector slowed more than expected in October, weighed down by France as the region’s No. 2 economy grapples with fiscal and political tensions.
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